River Flood Warning 2, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

245 
WGUS81 KBOX 080213
FLSBOX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1013 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...
 
  NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG AFFECTING WORCESTER COUNTY 
  PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON AFFECTING KENT AND PROVIDENCE COUNTIES 

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING ON
THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER IN NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...AND ON THE
PAWTUXET RIVER IN RHODE ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...A FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION 
IN THIS FLOOD EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS...OR 
EARLIER IF NEEDED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN  
RIVERS...STREAMS OR CULVERTS.  SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN 
IMMINENT THREAT TO LIFE.

&&

MAC027-081413-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0002.130608T1035Z-130609T0112Z/
/FBGM3.1.ER.130608T1035Z.130608T1200Z.130608T1912Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 4 AM SATURDAY AND CREST NEAR
  6.9 FEET BY 8 AM SATURDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER 
  CAN BE EXPECTED. FLOODING ENCROACHES ON BUSINESSES NEAR THE 
  JUNCTION OF RIVER AND DEPOT STREETS IN FITCHBURG. 

$$

RIC003-007-081412-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.130608T0900Z-130608T1907Z/
/CRAR1.1.ER.130608T0900Z.130608T1200Z.130608T1307Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 4 AM SATURDAY AND CREST NEAR 
  9.3 FEET BY 8 AM SATURDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...PARKING LOTS AND ROADS ARE FLOODED IN LOW 
  LYING AREAS OF WARWICK AND CRANSTON NEAR THE PAWTUXET RIVER. 
  IMPACTED ROADS INCLUDE RIVER STREET...PIONEER AVENUE...BELLOWS 
  STREET AND VENTURI AVENUE IN WARWICK.

$$

073 
WGUS81 KBOX 080912
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
512 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MASSACHUSETTS...RHODE ISLAND...
 
  NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG AFFECTING WORCESTER COUNTY 
  PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON AFFECTING KENT AND PROVIDENCE COUNTIES 

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY NEAR 5 INCHES HAS RESULTED
IN MINOR FLOODING ON THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER IN NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...
AND ON THE PAWTUXET RIVER IN RHODE ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...A FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION 
IN THIS FLOOD EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS...OR 
EARLIER IF NEEDED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN  
RIVERS...STREAMS OR CULVERTS.  SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN 
IMMINENT THREAT TO LIFE.

&&

MAC027-082100-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0002.130608T1148Z-130608T2100Z/
/FBGM3.1.ER.130608T1148Z.130608T1200Z.130608T1500Z.NO/
512 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 6.6 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER 
  CAN BE EXPECTED. FLOODING ENCROACHES ON BUSINESSES NEAR THE 
  JUNCTION OF RIVER AND DEPOT STREETS IN FITCHBURG. 

$$

RIC003-007-082112-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130610T0600Z/
/CRAR1.1.ER.130608T0835Z.130609T0600Z.130610T0000Z.NO/
512 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY AFTER
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...PARKING LOTS AND ROADS ARE FLOODED IN LOW 
  LYING AREAS OF WARWICK AND CRANSTON NEAR THE PAWTUXET RIVER. 
  IMPACTED ROADS INCLUDE RIVER STREET...PIONEER AVENUE...BELLOWS 
  STREET AND VENTURI AVENUE IN WARWICK.

$$

NOCERA

697 
WGUS81 KBOX 081047
FLSBOX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
647 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MASSACHUSETTS...
 
THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG IN WORCESTER COUNTY RIVER
STAGE WAS 4.8 FT AT 630 AM...AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO RISE MUCH
MORE TODAY. FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FT. THEREFORE THE RIVER FLOOD 
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...A FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION 
IN THIS FLOOD EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS...OR 
EARLIER IF NEEDED.

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN  
RIVERS...STREAMS OR CULVERTS.  SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN 
IMMINENT THREAT TO LIFE.

&&

MAC027-081117-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130608T2100Z/
/FBGM3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
647 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG.
* AT  6:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A VALUE OF 
  5.5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER 
  CAN BE EXPECTED. FLOODING ENCROACHES ON BUSINESSES NEAR THE 
  JUNCTION OF RIVER AND DEPOT STREETS IN FITCHBURG. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
220 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

.SYNOPSIS...

HEAVY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED INTO SATURDAY MORNING RESULTING IN AT
LEAST SOME URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING. SOME SHOWERS
MAY LINGER INTO SATURDAY EVENING...THEN WILL SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDITIONS FOR SUNDAY. MORE SHOWERS ARE
FORECAST TO RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MAY BUILD IN LATE NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER BRIEF
PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

** THE REMNANTS OF CURRENT TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WILL BRING HEAVY
   RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING INTO SATURDAY MORNING **

2 PM UPDATE...

COLDER CLOUD TOPS AND HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTH. CLOSELY MONITORING CONVECTION FIRING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE
OF THE DRY-SLOT WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE REMNANTS OF ANDREA.

WITH THE AFTERNOON WEARING ON...IT IS FAIRLY CERTAIN THE LOW WILL
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INTO SATURDAY MORNING. BUT WHAT REMAINS UNCERTAIN IS
THE AREA OF BEST FORCING AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST AXIS OF RAINFALL
WILL MATERIALIZE. MODELS JUST SLIGHTLY OFF FROM ONE ANOTHER
CONCERNING THE SURFACE LOW...AS WELL AS THE ATTENDANT UPPER-LEVEL
FLOW. THIS IS KEY WITH RESPECT TO THE COASTAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
THE LOW-MID LEVEL FOCUS AND FORCING OF DEEP/RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTHWARD.

THE PRESENT THINKING HAS THE AREA OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL SLIGHTLY
WEST. WITH THE RIGHT-REAR QUADRANT MORE ACROSS UPSTATE NY...FEEL
THE WARM-MOIST CONVEYER BELT HAS THE GREATEST ENHANCEMENT /DEEP
LAYER ASCENT/ TO THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE SURFACE LOW.
LOCALES ACROSS THE BERKSHIRES AND CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY ARE
UNDER THREAT OF SEEING 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT AMOUNT
OF PERIOD ON THE ORDER OF 6-HOURS. WITH THE STRONG EASTERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THE LOW...THERE IS LIKELY TO BE SOME LOCALIZED
ENHANCEMENT ALONG THE EAST-FACING SLOPES OF HIGHER TERRAIN
/BERKSHIRES...WORCESTER HILLS...MONADNOCKS/.

CLOSELY MONITORING THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPSTREAM DRY-SLOT WHICH
WILL LIKELY DIMINISH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. WITH THE WESTWARD SHIFT
IN THE RAINFALL AXIS...LESSER AMOUNTS ARE ANTICIPATED SOUTH AND
EAST. WILL STILL CONTINUE THE FLOOD WATCH AS PLACES SUCH AS NEW
BEDFORD AND FALL RIVER ARE SUSCEPTIBLE WITH ONE INCH OF RAIN IN A
VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

CONTINUE TO OUTLINE MAIN THREATS FROM EARLIER...

1) HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING...

ANTICIPATING URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...PONDING OF WATER
ALONG ROADWAYS ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. PRESENTLY
MONITORING SMALL STREAMS AT THIS TIME WHICH HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF
GOING OVER THERE BANKS. PEOPLE WITHIN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE
ON ALERT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF THEIR LOCATION BEING INUNDATED...
ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THIS EVENING AS RAINS BECOME BOTH STEADY AND
HEAVY. FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES.

EXPECTATION IS FOR EFFICIENT RAIN PROCESSES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TO ALLOW FOR 1 TO 2 INCH TOTAL RAIN AMOUNTS INTO THIS
EVENING. HEAVIEST RAIN THREAT IS POSED SW-NE THROUGH CENTRAL NEW
ENGLAND WITH 2 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS IN 12 HOURS. STORM TOTALS COULD
BE 3 TO 5 INCHES WITHIN THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE EAST-FACING SLOPES OF HIGHER TERRAIN. LOCALIZED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS WITHIN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN SLUG SHOULD BE IN PROXIMITY TO THE NORTHEASTERN
QUADRANT OF THE SURFACE LOW.

2) WINDS...

WITH THE EXPECTED TRACK...WIND IS MAINLY AN ISSUE ACROSS THE CAPE
AND THE ISLANDS...STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL CENTER AROUND MIDNIGHT
INTO EARLY MORNING SATURDAY. COOLER SURROUNDING OCEAN WATERS MAY
LIMIT BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLING /STABLE SURFACE LAYER/ AND MAKE
IT DIFFICULT FOR 60 MPH WINDS 2-3 KFT ALOFT TO MIX-DOWN. AFTER
THOROUGH CONSIDERATION...ONLY NANTUCKET REACHES WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA AND WILL KEEP WIND-ADVISORY HEADLINES ACCORDINGLY.

3) SEVERE WEATHER AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

WATCH THE DRY SLOT AS IT MOVES NORTH...AN ENVIRONMENT OF FAVORABLE
INSTABILITY. THIS REGION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
NEW ENGLAND...ADJACENT SOUTH AND EAST OF THE LOW TRACK. THE
NOCTURNAL PASSAGE IS LIKELY TO LIMIT THE LEVEL OF INSTABILITY...
BUT THE MINOR AMOUNT UP TO 200 J/KG COUPLED WITH SHEAR COULD LEAD
TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING HEAVY RAIN
AND DAMAGING WINDS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION
BUT FEEL MORE INSTABILITY IS WARRANTED. HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...

THE RAIN WILL COME TO AN END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST SATURDAY
MORNING. A FEW PEEKS OF SUN MAY DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON...
BUT MODEL CROSS SECTIONS INDICATE A FAIR AMOUNT OF LEFTOVER
MOISTURE AT 850 MB. THEREFORE...THINK THERE STILL WILL BE AN
ABUNDANCE OF CLOUDS. MOST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WILL
BE DRY...BUT WE CAN/T RULE OUT A SPOT SHOWER OR TWO. HIGHS SHOULD
BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S IN MOST LOCATIONS.

ALSO...LEFT OVER SWELL IN THE WAKE OF ANDREA WILL LIKELY REQUIRE A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY ALONG WITH A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
ALONG MANY OF OUR OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES.  SINCE ITS IN THE 3RD
PERIOD NO HEADLINES YET...BUT THIS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED IN THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

* QUIET WEATHER SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
* EXPECT WET CONDITIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...
* BRIEF LULL ON THURSDAY WITH DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDITIONS

OVERVIEW AND MODEL PREFERENCES...
MEDIUM RANGE MODEL SUITE CONTINUES TO SIGNAL BLOCKING UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WHICH IS SLOWING PROGRESSION OF
WEATHER SYSTEMS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S.
THIS HAS IMPLICATIONS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS ANOTHER RATHER
STRONG DIGGING H5 TROUGH TENDING TO CUT OFF AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE BEEN
INDICATING THAT THIS CUTOFF SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS...BUT NOT
BEFORE BRINGING A PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND MAYBE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
AROUND THE MONDAY-TUESDAY TIMEFRAME. SLOW IMPROVEMENT NOTED AT
MID WEEK THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP...THEN A BRIEF PERIOD
OF DRY WEATHER LATE NEXT WEEK.

USED A BLEND OF MAINLY THE EC AND GFS ENSEMBLES THIS MORNING...
THOUGH NOTED SOME FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF OP
MODEL RUNS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. DID BLEND THIS IN A BIT AS WELL.
THIS WAS CLOSE TO WPC GUIDANCE FOR THIS PACKAGE.

DETAILS...

SATURDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...
REMNANTS OF ANDREA RACE ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA SAT EVENING. HOWEVER...
ANOTHER WEAK SHORT WAVE IN THE UPPER LEVEL SW FLOW WILL CROSS THE
REGION EARLY SAT NIGHT...KEEPING CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCT SHOWERS.
SHOULD SEE IMPROVING CONDITIONS AROUND OR AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAY SEE
SHORT LIVED POCKETS OF FOG ACROSS EASTERN AREAS AROUND MIDNIGHT OR
SO...BUT SHOULD LIFT QUICKLY AS AIRMASS DRIES OUT. EXPECT PARTLY
TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ON SUNDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRES MOVES ACROSS.
HIGHS WILL REACH THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80...WITH COOLER READINGS
ALONG THE COAST WITH LOCAL SEA BREEZES.

MONDAY-TUESDAY...
AS UPPER LEVEL LOW PRES DIGS OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES...RATHER
STRONG LOW PRES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL WORK TOWARD THE REGION.
WITH UPPER LEVEL BLOCKING WELL E OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD...THIS
SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE THROUGH. EXPECT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
SHOWERS WITH THIS SLOW MOVING SYSTEM...SO KEPT LIKELY POPS GOING.
SOME DECENT INSTABILITY WILL PUSH N AS A WARM FRONT WORKS
ACROSS...SO HAVE MENTIONED SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
TUESDAY BUT FEEL BEST SHOT WILL BE MON NIGHT INTO TUE. COLD FRONT
SHOULD MOVE THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

WEDNESDAY...
DRIER AIR TRIES TO WORK IN...BUT LOW PRES AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
REMAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. WITH THE COOL POOL ALOFT WILL
SEE DIURNAL SHOWERS DEVELOP...SO KEPT CHANCE POPS GOING WITH THE
BEST CHANCE ACROSS S NH/N MA FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE EVENING.

THURSDAY...
ANOTHER WEAK HIGH PRES SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST...SO
HAVE KEPT A DRY AND SEASONABLE FORECAST IN PLACE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

18Z UPDATE...

TERMINALS REMAIN MVFR-LIFR. VSBYS REMAIN PROBLEMATIC. -RA YIELDING
MVFR-IFR VSBYS...WITH +RA IFR-LIFR. ANTICIPATING A CONSISTENT CIG
PATTERN LOWERING IFR-LIFR AND PREVAILING INTO THE EVENING UNDER E
WINDS WHICH WILL TURN MORE SE TONIGHT AS ANDREA APPROACHES...
SLIDING ACROSS SE MA AT 12Z SATURDAY.

IT IS DURING TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING THAT THE STRONGEST OF
WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KTS WILL IMPACT SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER OF ANDREA...MAINLY ACROSS ACK...SLIGHTLY LESSER WIND
STRENGTH OVER THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TSRA
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR SE TERMINALS...ALSO S/E OF THE
CENTER OF ANDREA. ANY TSRA MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH IFR CONDITIONS
ALONG WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS.

WINDS WILL TAPER...BACKING OUT OF THE NW...AS ANDREA MOVES OFF
N/E DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. CIGS AND VSBYS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR.
THERE IS A RENEWED CHANCE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY FOR SHRA/TSRA
ACROSS INTERIOR TERMINALS...WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHING FROM BAF-BDL
TOWARDS THE I-95 CORRIDOR. ACTIVITY QUIETS DOWN DURING THE EVENING
PERIOD...PREVAILING VFR.

KBOS TERMINAL AND KBDL TERMINAL...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TRENDS...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE ON EXACT TIMING.

OUTLOOK...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. MAINLY VFR WITH LIGHT WINDS. SEA
BREEZES DEVELOP ACROSS COASTAL TERMINALS AROUND MIDDAY. MAY SEE
MVFR-IFR VSBYS IN PATCHY FOG LATE SAT NIGHT/EARLY SUN ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS.

MONDAY-TUESDAY...LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
PATCHY FOG WITH MVFR-IFR VSBYS DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS MONDAY
WHICH WILL BRIEFLY IMPROVE. EXPECT SHOWERS TO MOVE IN MONDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. MAINLY LOW END VFR TO MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS...THOUGH MAY SEE POCKETS OF IFR MAINLY MON NIGHT INTO
TUE. LOW PROB OF ISOLD THUNDER FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUE
MORNING. S WINDS INCREASE MON NIGHT-TUE ACROSS S COASTAL AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...

FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

11 AM UPDATE...

HAVE UPDATED BOTH WINDS AND SEAS ACCORDINGLY. MARINERS SHOULD BE
AWARE OF INCREASING E/SE WINDS ACROSS THE S/SE WATERS. ALREADY
SEEING GUSTS OVER NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD EXCEEDING 20 KTS.
RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES LENDING TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES. ALSO
ANTICIPATING THE DEVELOPMENT OF COASTAL FOG INTO THIS EVENING.
SEAS RAPIDLY BUILDING 10 TO 15 FEET THIS EVENING. ANDREA WILL
TRACK OVER TAUNTON MA BY SATURDAY MORNING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

HAVE HOISTED GALE WARNINGS ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST
ATLANTIC WATERS AS WELL AS NANTUCKET SOUND...WHERE WERE MOST
CONFIDENCE IN A PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 40
KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. HAVE ALSO GONE WITH GALE
WATCHES ACROSS SEVERAL OF OUR SOUNDS/CAPE COD BAY...WHERE A PERIOD
OF GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD OCCUR DEPENDING ON THE TRACK. SCA
FOR ALL OTHER WATERS EXCEPT BOSTON HARBOR

OUTLOOK...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MODERATE CONFIDENCE THROUGH PERIOD.

SATURDAY NIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SW TO W AND DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH...UPWARDS TO 9 FT ON
THE OUTER WATERS EARLY. WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE BUT REMAIN ABOVE SMALL
CRAFT CRITERIA.

SUNDAY...W-SW WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 KT. SEAS AROUND 5-6 FT
THROUGH THE DAY...THEN WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 5 FT SUN NIGHT.

MONDAY-TUESDAY...S-SW WINDS PICK UP DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT...BUT NOT EXPECTING GUSTS TO 25 KT UNTIL TUE ON THE
SOUTHERN WATERS. SEAS BUILD TO 5-6 FT ON THE OUTER WATERS LATE
MON NIGHT-TUE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH
LOCALLY 5+ INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEW
ENGLAND WITHIN THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY AND WORCESTER HILLS. MAY SEE
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ACROSS EAST-FACING SLOPES OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE HEAVIEST OF RAIN IS UPON US AND WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT.
ITS POSSIBLE THAT SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN
JUST 6 HOURS TONIGHT.

OUR BIGGEST CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE FOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING WHICH IS ALMOST A CERTAINTY. IN ADDITION...SOME SMALLER
RIVERS AND STREAMS MAY BE EXPERIENCE SOME FLOODING DEPENDING ON
WHERE EXACTLY THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN SETS UP. MOST OF OUR MAINSTEM
RIVERS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THEIR BANKS...BUT A FEW MAY GO INTO
MINOR FLOOD IF THE HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE REALIZED. PEOPLE IN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE ON ALERT AND READY TO TAKE ACTION.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

NO COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE E COAST OF MA. THERE IS
A LOW PROBABILITY OF VERY MINOR FLOODING...PRIMARILY ALONG THE
SHORES OF BUZZARDS BAY DURING THE SAT MORNING TIDE CYCLE IF STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP. ESTOFS INDICATING A 1-2 FT SURGE BUT
ASTRO TIDES ARE RATHER LOW. THE WORST CASE SCENARIO IS FOR MINOR
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IF THE STORM TRACKS FURTHER W BUT THE LIKELY
SCENARIO IS FOR NO FLOODING.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR MAZ002>021-026.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     MAZ024.
NH...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR NHZ011-012-015.
RI...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR RIZ001>007.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ232-254>256.
     GALE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ231-233>235-237.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ231-
     233>235-237.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ236.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ250.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ251.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FRANK/EVT
NEAR TERM...SIPPRELL
SHORT TERM...FRANK
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...SIPPRELL/EVT
MARINE...FRANK/SIPPRELL/EVT
HYDROLOGY...FRANK/SIPPRELL
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...FRANK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
420 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-080830-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
420 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY THAT A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL BE
NEEDED ALONG THE SOUTH COAST FOR SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ022-023-RIZ008-080830-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
420 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR
CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.

THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY THAT A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL BE
NEEDED ALONG THE SOUTH COAST FOR SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ024-080830-
NANTUCKET MA-
420 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR
CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.

THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY THAT A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL BE
NEEDED ALONG THE SOUTH COAST FOR SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ254>256-080830-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
420 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ230-236-250-251-080830-
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
420 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ231-233>235-237-080830-
CAPE COD BAY-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
420 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ232-080830-
NANTUCKET SOUND-
420 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

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WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.BOSTON.GOV

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