Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2012
Flood Watch 2, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this flood watch at Oct 27, 2012, 4:58 PM EDT for 11 counties in New York; 5 counties in New Jersey; 4 counties in Connecticut. It took effect at Oct 29, 2012, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 15 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 27, 2012, 4:58 PM EDT (20:58 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 29, 2012, 6:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 29, 2012, 9:06 PM EDT
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 838 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 74 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
664 WGUS61 KOKX 272058 FFAOKX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 458 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY... CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 281000- /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.A.0002.121029T1000Z-121030T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 458 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. * FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO BRING BETWEEN 2 AND 6 INCHES OF RAIN EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN BANDS. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. * THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY...WITH FLOODING OF FLASHY...FAST RESPONDING STREAMS LIKELY AS WELL. THE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED BY FALLEN LEAVES CLOGGING DRAINS...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. * IN ADDITION...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME LARGER MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL DEPEND ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN ACTUALLY FALLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
6 follow-up statements
339 WGUS61 KOKX 280954 FFAOKX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 554 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY... CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 282300- /O.CON.KOKX.FA.A.0002.121029T1000Z-121030T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 554 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN FAIRFIELD...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX...NORTHERN NEW HAVEN...NORTHERN NEW LONDON... SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN AND SOUTHERN NEW LONDON. IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...EASTERN BERGEN...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN PASSAIC...EASTERN UNION... HUDSON...WESTERN BERGEN...WESTERN ESSEX...WESTERN PASSAIC AND WESTERN UNION. IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...BRONX...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK... NORTHERN NASSAU...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN WESTCHESTER... NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...ORANGE...PUTNAM...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...ROCKLAND...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHERN NASSAU... SOUTHERN QUEENS...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER AND SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK. * FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON * A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO BRING BETWEEN 2 AND 6 INCHES OF RAIN EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN BANDS AS WELL AS AREAS THAT ARE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF THE STORM. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. * THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY...WITH FLOODING OF FLASHY...FAST RESPONDING STREAMS LIKELY AS WELL. THE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED BY FALLEN LEAVES CLOGGING DRAINS...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
943 WGUS61 KOKX 282009 FFAOKX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 409 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY... CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 291000- /O.CON.KOKX.FA.A.0002.121029T1000Z-121030T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 409 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * ALL OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * SANDY IS EXPECTED TO BRING 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN BANDS...AND IN AREAS CLOSER TO WHERE THE CENTER OF SANDY MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. * THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY...WITH FLOODING OF FAST RESPONDING STREAMS LIKELY AS WELL. THE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED BY FALLEN LEAVES CLOGGING STORM DRAINS...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
562 WGUS61 KOKX 290916 FFAOKX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 516 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY... CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 292215- /O.CON.KOKX.FA.A.0002.121029T1000Z-121030T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 516 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * ALL OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * SANDY IS EXPECTED TO BRING 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN BANDS...AND IN AREAS CLOSER TO WHERE THE CENTER OF SANDY MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. * THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY...WITH FLOODING OF FAST RESPONDING STREAMS LIKELY AS WELL. THE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED BY FALLEN LEAVES CLOGGING STORM DRAINS...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ GOODMAN
439 WGUS61 KOKX 291614 FFAOKX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1214 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY... CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 300515- /O.CON.KOKX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-121030T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 1214 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN FAIRFIELD...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX...NORTHERN NEW HAVEN...NORTHERN NEW LONDON... SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN AND SOUTHERN NEW LONDON. IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...EASTERN BERGEN...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN PASSAIC...EASTERN UNION... HUDSON...WESTERN BERGEN...WESTERN ESSEX...WESTERN PASSAIC AND WESTERN UNION. IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...BRONX...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK... NORTHERN NASSAU...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN WESTCHESTER... NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...ORANGE...PUTNAM...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...ROCKLAND...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHERN NASSAU... SOUTHERN QUEENS...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER AND SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK. * THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON * SANDY IS EXPECTED TO BRING 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN BANDS...AND IN AREAS CLOSER TO WHERE THE CENTER OF SANDY MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. * THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING INTO TUESDAY...WITH FLOODING OF FAST RESPONDING STREAMS LIKELY AS WELL. THE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED BY FALLEN LEAVES CLOGGING STORM DRAINS...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
890 WGUS61 KOKX 292008 FFAOKX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 408 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY... CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 300915- /O.CON.KOKX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-121030T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 408 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN FAIRFIELD...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX...NORTHERN NEW HAVEN...NORTHERN NEW LONDON... SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN AND SOUTHERN NEW LONDON. IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...EASTERN BERGEN...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN PASSAIC...EASTERN UNION... HUDSON...WESTERN BERGEN...WESTERN ESSEX...WESTERN PASSAIC AND WESTERN UNION. IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...BRONX...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK... NORTHERN NASSAU...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN WESTCHESTER... NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...ORANGE...PUTNAM...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...ROCKLAND...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHERN NASSAU... SOUTHERN QUEENS...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER AND SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK. * THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON * SANDY IS EXPECTED TO BRING 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN BANDS. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. * THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING INTO TUESDAY...WITH FLOODING OF FAST RESPONDING STREAMS LIKELY AS WELL. THE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED BY FALLEN LEAVES CLOGGING STORM DRAINS...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
237 WGUS61 KOKX 300106 FFAOKX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 906 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 300215- /O.CAN.KOKX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-121030T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 906 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH POST- TROPICAL STORM SANDY HAS ENDED. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WITH AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH WITH RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT. HIGH WINDS AND LIFE THREATENING COASTAL FLOODING CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Oct 27, 4:46 PM EDT, 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 4:46 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
446 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL WEAKEN AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT
THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WITH UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE FROM SANDY AND PERSISTENT EASTERLY
FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS...MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE CWA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD NOT RISE TOO MUCH FURTHER THIS
AFTERNOON WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 60S.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH A
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN SANDY AND HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR NE. A SLIGHT CHC OF LIGHT PCPN REMAINS IN THE FORECAST ACROSS
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT AND
VORT MAX.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM GREAT LAKES REGION SOUTH
THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL PUSH EAST TONIGHT INTO
TOMORROW AND BECOME MORE NEGATIVELY TILTED BY 00Z MON...BEGINNING
TO INTERACT WITH SANDY AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. MEANWHILE...A REX BLOCK
SETS UP DOWNSTREAM OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC WHICH WILL
EVENTUALLY LEAD TO THE BLOCKING OF THE TROUGH AND APPROACHING
SANDY. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT REMAINS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE CWA
AS SANDY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. MULTIPLE WEAK SHORTWAVES ROUND
THE TROUGH...KEEPING POPS IN THE FORECAST TONIGHT INTO
TOMORROW...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE AS PCPN FROM SANDY MOVES NORTH
AS WELL LATER SUNDAY.
A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL INCREASE THE
EASTERLY FLOW...ESP SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING SUSTAINED WINDS TO
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH...AND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. THIS TREND WILL
THEN CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL HELP TO MODERATE TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW...BRINGING TEMPS BACK DOWN CLOSER TO NORMAL. CONTINUED TO
USE A BLEND OF NAM/MOS GUIDANCE.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM IS BECOMING MORE LIKELY FOR SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MID WEEK.
CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE THAT THE LOCAL AREA WILL BE
AFFECTED BY SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM SANDY. GENERAL OPERATION
MODELS ARE LINING UP BETTER WITH TIMING...BRINGING THE STORM IN
AROUND 00Z TUES...THOUGH WITH DISCREPANCIES OF ACTUAL LOCATION
BEING FROM DELMARVA UP TO LI. LATEST NHC FORECAST CONTINUES TO
TREND BRINGING THE STORM IN AROUND THE DELMARVA REGION...SO KEPT
THE TIMING AND TRACK OF THE FORECAST SIMILAR TO THIS THINKING.
THE STORM IS STILL EXPECTED TO MAKE A TRANSITION INTO POST
TROPICAL PRIOR TO LANDFALL. IT HAS TO BE EMPHASIZED...THAT
ALTHOUGH THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO POST-TROPICAL
BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WILL BE A LARGE AND DANGEROUS STORM FOR THE
NORTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC.
BASED ON ABOVE...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
TO THE REGION...IN THE FORM OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND RESULTANT
URBAN...SMALL STREAM...AND RIVER FLOODING...HIGH WINDS CAUSING
WIDESPREAD DOWNING OF TREES AND POWER LINES...AND SIGNIFICANT
SHORELINE IMPACTS FROM COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.
THE WINDOW FOR HEAVIEST RAIN IS STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN AS IT WILL
DEPEND ON EXACT TIMING AND TRACK OF THE SANDY AND INTERACTION WITH
INTENSE JET/SHORTWAVE ENERGY...BUT SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN ARE
POSSIBLE ANYWHERE FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. SEE THE
HYDROLOGY SECTIONS FOR MORE ON THE FLOODING POTENTIAL. AS FOR
WINDS...THEY INCREASE FROM THE E/NE ON SUNDAY BETWEEN SANDY AND
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE N. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS WELL INTO
THE 30S ARE LIKELY BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN CONTINUING INTO
MONDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE COINCIDENT WITH THE CLOSEST
APPROACH AND LANDFALL OF SANDY...LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUE...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPEEDS OF 40-50G70-80MPH...SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN
ELEVATED LOCATIONS. IF THESE WINDS ARE REALIZED...THE COMBINATION
OF EVENT DURATION...SATURATED GROUNDS...AND PARTIAL TO FULL
FOLIAGE TREES...WOULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD DOWNING OF TREES AND POWER
LINES...CAUSING DISRUPTION TO POWER AND POSSIBLY TRANSIT FOR
SEVERAL DAYS. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT COASTAL
IMPACTS...DETAILED IN THE TIDES AND COASTAL FLOODING SECTIONS.
ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO THE
LOCAL AREA...CONTINUE TO MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECASTS AS UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS WITH THE EXACT TIMING AND
DEGREE OF IMPACT DUE TO THE STILL WIDE ENVELOPE OF POSSIBLE
LANDFALL LOCATIONS. ALSO...REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
FOR THE LATEST TRACK AND FORECASTS.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON...AND GIVE
WAY TO THE OUTER CIRCULATION OF SANDY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN INCREASING SUSTAINED WINDS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...AND IN GUSTS AFTER 10Z SUNDAY. THERE IS LOW TO MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE ON ONSET/STRENGTH OF ANY GUSTS TONIGHT...WHICH MIGHT
NOT MATERIALIZE UNTIL LATE ESPECIALLY INLAND.
LOW CONFIDENCE ON CIGS THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME DRIER AIR WORKING IN
FROM THE WEST MAY SCATTER OUT CURRENT BKN030-035 TO A SCT030-035
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD. HOWEVER...MVFR CIGS SHOULD COME BACK AT SOME
POINT TONIGHT ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MVFR
CIGS LATE TONIGHT AFTER ABOUT 08Z-09Z INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
.SUNDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT...MVFR CIGS AND INCREASING NE WINDS.
G30-35KT EXPECTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND
G40-45KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS IN NYC METRO AND ALONG THE
COAST.
.MONDAY-TUESDAY...STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40-50 KT LIKELY...WITH
GUSTS POSSIBLE OVER 70 KT. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WITH IFR
CONDITIONS.
.WED-THU...BRISK WITH MVFR CONDS AND SHOWERS.
&&
.MARINE...
SCA REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OCEAN WATERS TODAY AS WINDS INCREASE
FROM THE EAST...AND SEAS REACH 5 FT. WINDS AND SEAS ON ALL WATERS
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW INTO THE
BEGINNING OF THE WEEK AS THE COASTAL STORM IMPACTS THE REGION.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT GALE CONDITIONS WILL BE MET LATER
SUNDAY ON ALL WATERS...THEN POSSIBLE STORM FORCE WINDS BY LATE
MONDAY. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE EXACT TIMING OF THESE
CONDITIONS...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY FURTHER MARINE PRODUCTS
AT THIS TIME.
SEAS WILL GREATLY INCREASE SUNDAY WITH THE STRONG WINDS.
20-25 FT OCEAN SEAS ARE POSSIBLE BY MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY AS A
RESULT...WITH 5 TO 10 FT SEAS ON THE SOUND.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN AND SIGNIFICANT URBAN...SMALL
STREAM...AND RIVER FLOODING EXISTS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY FROM SANDY OR HER REMNANTS. UNCERTAINTY WITH HER TRACK
REMAINS BUT SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...WITH THE
HEAVIEST RAIN LIKELY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT BEGINNING FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE
SUNDAY EVENING...LASTING THROUGH MONDAY FOR ALL COASTLINES.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A SIGNIFICANT AND PROLONGED COASTAL
FLOOD EVENT FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. EASTERLY FLOW WILL BEGIN
STRENGTHENING SUNDAY...WITH POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING STARTING WITH THE SUNDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE AND BECOMING
INCREASING LIKELY AND WIDESPREAD FOR SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.
WIDESPREAD MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BY THE MONDAY
MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE AS THE STRONGEST WINDS BEGIN AFFECTING
THE AREA. THEN THE EXACT TRACK/TIMING AND EVOLUTION OF SANDY WILL
DETERMINE THE MAGNITUDE OF COASTAL FLOODING WITH THE TUESDAY
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE...WITH POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
AND WIDESPREAD COASTAL FLOODING RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD FLOODING
AND POSSIBLE DAMAGE IN HISTORICALLY FLOOD PRONE SPOTS.
HAND IN HAND WITH THE COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE INCREASINGLY HIGH
SURF BATTERING THE COAST SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR BEACH EROSION...LOCALIZED WASHOVERS...AND DAMAGE
TO VULNERABLE SHORELINE STRUCTURES.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
CTZ009>012.
FLOOD WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
CTZ005>012.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
CTZ009>012.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR CTZ005>012.
NY...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179.
FLOOD WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
NYZ071-073>075-078>081-176>179.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
NJZ006-106-108.
FLOOD WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SEARS
NEAR TERM...DS/NV
SHORT TERM...SEARS
LONG TERM...SEARS/NV
AVIATION...BC/GOODMAN
MARINE...SEARS/NV
HYDROLOGY...SEARS/NV
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 27, 5:46 AM EDT, 11 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 546 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 CTZ005>008-NJZ002-004-103>108-NYZ067>070-281000- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 546 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE TRI-STATE AREA WILL LIKELY FEEL THE IMPACTS OF A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS INCLUDES THE LIKELIHOOD FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND RESULTANT SIGNIFICANT URBAN...SMALL STREAM...AND RIVER FLOODING...HIGH WINDS CAUSING WIDESPREAD DOWNING OF TREES AND POWER LINES...AND SIGNIFICANT SHORELINE IMPACTS FROM COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION. THE SPECIFIC IMPACTS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE EAST COAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON SANDY...AND MONITOR THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ330-335-338-340-350-353-355-281000- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 546 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE COASTAL WATERS WILL LIKELY FEEL THE IMPACTS OF A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS INCLUDES THE LIKELIHOOD FOR GALE FORCE SUNDAY...WITH STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG WITH EXTREMELY HIGH SEAS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE EAST COAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON SANDY...AND MONITOR THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. CTZ009>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-281000- SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)- BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 546 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE TRI-STATE AREA WILL LIKELY FEEL THE IMPACTS OF A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS INCLUDES THE LIKELIHOOD FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND RESULTANT SIGNIFICANT URBAN...SMALL STREAM...AND RIVER FLOODING...HIGH WINDS CAUSING WIDESPREAD DOWNING OF TREES AND POWER LINES...AND SIGNIFICANT SHORELINE IMPACTS FROM COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION. THE SPECIFIC IMPACTS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE EAST COAST. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTLINES BEGINNING WITH SUNDAY EVENINGS HIGH TIDE...AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY. PERSISTENT STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL PILE WATER ON TOP OF ALREADY HIGHER ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES DUE TO THE FULL MOON..RESULTING IN POSSIBLE CONTINUING FLOOD STAGES BETWEEN HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THE MOST PRONE FOR THE WIDESPREAD MODERATE FLOODING WILL BE WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND SHORELINES. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON SANDY...AND MONITOR THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ345-281000- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 546 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE TRI-STATE AREA WILL LIKELY FEEL THE IMPACTS OF A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS INCLUDES THE LIKELIHOOD FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND RESULTANT SIGNIFICANT URBAN...SMALL STREAM...AND RIVER FLOODING...HIGH WINDS CAUSING WIDESPREAD DOWNING OF TREES AND POWER LINES...AND SIGNIFICANT SHORELINE IMPACTS FROM COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION. THE SPECIFIC IMPACTS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE EAST COAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON SANDY...AND MONITOR THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 5:46 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Watch | OKX | Bronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 2 more | 12 hr |
| Oct 27, 4:36 PM EDT | High Wind Watch | OKX | Bronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 5 more | 12 hr |
| Oct 27, 4:53 PM EDT | Hurricane Force Wind Watch | OKX | 12 hr | |
| Oct 27, 5:34 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | OKX | Bronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 2 more | 69 hr |
| Oct 27, 5:34 PM EDT | High Surf Advisory | OKX | Bronx, Kings, Nassau, Queens, Richmond, Suffolk and 1 more | 12 hr |
Nearby
Flood Watches in New York, 2012Flood Watches in New Jersey, 2012Flood Watches in Connecticut, 2012Every flood watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.