Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Springfield, MO

306 
WWUS53 KSGF 301000
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
500 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

MOC091-301010-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-120530T1030Z/
HOWELL MO-
500 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN HOWELL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN SPRINGFIELD.

LAT...LON 3651 9212 3679 9211 3681 9190 3669 9176
TIME...MOT...LOC 1000Z 226DEG 21KT 3669 9196

$$

HATCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
328 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 230 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012/

SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES....WITH OCNL ISOLD CELLS WITH LIFT
FROM A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
CWFA. OTHER MORE WIDESPREAD ELEVATED CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM
CNTRL MO INTO FAR SE KS AHEAD OF SUBTLE SHORTWAVE. MODEST
ISENTROPIC ASCENT IS OCCURRING IN A WEST TO EAST CORRIDOR IN THAT
AREA...AND THERE IS STILL SOME DECENT INSTABILITY OVER SE KS AND
FAR SW MO...MUCAPES OF 1000-2000 J/KG OVER THE THE SOUTHERN EXTENT
OF THE CONVECTION...ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SOME ISOLD STRONGER
UPDRAFTS/SOME HAIL. WILL MAKE EARLY MORNING POPS A LAST SECOND
CALL BASED ON TRENDS.

NEXT CONCERN WILL BE THE EVOLUTION OF EXPECTED SEVERE CONVECTION
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE MAIN
CONCERN HAS BEEN THE TREND TO SPEED UP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WITH
STRONGER OVERALL INSTABILITY EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE OVER SE KS
AND SW MO LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. EXPECT CONVECTION TO RAMP
UP OVER THE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF TWO SHORTWAVES...ONE
STRONGER DIGGING SOUTHEAST FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO SD/NEB
BY EARLY EVENING...THE OTHER WEAKER/MORE SUBTLE MOVING FROM THE
CNTRL ROCKIES TO CNTRL KS DURING THE SAME TIME FRAME. CONVECTION
SHOULD BREAK OUT NEAR THE DRY LINE AND/OR ALONG ANY OLD CONVECTIVE
BOUNDARIES ACROSS WESTERN/CNTRL NEB/KS/OK. JUST HOW FAR NORTH-
NORTHEAST THE MAIN SEVERE RISK WILL BE IS AGAIN IN SOME QUESTION.
INSTABILITY PROGS ARE FARTHER N-NE COMPARED WITH PROGS 24 HRS AGO
WITH A NW-SE INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS KS/OK/WESTERN AR/SW MO LATE
TODAY AND THIS EVENING. AS CONVECTION GROWS UPSCALE/ORGANIZES INTO
A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX/MCS (OR TWO) THIS EVENING...SREF MLCAPE PROGS
SHOW 2000 J/KG OVER A GOOD CHUNK OF THE SW CWFA THIS
EVENING...GRADUALLY WEAKENING WITH TIME AFTER 06Z. BASED ON
THIS...ANY CONVECTION THAT CAN GET ORGANIZED AND MOVE SE INTO THE
REGION THIS EVENING WILL HAVE SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH A SEVERE WIND/HAIL
THREAT.

BY LATE TONIGHT...SFC LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST FROM OK/NORTH TX
TO SOUTHERN MO BY 12Z THU. INSTABILITY GRADUALLY BECOMES ELEVATED
AFTER 06Z...GENERALLY STRONGER CLOSER TO THE OK/AR/MO BORDER. BY
THIS TIME...IT IS A GUESS AS TO HOW STRONGER CONVECTION WILL BE
ORGANIZED...BUT IN GENERAL THINK A SHIELD OF SHOWERS/RAIN WITH
EMBEDDED ELEVATED CONVECTION IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY...AND STILL
HAVE FAIRLY HIGH POPS FOR LATE WED NIGHT AND EARLY THU...TAPERING
OFF FROM NW-SE THU AFTERNOON. BY LATE THU/THU NIGHT...THE
NORTHERN SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO CLOSE OFF OVER THE MIDWEST AND A NICE
SHOT OF COOL AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION TO END THE WEEK.

A QUICK WARM UP IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS A BROAD UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO AMPLIFY/BECOME MORE SHARP OVER
THE CENTRAL CONUS. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME CONVECTION IN THE DEVELOPING
NW UPPER FLOW PATTERN...PARTICULARLY SUNDAY NIGHT AS A WEAK SFC
BOUNDARY MOVES SE THROUGH THE REGION. IT LOOKS LIKE HIGH
TEMPERATURES PUSHING 90 DEG F IN SOME AREAS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN
BY MON/TUE.

DSA

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1247 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012/

FOR THE 30/0600Z KSGF/KJLN/KBBG TAFS...SCATTERED CONVECTION IS
OCCURRING ON THE PERIPHERY OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM A CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX IN OK. WILL HANDLE THIS IN THE NEAR TERM WITH TEMPO
GROUPS. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON
WED...THEN ANOTHER STORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE
REGION LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD WITH MVFR/IFR VISIBILITY IN HEAVIER
SHOWERS.

DSA

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
757 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-310100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
757 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND NORTH CENTRAL
  OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO FORM INTO A COMPLEX THIS EVENING. THE
  MOST INTENSE STORMS FROM THIS COMPLEX WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST AND
  MISS THE OUTLOOK AREA. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
  TRACK INTO PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR
  WESTERN MISSOURI AFTER 10 PM. THE NORTHERN END OF THIS COMPLEX
  WILL THEN WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR. WIND
  GUSTS TO 60 MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT
  LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN
  THREATS FROM ANY STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
  THESE STORMS WILL SPREAD EAST BRINGING AN ELEVATED RISK FOR
  SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
  MISSOURI FROM LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
  DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH...HAIL TO THE
  SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND HEAVY
  RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. ON
  THURSDAY...LIMITED INSTABILITY WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS
  GENERALLY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. HOWEVER...ISOLATED STRONG TO
  SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN OZARKS WHERE
  POCKETS OF STRONGER INSTABILITY COULD DEVELOP.

  THERE IS THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY AND
  SATURDAY...AND AGAIN ON MONDAY. HOWEVER MOST AREAS ARE
  EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 10 PM AND 3 AM...
  GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1225 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     HAIL             1 W CARTERVILLE         37.15N 94.46W
05/30/2012  E0.88 INCH       JASPER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DSA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
221 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

MOZ066-300745-
VERNON MO-
221 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY UNTIL
245 AM CDT...

AT 216 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HORTON...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF NEVADA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE NEVADA...SCHELL CITY AND WALKER.

THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THOSE OUTDOORS...INCLUDING
HAIL... STRONG WINDS THAT CAN CREATE DANGEROUS FLYING PROJECTILES AND
DEBRIS...AS WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3806 9431 3805 9424 3804 9423 3806 9421
      3805 9419 3806 9416 3806 9413 3804 9411
      3804 9407 3784 9407 3781 9442 3798 9446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0721Z 243DEG 15KT 3795 9433

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
344 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

MOZ105-300915-
OZARK MO-
344 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR OZARK COUNTY UNTIL 415 AM CDT...

AT 340 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PONTIAC...OR 31 MILES SOUTH OF AVA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE GAINESVILLE.

THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THOSE OUTDOORS...INCLUDING
HAIL... STRONG WINDS THAT CAN CREATE DANGEROUS FLYING PROJECTILES AND
DEBRIS...AS WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3655 9270 3677 9237 3650 9219 3649 9223
      3649 9265
TIME...MOT...LOC 0844Z 239DEG 17KT 3652 9255

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
413 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

MOZ091-300945-
WEBSTER MO-
413 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY UNTIL
445 AM CDT...

AT 410 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SEYMOUR...OR 14 MILES
NORTHWEST OF AVA...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE SEYMOUR.

THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THOSE OUTDOORS...INCLUDING
HAIL... STRONG WINDS THAT CAN CREATE DANGEROUS FLYING PROJECTILES AND
DEBRIS...AS WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3708 9290 3709 9291 3713 9292 3721 9268
      3707 9269 3707 9290
TIME...MOT...LOC 0913Z 254DEG 11KT 3710 9283

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
426 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

MOZ097-105-301000-
HOWELL MO-OZARK MO-
426 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN OZARK AND
SOUTHWESTERN HOWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 500 AM CDT...

AT 423 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BAKERSFIELD...OR 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST
PLAINS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BAKERSFIELD.

THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THOSE OUTDOORS...INCLUDING
HAIL... STRONG WINDS THAT CAN CREATE DANGEROUS FLYING PROJECTILES AND
DEBRIS...AS WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3655 9222 3670 9186 3650 9180 3649 9191
      3650 9221
TIME...MOT...LOC 0926Z 241DEG 15KT 3654 9211

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
431 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

MOZ105-301000-
OZARK MO-
431 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN OZARK COUNTY UNTIL 500 AM
CDT...

AT 427 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR THEODOSIA...OR 25 MILES EAST OF FORSYTH...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE GAINESVILLE.

THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THOSE OUTDOORS...INCLUDING
HAIL... STRONG WINDS THAT CAN CREATE DANGEROUS FLYING PROJECTILES AND
DEBRIS...AS WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3675 9250 3650 9231 3650 9277 3663 9277
TIME...MOT...LOC 0931Z 243DEG 10KT 3657 9268

HATCH