Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
903 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

.UPDATE...
ANOTHER QUIET EVENING ACROSS THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE. THE SEA BREEZES HAVE BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND EXPECT
RATHER LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT UNDER MAINLY CLEAR
SKIES. THE RATHER LIGHT FLOW WILL PERSIST FRIDAY WITH THE SEA
BREEZES MOVING WELL INLAND ONCE AGAIN UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN RATHER DRY THROUGH FRIDAY THEN SOME
MOISTURE WILL CREEP NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES
SATURDAY LEADING TO A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO MODERATE WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S
AND HIGHS ON FRIDAY IN THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90...EXCEPT ALONG THE
GULF COAST WHERE THE SEA BREEZE WILL KEEP READINGS IN THE 70S.
OVERALL THE CURRENT GRIDS/ZONE FORECAST LOOK GOOD WITH NO EVENING
UPDATE PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME LOCAL BAY AND
SEA BREEZES FOR TPA...PIE AND SRQ BY AFTERNOON. PGD...FMY AND RSW
WILL BE MAINLY EASTERLY WITH SEA BREEZE POSSIBLE LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
ONSHORE WINDS WITH THE SEA BREEZE WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS
EVENING WITH RATHER LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS SETTING UP ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEFORE THE SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPS ONCE AGAIN. THE PRESENT MARINE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK
WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES PLANNED FOR LATE EVENING FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  66  86  66  86 /   0   0   0  10
FMY  63  89  66  89 /   0   0   5  30
GIF  60  88  62  89 /   0   0   0  10
SRQ  61  83  62  83 /   0   0   0  20
BKV  56  85  55  88 /   0   0   0  10
SPG  70  79  69  80 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
     EVENING FOR LEE-POLK.

GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE/MARINE...69/CLOSE
AVIATION...63/JILLSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
509 AM EDT THU APR 26 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-271000-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
509 AM EDT THU APR 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND HIGH ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT
LEVELS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY. AS A
RESULT...RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS ARE IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
BUILDING SEAS AND STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE MARINE AREA...AND
EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES OR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY
EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL KEEP FIRE DANGER ELEVATED
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

JELSEMA