Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

762 
WWUS85 KBOU 191554
RFWBOU

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
954 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PARTS OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSPORT WARM AND VERY DRY AIR INTO
THE AREA TODAY AND THURSDAY. AS WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS
OF COLORADO. THIS WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE DANGER WITH CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WINDS
MAY DECREASE SLIGHTLY FOR THURSDAY.

COZ214-200000-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0009.130619T1700Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0004.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-
954 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SOUTH PARK...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTH PARK...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 214.

* TIMING...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 5 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR OF ANY 
  EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ211-213-200000-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0009.130619T1700Z-130620T0200Z/
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
954 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTH AND MIDDLE PARKS...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 211 AND 213.

* TIMING...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
  WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY 
  EVENING HOURS. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR OF ANY 
  EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ241-200000-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0004.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
954 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY TO THE PALMER DIVIDE...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 241.

* TIMING...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH 
  DECREASING HUMIDITY. WINDS WILL DECREASE THURSDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR OF ANY 
  EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

723 
WWUS85 KBOU 192012
RFWBOU

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
212 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE HIGH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS
AND PALMER DIVIDE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY...

.SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSPORT WARM AND VERY DRY AIR INTO
THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. AS WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND PALMER DIVIDE AREA. THIS WILL BRING CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
THROUGH THURSDAY. A REPEAT OF WARM...VERY DRY...AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.

COZ214-200500-
/O.UPG.KBOU.FW.A.0004.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.FW.W.0010.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-
212 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTH PARK...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTH PARK...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 214.

* TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY THIS
  EVENING...AND THEN AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 5 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR OF ANY 
  EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ211-213-200500-
/O.NEW.KBOU.FW.W.0010.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
212 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTH PARK AND MIDDLE
PARK...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTH PARK AND MIDDLE PARK...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 211 AND 213.

* TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY THIS
  EVENING...AND THEN AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR OF ANY 
  EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ241-200500-
/O.UPG.KBOU.FW.A.0004.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.FW.W.0010.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
212 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PALMER DIVIDE AREA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 241.

* TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON AS FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY AND WINDS INCREASE.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR OF ANY 
  EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

807 
WWUS85 KBOU 200158
RFWBOU

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
758 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE HIGH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS
AND PALMER DIVIDE AREA AGAIN ON THURSDAY...

.SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSPORT WARM AND VERY DRY AIR INTO
THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. AS WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE
HIGH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND PALMER DIVIDE AREA. THIS WILL BRING
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS ON THURSDAY. A REPEAT OF WARM...VERY DRY...AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.

COZ211-213-214-201000-
/O.EXP.KBOU.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0010.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-
758 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTH PARK AND
MIDDLE PARK...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTH PARK AND MIDDLE PARK...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 211...213 AND 214.

* TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP AGAIN
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 5 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR OF ANY 
  EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ241-201000-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0010.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
758 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PALMER DIVIDE
AREA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 241.

* TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY AND WINDS 
  INCREASE. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH OR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR OF ANY 
  EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
333 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

.SHORT TERM...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND A
RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL RESULT IN A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
OVER COLORADO. THIS WILL TRANSPORT WARM AND VERY DRY DESERT AIR INTO
THE STATE TODAY. HIGHS WILL INCREASE INTO THE LOWER 90S THIS
AFTERNOON. AIRMASS WILL BE VERY DRY WITH MOST LOCATIONS WEST OF
INTERSTATE 25 SEEING SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE AIRMASS MIXES UP TO 500 MB.
EXPECT WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
WILL ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS INCLUDING
PARK COUNTY.

A SURFACE TROUGH/DRY LINE WILL BE OVER EASTERN COLORADO. TO THE WEST
OF IT AND FOR MOST OF THE AREA...DRIER AIR MIXING DOWN WILL CAUSE
DEW POINTS TO PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS AND 20S. EAST OF IT...DEW
POINTS WILL BE ABLE TO STAY IN THE 50S PRODUCING CAPES OF 2000 J/KG
OR POTENTIALLY HIGHER. SO IF ANY STORMS CAN FORM AND RAPIDLY
INTENSIFY BEFORE EXITING THE FORECAST AREA...THEY MAY BE ABLE TO
PRODUCE GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THIS THREAT WILL BE
OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO AND INTO NEBRASKA AND KANSAS.

.LONG TERM...MODEL KEEP SHOWING A STRONG UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE UNITED STATES AND AN UPPER RIDGE OVER
TEXAS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
OUR FORECAST AREA STAYS IN 30-50 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ALL
FOUR PERIODS. THE SYNOPTIC SCALE ENERGY IS NEUTRAL TO WEAK UPWARD
IN NATURE FOR THE CWA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. IN THE LOW
LEVELS...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE
INTO THE CWA THURSDAY MORNING...WITH EAST-NORTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE
FLOW BEHIND IT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. AFTER THAT...NORMAL
DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS ARE PROGGED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE
IS VERY LIMITED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...JUST A BIT IN THE
MID AND UPPER LEVELS LATE IN THE DAY. THE NAM SHOWS A BIT OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE PLAINS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE GFS DOES
NOT. FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT LOOK VERY DRY AGAIN...JUST A TAD OF
MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE LATE IN THE DAY. THE LOW LEVEL DEW
POINT READINGS ARE PROGGED IN THE 20-35 F RANGE FOR MUCH OF THE
CWA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING. THEY ARE A BIT OVER 40 F OVER
THE NORTHEAST CORNER. LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING
...THE NAM AND GFS BRING 50S F DEW POINTS INTO THE EASTERN TWO-
THIRDS OF THE PLAINS. MODELS PUSH THIS MOISTURE EAST OF THE CWA BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THE NAM BRINGS IN BACK IN FRIDAY NIGHT. AS
PER NORMAL...THE MODELS DO NOT HAVE A HANDLE ON WHERE THE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE. THE ONLY CAPE IS OVER THE EAST AND
NORTHEAST BORDER AREAS BOTH LATE DAY THURSDAY AND LATE DAY FRIDAY.
THE QPF FIELDS HAVE A TAD OF MEASURABLE RAINFALL OVER THE FAR
CORNER...THAT'S IT. THE LAPSE RATE FIELDS HAVE A STRONG MID LEVEL
CAP OVER MUCH OF THE CWA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...THE
EXCEPTION BEING THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS. ON FRIDAY...THERE IS WAY
LESS OF A CAP OVER ALL AREAS. FOR POPS...COULD GO WITH "SLIGHT
CHANCE"S OVER THE FAR EAST BOTH DAYS IF THE MOISTURE WILL BE THERE
...BUT WILL LEAVE THEM OUT THIS UPDATE...BECAUSE I DON'T KNOW.
CONCERNING THE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL...WILL LEAVE THE WATCH GOING
OVER SOUTH PARK AND PALMER RIDGE FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH NOTHING CONCLUSIVE IN THE NEW 00Z DATA TO SAY
OTHERWISE. IT'S MARGINAL OVER THE PALMER AS FAR AS WINDS GO...BUT
IS CERTAINLY SHOULD BE DRY ENOUGH. SOUTH PARK'S PROGGED WINDS ARE
SOMEWHAT STRONGER AND IT IS WILL BE DRY THERE AS WELL. FOR
TEMPERATURES...THURSDAY'S HIGHS LOOK 1-2 C COOLER THAN TODAY'S.
FRIDAY'S HIGHS COME BACK UP 1-2 C FROM THURSDAY'S. FOR THE LATER
DAYS...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE FLOW ALOFT STAYS
SOUTHWESTERLY ALL FOUR DAYS. THE UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST U.S.
IS PROGGED TO FINALLY PUSH EASTWARD SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. A
BIT OF ENERGY MAY ACTUALLY GRAZE THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THERE COULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND FOR
SLIGHT POPS LATE DAY SATURDAY AND LATE DAY SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES
ARE ABOVE NORMALS.

&&

.AVIATION...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND
BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. THERE IS A
DENVER CYCLONE TO THE NORTHWEST OF DENVER...SO CONFIDENCE IN WIND
DIRECTION IS ON THE LOW SIDE. AS THE CYCLONE MOVES EAST...WINDS MAY
TURN TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST FOR TIME BETWEEN 12-18Z. TOO DRY TODAY
FOR STORMS...AND JUST EXPECT A FEW MID TO HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NO CONCERNS.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR COZ214-241.

&&

SHORT TERM...MEIER
LONG TERM....RJK
AVIATION...MEIER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1050 AM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

COZ030>051-191700-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
1050 AM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
WILL BE EAST OF A LINE FROM NEAR GREELEY TO DIA WHERE SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH A TORNADO ALSO POSSIBLE WITH STORMS
THAT COULD BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AS THEY MOVE EAST. FARTHER
WEST...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...A WEAK DENVER
CYCLONE HAS ALREADY FORMED AND THIS SHOULD STRENGTHEN INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON WITH THE STRONGEST CONVERGENCE RUNNING SOUTH TO
NORTH NEAR DIA. ALONG THIS BOUNDARY STORMS COULD BECOME LOCALLY
MORE INTENSE WITH A NON SUPERCELL TORNADO POSSIBLE. STORMS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE FOOTHILLS BY LATE MORNING AND THEN ON THE PLAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. THE DRY AND WARM
CONDITIONS WILL HELP INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVER THE NORTHEAST PLAINS AFTER
2 PM.