Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 22, NWS New York, NY

December 18, 2012

NWS New York, NY issued this gale warning at Dec 18, 2012, 3:58 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 18, 2012, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 17 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 18, 2012, 3:58 AM EST (08:58 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 18, 2012, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 19, 2012, 10:51 AM EST
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

543 
WHUS71 KOKX 180858
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
358 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS FROM LATE TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-181700-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121218T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0012.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0022.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY.
THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT TODAY...BECOMING WEST 20 TO 30 KT
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS EVENING
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED FROM
  NOW INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-181700-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0012.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS UP TO 35 KT POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN SOUND AND BAYS
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET ON LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE TONIGHT
  INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ345-181700-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0012.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE THIS EVENING INTO
  WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-181700-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.121218T1800Z-121219T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0012.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR FROM TONIGHT INTO
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
6 follow-up statements
411 
WHUS71 KOKX 181746
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1246 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS FROM LATE TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-190200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121218T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0022.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1246 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS 
  EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE 
  EXPECTED FROM NOW INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-190200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
1246 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG 
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE TONIGHT 
  INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ345-190200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1246 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE THIS EVENING INTO 
  WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-190200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.121218T1800Z-121219T2300Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
1246 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR FROM TONIGHT INTO 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
159 
WHUS71 KOKX 182041
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
341 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-190445-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121218T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0022.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
341 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TONIGHT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT
  INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED FROM
  NOW INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-190445-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
341 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG 
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE TONIGHT 
  INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ345-190445-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
341 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-190445-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121219T2300Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
341 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE TONIGHT
  INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
699 
WHUS71 KOKX 182248
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
548 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-190900-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121218T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0022.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
548 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED INTO WEDNESDAY
  MORNING. SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-190900-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
548 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG 
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT INTO
  WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ345-190900-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.121218T2300Z-121219T2300Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
548 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-190900-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121219T2300Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
548 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT INTO
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JMC
930 
WHUS71 KOKX 190226
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
926 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-191030-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-121219T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
926 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-191030-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121219T2300Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
926 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-191030-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121219T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
926 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG 
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JMC
860 
WHUS71 KOKX 190843
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
343 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

ANZ355-191600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-121219T1600Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
343 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS BY
  AROUND MIDDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-191645-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-121219T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
343 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE THROUGH
  EARLY AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED INTO
  TONIGHT ONCE THE GALE CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-191645-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
343 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING....THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-191645-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
343 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG 
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
745 
WHUS71 KOKX 191551
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1051 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

ANZ350-353-192300-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-121219T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0023.121219T1600Z-121219T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1051 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND EAST OF
  FIRE ISLAND INLET NY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE THROUGH 
  EARLY AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED INTO 
  TONIGHT ONCE THE GALE CONDITIONS HAVE SUBSIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-200000-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-121219T1600Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.121219T1600Z-121220T0500Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1051 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET NY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING....THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS 
  AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-345-200000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1051 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG 
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING....THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS 
  AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-200000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-121220T0500Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
1051 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG 
  ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 18, 12:16 AM EST, 3 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 12:16 AM EST, 3 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1216 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
ANOTHER LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE LOCAL AREA EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING AND MOVE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH FRIDAY...A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY
HIGH PRESSURE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE REGION...WITH
PERIODS OF RAIN CONTINUING OVERNIGHT...ALONG WITH AREAS OF FOG. HAVE
UPPED POPS IN THE IMMEDIATE NEAR TERM AS RAIN IS ALREADY ONGOING
OVER THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE.

WARM ADVECTION HAS BEGUN WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISING ACROSS
THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. LEANED TOWARD THE LAV GUIDANCE AND NAM
2-METER TEMPERATURES FOR TEMPERATURE TRENDS. ALSO UPDATED DEW
POINTS WHICH ARE ALSO SLOWLY RISING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
ALTHOUGH FORECAST MODELS SHOW VARIATION ON THE LOW FCST TRACK
INCLUDING TIMING AND INTENSITY...THEY DO AGREE THAT LOW PRES WILL
BE MOVING NE OF THE AREA BY TUE AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING
WINDS...REMAINING BELOW ADVISORY LIMITS.

FOR TUESDAY...HIGH TEMPS ARE FCST IN THE LOW-MID 50S...UP TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME PERSISTENT STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT.

AFTER SOME LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT A BRIEF RESPITE IS
IN STORE AFTER A RELATIVELY ACTIVE PERIOD WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING AT THE SURFACE ON WEDNESDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ALLOWING
FOR HIGHER THICKNESSES ON THURSDAY WILL MEAN ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ON THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY ON
WEDNESDAY AS THERMAL PROFILES SHOW DRY ADIABATIC CONDITIONS THROUGH
900 HPA. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS MODEL
RUN...SO THINKING THAT GUSTS OF UP TO 30 KT ARE POSSIBLE...A COUPLE
OF KT LESS THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT SHOULD MAINLY BE IN THE
UPPER 20 KT.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID-WEST THEN TRACKS OVER THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO APPROACH FROM
THE WEST. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST
AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES. MODELS ARE IN RELATIVE
AGREEMENT WITH THE START OF THE PRECIPITATION...WHICH SHOULD START
AS ALL RAIN EVERYWHERE ACCORDING TO THERMAL PROFILES. A PERIOD OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING AS THE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES OCCLUDES AND ANOTHER TRIPLE
POINT LOW DEVELOPS NEAR THE TRI-STATE AND THE COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH. PRECIPITATION MAY ALSO BE ENHANCED WITH THE PRESENCE OF A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF 60 KT AT 900 HPA. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD PUSH
OFF THE EAST COAST ON FRIDAY...WITH DRY SLOT MOVING IN FRIDAY
NIGHT...DECREASING THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. WITH UPPER LEVEL
LOW BEING CUT-OFF FROM THE MAIN FLOW AND REMAINING OVER NEW
ENGLAND...AN OMEGA BLOCK SETS UP...CANT RULE OUT AT LEAST SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THROUGH SUNDAY.

PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE AS THE LOW APPROACHES...ALLOWING
WINDS TO INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WIND GUSTS COULD ONCE
AGAIN APPROACH 30 KT ON FRIDAY.

GFS IS MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE CUT-OFF LOW THAN THE ECMWF WHICH
DOES NOT PUSH THE LOW INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES UNTIL WEDNESDAY.
GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR AND THE FACT THAT THE GFS IS COMING MORE IN
LINE WITH THE BLOCKING PATTERN...LEANED MORE TOWARD THE
ECMWF...AND CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF THE NEW WORK WEEK...ESPECIALLY FOR INLAND AREAS THAT
WILL BE CLOSER TO THE LOW AND MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO INSTABILITY
SHOWERS. IT WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
LOW PRES WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING.

IFR THROUGH OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF LIFR LIKELY...ESPECIALLY AS THE LOW
PASSES OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING.

IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR AFT 12Z...THEN VFR BY 18-20Z.

NE FLOW GENERALLY BELOW 10KT TONIGHT. WINDS BECOME VRB IN
DIRECTION AS THE LOW PASSES OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING.

W WINDS INCREASE AS THE LOW DEPARTS THROUGH THE DAY TUE. GUSTS
OVER 20KT LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVE.

WIND DIRECTION WILL BE CLOSE TO 300 TRUE LATE TUE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

REMAINING WINDY TUE NIGHT WITH VFR.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...VFR. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH GUSTY NW WINDS 15-20KTS G 25-30KTS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR. DIMINISHING N WINDS.
.THURSDAY..MVFR OR LOWER POSSIBLE...WITH RAIN.
.FRIDAY...RAIN ENDS LATE....BCMG VFR. GUSTY W WINDS 15-20 KTS G
25-30 KTS.
.SATURDAY...VFR. STRONG WNW WINDS 25 KT G 35 KTS. FLURRIES...SNOW
SHOWERS NORTH.

&&

.MARINE...
MINOR CHANGES MADE THIS GO AROUND...MAINLY TO INCREASE THE LENGTH
OF TIME WINDS ARE ABOVE 10 KT OVER THE SOUND AND COASTAL OCEAN
WATERS BASED ON LATEST TRENDS IN THE OBSERVATIONS AND GUIDANCE.

WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAINLY FOR
SEAS.

AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRES SYSTEM WILL MOVE NE OF THE COASTAL WATERS
TUE AFTERNOON THROUGH WED.

A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT AS WINDS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
APPROACH 40 KT ON ALL WATERS...SLIGHTLY LESS ON THE SOUND AND SOUTH
SHORE BAYS. WAVES ON THE OCEAN BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FT...AND BEGIN COMING
DOWN WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ALONG WITH THE WINDS. BRIEF RESPITE ON
THURSDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WILL
BRING WINDS BACK UP TO AND POSSIBLY OVER 40 KT AND WAVES BUILD TO 10
TO 12 FT ON FRIDAY. THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE WILL BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY OVER NEW ENGLAND...AND THIS COULD PROVIDE A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...WHICH IS WHEN THEY
START TO DIE DOWN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND THE LOW WEAKENS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS OF RAIN ARE FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING IN DRIZZLE.

TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WED...WITH A WEAK SFC LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NE...WEST AND NORTH
OF THE AREA...THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS NOW FORECAST TO FALL WEST AND
NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA WITH AMOUNTS OF GENERALLY 1/2 INCH OR LESS
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS AND UP TO 2/3 INCH INLAND...MAINLY
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. NO HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS ARE
EXPECTED.

THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...
A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. UP TO AN INCH OF
QPF...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY ON
FRIDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
BECAUSE WATER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE RANGING FROM 1/2 TO
1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT/S HIGH TIDES...A COASTAL FLOOD
STATEMENT WAS ISSUED FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR TONIGHT/S HIGH
TIDES ALONG THE ATLANTIC SHORES FROM BROOKLYN EAST ACROSS COASTAL
NASSAU COUNTY.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GC
NEAR TERM...MALOIT/MET
SHORT TERM...GC
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...JMC
MARINE...MALOIT/MET
HYDROLOGY...GC/JP
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 17, 4:30 PM EST, 11 hours 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
430 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-182130-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
430 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY WITH
THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT...A PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS IS LIKELY. WINDS WILL LIKELY
REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE THAT THEY MAY REACH WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-182130-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
430 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 18, 3:58 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryOKX44 hr
Dec 18, 4:19 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementOKXNassau41 min

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.