Severe Thunderstorm Warning 199, NWS Raleigh, NC

731 
WWUS52 KRAH 062113
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
513 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

NCC069-127-062145-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0199.000000T0000Z-120706T2145Z/
FRANKLIN NC-NASH NC-
513 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN NASH AND SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

AT 509 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SPRING
HOPE...OR 10 MILES WEST OF NASHVILLE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... PILOT AND BUNN.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3608 7792 3579 7804 3577 7807 3588 7829
      3590 7831 3589 7832 3591 7835 3593 7835
      3594 7839 3595 7841 3617 7815
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 033DEG 7KT 3599 7814

$$

KRR

020 
WWUS52 KRAH 062125
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
525 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

NCC069-127-062135-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0199.000000T0000Z-120706T2145Z/
FRANKLIN NC-NASH NC-
525 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN NASH AND SOUTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND THE WARNING IS 
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3608 7792 3579 7804 3577 7807 3588 7829
      3590 7831 3589 7832 3591 7835 3593 7835
      3594 7839 3595 7841 3617 7815
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 033DEG 7KT 3597 7816

$$

KRR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
242 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND EAST INTO THE
CAROLINAS OVER THE WEEKEND...RESULTING IN PERSISTENT HOT CONDITIONS.
THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH WEAKENS OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SURFACE FRONT WEAKENS AND STALLS IN VICINITY OF
THE CAROLINAS...MAKING FOR COOLER BUT UNSETTLED WEATHER NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 240 PM FRIDAY...

THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR AXIS CONTINUES TO SETTLE SOUTH ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY...LOCATED AS OF THIS WRITING JUST NORTH OF THE
VIRGINIA BORDER WITH NORTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE
DEVELOPED ALONG THE SHEAR AXIS...AS MIXED LAYER CAPE HAS INCREASED
ON THE SPC MESOANALYSIS TO NEAR 1000J/KG ALONG MUCH OF THE
BORDER...AND TO NEAR 2000J/KG OR GREATER NEAR A SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE STATE INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. MSAS
AND THE SPC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS THE GREATER MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY OVER THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE STATE IN THE VICINITY
OF THE TROUGH...AND WHILE SOME SHORT-TERM MESOSCALE MODELS LEAVE
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA DRY...GIVEN THE INSTABILITY...THE SURFACE
TROUGH...AND THE SHEAR AXIS ALOFT...WILL CONTINUE WITH WIDELY
SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING MAINLY
ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER AND NORTH OF U.S. 64 LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING...GRADUALLY SHIFTING AND DIMINISHING NORTH-
TO-SOUTH DURING THE EVENING AS THE SHEAR AXIS AND ANY LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH IT MOVES SOUTH. BOTH THE NAM AND THE GFS SHIFT
THIS SHEAR AXIS SOUTH OF THE STATE BY AROUND 06Z. THE RAP IS ONE
SHORT-TERM MODEL THAT PORTRAYS A SCENARIO AS WILL BE FORECAST...WITH
THE LEAST CHANCES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND VERY EARLY THIS EVENING
OVER THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT. GIVEN THAT THE DOWNDRAFT CAPE IS ON
THE ORDER OF 1000J/KG...AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT IS
POSSIBLE IF A STORM CAN DEVELOP AND GET STRONG ENOUGH. IN FACT...
CUMULUS WAS FINALLY STARTING TO DEVELOP ON VISIBLE IMAGERY OVER
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AS WELL.

OVERNIGHT...ANY LINGERING SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE SHEAR
AXIS MOVES SOUTH AND SUBSIDENCE INCREASES...LIKELY LAST AROUND
THE SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL TO 70 TO 75 IN MOST LOCATIONS. WARMEST
WILL LIKELY BE AROUND KMEB AND KFAY...WITH LOWS SOLIDLY NEAR 75.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 240 PM FRIDAY...

THE HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR SATURDAY...WITH THE CONSENSUS OF
1000-850MB THICKNESSES FROM THE NAM AND GFS GENERALLY SUPPORTIVE
OF THE WARMER MOS GUIDANCE VALUES FOR HIGHS. USING A BLEND OF DEW
POINTS FROM THE GFS...NAM...AND LATEST VERSIONS OF THE SREF AND
ECMWF...AND TRYING TO IGNORE EXTREMES...MAXIMUM APPARENT
TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON END UP BEING FORECAST FROM
104 OR 105 TO AS HIGH AS 109 IN MOST AREAS EAST AND SOUTH OF THE
IMMEDIATE TRIAD. DEPENDING ON HOW FAST THE TEMPERATURE WARMS
BEFORE SOME MODEST MIXING OF DEW POINTS OCCUR...IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT FOR AN HOUR OR SO HEAT INDICES COULD REACH 110 MAINLY TOWARD
KMEB AND KFAY. COORDINATED WITH KILM...AND FOR THIS ISSUANCE WILL
CONTINUE WITH THE HEAT ADVISORY...EXPANDING IT WEST TO INCLUDE
RANDOLPH AND ALAMANCE COUNTIES IN COORDINATION WITH KRNK...AND
ALSO WHERE THE CURRENTLY FORECAST HEAT INDICES GET VERY CLOSE TO
105.

TEMPERATURES ALOFT WARM A LITTLE ON BOTH GFS AND NAM BUFR SOUNDINGS...
WITH LITTLE MOISTURE ALOFT AND A MID-LEVEL CAP THAT WILL BE DIFFICULT
TO OVERCOME. NAM DOES FORECAST A WEAK 700MB SHEAR AXIS MOVING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND THE BUFR SOUNDINGS ESPECIALLY
TOWARD KFAY AND KRWI SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOW A MORE MODEST CAP.
1000-500MB LAPSE RATES ARE ONLY AROUND 6.5C/KM...WITH SOME
DIMINISHING MOISTURE IN TERMS OF PRECIPITABLE WATER FROM THE NORTH...
TO AT OR BELOW 1.5 INCHES ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE VIRGINIA BORDER
WHICH LEAVES PART OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA NORTH OF U.S. 64
ACTUALLY AT OR MAYBE JUST A TOUCH BELOW NORMAL FOR JULY. UNDER
EXPANDING HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT...IT WILL PROBABLY BE DIFFICULT TO
GENERATE DEEP CONVECTION...BUT IN A HOT AIR MASS WITH AT LEAST
SOME MOISTURE...BETTER SOUTHEAST...WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF A LATE AFTERNOON SHOWER OR STORM. IF ONE WOULD OCCUR...
LIKELY THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE EAST OF A LINE FROM KMEB TO KRWI.
ANY DEEP CONVECTION DIMINISHES DIURNALLY...AND TEMPERATURES WILL
BE SLOW TO FALL...WITH LOWS OVERNIGHT IN THE MID 70S AS A RULE
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. LOWS SHOULD BE WARMER...IN PART...
DUE TO A GRADUALLY INCREASING SURFACE GRADIENT AS THE FRONT
CURRENTLY WELL TO OUR NORTH STARTS ITS SLOW PUSH SOUTH. - DJF

SUNDAY WILL SEE THE PATTERN BEGINNING TO SHIFT WITH THE MID LEVEL
RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CAROLINAS BEGINNING TO SHIFT EASTWARD AS THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER NE NOAM BEGINS TO DEEPEN. AT THE SURFACE...A
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY
AND NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION. ACROSS OUR AREA...SUBTLE CHANGES
WITH REGARD TO THE SFC PRESSURE PATTERN AND THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE...
NOTED SUBTLE WARMING AT 850 MB AND LOLEV THICKNESS INCREASE OF ABOUT
10M SUGGEST HIGHS ONCE AGAIN AROUND 100 WITH HEAT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS LIKELY. BASED ON WARMING AND AN UPTICK IN MOISTURE AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...WE CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF THE HEAT
INDEX REACHING 110+ AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS (ESP ACROSS OUR EASTERN
ZONES)...SO EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCHES/WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED. THIS
WILL BE THE LAST HOT DAY IN THIS STRING OF ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURE DAYS. AS FOR PRECIP POTENTIAL...FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW SLIGHTLY MORE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT COMPARED TO SATURDAY...
WITH THE MID LEVELS COOLING ABOUT 2C AND AFOREMENTIONED LOW LEVEL
WARMING. NOTED FAIRLY WEAK SHEAR WITH THE MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS
SLOWLY DEPARTING...THUS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY PULSE- TYPE
TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH TOWARD OUR AREA AS THE LONGWAVE
TROUGH TO OUR NORTH CONTINUES TO DEEPEN. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS GOING
OVERNIGHT WITH BEST CHANCE ACROSS OUR NORTHERN HALF GIVEN CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO THE FRONT. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT REMAINING WARM AHEAD OF
THE FRONT (LOW-MID 70S). - NMP

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 240 PM FRIDAY...

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE PATTERN CHANGE THAT WE HAVE BEEN
ADVERTISING IN THE FORM OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH DEEPENING OVER THE
EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WHICH IN TURN STALLS A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS DURING THIS TIME. THERE ARE MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH
REGARD TO THE RESULTANT SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS...WITH THE GFS
MOVING SEVERAL LOW PRESSURE WAVES NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT AND
THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS OUR NORTHERN
ZONES AND NORTHWARD...WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS THE FRONT CLOSER TO
THE COAST AND DEEPER MOISTURE AND BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS MOST
OF OUR CWA. GIVEN THE FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD AMONG BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS DURING THIS TIME...WILL HOLD OFF PROVIDING
FINE DETAILS...BUT RATHER HIGHLIGHT THE LIKELIHOOD FOR COOLER
NEAR-SEASONABLE TEMPS AND THE GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. SINCE THE ENHANCED JET FEATURES AND
DYNAMICS ARE FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO REMAIN TO OUR NORTH AND
WEST... HAZARDS RELATED TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS
TIME MAY BE MORE IN THE WAY OF FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL RATHER THAN
WIND/HAIL POTENTIAL...BUT THIS CAN CHANGE TOO SO BE SURE TO CHECK
BACK.

FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...THE LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO
LIFT NEWD WHILE LEAVING A WEAKNESS OVER THE OH AND MS RIVER
VALLEYS. MEANWHILE THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL BEGIN
TO BUILD WESTWARD...HELPING TO INCREASE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND
MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS OUR AREA. AS SUCH...POTENTIALLY WET
CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

ALTHOUGH MONDAY MAY STILL SEE HIGHS IN THE LOW 90S JUST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK HIGH TEMPS WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL (MID-UPPER 80) WHILE CLOUDS AND PRECIP WILL LIKELY KEEP
LOW TEMPS NEAR OR PERHAPS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL (AROUND 70).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 240 PM FRIDAY...

OVERALL...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING...AND THESE FIRST SHOULD OCCUR TO THE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE TRIANGLE...GRADUALLY SHIFTING SOUTH DURING THE EVENING
THROUGH MIDNIGHT. DIFFICULT TO NOTE THE TIMING OF THESE IN THE
TAFS...AND HAVE NOTED SOME VCSH IN THE FORECAST FOR KRDU...KRWI...
AND KFAY...ENDING LAST AT KFAY AROUND 04Z. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
THERE WILL BE SOME LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS IN LIGHT FOG OR HAZE LATE
TONIGHT...BUT AGAIN...THE CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCORPORATE IN
THE 18Z VALID TAF.

VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF ANY ISOLATED OR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND ANY LATE NIGHT OR MORNING LIGHT FOG OR
HAZE...CONTINUE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MONDAY AND WEAKENS WHILE
LINGERING IN VICINITY OF THE AREA...A BETTER CHANCE OF ADVERSE
AVIATION CONDITIONS DEVELOPS. ANTICIPATE SCATTERED TO AT TIMES
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND PERIODS OF BELOW MVFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES AS A RESULT.

&&

.CLIMATE...
HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS AND YEAR RECORD LAST SET.

RALEIGH-DURHAM...      GREENSBORO...

07/06   102    1999       100    1977
07/07   102    2010       101    1977
07/08   103    1977       102    1977

FAYETTEVILLE...
07/06    99    1990
07/07   103    2010
07/08   102    1977

IF WE REACH OR EXCEED 100 DEGREES AT THE RALEIGH-DURHAM AIRPORT EACH
DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...INCLUDING TODAY...WE WILL HAVE SET A NEW
RECORD FOR THE NUMBER OF CONSECUTIVE 100+ DEGREE DAYS (6 DAYS).
THE EXISTING RDU RECORD IS 5 DAYS...SET ON JULY 20-24 IN 2011. THE
HIGH WAS 94 AT KRDU THIS PAST MONDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ008>011-
025>028-040>043-074>078-083>086-088-089.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR NCZ007>011-
024>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJF
NEAR TERM...DJF
SHORT TERM...DJF/NMP
LONG TERM...NMP
AVIATION...DJF
CLIMATE...RAH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
337 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-074>078-083>086-088-089-071945-
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
337 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AT LEAST THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH A MAIN
THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THROUGH 9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

EXCESSIVE HEAT MAY ALSO OCCUR SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE REPORTS
ARE APPRECIATED.

NCZ007-023-024-039-073-071945-
PERSON-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-RANDOLPH-STANLY-
337 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
ISOLATED STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH A MAIN THREAT OF DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE THROUGH 9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

EXCESSIVE HEAT MAY ALSO OCCUR SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE REPORTS
ARE APPRECIATED.

NCZ021-022-038-071945-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-DAVIDSON-
337 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
ISOLATED STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH A MAIN THREAT OF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE THROUGH 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

EXCESSIVE HEAT IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE REPORTS
ARE APPRECIATED.

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1200 PM EDT FRI JUL 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0441 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE SMITHFIELD        35.52N  78.32W
07/05/2012                   JOHNSTON           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WINDS SNAPPED A SUPPORT CABLE TO A COMMUNICATIONS TOWER
            ON BRIGHTLEAF BLVD CAUSING TOWER TO LEAN. 13 RESIDENTS
            AND 2 BUSINESSES EVACUATED.

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200569

BLAES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1201 PM EDT FRI JUL 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W LEWISVILLE          36.10N  80.47W
07/05/2012                   FORSYTH            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TWO TREES DOWN IN THE LEWISVILLE AREA

0155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE SCHLEY             36.19N  79.02W
07/05/2012                   ORANGE             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR NC 57 AND NC 157. MULTIPLE
            TREES BLOCKING THE ROAD.

0157 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE SCHLEY            36.16N  79.01W
07/05/2012                   ORANGE             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG KIGER RD.

0209 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W SCHLEY              36.15N  79.12W
07/05/2012                   ORANGE             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            COUPLE OF TREES DOWN ON WALNUT GROVE CHURCH ROAD OFF OF
            NC 86N

0215 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 ENE CREEDMOOR         36.17N  78.58W
07/05/2012                   GRANVILLE          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE BLOWN DOWN ON CANNADY RD. TIME ESTIMATED.

0216 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E CREEDMOOR           36.12N  78.58W
07/05/2012                   GRANVILLE          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ALONG BRASSFIELD CHURCH ROAD. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

0217 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E CREEDMOOR           36.11N  78.58W
07/05/2012                   GRANVILLE          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ALONG HORSESHOE ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED.

0218 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ESE GILLBURG          36.26N  78.31W
07/05/2012                   FRANKLIN           NC   PUBLIC

            POWER LINES DOWN AND TRANSFORMER BLOWN ON BETHEL CHURCH
            ROAD

0225 PM     LIGHTNING        5 NE MEBANE             36.13N  79.21W
07/05/2012                   ORANGE             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            LIGHTNING STRUCK A HOME ON POPLAR DRIVE

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ESE HILLSBOROUGH      36.06N  79.07W
07/05/2012                   ORANGE             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN AT HIGHWAY 70A AND MEADOWLANDS DRIVE

0304 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WSW AFTON             36.30N  78.29W
07/05/2012                   VANCE              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            SWATH OF TREES DOWN ON SOUTHERLAND MILL ROAD WITH THREE
            TREES IN THE ROAD

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E LOUISBURG           36.10N  78.24W
07/05/2012                   FRANKLIN           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ACROSS ROADS.

0318 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 WSW CASTALIA          36.05N  78.17W
07/05/2012                   FRANKLIN           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN THE JUSTICE AREA. TIME ESTIMATED
            BY RADAR.

0318 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BUNN                    35.96N  78.25W
07/05/2012                   FRANKLIN           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN BUNN...TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR

0325 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW ABERDEEN           35.13N  79.43W
07/05/2012                   MOORE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN NEAR ABERDEEN

0330 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE RALEIGH            35.84N  78.60W
07/05/2012                   WAKE               NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON BERTRAM DRIVE IN NORTH RALEIGH NEAR
            CAPITAL BLVD.

0340 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W NEW HOPE            35.81N  78.59W
07/05/2012                   WAKE               NC   PUBLIC

            ONE LARGE TREE FELL ONTO A CAR IN THE BRENTMOOR
            APARTMENT COMPLEX OFF OF CAPTIAL BLVD.

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW DABNEY            36.36N  78.48W
07/05/2012                   VANCE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            2 TREES DOWN.

0354 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW LAKE WHEELER      35.74N  78.73W
07/05/2012                   WAKE               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES BLOWN DOWN. POLICE ALSO REPORTED HOUSE FIRE DUE
            TO LIGHTNING STRIKE.

0355 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PITTSBORO               35.72N  79.18W
07/05/2012                   CHATHAM            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE BLOWN DOWN ALONG HILLSBORO STREET. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW PITTSBORO         35.71N  79.19W
07/05/2012                   CHATHAM            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ALONG OLD GOLDSTON ROAD. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW PITTSBORO          35.71N  79.19W
07/05/2012                   CHATHAM            NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 87 SOUTH AND CHURCHWOOD
            LANE. TWO LARGE PINES UPROOTED. OTHER TREES ACROSS POWER
            LINES CAUSING POWER TO BE OUT IN THE AREA.

0406 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SW WENDELL            35.75N  78.42W
07/05/2012                   WAKE               NC   PUBLIC

            2 TREES DOWN AT A RESIDENCE ON ROCK COVE RD. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

0408 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE MONCURE            35.63N  79.07W
07/05/2012                   CHATHAM            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE TOP BLOWN INTO POWER LINES ALONG OLD U.S. 1. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

0441 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE SMITHFIELD        35.52N  78.32W
07/05/2012                   JOHNSTON           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WINDS SNAPPED A SUPPORT CABLE TO A COMMUNICATIONS TOWER
            ON BRIGHTLEAF BLVD CAUSING TOWER TO LEAN. 13 RESIDENTS
            AND 2 BUSINESSES EVACUATED.

0446 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE LEMON SPRINGS      35.41N  79.15W
07/05/2012                   LEE                NC   911 CALL CENTER

            LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN ALONG ST. ANDREWS CHURCH ROAD.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

0457 PM     TSTM WND GST     LAURINBURG MAXTON APT   34.79N  79.37W
07/05/2012  M46 MPH          SCOTLAND           NC   ASOS

            46 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT THE KMEB ASOS AT 457 PM.

0458 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE COATS CROSSROADS   35.55N  78.50W
07/05/2012                   JOHNSTON           NC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LARGE PINE TREE BLOWN OVER AND ONTO NWS EMPLOYEES
            VEHICLE. NO INJURIES.

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE LILLINGTON        35.36N  78.80W
07/05/2012                   HARNETT            NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            18-22 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN ALONG WITH DOWNED POWER
            LINES.

0523 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW LINDEN            35.31N  78.78W
07/05/2012                   HARNETT            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN THE BUNNLEVEL AREA

0535 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSE SPIVEY'S CORNER   35.19N  78.50W
07/05/2012                   SAMPSON            NC   NEWSPAPER

            A FEW TREES DOWN NEAR SALEMBURG AND SEVERAL LARGE
            BRANCHES DOWN BETWEEN AUTREYVILLE SALEMBURG.

0541 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE GLENDON           35.44N  79.50W
07/05/2012                   MOORE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR THE 3200 BLOCK OF COUNTY RD
            22. TIME ESTIMATED.

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW CONETOE           35.80N  77.51W
07/05/2012                   EDGECOMBE          NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            OFF DUTY COUNTY EMPLOYEE REPORTED A FEW LARGE OAK TREE
            LIMBS... UP TO EIGHT INCHES IN DIAMETER... BLOWN DOWN
            NEAR HIGHWAY 42 AND ELLIS ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED.

0547 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE CONETOE            35.81N  77.45W
07/05/2012                   EDGECOMBE          NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREE BLOWN DOWN NEAR ALT HIGHWAY 64...JUST BEFORE THE
            PITT COUNTY BORDER. TIME ESTIMATED.

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE POLKTON           35.03N  80.19W
07/05/2012                   ANSON              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN BETWEEN POLKTON AND HIGHWAY 742

0608 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW WHISPERING PINES  35.26N  79.39W
07/05/2012                   MOORE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            1 TREE DOWN ON RAYS BRIDGE RD IN WHISPERING PINES. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

0613 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE EAGLE SPRINGS      35.34N  79.60W
07/05/2012                   MOORE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            1 TREE DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF BERNSALEM CHURCH RD
            AND HWY 705. TIME ESTIMATED.

0615 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ESE EMIT              35.73N  78.26W
07/05/2012  M1.65 INCH       JOHNSTON           NC   COCORAHS

            RAIN FELL IN ONE HOUR.

0624 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W COVINGTON           35.15N  79.90W
07/05/2012                   RICHMOND           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE ACROSS HIGHWAY 73. INTERSECTION OF TEDDER RD.

0635 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ENE MIDDLESEX         35.79N  78.19W
07/05/2012  M1.73 INCH       NASH               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

0645 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 W ELLERBE             35.07N  79.83W
07/05/2012  E60 MPH          RICHMOND           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST. SEVERAL 15
            OR MORE INCH DIAMETER OAK TREE BRANCHES DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200531 RAH1200533 RAH1200534 RAH1200537 RAH1200532
RAH1200538 RAH1200539 RAH1200568 RAH1200535 RAH1200536 RAH1200567
RAH1200540 RAH1200563 RAH1200564 RAH1200541 RAH1200543 RAH1200566
RAH1200547 RAH1200542 RAH1200548 RAH1200550 RAH1200554 RAH1200546
RAH1200552 RAH1200569 RAH1200553 RAH1200545 RAH1200544 RAH1200549
RAH1200551 RAH1200571 RAH1200559 RAH1200565 RAH1200570 RAH1200557
RAH1200560 RAH1200561 RAH1200558 RAH1200555 RAH1200556 RAH1200562

BLAES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
351 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

NCZ008>011-025>027-041-062045-
DURHAM-FRANKLIN-GRANVILLE-HALIFAX-NASH-VANCE-WAKE-WARREN-
351 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SECTIONS OF
NASH...WARREN...WAKE...VANCE...HALIFAX...GRANVILLE...FRANKLIN AND
DURHAM COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM EDT...

AT 349 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARCOLA
TO GORMAN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WARRENTON TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CREEDMOOR...DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...CREEDMOOR...FALLS
LAKE...FRANKLINTON AND...KITTRELL.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

IF ON OR NEAR FALLS LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR
INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE UP TO 15 MILES
FROM THE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. DON'T BE
CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM!

&&

LAT...LON 3614 7782 3592 7891 3618 7887 3639 7793
TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 010DEG 3KT 3632 7808 3606 7879

WSS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
354 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

NCZ039-040-062045-
CHATHAM-RANDOLPH-
354 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS RANDOLPH AND CHATHAM
COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM EDT...

AT 352 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
SILER CITY...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE HASTY... COLERIDGE...
RAMSEUR... FRANKLINVILLE... BYNUM... AND SEAGROVE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 264 BETWEEN EXITS 378 AND 386.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3592 7993 3590 7956 3584 7954 3585 7924
      3588 7925 3586 7904 3563 7908 3562 7915
      3558 7920 3556 7920 3557 7924 3553 7926
      3555 7930 3552 7936 3551 7994
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 071DEG 14KT 3572 7946

10

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
434 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

NCZ026-027-062130-
FRANKLIN-NASH-
434 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN NASH AND EASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

AT 434 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
CASTALIA...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF NASHVILLE...MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...SPRING HOPE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 7794 3578 7806 3586 7828 3590 7831
      3589 7832 3591 7835 3617 7814
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 025DEG 6KT 3605 7809

WSS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
447 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

NCZ021>024-038>040-062145-
ALAMANCE-CHATHAM-DAVIDSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ORANGE-RANDOLPH-
447 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS RANDOLPH...ORANGE...
GUILFORD...FORSYTH...DAVIDSON...CHATHAM AND ALAMANCE COUNTIES THROUGH
545 PM EDT...

AT 444 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
CHAPEL HILL...SNOW CAMP...AND CLEMMONS...MOVING SOUTHWEST.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE FEARRINGTON...JORDAN
LAKE...BYNUM...PITTSBORO...STALEY...SILER CITY...AND ARCADIA.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN EXITS 83 AND 170.

THIS INCLUDES US HIGHWAY 1 BETWEEN EXITS 79 AND 84.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 264 BETWEEN EXITS 378 AND 386.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN
FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8044 3615 7953 3625 7953 3624 7895
      3586 7902 3586 7891 3562 7899 3558 7892
      3553 7897 3563 7912 3556 7920 3552 7936
      3550 8018 3572 8033 3573 8045 3584 8048
      3585 8039 3590 8038 3589 8037 3611 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 042DEG 14KT 3586 7905

10