High Wind Warning 9, NWS Fairbanks, AK

046 
WWAK72 PAFG 161256
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
456 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

AKZ227-162100-
/X.CAN.PAFG.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131016T1400Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.WI.Y.0030.131016T1256Z-131017T2000Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...MCGRATH...NIKOLAI...TAKOTNA...FAREWELL LAKE
456 AM AKDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT THURSDAY. THE HIGH
WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE GUSTING TO 55 MPH
  TODAY...AND 65 MPH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE STRONG THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AND
  LIKELY LONGER.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS WHICH MAY
BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1253 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN BEGIN TO
DIVERGE WITH DETAILS ON TIMING...TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE
REMNANTS OF TYPHOON WIPHA AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS FRIDAY MORNING AS A 965 MB LOW AND CURVES NORTHEAST TO
BE LOCATED IN WESTERN BRISTOL BAY SATURDAY MORNING AND NEAR
NUNIVAK ISLAND SUNDAY MORNING. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE WARM
WET AND WINDY WEEKEND FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA. WILL NEED TO MONITOR
FOR POTENTIAL HYDROLOGICAL ISSUES AS THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE 1 TO 2 INCHES...AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNT OF RAIN IN THE
YK DELTA AND WESTERN ALASKA RANGE STARTING LATE FRIDAY AND
CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY.

AND UPPER LEVEL IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE
NORTHWARD TO BE LOCATED NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING
AS HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA
AND PUSHES INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THE LONG WAVE TROUGH RELOADS
THURSDAY WITH COMPLEX SET OF UPPER LEVEL LOWS DIG SOUTHWARD INTO
THE NORTH PACIFIC WHILE THE RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA HOLDS FIRM.
THE LONGWAVE TROUGH REESTABLISHES FURTHER WEST AS REMNANTS OF
WIPHA EXITS KAMCHATKA PENINSULA AND MOVES EAST THROUGH THE
ALEUTIANS.

ON THE SURFACE A 988 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES NORTH TO BE A 995 MB LOW LOCATED 100 NM SOUTH OF ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD RAINS ON TAP FOR THE
WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR AS THE BERING SEA STORM MOVES
NORTH. CHINOOK CONDITIONS REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
ALASKA RANGE HOWEVER THERE IS JUST ENOUGH WEST COMPONENT TO THE
WIND FIELDS FROM THE SURFACE TO 500 MB TO PUSH PRECIP NORTHEAST
OUT OF THE YK DELTA INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR HOWEVER
PRECIP AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER THAN WILL FALL IN THE
WESTERN INTERIOR AND ALONG THE WEST COAST. PRECIP TYPE IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN RAIN ACROSS ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE NORTH SLOPE AND AT
ELEVATION IN THE BROOKS RANGE...THE ALASKA RANGE AND HIGHER TERRAIN
IN THE INTERIOR AS SNOW LEVELS ARE NEAR 6000 FEET IN THE ALASKA RANGE
AND DROP TO AROUND 3000 FEET IN THE BROOKS RANGE WEDNESDAY.

WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE ALASKA RANGE AT ADVISORY LEVELS DESPITE
SOUTHWEST ORIENTATION VS IDEALIZED SOUTH TO NORTH ORIENTATION.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE WESTERN
ALASKA RANGE AND THROUGH NOON IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR.
A SOUTHWEST 50 KT JET AT 850 MB OVER THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR
CONTINUES TO CAUSE BLUSTERY CONDITIONS ON INTERIOR SUMMITS WITH
15 TO 30 MPH WINDS NOTED OVER SUMMITS ACROSS THE INTERIOR
TODAY...WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS JET EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226-AKZ227.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CCC OCT 13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
846 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE FORT GREELY       63.94N 145.75W
10/15/2013  M58 MPH                             AK   OTHER FEDERAL

1105 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE FORT GREELY       63.94N 145.75W
10/15/2013  M58 MPH                             AK   OTHER FEDERAL

0650 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E HEALY               63.81N 148.96W
10/15/2013  M75 MPH                             AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0715 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 11 SSW FORT GREELY      63.82N 145.88W
10/15/2013  M71 MPH                             AK   MESONET

0700 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SSW FORT GREELY      63.84N 145.91W
10/15/2013  M65 MPH                             AK   MESONET

0755 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 13 SSW FORT GREELY      63.79N 145.95W
10/15/2013  M66 MPH                             AK   MESONET

0105 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE FORT GREELY       63.97N 145.70W
10/15/2013  M49 MPH                             AK   MESONET

&&

SBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
943 PM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 11 SSW FORT GREELY      63.82N 145.88W
10/15/2013  M79 MPH                             AK   MESONET

0840 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 13 SSW FORT GREELY      63.79N 145.95W
10/15/2013  M69 MPH                             AK   MESONET

0853 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MCGRATH                 62.95N 155.58W
10/15/2013  M40 MPH                             AK   ASOS

&&

SBERG