Alert archive / New York / Gale Watches in 2012
Gale Watch 13, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this gale watch at Dec 19, 2012, 8:07 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 21, 2012, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 19, 2012, 8:07 PM EST (01:07 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 21, 2012, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 20, 2012, 3:23 AM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WHUS71 KOKX 200107 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 807 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT... ...STRONG WINDS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY... ANZ338-345-355-200915- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 807 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...AND SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ330-340-200915- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 807 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ335-200915- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 807 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...SE 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ350-200915- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 807 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATION...MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL EARLY THU MORNING. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ353-200915- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 807 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATION...FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
3 follow-up statements
175 WHUS71 KOKX 200323 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1023 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO EARLY MORNING... ...STRONG WINDS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY... ANZ355-201130- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1023 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ338-345-201130- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 1023 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ330-340-201130- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 1023 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ335-201130- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 1023 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...SE 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ350-201130- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T1200Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 1023 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ353-201130- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1023 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SE 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
218 WHUS71 KOKX 200452 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1152 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS EARLY THIS MORNING... ...STRONG WINDS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY... ANZ330-340-201100- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0103.121220T0500Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 1152 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...EAST 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ353-355-201100- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0103.121220T0500Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1152 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. * SEAS...7 TO 12 FEET. * TIMING....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ350-201100- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0103.121220T0500Z-121220T1200Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 1152 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATION...MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...EAST 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...9 TO 14 FEET. * TIMING....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ338-345-201100- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 1152 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ335-201100- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 1152 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...EAST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. GALES LIKELY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
922 WHUS71 KOKX 200823 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 323 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012 ...GALE FORCE WINDS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... ANZ330-340-201730- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0024.121221T0600Z-121221T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 323 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ353-355-201730- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-121220T1000Z/ /O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0024.121221T0600Z-121222T1100Z/ FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 323 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST SATURDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. * SEAS...7 TO 12 FEET. * TIMING....THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-201730- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-121220T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0024.121221T0600Z-121222T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 323 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST SATURDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION...MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. * SEAS...9 TO 14 FEET. * TIMING....THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-338-345-201730- /O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0013.121221T0500Z-121221T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0024.121221T0600Z-121221T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 323 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING....THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ MPS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Dec 19, 6:59 PM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 19, 6:59 PM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
659 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW.
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE LOW THEN SLOWLY
MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH
PRESSURE RETURNING THROUGH MONDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE WAVE
APPROACHES LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND QUICKLY TRACKS EAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE RETURNS BRIEFLY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
DRY CONDITIONS IN STORE FOR THE AREA TONIGHT WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN...AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTING INTO THE
NORTHEAST. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...THEN
BEGIN GRADUALLY DECREASING WITH A WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
LLJ. GUSTS INTO THE EVENING WILL REMAIN IN THE 20S. SUBSIDENCE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE...RESULTING IN CLEARING
SKIES. THIS...ALONG WITH THE DECREASING WINDS WILL AID IN
DEVELOPING DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING...BRINGING TEMPS DOWN TO
NEAR NORMAL. ADJUSTING A BLEND OF THE MET/MAV GUIDANCE BY A COUPLE
DEGREES LOWER...ALL AREAS SHOULD SEE LOWS DROPPING BELOW
FREEZING...WITH THE NYC METRO AREA HOVERING RIGHT AROUND FREEZING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
CALM BEFORE THE STORM DURING THE THURSDAY...WITH THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AXIS AND THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIGHT OVER THE
NORTHEAST. THIS WILL CREATE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND ALLOW TEMPS TO
WARM...ESP WITH INCREASING 850MB TEMPS. LIGHT WINDS SHIFT FROM THE
NORTH TO THE SOUTHEAST...WHICH WILL BEGIN INCREASING THE WARMER
TEMPS AND HIGHER DEW PTS. THE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
NOW...FOR THE STORM. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE NOTED OVER
THE CENTRAL GL REGION MIDDAY THURSDAY...BRINGING A WARM FRONT NEAR
THE NORTHEAST. WEAK LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AND A PASSING
SHORTWAVE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE RIDGE COULD GENERATE SOME LATE
AFTERNOON LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH TO THE
NORTHEAST LATE TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE SETTING UP TO THE
NORTH LATE FRIDAY.
THE FIRST CONCERN WILL BE THE PCPN. WITH VERY STRONG WARM AIR
ADVECTION OUT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM...TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING...RESULTING IN AN ALL RAIN
EVENT. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD EARLY TOMORROW NIGHT IN HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY THAT MAY SEE TEMPS IN THE
MID 30S...BUT BUFKIT PROFILES INDICATE THE PCPN SHOULD REMAIN ALL
RAIN. PLEASE REFER TO THE HYDRO SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. THE
HEAVIEST PCPN IS EXPECTED MOVE THROUGH BETWEEN 09Z AND 18Z
FRI...RIGHT AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WITH THE LOW. WITH
THE STRONG LLWS...AND SOME WEAK INSTABILITY ALSO RIGHT AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...THERE POSSIBLY MAY BE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. THE THREAT IS CURRENTLY WEAK WITH THE BETTER
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING EXPECTED TO THE WEST...BUT WE WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BRIEF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THE NEXT CONCERN WILL BE STRONG WINDS. A VERY STRONG LLJ SETS UP
OVER THE CWA BY FRI MORNING...WITH VALUES RANGING BETWEEN 65 AND
80 KTS AT 85OMB. WITH THE SURFACE LOW EXPECTED TO DEEPEN GREATLY
JUST WEST OF THE CWA...COULD SEE A PERIOD OF WINDS REACHING WIND
ADVISORY AROUND 12Z FRI MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS COULD BE BETWEEN
25 TO 30 KTS...WITH GUSTS INTO THE 30S. THERE STILL REMAINS ON THE
CONSERVATIVE SIDE...AND WE COULD SEE IN FUTURE MODEL RUNS THE
WINDS INCREASE MORE. THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG LONG
ISLAND INTO THE NYC METRO AREA...WITH A POSSIBLE PERIOD LATE
FRIDAY MORNING INTO MID DAY WHEN THE LOW PASSES OVERHEAD. THEN
EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE AGAIN IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT FOR
FRI AFTERNOON...THOUGH CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THESE WINDS WILL
NOT BE AS STRONG AS THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR HIGHS
TOMORROW AND LOWS TOMORROW NIGHT...USING A GENERAL MET/MAV BLEND.
COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT COULD BE USHERED IN FAIRLY
QUICKLY WITH THE STRONG WESTERLY FLOW...HOWEVER DEPENDING ON THE
EXACT TIMING OF THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT AFFECT WHETHER DAY TIME
HIGHS CAN BE MET IN THE AFTERNOON...OR WE SEE GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING TEMPS BY THE AFTERNOON. CURRENT THINKING IS THE TEMPS
WILL RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL...WITH THE COLDER AIR EXPECTED THEN BY
FRI NIGHT. OVERALL...EXPECTING ALL AREAS TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING
GENERALLY DURING THIS PERIOD.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION EXITS THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT FRIDAY
NIGHT. SURFACE LOW ENDS UP IN UPSTATE NY AT THIS TIME WITH THE CUT
OFF UPPER LOW SPINNING JUST SW OF THE SURFACE LOW. ONLY MINOR
DIFFERENCES EXIST BETWEEN THE GLOBAL MODELS ON THE TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. ON SATURDAY...BOTH THE UPPER AND SURFACE
LOWS TRACK NORTHEAST. WITH A STRONG UPPER LOW...MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES
ARE FORECAST TO ROTATE AROUND THE LOW ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
BECAUSE OF THAT...HAVE KEPT CHANCE TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THROUGH
SATURDAY AND IN THE FAR NORTHWEST AND FAR SOUTHEAST AREAS ON SUNDAY.
MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY SO ANY
PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE SNOW INLAND AND
RAIN/SNOW MIX ALONG THE COASTS. AS TEMPERATURES WARM DUE TO A SLIGHT
HEIGHT INCREASE ON SATURDAY...RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH ANY
PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS. MODELS SEEM TO BE ON THE DOWNWARD TREND
WITH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY SO IF THE TREND CONTINUES...SNOW OR A
RAIN/SNOW MIX MAY CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. ON
SUNDAY...THE AREAS NORTHWEST OF NYC MAY SEE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IF
ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURS.
WINDS STAY GUSTY SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY EVENING AS A
GRADIENT DEVELOPS BETWEEN THE LOW TO THE NORTH AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING FROM THE SOUTH. HELPING TO KEEP THE WINDS ELEVATED IS THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER LOW LEVEL JET EVIDENT IN BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF WITH THE GFS COMING IN STRONGER...AROUND 55KTS AT 925. CURRENT
FORECAST IS FOR GUSTS TO PEAK IN THE AFTERNOON AROUND 30MPH.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES. GFS/CMC AND A FEW GEFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
WERE SHOWING THIS ON THE 12Z RUNS AND THE ECMWF 12Z CAME IN AGREEING
WITH THIS. IT LOOKS LIKE THE LOW OFFSHORE OF THE PACIFIC NW EJECTS A
PIECE OF ENERGY INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS
ENERGY DIGS QUICKLY INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
IN RESPONSE...A LOW AT THE SURFACE FORMS AND WILL TRACK NEAR OR JUST
SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND ON TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE GFS BEING THE
QUICKER SOLUTION. AT THIS TIME...THICKNESS AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES
SUPPORT SNOW FOR THE ENTIRE AREA IF THE BULK OF THE PRECIP FALLS
OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. IT IS A QUICK MOVING
SYSTEM AND DOES NOT LOOK LIKE IT WILL PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT
OF QPF. THIS WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL. SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 40S. THEN SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL HAVE HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO UPPER 30S. LOWS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
***HIGH IMPACT AVIATION WX EVENT EARLY FRI AM...SEE OUTLOOK BELOW***
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT WITH
SKC AND LOWERING WINDS THIS EVENING.
VFR CONTINUES WITH WIND VEERING TO SE IN THE AFTN ON THURSDAY AS THE
HIGH MOVES OFF SHORE. DEEP LOW PRESSURE STARTS ITS PUSH TOWARDS THE
NORTHEASTERN U.S. LATE IN THE DAY.
NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...
DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT: HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)
KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: GUSTS WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT THROUGH 03Z
AND MAY END AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE FORECAST.
KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: GUSTS WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT THROUGH 03Z
AND MAY END AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE FORECAST.
KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: GUSTS WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT THROUGH 01Z
AND MAY END AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE FORECAST.
KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: GUSTS WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT THROUGH 01Z
AND MAY END AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE FORECAST.
KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: NO AMENDMENTS EXPECTED. HIGH CONFIDENCE
FORECAST.
KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED. HIGH
CONFIDENCE FORECAST.
.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THU THROUGH MONDAY...
.THU EVENING-FRI MORNING...MVFR CIGS DEVELOP IN THE EVENING AND
LOWER TO IFR AFT MIDNIGHT. HEAVY RAIN...A POSSIBLE THUNDER...STRONG
SE SURFACE WINDS G 40 KT...AND LLWS WITH SE WINDS 50-70 KT AT 1 KFT
AGL IN THE EARLY MORNING FOLLOWED BY WIND SHIFT TO WSW IN THE LATE
MORNING.
.FRI AFTERNOON/NIGHT...CIGS BKN030-040 AND ISOLD-SCT RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. BRISK SW-W FLOW 15-25G25-35 KT.
.SAT...VFR. STRONG WNW WINDS 20-25G40KT. SNOW FLURRIES AND/OR
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY NORTH.
.SUN...MAINLY VFR. BRISK WNW FLOW 15-20G25-30 KT.
.MON...MVFR POSSIBLY IN THE EVENING WITH CHANCE -SN.
&&
.MARINE...
GALES CURRENTLY ON THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN OCEAN WATERS...WITH ALL
OTHER WATERS WITH SCA WINDS. AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN...EXPECT
WEAKENING WINDS...WITH THE LATEST THINKING SCA CRITERIA FOR ALL
WATERS AFTER 00Z TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. SUB-SCA
CONDITIONS THEN IN STORE FOR THURSDAY.
WINDS AND SEAS GREATLY INCREASE BY THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE IN GALES BEING REACHED ON ALL WATERS BY FRI MORNING.
POSSIBLE STORM FORCE WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE OCEAN WATERS
FOR A PERIOD ON FRIDAY AS WELL...BUT LOWER CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME
WITH THIS SOLUTION.
GALE FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY AS A
TIGHT GRADIENT DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO 7-9 FT
ON THE OCEAN WATERS ON SATURDAY AND WILL REMAIN ABOVE SCA LEVELS AT
LEAST THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN ON
MONDAY BRINGING SEAS BELOW 5FT. WINDS WILL COME DOWN TO SCA CRITERIA
AND BE BELOW CRITERIA BY MONDAY NIGHT.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING AN ALL RAIN EVENT BEGINNING
TOMORROW EVENING...AND LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE HEAVIEST
PCPN IS FORECASTED FOR LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY
FRIDAY...WITH POSSIBLE 1 - 1.5 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA. ISOLATED
AREAS MAY SEE UP TO 2 INCHES WITH ANY CONVECTION THAT OCCURS. THIS
COULD RESULT IN URBAN AND STREET FLOODING IN VULNERABLE LOW LYING
AREAS.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
STRONG LOW PRES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. DEPARTURES WOULD HAVE TO AVERAGE 1 FOOT OR MORE TO REACH
MINOR FLOODING VALUES. SOME AREAS COULD REACH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
LEVELS...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS POINT AND WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED AS THE STORM GETS CLOSER.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR ANZ335-338-
345-355.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ330-340-
353.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ350.
&&
SYNOPSIS...LN/SEARS
NEAR TERM...SEARS
SHORT TERM...SEARS
LONG TERM...LN
AVIATION...JP
MARINE...LN/SEARS
HYDROLOGY...LN/SEARS
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 19, 4:10 PM EST, 3 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 410 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-202115- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX- EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 410 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST TO FORM ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. MINOR URBAN FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS TIME THAT COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH POSSIBLE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET FOR A FEW HOURS AROUND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ALONG LONG ISLAND...AND AROUND THE NYC METRO AREA. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ350-353-202115- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 410 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG AND IN FRONT OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. GALES ARE FORECASTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND REMAIN THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THERE MAY ALSO BE A PERIOD OF STORM FORCE WINDS FRIDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ330-335-338-340-345-355-202115- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 410 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG AND IN FRONT OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. GALES ARE FORECASTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND REMAIN THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THERE MAY ALSO BE A PERIOD OF STORM FORCE WINDS FRIDAY MORNING ON THE OCEAN WATERS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 11:52 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | OKX | 4 hr | |
| Dec 20, 3:23 AM EST | Gale Warning | OKX | 18 hr | |
| Dec 20, 3:30 PM EST | Wind Advisory | OKX | Bronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 2 more | 5 hr |
| Dec 20, 3:34 PM EST | Coastal Flood Statement | OKX | Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond, Suffolk | 15 hr |
| Dec 20, 3:34 PM EST | Coastal Flood Statement | OKX | Westchester | 5 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.