River Flood Warning 7, NWS Medford, OR

282 
WGUS86 KMFR 210110
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
610 PM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

.THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AND THE SOUTH FORK OF THE COQUILLE RIVER 
AT MYRTLE POINT ARE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT WILL BEGIN TO RISE THIS 
EVENING. A FRONT THAT STALLS OVER THE AREA WILL BRING HEAVY 
RAIN TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PUSH THE RIVER 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AGAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND EVENTUALLY WILL PRODUCE NEAR 
MAJOR FLOODING. RIVER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT MYRTLE 
POINT ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT COQUILLE ON FRIDAY NIGHT. 

ORC011-211310-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0007.120322T0006Z-120323T1225Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0006Z.120322T0900Z.120323T0025Z.NO/
610 PM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  5:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE ROAD AND FARMLAND FLOODING 
  UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF MYRTLE POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME 
  RESIDENTS OF LOW-LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF MYRTLE POINT MAY BE
  THREATENED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.0 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-211310-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120324T1722Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.120316T1515Z.120322T1900Z.120324T0522Z.NO/
610 PM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  5:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

710 
WGUS86 KMFR 211025
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
325 AM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

ORC011-212225-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0007.120322T0006Z-120323T1225Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0006Z.120322T0900Z.120323T0025Z.NO/
325 AM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  2:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE ROAD AND FARMLAND FLOODING 
  UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF MYRTLE POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME 
  RESIDENTS OF LOW-LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF MYRTLE POINT MAY BE
  THREATENED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.0 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-212225-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120324T1722Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.120316T1515Z.120322T1900Z.120324T0522Z.NO/
325 AM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  2:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

805 
WGUS86 KMFR 212012
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
112 PM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

.A FRONT HAS STALLED OVER THE AREA BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL PUSH THE SOUTH FORK OF THE COQUILLE RIVER
AT MYRTLE POINT ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS
EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING.

ORC011-220212-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.120322T0047Z-120323T1226Z/
/MYPO3.2.ER.120322T0047Z.120322T0600Z.120323T0026Z.NO/
112 PM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 12:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE ROAD AND FARMLAND FLOODING 
  UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF MYRTLE POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME 
  RESIDENTS OF LOW-LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF MYRTLE POINT MAY BE
  THREATENED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.0 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

877 
WGUS86 KMFR 220150
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
650 PM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  DEER CREEK AT ROSEBURG AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY...
  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

.A FRONT STALLED OVER THE AREA WILL FINALLY MOVE EAST TONIGHT. AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF COOS AND
DOUGLAS COUNTIES TONIGHT WITH RISING RIVER HEIGHTS INTO THURSDAY.

ORC011-220750-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120324T1919Z/
/COQO3.3.ER.120316T1515Z.120322T2000Z.120324T0719Z.NO/
650 PM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  5:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 25.0
  FEET EARLY THURSDAY EVENING AND REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INTO
  FRIDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-220750-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1226Z/
/MYPO3.2.ER.120322T0224Z.120322T0600Z.120323T0026Z.NO/
650 PM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  6:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO PEAK
  LATE TONIGHT AT 37.0 FEET AND REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INTO
  THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE ROAD AND FARMLAND FLOODING 
  UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF MYRTLE POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME 
  RESIDENTS OF LOW-LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF MYRTLE POINT MAY BE
  THREATENED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.0 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC019-220750-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120322T1939Z/
/DEEO3.1.ER.120321T2155Z.120322T0600Z.120322T0739Z.NO/
650 PM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DEER CREEK AT ROSEBURG.
* AT  6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
  THE CREEK IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 10.8 FEET THIS EVENING AND
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IS 
  OCCURRING. RESIDENTIAL FLOODING BEGINS AT THIS POINT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.0 FEET
  ON FEB 15 2011.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&
DW

073 
WGUS46 KMFR 220655
FLWMFR
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
1155 PM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE 
   FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

ORC011-221255-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1226Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0215Z.120322T0615Z.120323T0026Z.NO/
1155 PM PDT WED MAR 21 2012

...OBSERVED FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.

* AT 11:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT 38 TO 39 FEET EARLY THURSDAY
  MORNING...THEN FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE ROAD AND FARMLAND FLOODING 
  UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF MYRTLE POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME 
  RESIDENTS OF LOW-LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF MYRTLE POINT MAY BE
  THREATENED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 38.5 FEET
  ON FEB 18 1983.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

325 
WGUS86 KMFR 221032
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
332 AM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  DEER CREEK AT ROSEBURG AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY...
  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

.RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT
FLOODING OF MAIN STEM RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL CONTINUE FOLLOWING THE 
HEAVY RAINFALL AND RUN OFF OVER THE LAST 24 TO 48 HOURS.

ORC011-221832-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120324T2216Z/
/COQO3.3.ER.120316T1515Z.120322T2000Z.120324T1016Z.NR/
332 AM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  2:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 25.9 FEET THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND REMAIN ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL 
  GRADUALLY RECEDE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT EVENTUALLY FALLING BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-221632-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1343Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0215Z.120322T0915Z.120323T0143Z.NO/
332 AM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  3:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING AND WILL GRADUALLY RECEDE LATER THIS 
  MORNING THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE ROAD AND FARMLAND FLOODING 
  UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF MYRTLE POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME 
  RESIDENTS OF LOW-LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF MYRTLE POINT MAY BE
  THREATENED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.0 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC019-221631-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120323T0443Z/
/DEEO3.1.ER.120321T2155Z.120322T0900Z.120322T1643Z.NO/
332 AM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DEER CREEK AT ROSEBURG.
* AT  2:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING AND IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE LATER THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STRUCTURES AND 
  FARMLAND IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.0 FEET
  ON FEB 15 2011.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

989 
WGUS86 KMFR 221630
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
930 AM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

.MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO OCCUR FOR THE COQUILLE RIVER.
DRIER CONDITIONS TODAY WILL PROVIDE SOME RELIEF BUT THE RIVERS ARE 
STILL FORECASTED TO RISE SLOWLY.

ORC011-222230-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120324T2216Z/
/COQO3.3.ER.120316T1515Z.120322T2000Z.120324T1016Z.NR/
930 AM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-222230-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1343Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0215Z.120322T1045Z.120323T0143Z.NO/
930 AM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  8:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE ROAD AND FARMLAND FLOODING 
  UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF MYRTLE POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME 
  RESIDENTS OF LOW-LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF MYRTLE POINT MAY BE
  THREATENED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.0 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&
MSO/PETRUCELLI

244 
WGUS86 KMFR 221902
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
1202 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

.MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE COQUILLE RIVER. THE COQUILLE
RIVER AT COQUILLE IS EXPECTED TO CREST AT HISTORIC LEVELS LATER 
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE 
FORECAST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

ORC011-230102-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120324T2255Z/
/COQO3.3.ER.120316T1515Z.120322T2300Z.120324T1055Z.NR/
1202 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT 11:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE TO ABOVE THE 
  MAJOR FLOOD STAGE OF 25 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD CREST 
  BETWEEN 25.0 AND 25.5 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  THEN FALL TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THE FORECAST CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
  25.55 FEET ON NOV 23 1953.

$$

ORC011-230102-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1542Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0215Z.120322T1045Z.120323T0342Z.NO/
1202 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT 11:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE ROAD AND FARMLAND FLOODING 
  UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF MYRTLE POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME 
  RESIDENTS OF LOW-LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF MYRTLE POINT MAY BE
  THREATENED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.0 
  FEET  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

308 
WGUS86 KMFR 230045
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
545 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

ORC011-230645-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120324T2255Z/
/COQO3.3.ER.120316T1515Z.120323T0100Z.120324T1055Z.NR/
545 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  4:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-230645-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1539Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0215Z.120322T1045Z.120323T0339Z.NO/
545 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  5:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...EXPECT FLOODING ALONG SOME SECTIONS OF 
  HIGHWAY 42 DOWNSTREAM FROM MYRTLE POINT AND ALONG THE HIGHWAY TO 
  POWERS. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND CAN BE EXPECTED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 33.1 FEET
  ON DEC 30 2010.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

135 
WGUS86 KMFR 230620
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
1120 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

ORC011-231220-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120325T0110Z/
/COQO3.3.ER.120316T1515Z.120323T0800Z.120324T1310Z.NO/
1120 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT 10:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-231220-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1731Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0215Z.120322T1045Z.120323T0531Z.NO/
1120 PM PDT THU MAR 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT 10:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...EXPECT FLOODING ALONG SOME SECTIONS OF 
  HIGHWAY 42 DOWNSTREAM FROM MYRTLE POINT AND ALONG THE HIGHWAY TO 
  POWERS. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND CAN BE EXPECTED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 33.1 FEET
  ON DEC 30 2010.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

134 
WGUS86 KMFR 230858
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
158 AM PDT FRI MAR 23 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

.[OPTIONAL - INSERT SUMMARY HERE. LEAVE THE STARTING DOT. -OR- DELETE
THIS LINE.]

ORC011-231458-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120325T0110Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.120316T1515Z.120323T0900Z.120324T1310Z.NO/
158 AM PDT FRI MAR 23 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  1:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR 
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-230928-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1731Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0215Z.120322T1045Z.120323T0607Z.NO/
158 AM PDT FRI MAR 23 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  1:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:07 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 17.6 FEET BY EARLY 
  TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...NUMEROUS AREAS OF FARMLAND BECOME FLOODED 
  AND WATER NEARS THE ROADS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SPRUCE STREET 
  BRIDGE IN MYRTLE POINT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 33.1 FEET
  ON DEC 30 2010.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

546 
WGUS86 KMFR 230907 CCA
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
158 AM PDT FRI MAR 23 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

ORC011-231458-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120325T0110Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.120316T1515Z.120323T0900Z.120324T1310Z.NO/
158 AM PDT FRI MAR 23 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  1:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...SOME HOMES ARE FLOODED ALONG AND NEAR THE
  COQUILLE RIVER. ROADS ARE FLOODED IN SPOTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.2 FEET
  ON JAN 20 2012.

$$

ORC011-230928-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120323T1731Z/
/MYPO3.3.ER.120322T0215Z.120322T1045Z.120323T0607Z.NO/
158 AM PDT FRI MAR 23 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  1:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:07 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 17.6 FEET BY EARLY
  TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...NUMEROUS AREAS OF FARMLAND BECOME FLOODED
  AND WATER NEARS THE ROADS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SPRUCE STREET
  BRIDGE IN MYRTLE POINT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 33.1 FEET
  ON DEC 30 2010.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

WRIGHT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
910 AM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

CORRECTED DISCUSSION WORDING FOR SPECIFICITY AND CLARITY

.DISCUSSION...
SNOWFALL OVERNIGHT ABOVE 3500 FEET HAS YIELDED SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOW, ENOUGH THAT AN ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE OREGON CASCADES
AND SISKIYOUS AND REMAINS VALID THROUGH 11AM LOCAL TIME THIS
MORNING. SNOW LEVELS ARE NOW NEARING 4000 FEET...SO THE MAIN
IMPACT WILL SHIFT TO ELEVATIONS ABOVE THAT LEVEL AS SNOW CURRENTLY
ON THE GROUND BECOMES HEAVIER AND WETTER AND EVENTUALLY TURNS TO
LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE UP TO NEAR 6000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDS ON THE EAST SIDE ARE CURRENTLY REACHING ADVISORY CRITERIA IN
THE SUMMER LAKE AREA AND MOUNTAINS NEAR THERE...WHILE THE SHASTA
VALLEY AT AND NEAR WEED HAVE REMAINED JUST BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THUS...CURRENT WIND HEADLINES LOOK GOOD. WE WILL BE
LOOKING INTO THEM A BIT FOR TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW AS THE MODELS
HAVE BEEN A LITTLE SHIFTY WITH WHERE WIND MAXIMA SET UP FOR THAT
TIME PERIOD.

OF UTMOST CONCERN TODAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WILL BE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RESULTANT EFFECTS ON AREA
STREAMS, CREEKS, AND RIVERS. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
A SIGNIFICANT TO POSSIBLY MAJOR PRECIPITATION EVENT FOR COOS,
CURRY, WESTERN DOUGLAS, AND WESTERN JOSEPHINE COUNTIES LATER TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WITH SNOW LEVELS RISING WE WILL NEED TO
BE ON GUARD FOR SNOW MELT PLAYING INTO THE PICTURE. HOWEVER, AWAY
FROM THE MENTIONED COUNTIES, RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS RAIN AMOUNTS
WILL BE LIGHT ENOUGH ON THE FAIRLY FRESH SNOW PACK TO NOT RESULT IN
RISES ABOVE ACTION STAGE ON THE MAIN STEM RIVERS. WE WILL BE
FOCUSING ON SNOW LEVELS AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS TODAY TO ENSURE
THEY REMAIN ON TRACK. CURRENT EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR MAIN STEM
FLOODING ONLY ON THE COQUILLE AT COQUILLE, BUT THE SOUTH FORK LOOKS
TO GET VERY CLOSE AT POWERS AND MYRTLE POINT AT THIS TIME. BTL

&&

.AVIATION...
A WARM FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND EAST SIDE IS BRINGING
AND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MVFR TO IFR VALLEY CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES IN LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WITH NEAR TOTAL MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS THIS MORNING. THE WEST SIDE IS IN THE WARM SECTOR OF
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM NOW, SO SOME VALLEY AREAS SUCH AS ROSEBURG AND
MEDFORD HAVE BECOME VFR, BUT THERE ARE PLENTY OF LOWER CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES IN THE IFR TO LIFR RANGE LURKING ABOUT THE VALLEY
EDGES. ALONG THE COAST MVFR TO LIFR EXIST WITH NEAR TOTAL MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ACROSS THE WEST SIDE. EXPECT CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE TO MVFR AND VFR WITH PARTIAL MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ON THE EAST SIDE THIS AFTERNOON. ON THE WEST SIDE
EXPECT SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY CONDITIONS
SIMILAR TO THE CURRENT SITUATION THIS AFTERNOON AS COLD AIR
ADVECTION WITH A WEAK SOUTHWARD PUSH OF THE COLD FRONT. BTL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 AM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012/

DISCUSSION...A QUICK UPDATE WAS MADE THIS MORNING TO ISSUE A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY (PDXWSWMFR) FOR THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN PASSES IN
THE SISKIYOUS AND CASCADES. REPORTS FROM ODOT ARE INDICATING 4 TO
6 INCHES OF SNOW ALREADY DURING THE OVERNIGHT AT SISKIYOU SUMMIT
AND ALSO AROUND LAKE OF THE WOODS, DIAMOND AND CRATER LAKES.
EXPECTING ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES THIS MORNING BEFORE SNOW TAPERS
OFF AND SNOW LEVELS RISE ABOVE THE MAIN PASSES LATE THIS MORNING.
NO OTHER UPDATES. /SPILDE

AVIATION...CURRENTLY MOST STATIONS ARE VFR...BUT WIDESPREAD MVFR
CIGS WITH LOCAL IFR CIGS AND HIGHER TERRAIN OBSCURED ARE NOW
SPREADING INLAND AND WILL REACH THE CASCADES LATER THIS MORNING.
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INITIALLY EAST OF THE CASCADES
.BUT AREAS OF IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
THIS MORNING...THEN CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO AREAS OF MVFR CIGS
AS THE SNOW LEVEL RISES TODAY. AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BE
OBSCURED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 105 AM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012/

DISCUSSION...20/00Z NAM/GFS IN.

FAST WESTERLIES ALOFT ARE NOW DEVELOPING AS A FLATTENING RIDGE TO
THE SOUTH AND A STRONG LOW TO THE NORTH MOVE ONSHORE NEAR
SIMULTANEOUSLY.

FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS
THE RIDGE HEADS EAST AND A LONG WAVE TROUGH DEEPENS OFFSHORE. THIS
WILL MAKE FOR QUITE A WET PATTERN OVER THE MEDFORD CWA DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

A WARM FRONT IS MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE AREAS TONIGHT...BUT A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATER TONIGHT...THEN IT WILL STALL
OVER THE AREA AS IT BECOMES NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE STEERING LEVEL
FLOW. IT WILL WOBBLE BACK AND FORTH IN RESPONSE TO VARIATIONS IN
THE STEERING FLOW INDUCED BY SHORT WAVES EJECTING FROM THE
OFFSHORE TROUGH. THIS PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AND
PRECIPITATION TOTALS WILL BE QUITE HIGH BY THE TIME IT IS OVER.
AMOUNTS MAY EXCEED TEN INCHES IN THE WETTER PORTIONS OF THE CURRY
COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS PATTERN IS FLOODING...AND ANOTHER ROUND
OF RIVER FLOODING IN THE COASTAL BASINS IS A NEAR CERTAINTY...IT
IS JUST A QUESTION OF WHICH ONES WILL DO IT AS THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHICH AREAS WILL BE THE WETTEST. A FLOOD WARNING
IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE. OTHER
WARNINGS WILL FOLLOW LATER...SO A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
MOST OF COOS COUNTY...THE CURRY COUNTY COAST...AND MOST OF DOUGLAS
COUNTY.

THE SECONDARY CONCERN IS WIND. AT THIS TIME A WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR AREAS EAST OF THE CASCADES FROM LATER THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THAT ADVISORY LOOKS GOOD AT THIS TIME.

SNOW IS NOT AS MUCH OF A CONCERN AS SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE PASS LEVELS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS EVENT.

THE OFFSHORE TROUGH WILL DIG AND DRIFT EAST THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE EASTWARD DRIFT WILL EVENTUALLY PUSH THE COLD FRONT
EASTWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT WILL FINALLY MOVE OUT TO
THE EAST BY THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...THE COLD AIR ALOFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE IN AND THIS WILL SUPPORT
CONVECTION. EXPECT SHOWERS OVER THE AREA THURSDAY...GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING INTO FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL BELOW PASS
LEVELS...BUT THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER BY THEN.

THE GFS SOLUTION SHEARS THE TROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
.LEAVING A CUTOFF LOW OFF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THROUGH
SUNDAY...THEN MOVING IT INTO OREGON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THE
ECMWF ALSO DEPICTS A SHEARING TROUGH...BUT IT LEAVES THE CUTOFF
FARTHER OFFSHORE AND A BIT FARTHER SOUTH. NOT GOING TO MAKE A
DECISION ON THAT SITUATION TONIGHT AS IT IS IN THE EXTENDED AND
NAILING DOWN THE TRACK OF A CUTOFF THIS FAR OUT IS USUALLY AN
EXERCISE IN FUTILITY.

HYDROLOGY...THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
MONDAY MORNING....BUT IT WILL FLOOD AGAIN BEGINNING EARLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY, THE CREST IS EXPECTED TO BE 23.58
FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHICH IS DEFINED AS A MODERATE
FLOOD. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY
EVENING INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WHILE THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
THAT THE RIVER WILL FLOOD, THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY RELATED
TO THE LOCATION AND INTENSITY OF THE PRECIPITATION IN THE COQUILLE
BASIN.  OTHER RIVER FORECAST POINTS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
BE MONITORED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING. BTL

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ORZ030-031.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR
     ORZ027-028.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR ORZ021>023.

CA...NONE.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM
     PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ356-376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.

BTL/15

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
550 AM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

ORZ027-028-201800-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
550 AM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
OREGON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT. PLEASE SEE
THE WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE FOR MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERAL SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS FOR UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
644 AM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0643 AM     SNOW             1 NW KLAMATH FALLS      42.24N 121.79W
03/20/2012  M4.3 INCH        KLAMATH            OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HOUR TOTAL, STILL SNOWING.

&&

BPN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
706 AM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0706 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NE BROOKINGS            42.06N 124.29W
03/20/2012  M1.33 INCH       CURRY              OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

BPN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
947 AM PDT TUE MAR 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ESE BROOKINGS         42.05N 124.26W
03/20/2012  M1.64 INCH       CURRY              OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL FROM 5 PM PDT MONDAY.

&&

DW