River Flood Warning 9, NWS Shreveport, LA

760 
WGUS44 KSHV 051533
FLWSHV


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
933 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

TXC159-343-387-449-061533-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120207T0742Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.120205T0409Z.120205T1515Z.120206T1342Z.NO/
933 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SULPHUR RIVER BELOW TALCO.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.07 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MID DAY.

$$

484 
WGUS84 KSHV 060125
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
725 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

TXC159-343-387-449-070125-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120207T0936Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.120205T0409Z.120205T1815Z.120206T1536Z.NO/
725 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SULPHUR RIVER BELOW TALCO.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY LATE MORNING.

$$

154 
WGUS84 KSHV 061607
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1007 AM CST MON FEB 6 2012

TXC159-343-387-449-061637-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120207T0936Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.120205T0409Z.120205T1815Z.120206T1230Z.NO/
1007 AM CST MON FEB 6 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SULPHUR RIVER BELOW TALCO TEXAS.
* AT 915 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6:30 AM MONDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.4 FEET BY TUESDAY
  MORNING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
942 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT HAS WORKED ITS WAY OFFSHORE THE SE TX AND MUCH OF
THE SRN LA COAST THIS EVENING...ALTHOUGH THE DRIER AIR STILL LAGS
THE FRONT A WAYS FROM CNTRL LA INTO NCNTRL MS. THE REGIONAL
PROFILER DATA AND AREA VADS INDICATE THAT THE 925-850MB TROUGH
HAS JUST PUSHED THROUGH DEEP E TX/SRN SECTIONS OF NCNTRL LA...WITH
CONSIDERABLE LOW LEVEL DRYING EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS THIS BOUNDARY
CONTINUES TO SLIP S. THE UPPER LOW ALOFT REMAINS SW THOUGH...WITH
A CONTINUED SUBTROPICAL FEED ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF TX/LOWER MS
VALLEY. THIS HAS RESULTED IN CONSIDERABLE ELEVATED MOISTURE RIDING
ATOP THE DEEPENING POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS BUILDING S. MOSAIC RADAR
IMAGERY HAS BEEN DEPICTING THE AC FIELD OVER CNTRL TX THIS
EVENING...ALTHOUGH SFC OBS ARE HARD PRESSED TO INDICATE CIGS BELOW
12KFT. HOWEVER...THAT CHANGES FARTHER S ACROSS S TX...AS
POSTFRONTAL CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP/SPREAD E ALONG A MID-
LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE NOW ENTERING WCNTRL
OLD MX.

NOT EXPECTING THIS CONVECTION TO SPREAD NE INTO DEEP E TX TONIGHT
GIVEN THE DEEPENING DRY AIR...WITH THE LAST OF THE -RA/-DZ HAVING
EXITED WCNTRL LA ALONG THE LOWER TOLEDO BEND COUNTRY WITHIN THE
LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THUS...HAVE REMOVED MENTION OF -RA TONIGHT
WITH THE EVENING UPDATE.

THE RUC IS REALLY THE ONLY MODEL THAT HANDLES THE POST-FRONTAL
STRATOCU OVER EXTREME NE TX/OK/AR WELL THIS EVENING...WITH A
TENDENCY OF GRADUALLY ERODING THIS FIELD AS IT DRIFTS S.
HOWEVER...WITH ELEVATED MOISTURE CONTINUING TO SPREAD E
OVERNIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST. THIS CLOUD
COVER...AND NW WINDS...SHOULD ONLY RESULT IN A GRADUAL DOWNWARD
TREND IN TEMPS...WHICH THE FORECAST ALREADY REFLECTS.
THUS...LITTLE IF ANY CHANGES WERE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

ZONE UPDATE ALREADY OUT...GRIDS WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY.

15

&&

.AVIATION...
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 KTS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD. MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE THROUGH 05/12Z ACROSS THE TXK/ELD
TERMINAL SITES AS POST-FRONTAL CLOUDS STREAM SOUTHEAST ACROSS
ARKANSAS. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL ON SUNDAY. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  42  57  35  58  37 /   0   0   0   0  10
MLU  45  58  36  57  34 /  10   0   0   0  10
DEQ  35  53  30  57  30 /   0   0   0   0  10
TXK  38  53  33  56  33 /   0   0   0   0  10
ELD  40  56  33  57  31 /   0   0   0   0  10
TYR  38  54  35  55  38 /   0   0   0   0  10
GGG  39  55  35  56  36 /   0   0   0   0  10
LFK  43  56  37  58  38 /  10  10  10   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

15/05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
233 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-051200-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
233 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ELEVEN