Severe Thunderstorm Warning 248, NWS Tallahassee, FL

786 
WWUS52 KTAE 041849
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
249 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

FLC065-073-GAC131-275-041859-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-120704T1915Z/
THOMAS GA-GRADY GA-LEON FL-JEFFERSON FL-
249 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON...
NORTHEASTERN LEON...SOUTHEASTERN GRADY AND SOUTHERN THOMAS COUNTIES
IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3078 8427 3096 8407 3076 8377 3059 8402
      3056 8412 3068 8428
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 222DEG 21KT 3079 8403

$$

15-HARRIGAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1115 AM EDT Wed Jul 4 2012

.UPDATE...This mornings sounding shows a wet 2 inch PWAT and
unstable 4185 cape with an LI at -7.4. Convection forecast to
bloom at 85 degrees and is already firing up much earlier than
indicated in WRF models, on seabreeze front from Panama City Beach
to just west of Apalachicola. Already had an observed waterspout
near Tyndall AFB. Convection is already initiating inland up in
isolated areas from northern Bay County across Liberty, Leon,
Wakulla, Jefferson and coastal Taylor Counties in Florida and
Thomas County in Georgia. Surface to 850mb flow is light and
variable. Convection will be initiated along seabreeze front early
today, followed by colliding boundaries across the Florida
Panhandle and Big Bend the rest of the day, possibly extending
into SE Alabama and South Georgia later in the day. Hopefully the
energy will be expended before the 4th of July activities later in
the day, but could get quite active this afternoon over much of
the area. POP grids have been adjusted accordingly to 60 percent
near the Coast and 40 to 50 percent inland. Potential for hail
similar to yesterday.

&&

.AVIATION...KABY Briefly went down to LIFR this morning. KTLH,
KECP and KDHN briefly dropped to MVFR. Only KVLD remained VFR
overnight. Expecting an active thunderstorm day. Storms will be
very slow moving and will develop along boundaries from prior
areas of convection.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
GA...None.
FL...None.
GM...None.

&&

Lanier/Barry

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
516 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-051100-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
516 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 /416 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE FRONT
ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE. SOME OF THESE STORMS
COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...BUT IT IS BECOMING
MORE AND MORE LIKELY THAT THE ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH IN TIME FOR
MANY OF THE 4TH OF JULY CELEBRATIONS AND FIREWORKS BY TONIGHT.
DURING THE AFTERNOON...HOWEVER...SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SLOW
MOVERS AND COULD THEREFORE PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG
WITH SOME BRIEF GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO SET UP NEAR THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL LIKELY BRING MORE INCLEMENT
WEATHER...COOLER AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES...AND GREATER CLOUD
COVER THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR
LATER IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

17-GOULD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
136 PM EDT WED JUL 04 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     WATER SPOUT      2 SW TYNDALL AFB        30.05N 85.60W
07/04/2012                   GMZ750             FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE WATERSPOUT OBSERVED OFFSHORE OF TYNDALL AFB

&&

DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
139 PM EDT WED JUL 04 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 AM     WATER SPOUT      1 S ST ANDREWS STATE PA 30.12N 85.74W
07/04/2012                   GMZ750             FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATERSPOUT REPORTED JUST OFFSHORE OF ST ANDREWS STATE
            PARK DISSIPATED BEFORE REACHING THE COAST.

&&

DVD