Severe Thunderstorm Warning 360, NWS Raleigh, NC

262 
WWUS52 KRAH 282035
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
435 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCC057-282115-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-120928T2115Z/
DAVIDSON NC-
435 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT
FOR DAVIDSON COUNTY...

AT 431 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
ARCADIA...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF LEXINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... LINWOOD...MIDWAY...
WELCOME...GORDONTOWN AND THOMASVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN EXITS 86 AND 103.

SEVERE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND CAN DAMAGE 
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. REMAIN INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM 
WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. REMEMBER THAT TREES OFFER NO 
PROTECTION FROM THUNDERSTORMS AND THE WINDS AND LIGHTNING THEY 
PRODUCE.

LAT...LON 3585 8048 3583 8046 3586 8042 3585 8039
      3588 8042 3589 8041 3589 8037 3597 8040
      3600 8032 3600 8022 3603 8021 3601 8004
      3573 8005 3569 8008 3576 8046 3579 8048
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 279DEG 18KT 3593 8030

$$

DJF

416 
WWUS52 KRAH 282049
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
449 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCC057-282115-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-120928T2115Z/
DAVIDSON NC-
449 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN DAVIDSON COUNTY...

AT 445 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH 
OF LEXINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... GORDONTOWN AND
THOMASVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN EXITS 86 AND 103.

THE THUNDERSTORMS HAD SHOWN SIGNS OF WEAKENING BETWEEN 435 PM AND 
445 PM. IF THE TREND CONTINUES...THE WARNING MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY. 
STILL...KEEP IN MIND THAT SEVERE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER 
LINES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS 
PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF YOU OBSERVED DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE HAIL...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3584 8043 3586 8042 3585 8039 3589 8042
      3589 8037 3594 8033 3600 8022 3603 8021
      3601 8004 3572 8006 3569 8008 3576 8046
      3578 8048 3583 8048
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 279DEG 18KT 3584 8026

$$

DJF

313 
WWUS52 KRAH 282059
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
459 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCC057-282107-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-120928T2115Z/
DAVIDSON NC-
459 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LIMITS JUST BEFORE 5 PM...AND THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 
STILL...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO 
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...ALONG WITH 
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. AS STORMS MOVE NEARBY OR OVERHEAD...REMAIN 
INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE 
HAIL...PLEASE REPORT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL 
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. IN RALEIGH. STAY 
TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3584 8043 3586 8042 3585 8039 3589 8042
      3589 8037 3594 8033 3600 8022 3603 8021
      3601 8004 3572 8006 3569 8008 3576 8046
      3578 8048 3583 8048
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 279DEG 18KT 3583 8021

$$

DJF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
302 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE CAROLINAS FROM THE NORTH
TODAY...PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...THEN STALL OUT NEAR
THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM FRIDAY...

OVERVIEW:
AN AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN VICINITY OF JAMES BAY CANADA IS
EXPECTED TO DIG SOUTH TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES AS A VIGOROUS UPPER
LEVEL LOW TONIGHT...WITH INCREASINGLY CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC AND CAROLINAS. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING EAST NORTHEAST
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID-ATLANTIC AT 06Z
THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH/NW TODAY...PROGRESSING INTO CENTRAL NC TONIGHT. AS HAS BEEN THE
THEME OVER THE PAST 24-36 HOURS...LATEST ROUND OF MODEL ITERATIONS
CONTINUE TO SLOW DOWN THE FROPA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS...WITH WHAT
APPEARS NOW TO BE SOMETIME SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

COMPACT MID/UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AT THE BASE OF THE
AMPLIFYING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THIS WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORCING
MECHANISM ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON....WITH GROWING SUSPICIONS
IF THE FRONT WILL MAKE IT INTO THE AREA PRIOR TO 06Z. WHILE AIR
COLUMN WILL UNDERGO BROAD MOISTENING THROUGHOUT THE DAY(PWATS
INCREASE AOA 1.5")...WEAK WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE CAROLINAS
WILL PREVENT ANY SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING...AND THUS THERE
IS LOW CONFIDENCE ON HOW WELL THE AREA OF CONVECTION  WILL HOLD
TOGETHER AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA BETWEEN 18Z FRIDAY TO 03Z SAT.
THE VARIOUS HI-RES CAM REFLECTIVITY SIMULATIONS ARE ALL HANDLING
HANDLING THE UPSTREAM CONVECTION WELL ATTM...AND ALL SHOW SOME
CONVECTION MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING...BUT DIFFER A GREAT DEAL WITH SUGGESTIVE
COVERAGE/ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION.

THE INCREASINGLY MOIST-ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES...AND LIKELY MORE
CRITICAL THE LACK OF STRONGER NEAR SURFACE THETA-E MOIST ADVECTION
DUE TO WEAK LOW-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND COMPONENT WILL HOLD SFC
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S...LIMITING DESTABILIZATION THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 500-1000 J/KG RANGE. THE
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 20 TO 25 KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
INCREASE TO AROUND 30KTS LATE(AT OR AFTER 00Z)...BY WHICH TIME
NOCTURNAL STABILIZING EFFECTS WILL BEGIN TO BE FELT. ALSO...WITH
LACK OF LOW-LEVEL FORCING AS FRONT REMAINS NORTH OF THE AREA IT
APPEARS THAT THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE UNORGANIZED AND ISOLATED AT
BEST...WITH GREATEST THREAT COMING FROM ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS
PRIMARILY BETWEEN 3-10 PM THIS AFT/EVE. THE FORECAST WILL REFLECT
PRECIP CHANCES INCREASING TO 50% FROM WEST-EAST FROM MID/LATE
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE DECREASING IN COVERAGE.

MORE AND MORE MODELS ARE JUMPING ON BOARD IN SHOWING AN AREA OF
ANAFRONTAL PRECIP DEVELOPING ACROSS VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA
LATE TONIGHT/TOWARDS DAYBREAK AS FRONT ENTERS THE AREA AND HEIGHT
FALLS INCREASE OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC AS UPPER VORTEX/TROUGH DIGS
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.  SREF PLUME DIAGRAMS ACROSS THE AREA REALLY
SHOW A MARKED INCREASE IN QPF/POPS LATE TONIGHT/TOWARDS DAYBREAK AND
CONTINUING INTO THE DAY ON SATURDAY. WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CHANCE POPS
OVERNIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT IN THE LOWER 60S NW TO MID 60S SOUTHEAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM FRIDAY...

MODELS HAVE TRENDED WETTER ACROSS CENTRAL NC DUE TO THE
AFOREMENTIONED SLOWER TIMING OF THE LOW-LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE THROUGH
THE AREA. THERE STILL REMAINS CONSIDERABLE SPREAD AS TO THE LOCATION
AND TIMING OF THE FRONT...AND SUBSEQUENT SPIN UP OF A WEAK SURFACE
WAVE ALONG THE FRONT IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING MID/UPPER LEVEL VORTEX
DIVING SOUTHWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. UNFORTUNATELY...THE
FINER FORECAST DETAILS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE FRONTAL
POSITION/LOCATION AND THUS CONFIDENCE IN SATURDAY'S FORECAST IS
LOWER THAN AVERAGE.

SATURDAY:
SYNOPTIC SCALE H5 FALLS ON THE ORDER OF 30 TO 40 METERS WILL EXTEND
DOWN THE MID-ATLANTIC SEABOARD WITH CONTINUATION OF WEAK SHORT-WAVE
TROUGHS/DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA AT THE BASE OF THE
DEEPENING EASTERN US TROUGH. THESE FEATURES WILL ENHANCE
ASCENT/CONVECTION ATOP THE MOIST SLOW-MOVING/STALLED LOW-LEVEL
FRONTAL ZONE IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL NC WITH LOCALLY ENHANCED
CONVERGENCE INVOF THE SURFACE WAVE. GIVEN THE DECENT AMOUNT OF
MOISTURE/CLOUDS EXPECTED...INSOLATION WILL BE GREATLY TEMPERED ALONG
AND WEST OF THE TRIANGLE...WITH AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 95/COASTAL
AREAS STANDING THE BEST CHANCES OF SEEING SOME HEATING AND THE
DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK INSTABILITY BETWEEN 500 TO 800 J/KG.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS MARGINAL AS WELL...BUT LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
COULD BE ENHANCED IN PROXIMITY TO THE YET TO DEVELOP SURFACE WAVE.
IF THERE IS AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT...IT WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS THE
FAR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES ALONG THE BETTER LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
WILL HIGHLIGHT THE SANDHILLS/SOUTHERN COASTAL OUT FOR AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

DIFFICULT TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY...DEPENDENT ON
LOCATION/TIMING OF FRONT AND AREAL COVERAGE OF PRECIP. EXPECT
GENERALLY COOLER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE FRONT WILL BE
QUICKER TO CLEAR...WITH THE WARMEST READINGS ACROSS THE
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST. HIGHS NEAR TO LOWER 70S ACROSS THE NORTH TO UPPER
70/NEAR 80 SOUTH.

SATURDAY NIGHT:
SLOW SOUTHWARD/SOUTHEASTWARD DRIFT OF FRONT TOWARDS THE COAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT SHOULD RESULT IN A DIMINISHING OF SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. GIVEN LACK OF RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY
REGARDING THE TIMING OF THE FRONT...WILL HANG ON TO AT LAST
SLIGHT/SMALL CHANCE POPS EVERYWHERE SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA COULD BE DRY BY MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT. WEAK COOL/DRY
AIR ADVECTION SHOULD BEGIN TO SEEP SOUTH INTO AT LEAST NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. LOWS IN THE
MID/UPPER 50S NORTH TO LOWER 60S SOUTH/SOUTHEAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 302 PM FRIDAY...

NWP GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH AN EVOLVING WEATHER PATTERN DURING
THE EXTENDED RANGE BUT SOME CONSENSUS DEVELOPING ON A POTENTIALLY
WET START TO THE UPCOMING WEEK.

GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN DEPICTING A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WITH
A CLOSED VORTEX IN THE NORTHERN STREAM NEAR THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
ON SUNDAY WITH A CONVERGENT WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
OVER CENTRAL NC. A SLOW MOVING AND SOMEWHAT ILL DEFINED SURFACE
FRONT WILL LINGER NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR
BEING TRANSPORTED INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR
PRECIPITATION ON SUNDAY WILL BE GENERALLY CONFINED TO NEAR THE
SURFACE FRONT IN A REGION OF DEEPER MOISTURE AND SLIGHT ISENTROPIC
LIFT.

THE STATIONARY FRONT NEAR THE COAST BEGINS TO SLOWLY EASE NORTH AS A
WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY. THIS IS IN
RESPONSE TO A SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE WITH AN 85KT JET THAT CARVES OUT
A SECONDARY TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THAT LEADS TO
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK SURFACE WAVE ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
AS THIS SURFACE WAVE LIFTS NORTH INTO THE LOWER TENNESSEE VALLEY ON
MONDAY NIGHT...A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FLOW AND INCREASED MOISTURE
TRANSPORT SHOULD RESULT IN SATURATION AND AN INCREASED THREAT OF
PRECIPITATION. THE NAM/GFS SUGGEST THAT A SURGE OF LOW LEVEL FLOW
WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN/SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL NC
SUNDAY EVENING THAT SHOULD SPREAD NORTH OVERNIGHT. THE ISENTROPIC
LIFT AS DEPICTED BY THE NAM/GFS IS FOCUSED IN THE 295-305K LAYER AND
IT BECOMES MORE GRADUAL DURING THE DAY MONDAY AS IT LIFTS NORTH.
HAVE INCREASED POPS TO THE LIKELY RANGE FOR PORTIONS OF THE CWA ON
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THE AIR MASS MAY BECOME SUFFICIENTLY
UNSTABLE TO SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FAR SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST. LOW TEMPS ON SUNDAY MORNING WILL RANGE IN THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S BECAUSE OF
CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION.

THE SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY
WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL
EVENTUALLY RESULT IN THE WARM FRONT LIFTING WELL NORTH OF THE REGION
ALONG WITH A DECREASE OF POPS INTO THE CHANCE RANGE AND A CHANGE IN
CHARACTER OF PRECIPITATION INTO A MORE SHOWERY NATURE. AS THE WARM
FRONT LIFTS NORTH AND MOVES INLAND AS A PSEUDO COASTAL FRONT IN A
LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENT WITH DEW POINTS NEAR 60 BUT A DECENT FLOW ALOFT
AND GOOD BULK SHEAR...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS THAT
COULD BE ORGANIZED.

AS THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE SHEARS OUT AND THE AND SURFACE LOW
MOVES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SHIFTS INTO
THE PIEDMONT ON WEDNESDAY AND TOWARD THE COAST ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. THE FRONT MAY BE ACCELERATED EAST AWAY FROM THE REGION ON
FRIDAY AS A NORTHERN STREAM WAVE...MORE EMPHATICALLY SHOWN ON THE
GFS...APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY. WE WILL GRADUALLY
TAPER POPS DOWN AND THEN SHIFT THEM EASTWARD ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH A DRY FORECAST ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE NEAR
SEASONABLE VALUES ON WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. -BLAES

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM FRIDAY...

24-HR TAF PERIOD:
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WILL EXIT THE AREA AOA 03Z. THIS WILL SUPPORT
A BAND OF WEST TO EAST MOVING BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE AREA.  THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE
BETWEEN 18-21Z AT THE INT/GSO TERMINALS...21-01Z AT THE RDU AND
22-03Z AT THE RWI TERMINAL. A BRIEF PERIOD OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.
OTHERWISE...OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO
PREDOMINATE.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND
WILL EVENTUALLY STALL OUT OVER EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
CAROLINAS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY.

LOOKING AHEAD:
ALTHOUGH SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS...AFOREMENTIONED STALL FRONT
WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST INTERMITTENT SUB-VFR CONDITIONS INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY WITH A LULL ON SUNDAY BEFORE A SOUTHERN
WAVE AND INFLUX OF GULF MOISTURE LIFTS NORTHWARD ON
MONDAY...RESULTING IN MORE WIDESPREAD ADVERSE CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CBL
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...BLAES
AVIATION...CBL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
329 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-043-073>076-083-084-291930-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
329 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A BAND OF STORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
AN ISOLATED STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
GREATEST BETWEEN 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND 10 PM THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ042-077-078-085-086-088-089-291930-
JOHNSTON-HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
329 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A BAND OF STORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
AN ISOLATED STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
GREATEST BETWEEN 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND 10 PM THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE ON SATURDAY.
AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN...OR ALONG AND JUST EAST OF
INTERSTATE 95...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
313 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCZ021-282015-
FORSYTH-
313 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS FORSYTH COUNTY THROUGH 415
PM EDT...

AT 313 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
HUNTSVILLE...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH OF EAST BEND...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...LEWISVILLE...
CLEMMONS...PFAFFTOWN...WINSTON-SALEM.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 182 AND 203.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.

&&

LAT...LON 3611 8051 3614 8044 3622 8044 3626 8045
      3626 8003 3601 8005 3603 8021 3600 8022
      3600 8032 3597 8040 3599 8043 3601 8042
      3606 8047 3604 8048 3605 8051 3609 8053
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 273DEG 14KT 3609 8051

ELLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
316 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCZ007-282015-
PERSON-
316 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS PERSON COUNTY THROUGH 415
PM EDT...

AT 316 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES NORTHWEST OF CONCORD...OR ABOUT 8 MILES EAST OF PROVIDENCE...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CONCORD...AND
ROXBORO.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.

&&

LAT...LON 3655 7880 3624 7880 3624 7915 3641 7915
      3654 7914 3655 7913
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 279DEG 29KT 3654 7920

ELLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
338 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCZ021-038-282030-
DAVIDSON-FORSYTH-
338 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF FORSYTH AND
DAVIDSON COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

AT 335 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM LEWISVILLE TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HUNTSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE LEWISVILLE AND
CLEMMONS. IF THE STORMS HOLD TOGETHER...THEY WOULD REACH THE
LEXINGTON AREA BY 430 PM.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 182 AND 203...AND
INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN EXITS 83 AND 103.

AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NEARBY OR OVERHEAD...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY
BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING AROUND
LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS LEFT OUTDOORS. STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3614 8044 3617 8044 3617 8004 3564 8006
      3563 8018 3564 8025 3568 8034 3572 8034
      3574 8046 3584 8049 3585 8039 3589 8042
      3589 8037 3596 8038 3606 8047 3604 8050
      3609 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 278DEG 5KT 3608 8045 3592 8079

DJF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
358 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCZ008-282100-
GRANVILLE-
358 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS GRANVILLE COUNTY THROUGH
500 PM EDT...

AT 358 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES WEST OF OAK HILL...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROXBORO...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...OAK HILL...STOVALL.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN EXITS 202 AND 206.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.

&&

LAT...LON 3653 7846 3652 7847 3652 7849 3646 7851
      3624 7852 3624 7880 3655 7879 3655 7846
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 279DEG 24KT 3648 7887

ELLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
407 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCZ023-024-282115-
ALAMANCE-ORANGE-
407 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS ORANGE AND ALAMANCE
COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 408 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
UNION RIDGE...OR ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JERICHO...MOVING EAST AT
25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PLEASANT GROVE...
CARR...SCHLEY.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 140 AND 259.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN EXITS 164 AND 165.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7895 3604 7899 3604 7954 3625 7954
      3625 7953
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 267DEG 20KT 3621 7939

ELLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
415 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

NCZ021-038-282115-
DAVIDSON-FORSYTH-
415 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF DAVIDSON AND FAR
SOUTHERN FORSYTH COUNTIES AT LEAST THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 413 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CLEMMONS...OR ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOCKSVILLE...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CLEMMONS...ARCADIA...
MIDWAY...WELCOME.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS AROUND 50 MPH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN EXITS 83 AND 96.

IF THE STORM HOLDS TOGETHER...IT WOULD REACH THE LEXINGTON AREA
BETWEEN 430 PM AND 5 PM.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING. BOATERS ON THE YADKIN RIVER
ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE DANGERS OF LIGHTNING. BOATERS
SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DRIVERS SHOULD ALSO BE PREPARED FOR BRIEFLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON COMMUTE.

&&

LAT...LON 3584 8043 3586 8042 3585 8039 3589 8042
      3589 8037 3596 8038 3599 8043 3602 8042
      3602 8004 3598 8005 3564 8029 3568 8034
      3572 8034 3573 8044 3579 8048 3584 8048
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 279DEG 17KT 3595 8045

DJF