River Flood Warning 18, NWS Tulsa, OK

634 
WGUS84 KTSA 202123
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
423 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OKLAHOMA..
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-210523-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120324T0433Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.120320T1530Z.120321T0600Z.120323T2233Z.NO/
423 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  300 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.73 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 20.2 FEET WEDNESDAY BEFORE DAWN. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.  
  RIVERVIEW PARK EXPERIENCES MODERATE FLOODING.  STATE HIGHWAY 125 
  NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

OKC115-210523-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120322T0508Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.120321T0316Z.120321T1200Z.120321T2308Z.NO/
423 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  300 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.69 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

$$

475 
WGUS84 KTSA 210154
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
854 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-210954-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120321T1930Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.120321T0959Z.120321T1200Z.120321T1330Z.NO/
854 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  800 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.41 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  20.1 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

$$

708 
WGUS84 KTSA 210731
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
231 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-211531-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120323T2118Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.120320T1530Z.120322T0000Z.120323T1518Z.NO/
231 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  100 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.40 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 20.0 FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.  
  RIVERVIEW PARK EXPERIENCES MODERATE FLOODING.  STATE HIGHWAY 125 
  NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.

$$

OKC115-210801-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120321T1930Z/
/QUAO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
231 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW.
* AT  200 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.68 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE SPRING RIVER NEAR QUAPAW WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE AT 19.8 FEET THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
611 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS TO DOMINATE THE BULK OF THE TAF PERIOD IN
RAIN AND THUNDER. SOME IMPROVEMENT RESULTING IN VFR CONDITIONS MAY
OCCUR TOWARDS 06Z ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA TAF SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 359 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012/

DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT FLOOD EVENT ONGOING THIS MORNING AS AREAS OF RAIN
WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER FAR WEST
TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST...BECOMING MORE CUTOFF
WITH TIME. IN RESPONSE...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. AS SURFACE LOW
BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH...FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SHARPEN AND PROVIDE
THE FOCUS FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ANY STORMS ALONG/EAST OF THE
BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS. COULD ALSO SEE A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT ALONG/EAST
OF MESO LOW TRACK...DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH SURFACE INSTABILITY
DEVELOPS. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 4 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...CREATING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FLOODING
CONDITIONS. BOUNDARY SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST TONIGHT WITH THE
HEAVIER RAINFALL ENDING.

MUCH OF THE AREA WILL LIKELY BECOME DRY SLOTTED ON WEDNESDAY AS
UPPER LOW PIVOTS DIRECTLY OVER OKLAHOMA. BETTER THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON THURSDAY AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES MODESTLY. STEEP LAPSE RATES IN ASSOCIATION WITH COLD
CORE LOW COULD PROVIDE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR A FEW HAIL PRODUCING
STORMS.

REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST STAYED CLOSE TO THE GFS...WHICH IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE ECMWF SOLUTION. UPPER LOW WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH A WARMING TREND INTO
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ055-
     OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-
     OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-
     OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
508 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
508 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

...DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED
   INTO WEDNESDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...TODAY.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...CRITICAL.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...CRITICAL.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUES TODAY AND
TONIGHT AHEAD OF A VERY LARGE...SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM. MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAVE
ALREADY SEEN 2 TO 4 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS OR SO. AS
THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM SLOWLY DIVES SOUTHEAST INTO TEXAS
TODAY...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT
EAST...WITH THE MOST THE MOST SIGNIFICANT TOTALS TODAY AND TONIGHT
EXPECTED ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPCTED IN THESE AREAS...WITH
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. DEPSITE LESS RAIN
AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA TODAY
AND TONIGHT...RIVER FLOODING AND RUNOFF WILL BE ONGOING IN THESE
AREAS AND WILL STILL CREATE FLOODING PROBLEMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION
STATEMENT... LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...FIRST RESPONDERS...AND OTHER INTERESTED
PARTIES SHOULD PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE
THREATENING FLOODING TODAY AND TONIGHT. SWIFT WATER RESCUES MAY BE
NECESSARY AS ROADS BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO THE HIGH WATER. IN
ADDITION...NUMEROUS MAIN-STEM RIVERS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS COULD EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING BY
MID WEEK. PERSONS SHOULD CONSIDER CANCELLING ANY OUTDOOR CAMPING
ACTIVITIES THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN ANY FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO
LIFT NORTHEAST...HOWEVER AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING FLOODING WILL
LIKELY BE ONGOING AS THE RAIN AMOUNTS BEGIN TO TAPER OFF...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. AS THE CENTER
OF THE LOW DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHEAST THROUGH FRIDAY...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES
ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER OF THE LOW WILL RESULT IN
ADDITIONAL RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY. WHILE LOWER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD CORE
ACTIVITY ARE ANTICIPATED...MAINSTEM RIVER FLOODING WILL LIKELY
PERSIST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGING TO TAKE HOLD OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THIS WEEKEND WHERE MILD...AND MORE IMPORTANTLY DRY WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
654 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HAILEYVILLE             34.85N 95.58W
03/20/2012                   PITTSBURG          OK   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            HIGHWAY 63 GOING WEST OUT OF HAILEYVILLE CLOSED DUE TO
            HIGH WATER

0645 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MCALESTER               34.93N 95.77W
03/20/2012                   PITTSBURG          OK   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            HIGHWAY 31 GOING WEST OUT OF MCALESTER STILL CLOSED DUE
            TO HIGH WATER.

&&

SAA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
839 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             WHITEFIELD              35.25N 95.24W
03/19/2012  E1.75 INCH       HASKELL            OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PANAMA                  35.17N 94.67W
03/19/2012                   LE FLORE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE DOWN AND BLOCKING ROAD OFF HWY 59 ON NORTH
            SIDE OF PANAMA.

0950 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MULDROW                 35.41N 94.60W
03/19/2012                   SEQUOYAH           OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BARN BLOWN INTO HOUSE.

0950 PM     TSTM WND DMG     UNIONTOWN               35.58N 94.44W
03/19/2012                   CRAWFORD           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BROKEN 2 FT OFF GROUND AND FENCE IN CONCRETE SUCKED
            OUT OF THE GROUND. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED.

1000 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CEDARVILLE              35.57N 94.37W
03/19/2012                   CRAWFORD           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AROUND 15 TREES BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET IN DIAMETER
            UP-ROOTED OR BROKEN OFF. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

1000 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CEDARVILLE              35.57N 94.37W
03/19/2012                   CRAWFORD           AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN AND BUILDINGS DESTROYED. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

1000 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROLAND                  35.42N 94.51W
03/19/2012                   SEQUOYAH           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER POLE AND TREES DOWN IN ROLAND.

1005 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CEDARVILLE              35.57N 94.37W
03/19/2012                   CRAWFORD           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            3 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN AT AR HWY 220 EAST AND LUCIAN
            WOOD ROAD NEAR CEDARVILLE.

1015 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHESTER                 35.68N 94.18W
03/19/2012                   CRAWFORD           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED.

0825 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E OWASSO              36.27N 95.80W
03/20/2012                   ROGERS             OK   PUBLIC

            86TH STREET NORTH AT CENTENNIAL PARK CLOSED DUE TOHIGH
            WATER

&&

SAA