Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 589

August 26, 201215 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 26, 2012, 8:29 AM EDT for 15 counties in Florida. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 26, 2012, 8:29 AM EDT (12:29 UTC)
Expired
Aug 26, 2012, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
65 kt

Counties Broward County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Collier County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Glades County, FL, Hendry County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lee County, FL, Martin County, FL, Miami-Dade County, FL, Monroe County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Palm Beach County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL

The radar

The Miami radar (KAMX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2012-08-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1782 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2012-08-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 204 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1782 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
619 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
224 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

557 
WWUS20 KWNS 261233
SEL9
SPC WW 261233
FLZ000-CWZ000-262100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 589
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND FLORIDA KEYS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 830 AM UNTIL 500
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF MARATHON
FLORIDA TO 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT MEYERS FLORIDA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL/TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THROUGH AT
LEAST MID-LATE AFTERNOON AS CENTER OF ISAAC MOVES TOWARD LOWER
KEYS...STRENGTHENS FURTHER...AND LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS EXPAND PER
LATEST NHC GUIDANCE.  MEANWHILE INSTABILITY ALREADY IS FAVORABLE
OVER COASTAL SE FL WITH MLCAPE GREATER THAN 1500 J/KG IN 12Z MFL
RAOB.  RICHEST BOUNDARY-LAYER THETAE WILL SPREAD FARTHER WWD ACROSS
SRN FL WITH TIME...AS WILL PROGRESSIVELY MORE FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 10040.


...EDWARDS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 26, 7:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Charlotte, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Lee and 4 more2 hr
Aug 26, 12:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Highlands, Lee and 6 more2 hr
Aug 26, 4:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Martin, Miami-Dade and 2 more62 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.