Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Anchorage, AK

245 
WWAK61 PAFC 281446
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
646 AM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

AKZ111-290700-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0004.130528T2200Z-130529T0700Z/
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
646 AM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON 
TO 11 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON 
TO 11 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

* TIMING...THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM MID AFTERNOON
  TO MID EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 50 PERCENT OR
  HIGHER BY AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AKZ141-290700-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0004.130528T2200Z-130529T0700Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
646 AM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON 
TO 11 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 70S.

* TIMING...THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM MID AFTERNOON
  TO MID EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 50 PERCENT OR
  HIGHER BY AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AKZ145-290700-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0004.130528T2200Z-130529T0700Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
646 AM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON 
TO 11 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE SUSITNA
VALLEY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON 
TO 11 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

* TIMING...THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM MID AFTERNOON
  TO MID EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 50 PERCENT OR
  HIGHER BY AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

173 
WWAK61 PAFC 290004
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
404 PM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

AKZ145-291700-
/X.EXT.PAFC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130530T0700Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
404 PM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...THE ENTIRE SUSITNA VALLEY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WIDESPREAD 15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TIMING...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 50 PERCENT OR MORE BY
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RE-DEVELOP
  AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AKZ111-290700-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130529T0700Z/
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
404 PM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE MATANUSKA VALLEY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATION...THE ENTIRE MATANUSKA VALLEY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 25 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THIS
  EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 50 PERCENT OR HIGHER
  BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ENDING THE RED FLAG THREAT OVER THE
  MATANUSKA VALLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AKZ141-290700-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130529T0700Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
404 PM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WIDESPREAD 15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE DRIEST CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS
  EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL THEN RECOVER TO 50 PERCENT OR
  HIGHER BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ENDING THE RED FLAG THREAT OVER THE
  COPPER RIVER BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

JAM

200 
WWAK61 PAFC 290621
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1021 PM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

AKZ111-141-290730-
/X.CAN.PAFC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130529T0700Z/
MATANUSKA VALLEY-COPPER RIVER BASIN-
1021 PM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE RISEN ABOVE 15 PERCENT AND WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

AKZ145-292230-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130530T0700Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
1021 PM AKDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY
FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE ENTIRE SUSITNA VALLEY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 50 PERCENT OR MORE 
  BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RE- 
  DEVELOP AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO LATE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

PLD

748 
WWAK61 PAFC 291536
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
736 AM AKDT WED MAY 29 2013

AKZ145-300700-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130530T0700Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
736 AM AKDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM MID AFTERNOON
  THROUGH MID EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 50
  PERCENT OR MORE BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

991 
WWAK61 PAFC 292359
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
359 PM AKDT WED MAY 29 2013

AKZ145-300700-
/X.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130530T0700Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
359 PM AKDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...15 PERCENT.

* TIMING...THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING
  HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 50 PERCENT OR MORE BY
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

JAM

187 
WWAK61 PAFC 300550
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
950 PM AKDT WED MAY 29 2013

AKZ145-300700-
/X.CAN.PAFC.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130530T0700Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
950 PM AKDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS THE
SUSITNA VALLEY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE RISEN ABOVE 15 PERCENT AND WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

PLD

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT MON MAY 27 2013

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL INITIALIZATIONS WERE REASONABLE AS WELL AS FORECAST TRENDS. THE
NAM WILL BE USED WITH MINOR ADJUSTMENTS THIS AFTERNOONS FORECAST
PACKAGE.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER LEVELS...
HEIGHTS INCREASE ACROSS ALASKA AS THE RIDGE BUILDS WEST FROM CANADA
AND HOLDS IN PLACE THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THIS WEEK. THE MAIN
TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS SOUTH AND EXTENDS EAST ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC
FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. WEAK
RIDGING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THROUGH WED. 850 MB
TEMPS CONTINUE TO WARM ACROSS THE MAINLAND AS THE THERMAL TROUGH
SPREADS WEST.

.SURFACE...
THE REMNANTS OF THE LOW THAT WAS IN THE WESTERN GULF SUN IS PRODUCING
SHOWERS AS IT MOVES WEST ACROSS SW ALASKA. STRATUS AND FOG OVER THE
GULF ARE CLEARING FROM THE EAST. SAT IMAGERY SHOWS CONDITIONS
BECOMING MORE UNSTABLE OVER WEST CANADA AND ALONG THE SE ALASKA RANGE
AS CUMULUS CLOUDS BUILD ALONG THE STRENGTHENING THERMAL TROUGH. A LOW
OVER THE EAST CENTRAL BERING SEA IS MOVING SOUTH AND WEAKENING. HIGH
PRESSURE WITH STRATUS AND FOG IS EVIDENT TO ITS WEST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL...TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO WARM ACROSS THE REGION UNDER
RELATIVELY FAIR SKIES THROUGH MID WEEK. A WEAK TROUGH SETTING UP OVER
THE NORTH GULF COAST TUE COMBINED WITH A HIGH INLAND WILL CREATE
A GENERAL NORTH SYNOPTIC SCALE FLOW. THIS WILL TEND TO DELAY
AFTERNOON SEABREEZES TUE AND ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL WARMING.
ADDITIONALLY...ALSO PRODUCING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS OVER THE EASTERN
KENAI TONIGHT. THE COASTAL TROUGH BREAKS DOWN WED AS THE THERMAL
TROUGH SLIPS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH...SO EXPECT THE NORMAL SEABREEZE
REGIME TO SETUP. STABILITY INDICES CONTINUE TO INDICATE INCREASED
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE ADJACENT TO THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN TUE...BECOMING MORE WIDE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION ON WED. LOOKS
LIKE THE MOST LIKELY PLACES FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION WILL
BE INITIALLY ALONG THE MOUNTAINS...THOUGH WEAK STORM MOTION COULD
CARRY CELLS TO THE WEST OR SW. SHOWERS SHOULD BE A GOOD BET ALONG
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE FOR TUE AND SEE HOW THINGS
PROGRESS.

.SW AK...
CLOUDS AND SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD GIVE WAY TO CLEARING
TONIGHT. TEMPS SHOULD WARM ACROSS THE REGION TUE AS THE SYNOPTIC
SCALE NORTH FLOW SHOULD HOLD OR HINDER ANY SEABREEZE DEVELOPMENT.
CONDITIONS BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE WED...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
152/160 ZONE NEAR THE ALEUTIAN/ALASKA RANGE AS THE THERMAL TROUGH
BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA.

.BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL BECOME MORE
STABLE WED AS THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA DRIFTS SOUTH AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. A WEAK TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL SYSTEM BRINGS INCREASED CHANCES OF RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WED.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THU IN THE WEST AND THEN FOG RETURNS FOR THE
WEEKEND. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL BRING AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS
INTO THE WEEKEND FOR SW AK AND SOUTHCENTRAL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD ADVISORY 141
MARINE...NO.
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING FOR LOW RH 111 141 145

RMC MAY 13