Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 1

January 16, 201214 counties in Illinois; 44 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 16, 2012, 11:47 PM CST for 14 counties in Illinois; 44 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 16, 2012, 11:47 PM CST (05:47 UTC)
Expired
Jan 17, 2012, 7:00 AM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 58 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Barry County, MO, Camden County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 16, 11:53 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDallas, Hickory20 min
Jan 16, 11:58 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFMiller47 min
Jan 16, 11:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMacoupin, Montgomery58 days
Jan 17, 12:18 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFCamden42 min
Jan 17, 12:22 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFMaries53 min
Jan 17, 12:39 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXGasconade, Osage36 min
Jan 17, 12:41 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFMiller, Pulaski29 min
Jan 17, 12:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Saint Charles, Warren35 min
Jan 17, 12:57 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFMaries48 min
Jan 17, 1:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade31 min
Jan 17, 1:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun37 min
Jan 17, 1:34 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFPhelps12 min
Jan 17, 1:39 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson36 min
Jan 17, 1:41 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin34 min
Jan 17, 2:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Saint Clair37 min
Jan 17, 2:12 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Washington33 min
Jan 17, 2:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison28 min
Jan 17, 2:35 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXMonroe40 min
Jan 17, 2:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Madison, Saint Clair52 min
Jan 17, 2:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond36 min
Jan 17, 2:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Laclede50 min
Jan 17, 3:07 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXClinton, Monroe, Saint Clair, Washington38 min
Jan 17, 3:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Marion35 min
Jan 17, 3:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFPulaski33 min
Jan 17, 3:46 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXClinton, Washington29 min
Jan 17, 3:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMaries, Phelps41 min
Jan 17, 4:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford27 min
Jan 17, 5:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair46 min
Jan 17, 5:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph38 min
Jan 17, 5:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Fayette, Marion43 min
Jan 17, 5:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington52 min
Jan 17, 6:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph44 min
Jan 17, 6:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Madison, Reynolds, Saint Francois50 min
Jan 17, 6:35 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2012-01-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2012-01-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 246 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-171 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1205 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
361 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

317 
WWUS20 KWNS 170552
SEL1
SPC WW 170552
ILZ000-MOZ000-171300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CST MON JAN 16 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
       SOUTHWEST THROUGH EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1150 PM
UNTIL 700 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ALTON
ILLINOIS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SCTD TSTMS HAVE INCREASED IN THE PAST HOUR ALONG AND
AHEAD OF SW-NE COLD FRONT THROUGH CNTRL MO.  STORMS MAY SOMEWHAT
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND POSSIBLY STRENGTH THROUGH EARLY TUE AS
REGION IS GLANCED BY NEXT WEAK IMPULSE SHEARING ENEWD AHEAD OF MAIN
UPR TROUGH MOVING E FROM CNTRL KS.  NEAR-SFC SSWLY FLOW WILL
MAINTAIN LOW LVL WAA ACROSS REGION...WITH SFC TEMPS AROUND 60 F AND
SFC DEW POINTS IN THE MID/UPR 50S.  THIS SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW SHORT
LINES/BROKEN SEGMENTS OF STORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND
PERHAPS ONE OR TWO QLCS TORNADOES GIVEN COOL MID LVL TEMPS/STRENGTH
OF CLOUD LAYER FLOW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 17, 1:50 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 31 more85 min
Jan 17, 6:25 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Edgar, Edwards and 15 more65 min
Jan 16, 10:24 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison, Holt and 3 more5 hr
Jan 16, 11:23 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Cole, Crawford and 20 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.