Gale Warning 939, NWS Anchorage, AK

610 
FZAK52 PAFC 240738 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1040 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

UPDATED ZONE 175
 
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-241500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 290 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 190 NM NORTH OF ADAK
AT 991 MB WED AFTERNOON. A 983 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR
WILL DISSIPATE 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL TUE MORNING. A DEVELOPING
974 MB LOW 75 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA MON NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 325 NM WEST
OF SHEMYA AT 980 MB WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-241500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-241500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-241500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-241500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-241500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-241500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-241500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-241500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-241500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-241500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
1040 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-241500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-241500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-241500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-241500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-241500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-241500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-241500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

196 
FZAK52 PAFC 241244
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 971 MB LOW 245 NM SOUTH OF SEGUAM ISLAND WILL MOVE TO NEAR ATKA AT
982 MB LATE TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATE...WITH AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
STALLING OVER THE NORTH BERING SEA. A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW
WILL STRENGTHEN TO 960 MB 290 NM SOUTH OF SEGUAM ISLAND BY LATE WED
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-250300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-250300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-250300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-250300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-250300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-250300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-250300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-250300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-250300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-250300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT W OF
ATKA. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-250300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT...BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM ATKA W.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-250300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-250300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-250300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-250300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.  
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-250300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-250300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT...DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON E OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT...DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT E OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

859 
FZAK52 PAFC 250037
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-251500-
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 974 MB LOW 145 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO NEAR ATKA AT 987
MB WED MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL 
STALL OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. A 968 MB LOW 375 NM SOUTH OF
AMCHITKA WED EVENING WILL MOVE TO 225 NM SOUTH OF ADAK AT 961 MB THU
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-251500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 40 KT OUT OF SHELIKOF STRAIT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-251500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-251500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-251500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-251500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-251500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-251500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-251500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-251500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-251500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-251500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-251500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-251500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-251500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-251500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-251500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-251500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 24 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 10 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 17
FT EXCEPT 9 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N AND
E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 8 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N AND E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 23 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN ON TODAY'S
WEATHER MAP SHOWS A LOW IN THE ARCTIC WITH TROUGH EXTENDED SOUTHWARD
OVER THE ALCAN BORDER WITH ANOTHER LOW CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF ATTU.
IN BETWEEN THERE IS A FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN
GULF THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA WHICH IS BUILDING EASTWARD. WHILE THE
MAIN JET STREAM LIES WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA THERE SI A JET
STREAK OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WHICH HELPED TO INCREASE WINDS IN
THE AREA TODAY. THIS FEATURE IS ALSO MOVING EASTWARD AND OUT OF THE
AREA.
AT THE SURFACE THERE IS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN AND INTERIOR
OF THE STATE AS A LOW IN THE NORTHEAST GULF MOVES EASTWARD. A STRONG
965 MB LOW IS SOUTH OF ATTU WITH A FRONT THAT STRETCHES INTO THE
BERING SEA AND THEN BACK OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE HAVING SOME DIFFICULTIES WITH THE
WEATHER PATTERN ALONG THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE
MAINLAND PART OF THE STATE IS COMING UNDER HIGH PRESSURE WHICH THE
MODELS DO AGREE UPON BUT THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE REGIONS A DIFFERENT
STORY. THE FIRST ITEM WHERE THE MODELS HAVE A DISCREPANCY IS WITH A
LOW DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF ALASKA TONIGHT WHICH WILL
MOVE INTO THE GULF TOMORROW. THE 12Z NAM WAS THE MODELS PREFERRED DUE
TO ITS TRACK AND STRENGTH. THIS WILL IMPACT HOW MUCH
PRECIPITATION...IF ANY...WILL BE ABLE TO MAKE IT TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST. THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT KODIAK AS THE NAM SOLUTION KEEPS
PRECIPITATION TYPE SNOW FOR THE ENTIRE ISLAND WHERE THE GFS SOLUTION
WOULD CHANGE THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE ISLAND TO RAIN.
THESE DIFFERENCE ARE SMALL COMPARED TO THE MESS THAT COMPRISES THE
MODELS SOLUTIONS IN THE ALEUTIANS FROM WEDNESDAY ONWARD. WHAT CAN BE
ASCERTAINED IS THAT THERE WILL LIKELY BE THREE SEPARATE LOW CENTERS.
FIVE DIFFERENT MODELS HAVE FIVE DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS AS TO WHERE THEY
WILL ALL BE BY THURSDAY. AN EXAMPLE OF THE DIFFICULTY THESE MODELS
ARE HAVING IS FOUND IN THAT THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTION IS CLOSER
TO THE ECMWF SOLUTION THAT IT IS TO THE GFS'S OWN OPERATIONAL
SOLUTION. THEREFORE THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS OF THE
FORECASTS FOR THE ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN BERING SEA IN THE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY TIME PERIOD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL...SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR OVERNIGHT FOR MOST OF
THE AREA. THE DECREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO DIMINISH WINDS
BRINGING IN MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES BEGINNING TONIGHT THAN HAS BEEN
SEEN FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE KODIAK ISLAND WHICH
WILL SEE CLOUDS INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH SNOW BEGINNING TUESDAY
MORNING AND PERSISTING THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT. THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL SEE INCREASED CLOUD
COVER TOMORROW AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE GULF. AT THIS TIME IT
LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL NOT BE MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOW FOR THE GULF
COAST...WITH THE MOST LIKELY PLACE TO SEE ANY BEING THE CORDOVA AREA.

SOUTHWEST...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SOME OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE FRONT
PUSHING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE BERING SEA. THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
MAINLAND PART OF THE STATE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO KEEP ANY SNOW
RELEGATED TO ALONG THE BRISTOL BAY COAST. AS SOON AS THIS WAVE MOVES
THROUGH THERE SHOULD BE SOME CLEARING AGAIN UNDER THE HIGH PRESSURE.

ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE WITH THIS REGION IS
THE PROBLEMS WITH THE COMPUTER MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR THIS REGION.
HOWEVER IT DOES LOOK LIKELY THAT PREDOMINATE SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL BE
OVER MOST OF THIS AREA BRINGING IN MOSTLY RAIN TO THE AREA WITH JUST
A LITTLE BIT OF SNOWFALL IN A FEW AREAS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY DRY
UNDER THE HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE ALEUTIANS DUE TO THE MODEL
UNCERTAINTY. HOWEVER THE STORM TRACK WILL BE IN THIS REGION SO
PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE EXPECTED.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 131 132 155 165 170 172 179 180 181 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 130 139 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DEC 13