Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 93, NWS Charleston, WV

July 1, 20124 counties in Kentucky; Cabell County, Wayne County, West Virginia; Lawrence County, Ohio

NWS Charleston, WV issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2012, 8:10 PM EDT for 4 counties in Kentucky; Cabell County, Wayne County, West Virginia; Lawrence County, Ohio. It was in force for 65 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2012, 8:10 PM EDT (00:10 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2012, 9:15 PM EDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
NWS Charleston, WV
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lawrence County, OH, Cabell County, WV, Wayne County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 1, 8:25 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG1 Ne Ashland, KYNUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN RUSSELL AND SURROUNDING AREA.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 15 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 1, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2012-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2012-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -208 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-493 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2194 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-208 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

626 
WUUS51 KRLX 020010
SVRRLX
KYC019-043-089-127-OHC087-WVC011-099-020115-
/O.NEW.KRLX.SV.W.0093.120702T0010Z-120702T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
810 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  GREENUP COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
  CARTER COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
  BOYD COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
  LAWRENCE COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
  WESTERN CABELL COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 915 PM EDT

* AT 808 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF GREENUP
  TO 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF CARTER CAVES STATE PARK TO 31 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF OLIVE HILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO  
  CARTER CAVES STATE PARK...                  GREENUP...
  OLIVE HILL...         LAKE VESUVIUS...      IRONTON...
  GRAYSON...            COAL GROVE...         ASHLAND...
  GRAYSON LAKE STATE PARK...                  CANNONSBURG...
  CATLETTSBURG...       CHESAPEAKE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY
INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE. 1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN
DO SO SAFELY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL
WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3836 8324 3842 8325 3871 8304 3875 8292
      3873 8286 3858 8283 3860 8276 3868 8278
      3875 8265 3843 8220 3801 8273 3797 8287
      3796 8299 3799 8303 3812 8290 3818 8293
      3819 8306 3827 8316 3819 8327 3830 8334
TIME...MOT...LOC 0010Z 316DEG 53KT 3874 8310 3857 8333
          3847 8367

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 8:01 PM EDT, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 8:01 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
801 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES...WITH HEAT PREVAILING AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES PERSISTING THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
FORECAST BROUGHT TO YOU BY RLX AT PBZ. THANKS TO PBZ FOR THE
ACCOMMODATIONS.

CONVECTIVE COMPLEX ALREADY UNDERWAY NORTHWEST OF CWA IN NORTHERN
ILLINOIS/INDIANA...AND LOOKS TO BE THE PROBLEM CHILD FOR THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. HIGHLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT GIVING CAPE OVER
4000J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...ALTHOUGH MAY BE A LITTLE
INFLATED WITH NAM DEWPOINT BIASES. REGARDLESS...PLENTY OF
INSTABILITY TO BE FOUND...FOR PROPAGATING MCS TOWARDS THE MIDDLE
OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. STEERING WINDS ARE ABOUT
HALF THEY WERE A COUPLE DAYS AGO...AND DO NOT EXPECT AS QUICK OF A
FORWARD MOTION. BEST CAPE IN HAIL GROWTH ZONE...SO COULD SEE HAIL
THREAT ALONG WITH ANOTHER WIND THREAT. WITH THE CONVECTION ALREADY
BEGUN NORTHWEST OF HERE...THINK IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF WEATHER FOR OUR AREA. WILL TRY TO UPDATE
AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE.

ISSUED A HEAT ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF THE LOWLANDS MONDAY. NUMBERS
MAY NOT MAKE IT TO THE 100 NEEDED IN THE HEAT INDEX...BUT FIGURE
THAT WITH MANY PEOPLE IN THE AREA WITHOUT POWER...IT IS MORE THAN
JUSTIFIED AS WEST VIRGINIA AND OHIO TRY TO GET BACK ON THEIR FEET.
LEFT THE MOUNTAIN COUNTIES AND VIRGINIA COUNTIES OUT FOR NOW WITH
LOWER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
KEEPING THIS SHORT... HEAT CONTINUES ALTHOUGH MAYBE A COUPLE
NOTCHES BELOW NEAR TERM VALUES...WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
CONTINUING IN THE PREVAILING NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME. CANNOT LEAVE
POPS OUT DURING THE OVERNIGHT IN GOOD FAITH GIVEN THE VOLATILE
PATTERN...BUT HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS EACH DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXTENDED FORECAST FEATURES DIFFERENCES IN MODEL GUIDANCE THAT
LEADS TO DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF ANY PRECIPITATION.
ALL THINGS CONSIDERED...GOING WITH HPC GUIDANCE WHICH USES A BLEND
OF THE ECMWF AND GFS. CWA STAYS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
RIDGE KEEPING THE HOT TEMPERATURES IN PLACE...BUT ALSO PROVIDES SEVERAL
DISTURBANCES KEEPING THE LOW CHC POPS IN PLACE.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
IMPENDING CONVECTION IN THE TAFS WITH TEMPO TSRA AND WIND
GUSTS...IN SOME CASES ABOVE 45KTS. FIGURE THIS WILL BE IN PLACE
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE CONVECTION WANES. CLEARING EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT WHICH WOULD BRING ANY TERMINALS THAT RECEIVE RAIN TO
LIFR CONDITIONS QUICKLY. QUESTION WILL BE BKW AND SPLIT THE
DIFFERENCE WITH IFR VIS LATE.

MORE CUMULUS EARLY MONDAY...WITH CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: MAY NEED TO ADJUST CONVECTION TIMING.
FOG TIMING EVOLUTION COULD VARY.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

AFTER 00Z TUESDAY...
IFR POSSIBLE IN TSRA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR WVZ005>011-
     013>019-024>029.
OH...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR OHZ066-067-075-
     076-083>087.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR KYZ101>103-105.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...26/TAX
NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...TAX
AVIATION...26
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 5:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

VAZ003-004-WVZ030>040-046-047-022115-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...CENTRAL
WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ020-022115-
DODDRIDGE-
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 446 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ008>011-016>019-027-029-022115-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-JACKSON WV-
WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-CLAY-GILMER-
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 446 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO...CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ087-WVZ005-006-013-024>026-022115-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-LINCOLN-
MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ086-WVZ007-014-015-022115-
GALLIA-MASON-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 446 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ028-022115-
BRAXTON-
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 1, 7:53 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
753 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     TSTM WND GST     JUNCTION CITY           39.72N  82.30W
07/01/2012  M58 MPH          PERRY              OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200001

WOODRUM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLawrence48 min
Jul 1, 9:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Lawrence60 min
Jul 2, 3:46 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryRLXBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence27 hr
Jul 1, 8:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBraxton, Calhoun, Doddridge, Gilmer, Harrison, Lewis and 7 more56 min
Jul 1, 8:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Braxton, Calhoun, Clay, Fayette, Gilmer and 8 more65 min
Jul 1, 9:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBarbour, Braxton, Doddridge, Gilmer, Harrison, Lewis and 2 more41 min
Jul 1, 10:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Logan, McDowell, Mingo, Wyoming42 min
Jul 1, 10:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMcDowell, Wyoming27 min
Jul 1, 10:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMcDowell, Raleigh, Wyoming19 min
Jul 1, 11:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXFayette, Raleigh26 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in West Virginia, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ohio, 2012Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.