Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 1
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 16, 2012, 11:47 PM CST for 14 counties in Illinois; 44 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 16, 2012, 11:47 PM CST (05:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 17, 2012, 7:00 AM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 58 counties
Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Barry County, MO, Camden County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 11:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dallas, Hickory | 20 min |
| Jan 16, 11:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Miller | 47 min |
| Jan 16, 11:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Macoupin, Montgomery | 58 days |
| Jan 17, 12:18 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Camden | 42 min |
| Jan 17, 12:22 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Maries | 53 min |
| Jan 17, 12:39 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Gasconade, Osage | 36 min |
| Jan 17, 12:41 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Miller, Pulaski | 29 min |
| Jan 17, 12:55 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Saint Charles, Warren | 35 min |
| Jan 17, 12:57 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Maries | 48 min |
| Jan 17, 1:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Gasconade | 31 min |
| Jan 17, 1:23 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun | 37 min |
| Jan 17, 1:34 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Phelps | 12 min |
| Jan 17, 1:39 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Franklin, Jefferson | 36 min |
| Jan 17, 1:41 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Crawford, Franklin | 34 min |
| Jan 17, 2:08 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Madison, Saint Clair | 37 min |
| Jan 17, 2:12 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Franklin, Jefferson, Washington | 33 min |
| Jan 17, 2:17 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Madison | 28 min |
| Jan 17, 2:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Monroe | 40 min |
| Jan 17, 2:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair | 52 min |
| Jan 17, 2:39 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Bond | 36 min |
| Jan 17, 2:55 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Camden, Dallas, Laclede | 50 min |
| Jan 17, 3:07 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Clinton, Monroe, Saint Clair, Washington | 38 min |
| Jan 17, 3:23 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Clinton, Marion | 35 min |
| Jan 17, 3:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Pulaski | 33 min |
| Jan 17, 3:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Clinton, Washington | 29 min |
| Jan 17, 3:53 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Maries, Phelps | 41 min |
| Jan 17, 4:18 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford | 27 min |
| Jan 17, 5:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Bond, Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair | 46 min |
| Jan 17, 5:22 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Randolph | 38 min |
| Jan 17, 5:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Clinton, Fayette, Marion | 43 min |
| Jan 17, 5:53 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington | 52 min |
| Jan 17, 6:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Randolph | 44 min |
| Jan 17, 6:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison, Reynolds, Saint Francois | 50 min |
| Jan 17, 6:35 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Randolph | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -171 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1205 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 69 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 246 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 361 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
317
WWUS20 KWNS 170552
SEL1
SPC WW 170552
ILZ000-MOZ000-171300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CST MON JAN 16 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
SOUTHWEST THROUGH EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1150 PM
UNTIL 700 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ALTON
ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SCTD TSTMS HAVE INCREASED IN THE PAST HOUR ALONG AND
AHEAD OF SW-NE COLD FRONT THROUGH CNTRL MO. STORMS MAY SOMEWHAT
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND POSSIBLY STRENGTH THROUGH EARLY TUE AS
REGION IS GLANCED BY NEXT WEAK IMPULSE SHEARING ENEWD AHEAD OF MAIN
UPR TROUGH MOVING E FROM CNTRL KS. NEAR-SFC SSWLY FLOW WILL
MAINTAIN LOW LVL WAA ACROSS REGION...WITH SFC TEMPS AROUND 60 F AND
SFC DEW POINTS IN THE MID/UPR 50S. THIS SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW SHORT
LINES/BROKEN SEGMENTS OF STORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND
PERHAPS ONE OR TWO QLCS TORNADOES GIVEN COOL MID LVL TEMPS/STRENGTH
OF CLOUD LAYER FLOW.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 1:50 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 31 more | 85 min |
| Jan 17, 6:25 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Edgar, Edwards and 15 more | 65 min |
| Jan 16, 10:24 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison, Holt and 3 more | 5 hr |
| Jan 16, 11:23 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Cole, Crawford and 20 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.