Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 5

January 22, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 22, 2012, 5:16 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 22, 2012, 5:16 PM CST (23:16 UTC)
Expired
Jan 22, 2012, 11:03 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 70 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
60%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

71 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 5:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring35 min
Jan 22, 6:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White27 min
Jan 22, 6:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, White25 min
Jan 22, 6:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Saline49 min
Jan 22, 6:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Saline32 min
Jan 22, 6:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Dallas, Ouachita28 min
Jan 22, 6:35 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun, Dallas, Ouachita40 min
Jan 22, 6:36 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKDallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson24 min
Jan 22, 6:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, White, Woodruff32 min
Jan 22, 6:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Sharp41 min
Jan 22, 6:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, White, Woodruff47 min
Jan 22, 6:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White47 min
Jan 22, 6:58 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKGrant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski32 min
Jan 22, 6:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph46 min
Jan 22, 7:01 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita29 min
Jan 22, 7:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson51 min
Jan 22, 7:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Dallas, Ouachita35 min
Jan 22, 7:25 PM CSTTornado Warning EmergencyLZKCleveland, Dallas, Jefferson, Lincoln50 min
Jan 22, 7:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence34 min
Jan 22, 7:29 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie31 min
Jan 22, 7:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, Monroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff43 min
Jan 22, 7:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Pulaski, Saline26 min
Jan 22, 7:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, White, Woodruff52 min
Jan 22, 7:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph48 min
Jan 22, 7:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Jefferson, Lincoln46 min
Jan 22, 7:48 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski27 min
Jan 22, 7:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene52 min
Jan 22, 7:55 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff35 min
Jan 22, 7:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Cross, Poinsett49 min
Jan 22, 8:02 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln28 min
Jan 22, 8:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff52 min
Jan 22, 8:11 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGLee, St. Francis49 min
Jan 22, 8:12 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie33 min
Jan 22, 8:13 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln47 min
Jan 22, 8:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett42 min
Jan 22, 8:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln33 min
Jan 22, 8:27 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Monroe48 min
Jan 22, 8:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene63 min
Jan 22, 8:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie19 min
Jan 22, 8:43 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGLee, Phillips47 min
Jan 22, 8:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Mississippi, Poinsett61 min
Jan 22, 8:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland19 min
Jan 22, 8:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, St. Francis38 min
Jan 22, 8:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe16 min
Jan 22, 9:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPhillips44 min
Jan 22, 9:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe30 min
Jan 22, 9:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew, Lincoln28 min
Jan 22, 9:18 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGLee, Phillips27 min
Jan 22, 9:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi55 min
Jan 22, 9:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips24 min
Jan 22, 9:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPemiscot52 min
Jan 22, 9:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Haywood, Lauderdale27 min
Jan 22, 9:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Drew35 min
Jan 22, 9:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips49 min
Jan 22, 9:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Gibson, Obion, Weakley33 min
Jan 22, 9:46 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGLee, Phillips29 min
Jan 22, 9:47 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCrockett, Gibson, Haywood43 min
Jan 22, 9:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Drew24 min
Jan 22, 9:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley52 min
Jan 22, 9:55 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden, St. Francis22 min
Jan 22, 10:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower39 min
Jan 22, 10:06 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGDeSoto, Tunica24 min
Jan 22, 10:08 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGGibson, Obion, Weakley37 min
Jan 22, 10:10 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGDeSoto35 min
Jan 22, 10:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Haywood, Lauderdale, Shelby, Tipton46 min
Jan 22, 10:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, DeSoto, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Quitman and 3 more50 min
Jan 22, 10:27 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGBenton, DeSoto, Marshall48 min
Jan 22, 10:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot54 min
Jan 22, 10:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha52 min
Jan 22, 10:39 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGHenry, Weakley36 min
Jan 22, 10:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Gibson, Haywood, Madison, Tipton43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-01-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 15 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-01-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 326 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
15 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
313 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
326 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
360 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

791 
WWUS20 KWNS 222319
SEL5
SPC WW 222319
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-230600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 5
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN ARKANSAS
       THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
       WESTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 520 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF GREENVILLE
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN AR AS THE LOW LEVELS DESTABILIZE
AND ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE AREA FROM W TO E...IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER ERN OK.  LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTURE WILL
INCREASES THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS NE AR/WRN TN...AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A BROKEN BAND WITH BOTH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
AND EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS.  VERTICAL SHEAR...MOISTURE...AND THE
MIXED STORM MODES WILL FAVOR A RISK OF A FEW STRONG
TORNADOES...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THROUGH
TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 2:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 28 more2 hr
Jan 22, 5:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dent, Howell and 15 more113 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.