Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 32

February 18, 2012Houston County, Alabama; 20 counties in Florida; 36 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 18, 2012, 7:24 PM CST for Houston County, Alabama; 20 counties in Florida; 36 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2012, 7:24 PM CST (01:24 UTC)
Expired
Feb 19, 2012, 1:09 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 57 counties

Houston County, AL, Baker County, FL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Liberty County, FL, Madison County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Camden County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Clay County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Echols County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Worth County, GA

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 7:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEJackson41 min
Feb 18, 7:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBaker, Decatur, Early, Miller, Mitchell, Seminole37 min
Feb 18, 7:57 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTAEHolmes, Jackson, Walton, Washington2 hr
Feb 18, 8:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBaker, Dougherty, Lee, Mitchell, Worth50 min
Feb 18, 8:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDecatur, Grady49 min
Feb 18, 8:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEColquitt, Mitchell38 min
Feb 18, 8:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBrooks, Colquitt, Thomas51 min
Feb 18, 8:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEJackson40 min
Feb 18, 8:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBen Hill, Berrien, Irwin, Tift, Turner, Worth48 min
Feb 18, 9:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBerrien, Brooks, Colquitt, Cook, Lanier, Lowndes43 min
Feb 18, 9:30 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEBerrien, Lanier30 min
Feb 18, 9:37 PM CSTTornado WarningJAXAtkinson, Clinch, Coffee38 min
Feb 18, 9:41 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTAEGeneva, Houston4 hr
Feb 18, 9:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBerrien, Lanier14 min
Feb 18, 10:00 PM CSTTornado WarningJAXBacon, Brantley, Pierce, Ware45 min
Feb 18, 10:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBrantley, Pierce, Ware, Wayne33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 50 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2012-02-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2012-02-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 257 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
566 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
257 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
378 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

716 
WWUS20 KWNS 190130
SEL2
SPC WW 190130
ALZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-190900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 32
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
825 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
       NORTHERN FLORIDA AND MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
       SOUTHERN GEORGIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 825 PM
UNTIL 400 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF WAYCROSS
GEORGIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 30. WATCH NUMBER 30 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 825
PM EST. CONTINUE...WW 31...

DISCUSSION...SW-NE SQLN NOW EXTENDING FROM SW GA TO NEAR VPS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE E AT ABOUT 40 KTS.  ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY
OCCUR ON SWRN END AS ASSOCIATED E TX UPR TROUGH PIVOTS EWD ACROSS
REGION OF MODEST SFC-BASED INSTABILITY OVER FL PANHANDLE/N FL. LOW
LVL BUOYANCY LIKELY WILL REMAIN INCREASINGLY MARGINAL FOR SFC-BASED
SVR STORMS WITH ENE EXTENT ACROSS GA.  NEVERTHELESS...EXISTING WIND
FIELD /PER VWP DATA/ AND FCST STRENGTHENING OF LOW TO MID LVL WINDS
/PER GFS AND ECMWF/ SUGGEST AT LEAST A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR
SPORADIC DMGG WIND/ISOLD TORNADOES FROM EMBEDDED SUSTAINED
STORMS/ROTATING CELLS/SMALL BOWS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 7:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDale, Geneva, Henry, Houston55 min
Feb 18, 10:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Bay, Calhoun, Columbia, Franklin, Gadsden and 11 more84 min
Feb 19, 11:20 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNassau85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2012Tornado Watches in Florida, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.