Small Craft Advisory 22, NWS Buffalo, NY

501 
WHUS71 KBUF 071449
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
949 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013

LOZ042-072300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130207T1500Z-130209T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
949 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-072300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130207T1500Z-130209T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
949 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

598 
WHUS71 KBUF 072039
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

LOZ042-080445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
339 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-080445-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
339 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

526 
WHUS71 KBUF 080236
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
936 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

LOZ042-081045-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
936 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-081045-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
936 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

251 
WHUS71 KBUF 080847
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
347 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

LOZ045-081700-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T1800Z-130209T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
347 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM
EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-081700-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T1800Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
347 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM
EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-081700-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T1800Z-130209T0900Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
347 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM
EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-081700-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T2100Z-130209T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
347 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM
EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-081700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
347 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-081700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
347 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

APFFEL

884 
WHUS71 KBUF 081456
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
956 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

LOZ042-082300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
956 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-082300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
956 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-082300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T1800Z-130209T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
956 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-082300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T1800Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
956 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-082300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T1800Z-130209T0900Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
956 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-082300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T2100Z-130209T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
956 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

844 
WHUS71 KBUF 082048
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
348 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

LOZ042-090500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
348 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-090500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
348 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-090500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
348 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-090500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
348 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-090500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T0900Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
348 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-090500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.130208T2100Z-130209T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
348 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

455 
WHUS71 KBUF 090259
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

LOZ042-091100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
959 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-091100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
959 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-091100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
959 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-091100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
959 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-090900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T0900Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
959 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-090900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
959 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR

598 
WHUS71 KBUF 090831
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
331 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

LEZ040-041-LOZ030-090945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
331 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. 

$$

LOZ042-091645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
331 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-091645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
331 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-091300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
331 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-091645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
331 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS

737 
WHUS71 KBUF 091247
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
747 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

LOZ045-091400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T1300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
747 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED.

$$

LOZ042-092100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
747 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-092100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
747 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-092100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
747 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

161 
WHUS71 KBUF 091428
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
928 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

LOZ042-092100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
928 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-092100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
928 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-092100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130209T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
928 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1137 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE THAT BROUGHT SOME SUNSHINE AND COLD CONDITIONS TO OUR
AREA WILL SETTLE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDWEST ON
THURSDAY...THEN MERGE WITH AN INTENSIFYING WINTER STORM THAT WILL BE
MOVING UP THE EAST COAST ON FRIDAY. THE SNOW AND ANY MIXED
PRECIPITATION THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE LOW PRESSURE CENTERS
WILL IMPACT OUR AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SCATTERED VERY LIGHT FLURRIES WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO
ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO FROM NEAR OLCOTT TO HAMLIN.
OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY. MOST AREAS ARE STILL
MAINLY CLEAR...ALTHOUGH A FEW PATCHES OF CLOUD STILL PERSIST FROM
THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO NEAR ROCHESTER.

TONIGHT...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL CREST OVER NEW YORK STATE...THEN
SHIFT EAST INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC. MID LEVEL CLOUDS...ASSOCIATED WITH
WARM AIR ADVECTION OVER THE MIDWEST...WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES HAVE STRUGGLED TO DROP IN SOME AREAS
THIS EVENING DUE TO A COMBINATION OF WINDS NOT DECOUPLING AND
LINGERING PATCHES OF LOW CLOUDS. EXPECT LOWS TO BE REACHED BY ABOUT
08Z-09Z...ONCE THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE
TONIGHT...EXPECT TEMPS TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY RISE.

ON THURSDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT TO THE EAST
WHILE LOW PRESSURE PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE MIDWEST. ONGOING WARM AIR
ADVECTION ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE AREA...BUT THE
LATEST GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTS THAT THE BEST COMBINATION OF
ISENTROPIC LIFT AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WILL STAY MAINLY
TO OUR NORTHWEST. AS A RESULT...WILL CONFINE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR
LIGHT SNOW TO PARTS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND LAKE ONTARIO DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK MAY MODERATE INTO THE LOWER 30S
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE THE REST OF THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO SEE
TEMPERATURES RANGING THROUGH THE 20S...ALTHOUGH READINGS MAY
STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE 20 ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
COUNTIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
MAIN FOCUS THIS PERIOD WILL BE ON THE SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM
UNFOLDING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. MODEL GUIDANCE IS COMING INTO
INCREASINGLY BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE SCENARIO AS A POTENT NORTHERN
STREAM SHORTWAVE DROPPING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES PHASES WITH A
SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE COMING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST...RESULTING IN A
VERY DEEP COASTAL LOW THAT WILL HAVE WIDE RANGING IMPACTS ACROSS THE
REGION. FOR OUR AREA...THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE MIXED PRECIP
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER WITH HEAVY SNOW BEING
THE MAIN CONCERN ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...GENESEE VALLEY...AND
PARTICULARLY THE NORTH COUNTRY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM
WILL BE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING
COASTAL LOW...WITH LESSER BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS IN WESTERN
AND CENTRAL NY.

AS WE OPEN THE PERIOD... THE SHORTWAVE WILL BEN OVER THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES WITH A CORRESPONDING SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY. A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE LAYING JUST NORTH OF
LAKE ONTARIO WHILE A COLD FRONT TRAILS ACROSS THE MIDWEST. LOOK FOR
INCREASING MOISTURE AND ISENTROPIC UPLIFT TO GENERATE SNOWFALL ALONG
THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY THURSDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SNOW WILL LIKELY BEGIN ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY
FIRST WHILE THE REST OF THE CWA WILL BE IN THE DRY WARM SECTOR OF
THE APPROACHING SURFACE LOW.  AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS INTO OHIO
AND INTO WESTERN PA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING HOWEVER...PRECIP WILL BEING
ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. IN THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES...THIS WILL BE A RACE
BETWEEN WARM AIR ALOFT AND MAIN AREA OF PRECIP AND COLDER AIR
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS THAT PRECIP MAY
START OUT AS SLEET AND POSSIBLY EVEN FREEZING RAIN FOR A COUPLE OF
HOURS FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO SNOW BY THE AFTERNOON.
THE LOWEST CONFIDENCE PORTION OF THE FORECAST RELATES TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE MIXED PRECIP. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...PRECIP SHOULD STAY MAINLY SNOW AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS JUST
SOUTH OF THE NY/PA BORDER FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...PLACING THE
FORECAST AREA IN A DEFORMATION BAND THAT COULD BRING SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AS A RESULT.

THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL RAPIDLY FADE AWAY FRIDAY EVENING AS
ENERGY TRANSFERS FULLY TO THE DEEPENING COASTAL LOW. THIS WILL BRING
A QUICK END TO THE HEAVIER SNOW ACROSS WESTERN NY BY LATER FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...AND ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION DURING FRIDAY
NIGHT.

ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS PERIOD WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY WHERE WARM ADVECTION SNOW BEGINS FIRST...AND WRAP AROUND
SNOW LASTS THE LONGEST. THE INITIAL EARLY ESTIMATES ARE FOR 10-16
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...AND A GENERAL 6-10 INCHES ALONG
THE THRUWAY CORRIDOR TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND 4-7
INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER DUE TO MORE MIXED PRECIP.

NOTE THAT THESE ACCUMULATIONS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SIGNIFICANTLY
DOWNWARD FOR MANY AREAS FROM THE INITIAL WATCH ISSUANCE. GIVEN THE
RAPID TRANSFER OF ENERGY TO THE COAST SEEN IN LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE...EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOW TO BE SHORT LIVED IN MOST
AREAS...ONLY LASTING FOR 4-6 HOURS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY
IN WESTERN NY...AND A LITTLE LATER IN THE DAY ACROSS THE GENESEE
VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES. ALSO...THE AIRMASS IS NOT COLD ENOUGH FOR
ANY MEANINGFUL LAKE ENHANCEMENT AT THE TAIL END...WITH LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS ONLY AROUND 4K FEET OFF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY...PROVIDING A BRIEF
RESPITE FROM THE ACTIVE WEATHER ALONG WITH GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES THAT SHOULD CROSS ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS WESTERN NEW
YORK. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FURTHER BY MONDAY AS THE HIGH SHIFTS
TO THE EAST COAST...PUSHING READINGS WELL INTO THE 40S. THIS WARM-UP
WILL COME AT A PRICE HOWEVER AS ANOTHER LOW TRACKING OUT OF THE
MIDWEST ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER BOUT
OF UNSETTLED WEATHER TO OUR AREA. COOLER AIR BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES AS THE LOW TRACKS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS TUESDAY
BEFORE ANOTHER WARM-UP BECOMES LIKELY BY THE MIDDLE OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR MOST OF THE 06Z TAF CYCLE. SKIES ARE
CLEAR AT MIDNIGHT IN MOST AREAS...WITH JUST A FEW PATCHES OF LOW END
VFR AND MVFR CLOUDS FROM KBUF-KIAG OVER TOWARDS KROC. THESE CLOUDS
SHOULD SCATTER OUT BY 09Z. OTHERWISE FOR THE REST OF THE AREA CLEAR
SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING VFR MID LEVEL CLOUDS FROM WEST TO
EAST LATE TONIGHT.

ON THURSDAY THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO THICKEN AND LOWER
AS A WARM FRONT STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE AREA. SOME LIGHT SNOW MAY
REACH THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY THE END OF
THE DAY...ALTHOUGH CHANCES ARE LOW ENOUGH TO JUST UTILIZE A VCSH
QUALIFIER FOR NOW. THE CHANCES OF LIGHT SNOW INCREASE THURSDAY
EVENING AS WARM ADVECTION INCREASES ALONG A STRENGTHENING WARM
FRONT. THIS MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW AND MVFR GENERALLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE THRUWAY...WITH BETTER CHANCES OF IFR BY LATE EVENING
OVER LAKE ONTARIO AND ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY INCLUDING KART AS
SNOW INCREASES A LITTLE IN INTENSITY.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...IFR WITH SNOW...THOUGH SOME SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF KBUF/KROC. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW POSSIBLE.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...VFR.
MONDAY...MVFR WITH RAIN AND POSSIBLE MIXED PCPN SPREADING EAST
ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO WILL
DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS NEW
YORK STATE AND SOUTHERN QUEBEC. AS A RESULT...ONGOING SCA CONDITIONS
WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING.

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC AND LOW
PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE MIDWEST WILL CAUSE EASTERLY WINDS TO PICK
UP ON LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. WIND AND WAVES MAY
REACH SCA CRITERIA ACROSS THE WESTERN SHORES OF THE LAKE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WIND AND WAVES WILL NOT BUILD AS
MUCH ON LAKE ERIE.

AS THE MIDWEST LOW MERGES WITH THE INTENSIFYING EAST COAST STORM ON
FRIDAY...INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN SCA CONDITIONS ON
BOTH LAKES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ006>008.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TJP
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/TJP
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK/WOOD
LONG TERM...WOOD
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...TJP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
530 AM EST WED FEB 6 2013

NYZ001>008-010>014-085-071030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
530 AM EST WED FEB 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A COMPLEX STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. AT THIS TIME...IT
APPEARS THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WOULD OCCUR EAST OF THE GENESEE
VALLEY...WHERE ACCUMULATIONS COULD APPROACH WARNING CRITERIA (7
INCHES OR MORE). OVER THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES...THE LOWER
SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOW OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS...THEN A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WINTER STORM
WATCH...OR WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.

THERE WILL ALSO BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019>021-071030-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
530 AM EST WED FEB 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A COMPLEX STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. AT THIS TIME...IT
APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WOULD OCCUR EAST OF THE GENESEE
VALLEY...WHERE ACCUMULATIONS COULD APPROACH WARNING CRITERIA (7
INCHES OR MORE). THE SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER COULD BRIEFLY
MIX WITH SOME SLEET LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN THE STEADY SNOW
FRIDAY MORNING WILL TAPER OFF IN THE AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY AS A BIT
OF FREEZING DRIZZLE.

IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOW OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS...THEN A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WINTER STORM
WATCH...OR WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.

THERE WILL ALSO BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-071030-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
530 AM EST WED FEB 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

RSH