Alert archive / Florida / Hurricane Warnings in 2012
Hurricane Warning 1009, NWS Miami, FL
NWS Miami, FL issued this hurricane warning at Aug 25, 2012, 5:10 AM EDT for Collier County, Miami-Dade County, Monroe County, Florida. It was in force for 36 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 25, 2012, 5:10 AM EDT (09:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 26, 2012, 5:32 PM EDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Miami, FL
Counties Collier County, FL, Miami-Dade County, FL, Monroe County, FL
The radar
The Miami radar (KAMX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 1:05 PM EDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wnw Redland, FL | A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 2 WOODEN TELEPHONE POLES DOWNED NEAR SW 248TH STREET AND SW 217TH AVENUE. ANOTHER TELEPHONE POLE WAS SNAPPED OFF FROM THE BASE...AND ANOTHER WAS LEANING. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR DATA. |
| Aug 26, 3:10 AM EDT | TROPICAL STORM | Sweetwater, FL | A WIND GUST OF AROUND 60 MPH OCCURRED AT THE NWS MIAMI FORECAST OFFICE ON FIU CAMPUS ASSOCIATED WITH A SQUALL IN ADVANCE OF ISAAC. WIND GUST ESTIMATED BY 2 NWS EMPLOYEES. |
| Aug 26, 6:43 AM EDT | TROPICAL STORM | Kendall, FL | A WIND GUST OF 59 MPH WAS RECORDED AT BRADDOCK SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL. THE TIME WAS ESTIMATED ON RADAR DATA. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -336 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1966 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 10 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 35 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 67 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
579 WTUS82 KMFL 250910 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR MIAMI METRO AND COASTAL... .NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WARNING SOUTHWEST COAST. HURRICANE WATCH METRO AND COASTAL MIAMI METRO. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE... METRO MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0N...LONGITUDE 73.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 730 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE SPECIFIC WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND METRO MIAMI. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATER THIS MORNING. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG BISCAYNE BAY AND THE SOUTH COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COAST. THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND SHORTLY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-260915- /O.UPG.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFL.HU.W.1009.120825T0910Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... $$ FLZ073-074-173-260915- /O.NEW.KMFL.HU.A.1009.120825T0910Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE INUNDATION ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS WILL BE ALONG BISCAYNE BAY WITH INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC COAST...INUNDATION OF UP TO 1 FEET IS POSSIBLE GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. IF REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO FOLLOW RECOMMENDATIONS FROM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-260915- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 63 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE INUNDATION ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS WILL BE ALONG BISCAYNE BAY WITH INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC COAST...INUNDATION OF UP TO 1 FEET IS POSSIBLE GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. IF REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO FOLLOW RECOMMENDATIONS FROM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK. $$ GMZ656-657-676-260915- /O.UPG.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFL.HU.W.1009.120825T0910Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... $$ AMZ630-651-671-260915- /O.NEW.KMFL.HU.A.1009.120825T0910Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. $$ AMZ650-670-260915- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 38 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. $$ AMZ610-260915- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 33 TO 42 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. $$
11 follow-up statements
008 WTUS82 KMFL 251024 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 624 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR MIAMI METRO AND COASTAL... .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED WIND AND SURGE INFORMATION. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND COASTAL BROWARD. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0N...LONGITUDE 73.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 730 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE OVERLY SPECIFIC WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND MIAMI AT THIS TIME. SHOULD THAT POTENTIAL BE REALIZED IT WOULD MATERIALIZE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEREFORE A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THOSE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAIN BANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY. WHILE A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME, THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGH ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-261030- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 624 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 7 TO 15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 71 TO 81 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE, DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE, HOWEVER, ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG GULF COAST WILL BE ON MONDAY. AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED, EXPECT LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS, WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES, LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. $$ FLZ073-074-173-261030- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 624 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE, ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-261030- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 624 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 74 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THIS ONLY A CONCERN AT THIS TIME FOR THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. $$ GMZ656-657-676-261030- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 624 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO 20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 72 TO 82 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING, INCREASING TO POSSIBLY OVER 20 FEET BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OFFSHORE. $$ AMZ630-651-671-261030- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 624 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. HOWEVER, HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE, DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. $$ AMZ650-670-261030- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 624 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 49 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. $$ AMZ610-261030- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 624 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 44 TO 54 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. $$
396 WTUS82 KMFL 251257 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR MIAMI METRO AND COASTAL... .NEW INFORMATION... ADJUSTED STORM SURGE INFORMATION GULF COAST. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND COASTAL BROWARD. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7N...LONGITUDE 73.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 670 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE OVERLY SPECIFIC WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND MIAMI AT THIS TIME. SHOULD THAT POTENTIAL BE REALIZED IT WOULD MATERIALIZE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEREFORE A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THOSE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAIN BANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY. WHILE A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME, THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. VERY ROUGH SURF WILL IMPACT ESPECIALLY THE ATLANTIC BEACHES AS ISAAC NEARS AND ONSHORE WINDS INCREASE. THIS WILL RESULT IN A VERY HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH MONDAY. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-261300- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 7 TO 15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 71 TO 81 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE...HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG GULF COAST WILL BE ON MONDAY. AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. $$ FLZ073-074-173-261300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-261300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 74 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THIS ONLY A CONCERN AT THIS TIME FOR THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. $$ GMZ656-657-676-261300- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO 20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 72 TO 82 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING... INCREASING TO POSSIBLY OVER 20 FEET BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OFFSHORE. $$ AMZ630-651-671-261300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE MOST LIKELY ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. HOWEVER...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE... DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. $$ AMZ650-670-261300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 49 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. $$ AMZ610-261300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 44 TO 54 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. $$
275 WTUS82 KMFL 251620 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1220 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING STARTING EARLY SUNDAY AS ISAAC APPROACHES THE VICINITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA... .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY PREPAREDNESS SECTIONS, STORM INFORMATION, AND WIND SECTIONS. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND COASTAL BROWARD. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1N...LONGITUDE 74.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 620 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE OVERLY SPECIFIC WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND MIAMI AT THIS TIME. SHOULD THAT POTENTIAL BE REALIZED IT WOULD MATERIALIZE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEREFORE A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THOSE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAIN BANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY. WHILE A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME, THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. VERY ROUGH SURF WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH VERY HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND SEVERE BEACH EROSION. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-261630- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 1220 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN COLLIER COUNTY, CALL 239-252-9300. IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY, CALL 311. YOU CAN ALSO VISIT COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. SOUTHEAST FLORIDA PORTS ARE IN READINESS CONDITION X-RAY WHICH INCLUDES LOWERING CONTAINER STACKS TO FOUR HIGH AND TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS TO TERMINATE CARGO OPERATIONS. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 6 TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 74 TO 81 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE...HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG GULF COAST WILL BE ON MONDAY. AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. $$ FLZ073-074-173-261630- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 1220 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE, CALL 311. YOU CAN ALSO VISIT COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. SOUTHEAST FLORIDA PORTS ARE IN READINESS CONDITION X-RAY WHICH INCLUDES LOWERING CONTAINER STACKS TO FOUR HIGH AND TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS TO TERMINATE CARGO OPERATIONS. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 78 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED, EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE, ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS, MAINLY IN HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-261630- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 1220 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN BROWARD COUNTY, CALL 311. IN PALM BEACH COUNTY, CALL 561-712-6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY, CALL 239-252-9300. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES, CALL 211. YOU CAN ALSO VISIT COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. BROWARD COUNTY WILL OPEN TWO SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTERS TODAY AT 3 PM. SOUTHEAST FLORIDA PORTS ARE IN READINESS CONDITION X-RAY WHICH INCLUDES LOWERING CONTAINER STACKS TO FOUR HIGH AND TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS TO TERMINATE CARGO OPERATIONS. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THIS ONLY A CONCERN AT THIS TIME FOR THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. $$ GMZ656-657-676-261630- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1220 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 75 TO 82 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 12 FEET BY LATE AFTERNOON SUNDAY...PEAKING TO OVER 20 FEET FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OFFSHORE AND SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ630-651-671-261630- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 1220 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 8 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 10 FEET TONIGHT...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT AND SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET MONDAY EVENING. $$ AMZ650-670-261630- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 1220 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 10 FEET TONIGHT...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT AND SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET MONDAY EVENING. $$ AMZ610-261630- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 1220 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 58 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. $$
654 WTUS82 KMFL 251816 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 216 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING STARTING EARLY SUNDAY AS ISAAC APPROACHES THE VICINITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA... .NEW INFORMATION... STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND COASTAL BROWARD. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8N...LONGITUDE 75.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE OVERLY SPECIFIC WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND MIAMI AT THIS TIME. SHOULD THAT POTENTIAL BE REALIZED IT WOULD MATERIALIZE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEREFORE A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THOSE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAIN BANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY. WHILE A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME, THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. VERY ROUGH SURF WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH VERY HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND SEVERE BEACH EROSION. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-261830- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 216 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN COLLIER COUNTY...CALL 239-252-9300. IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY... CALL 311. YOU CAN ALSO VISIT COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. SOUTHEAST FLORIDA PORTS ARE IN READINESS CONDITION X-RAY WHICH INCLUDES LOWERING CONTAINER STACKS TO FOUR HIGH AND TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS TO TERMINATE CARGO OPERATIONS. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 6 TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 74 TO 81 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE...HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG GULF COAST WILL BE ON MONDAY. AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. $$ FLZ073-074-173-261830- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 216 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE...CALL 311. YOU CAN ALSO VISIT COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. SOUTHEAST FLORIDA PORTS ARE IN READINESS CONDITION X-RAY WHICH INCLUDES LOWERING CONTAINER STACKS TO FOUR HIGH AND TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS TO TERMINATE CARGO OPERATIONS. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 78 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-261830- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 216 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN BROWARD COUNTY...CALL 311. IN PALM BEACH COUNTY...CALL 561-712- 6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY...CALL 239-252-9300. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES...CALL 211. YOU CAN ALSO VISIT COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. BROWARD COUNTY WILL OPEN TWO SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTERS TODAY AT 3 PM. SOUTHEAST FLORIDA PORTS ARE IN READINESS CONDITION X-RAY WHICH INCLUDES LOWERING CONTAINER STACKS TO FOUR HIGH AND TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS TO TERMINATE CARGO OPERATIONS. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THIS ONLY A CONCERN AT THIS TIME FOR THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. $$ GMZ656-657-676-261830- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 216 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 75 TO 82 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 12 FEET BY LATE AFTERNOON SUNDAY...PEAKING TO OVER 20 FEET FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OFFSHORE AND SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ630-651-671-261830- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 216 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 8 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 10 FEET TONIGHT...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT AND SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET MONDAY EVENING. $$ AMZ650-670-261830- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 216 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 10 FEET TONIGHT...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT AND SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET MONDAY EVENING. $$ AMZ610-261830- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 216 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 58 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. $$
437 WTUS82 KMFL 252232 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING STARTING EARLY SUNDAY AS ISAAC APPROACHES THE VICINITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA... .NEW INFORMATION... STORM INFORMATION. SURGE SECTION FOR SOUTHWEST COAST. WIND SECTIONS. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND COASTAL BROWARD. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3N...LONGITUDE 76.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 21 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND EXTREME SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AT THIS TIME. SHOULD THAT POTENTIAL BE REALIZED IT WOULD MATERIALIZE WITHIN 18 TO 30 HOURS FROM NOW. THEREFORE...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THOSE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND PASSES BY THE AREA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAINBANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY. WHILE A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME FROM TONIGHT THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...PEAK BY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. ALONG THE GULF COAST...SURF WILL QUICKLY BUILD LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND PEAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 12 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-262245- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND COLLIER COUNTIES, CALL 311. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS, INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER, AT 10 AM SUNDAY. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACKCOUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 85 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. THERE STILL REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE...HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG GULF COAST WILL BE MONDAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND SUNRISE. AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. $$ FLZ073-074-173-262245- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE, CALL 311. THE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY MAYOR HAS ISSUED AN EVACUATION ORDER FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. THE PORT OF MIAMI WILL BE CLOSED AT 11 PM TONIGHT. BRIDGES IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAVE BEEN LOCKED DOWN. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 80 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS COULD BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS...SUCH AS DOWNED TREES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. VERY HEAVY SURF ALONG WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-262245- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN PALM BEACH COUNTY, CALL 561-712-6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY AND BROWARD COUNTIES, CALL 311. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES, CALL 211. PALM BEACH COUNTY WILL OPEN THREE GENERAL POPULATION SHELTERS AT 6 AM SUNDAY. ALL PALM BEACH COUNTY PARKS, LIBRARIES AND PUBLIC TRANSIT WILL BE CLOSED. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN BROWARD, COLLIER, GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. PORT EVERGLADES AND THE PORT OF PALM BEACH WILL BE CLOSED AT 11 PM TONIGHT. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS, INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER, AT 10 AM SUNDAY. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACKCOUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE REMAINS A MINOR THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO LARGE SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ GMZ656-657-676-262245- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 17 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 87 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 55 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...PEAK MONDAY MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ630-651-671-262245- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 83 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...PEAK SUNDAY EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ650-670-262245- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 48 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...PEAK SUNDAY EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ610-262245- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. $$
761 WTUS82 KMFL 260417 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1217 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TODAY AS ISAAC APPROACHES... .NEW INFORMATION... WIND, PROBABILITIES, SURGE. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND COASTAL BROWARD. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1N...LONGITUDE 77.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT SOUTH FLORIDA BEGINNING THIS MORNING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND SPREADING INLAND AND TO THE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY ATLANTIC COAST AND THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON GULF COAST, BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE FROM EAST TO WEST. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ALONG THE GULF COAST TONIGHT. THEREFORE...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THOSE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAINBANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATE THIS MORNING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TODAY...PEAKING TONIGHT...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. ALONG THE GULF COAST...SURF WILL QUICKLY BUILD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND PEAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-270430- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 1217 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND COLLIER COUNTIES...CALL 311. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS...INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER...AT 10 AM TODAY. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 92 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. THERE STILL REMAINS A SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS TONIGHT. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL...IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BE MONDAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND SUNRISE. AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. $$ FLZ073-074-173-270430- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 1217 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE...CALL 311. THE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY MAYOR HAS ISSUED AN EVACUATION ORDER FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. THE PORT OF MIAMI IS CLOSED. BRIDGES IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAVE BEEN LOCKED DOWN. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 86 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AT AROUND SUNRISE THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. VERY HEAVY SURF ALONG WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-270430- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 1217 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN PALM BEACH COUNTY...CALL 561-712-6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY AND BROWARD COUNTIES...CALL 311. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES...CALL 211. PALM BEACH COUNTY WILL OPEN THREE GENERAL POPULATION SHELTERS AT 6 AM THIS MORNING. ALL PALM BEACH COUNTY PARKS...LIBRARIES AND PUBLIC TRANSIT WILL BE CLOSED. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN BROWARD...COLLIER...GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. PORT EVERGLADES AND THE PORT OF PALM BEACH ARE CLOSED. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS...INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER...AT 10 AM THIS MORNING. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 82 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE REMAINS A MINOR THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO LARGE SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ GMZ656-657-676-270430- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1217 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 29 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 96 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 55 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY TODAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET OFFSHORE...PEAKING LATE TONIGHT TO OVER 20 FEET OFFSHORE...THEN SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ630-651-671-270430- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 1217 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 90 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY THIS MORNING TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ650-670-270430- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 1217 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 56 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY THIS MORNING TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ610-270430- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 1217 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 48 TO 58 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. $$
011 WTUS82 KMFL 261002 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 602 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TODAY AS ISAAC APPROACHES... .NEW INFORMATION... WIND SECTIONS UPDATED. FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND COASTAL BROWARD. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1N...LONGITUDE 79.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... AT THIS TIME THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. HOWEVER, IMPACTS WILL BE FELT FOR HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY FROM THE CENTER...AND THERE STILL IS A VERY GOOD CHANCE THAT SOUTH FLORIDA WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH A REMOTE CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEING FELT, ALTHOUGH NOT FORECAST AT THE PRESENT TIME, ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AND EXTREME FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD START TO IMPACT SOUTH FLORIDA AS EARLY AS THIS MORNING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND SPREADING INLAND AND TO THE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY ATLANTIC COAST AND THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON GULF COAST, BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE FROM EAST TO WEST. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAINBANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. ANOTHER MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR QUICK DEVELOPING TORNADOES, WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED WARNING, IN RAINBANDS WITH THE THREAT INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAINING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND POTENTIALLY INTO MONDAY. THERE IS STILL THE POTENTAIL FOR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TODAY...PEAKING TONIGHT...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. ALONG THE GULF COAST...SURF WILL QUICKLY BUILD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND PEAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...IF NOT ALREADY DONE...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION NO LATER THAN THIS MORNING. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY... AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY. HAVE A WELL CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ANY SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-271015- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 602 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND COLLIER COUNTIES...CALL 311. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS...INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER...AT 10 AM TODAY. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING LATER THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL LATE MONDAY MORNING ALONG SOUTHWEST COAST AND EARLIER IN THE MORNING IN FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE EITHER BEEN COMPLETED OR RUSHED TO COMPLETION BY THIS MORNING FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW- ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL...IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BE MONDAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND SUNRISE. AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. $$ FLZ073-074-173-271015- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 602 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE...CALL 311. THE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY MAYOR HAS ISSUED AN EVACUATION ORDER FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. THE PORT OF MIAMI IS CLOSED. BRIDGES IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAVE BEEN LOCKED DOWN. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING SOMETIME THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. VERY HEAVY SURF ALONG WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-271015- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 602 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN PALM BEACH COUNTY...CALL 561-712-6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY AND BROWARD COUNTIES...CALL 311. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES...CALL 211. PALM BEACH COUNTY WILL OPEN THREE GENERAL POPULATION SHELTERS AT 6 AM THIS MORNING. ALL PALM BEACH COUNTY PARKS...LIBRARIES AND PUBLIC TRANSIT WILL BE CLOSED. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN BROWARD...COLLIER...GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. PORT EVERGLADES AND THE PORT OF PALM BEACH ARE CLOSED. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS...INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER...AT 10 AM THIS MORNING. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING AROUND LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL AROUND SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING ACROSS GLADES, HENDRY, AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES AND EARLIER ACROSS PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE REMAINS A MINOR THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO LARGE SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ GMZ656-657-676-271015- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 602 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY TODAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET OFFSHORE...PEAKING LATE TONIGHT TO OVER 20 FEET OFFSHORE...THEN SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ630-651-671-271015- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 602 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY THIS MORNING TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ650-670-271015- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 602 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING OR AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY THIS MORNING TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ610-271015- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 602 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING EARLY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. $$
373 WTUS82 KMFL 261259 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 859 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TODAY AS ISAAC APPROACHES... .NEW INFORMATION... STORM INFORMATION SECTION. TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND BISCAYNE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND COASTAL BROWARD. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE OFF SHORE WATERS OF COLLIER COUNTY. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY TORNADO WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5N...LONGITUDE 80.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 20 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA, IMPACTS WILL BE FELT FOR HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY FROM THE CENTER. MOST PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH A REMOTE CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEING FELT, ALTHOUGH NOT FORECAST AT THE PRESENT TIME, ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AND EXTREME FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF WIND GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN IMPACTING SOUTH FLORIDA AS EARLY AS THIS MORNING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND SPREADING INLAND AND TO THE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY ATLANTIC COAST AND THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON GULF COAST, BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE FROM EAST TO WEST. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAINBANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. ANOTHER MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR QUICK DEVELOPING TORNADOES, WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED WARNING, IN RAINBANDS WITH THE THREAT INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAINING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND POTENTIALLY INTO MONDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TODAY...PEAKING TONIGHT...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. ALONG THE GULF COAST...SURF WILL QUICKLY BUILD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND PEAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...IF NOT ALREADY DONE...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION NO LATER THAN THIS MORNING. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY... AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY. HAVE A WELL CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ANY SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-271300- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 859 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND COLLIER COUNTIES...CALL 311. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS...INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER...AT 10 AM TODAY. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING LATER THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL LATE MONDAY MORNING ALONG SOUTHWEST COAST AND EARLIER IN THE MORNING IN FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE EITHER BEEN COMPLETED OR RUSHED TO COMPLETION BY THIS MORNING FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW- ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL...IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BE MONDAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND SUNRISE. AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. $$ FLZ073-074-173-271300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 859 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE...CALL 311. THE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY MAYOR HAS ISSUED AN EVACUATION ORDER FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. THE PORT OF MIAMI IS CLOSED. BRIDGES IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAVE BEEN LOCKED DOWN. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING SOMETIME THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. VERY HEAVY SURF ALONG WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-271300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 859 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN PALM BEACH COUNTY...CALL 561-712-6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY AND BROWARD COUNTIES...CALL 311. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES...CALL 211. PALM BEACH COUNTY WILL OPEN THREE GENERAL POPULATION SHELTERS AT 6 AM THIS MORNING. ALL PALM BEACH COUNTY PARKS...LIBRARIES AND PUBLIC TRANSIT WILL BE CLOSED. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN BROWARD...COLLIER...GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. PORT EVERGLADES AND THE PORT OF PALM BEACH ARE CLOSED. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS...INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER...AT 10 AM THIS MORNING. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING AROUND LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL AROUND SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING ACROSS GLADES... HENDRY...AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES AND EARLIER ACROSS PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE REMAINS A MINOR THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO LARGE SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ GMZ656-657-676-271300- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 859 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY TODAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET OFFSHORE...PEAKING LATE TONIGHT TO OVER 20 FEET OFFSHORE...THEN SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ630-651-671-271300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 859 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY THIS MORNING TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ650-670-271300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 859 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING OR AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY THIS MORNING TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT... THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ610-271300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 859 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING EARLY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. $$
221 WTUS82 KMFL 261532 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1132 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...ISAAC RAIN BANDS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA... .NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WATCH FOR MIAMI DADE AND ADJACENT WATERS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH... COASTAL BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE OFF SHORE WATERS OF COLLIER COUNTY. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY TORNADO WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9N...LONGITUDE 80.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA, IMPACTS WILL BE FELT FOR HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY FROM THE CENTER. MOST PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH A REMOTE CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEING FELT, ALTHOUGH NOT FORECAST AT THE PRESENT TIME, ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AND EXTREME FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF WIND GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS ARE BEGINNING TO IMPACT SOUTH FLORIDA ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND SPREADING INLAND AND TO THE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY ATLANTIC COAST AND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING GULF COAST, WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING FROM EAST TO WEST ACCORDINGLY. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAIN BANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. ANOTHER MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR QUICK DEVELOPING TORNADOES, WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED WARNING, IN RAIN BANDS WITH THE THREAT INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAINING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND POTENTIALLY INTO MONDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. THERE STILL REMAINS A POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TODAY...PEAKING TONIGHT...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. ALONG THE GULF COAST...SURF WILL QUICKLY BUILD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND PEAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY... AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY. HAVE A WELL CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ANY SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND SHORTLY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-271545- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 1132 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND COLLIER COUNTIES...CALL 311. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS...INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER...AT 10 AM TODAY. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED MOSTLY IN AND AROUND RAIN BANDS. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL LATE MONDAY MORNING ALONG SOUTHWEST COAST AND EARLIER IN THE MORNING IN FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW- ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL...IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BE MONDAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND SUNRISE. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. $$ FLZ073-074-173-271545- /O.CAN.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 1132 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE...CALL 311. THE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY MAYOR HAS ISSUED AN EVACUATION ORDER FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. THE PORT OF MIAMI IS CLOSED. BRIDGES IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAVE BEEN LOCKED DOWN. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY THE AREA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THE THREAT OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS FORECAST TO END BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND THEREFORE THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED. HOWEVER, WIND GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE WITH ONE OR TWO RAIN BANDS IS STILL A POSSIBILITY. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY THE AREA...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. VERY HEAVY SURF ALONG WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-271545- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 1132 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION. IN PALM BEACH COUNTY...CALL 561-712-6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY AND BROWARD COUNTIES...CALL 311. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES...CALL 211. PALM BEACH COUNTY WILL OPEN THREE GENERAL POPULATION SHELTERS AT 6 AM THIS MORNING. ALL PALM BEACH COUNTY PARKS...LIBRARIES AND PUBLIC TRANSIT WILL BE CLOSED. ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN BROWARD...COLLIER...GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. PORT EVERGLADES AND THE PORT OF PALM BEACH ARE CLOSED. COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS...INCLUDING A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER...AT 10 AM THIS MORNING. EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACK COUNTRY RECREATIONAL ACCESS. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS ACROSS THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COASTS. THIS WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS. THE THREAT OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NOT FORECAST TO END UNTIL AROUND SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING ACROSS GLADES... HENDRY...AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES AND EARLIER ACROSS PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE REMAINS A MINOR THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO LARGE SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ GMZ656-657-676-271545- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1132 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY TODAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET OFFSHORE...PEAKING LATE TONIGHT TO OVER 20 FEET OFFSHORE...THEN SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ630-651-671-271545- /O.CAN.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 1132 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NOW. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND THEREFORE THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD DURING THE DAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ650-670-271545- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 1132 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NOW MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING OR AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY THIS MORNING TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT... THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ610-271545- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 1132 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING EARLY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. $$
130 WTUS82 KMFL 261649 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...ISAAC RAIN BANDS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA... .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED WIND AND SURGE SECTIONS. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCAL GULF WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...COASTAL PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE OFF SHORE WATERS OF COLLIER COUNTY. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY TORNADO WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 12 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9N...LONGITUDE 80.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA, IMPACTS WILL BE FELT FOR HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY FROM THE CENTER. MOST PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE CLOSE TO OR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH A REMOTE CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEING FELT, ALTHOUGH NOT FORECAST, ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AND EXTREME FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF WIND GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS ARE IMPACTING SOUTH FLORIDA ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND SPREADING INLAND AND TO THE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING OR EARLY MORNING MONDAY ATLANTIC COAST AND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING GULF COAST, WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING FROM EAST TO WEST ACCORDINGLY. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAIN BANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. ANOTHER MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR QUICK DEVELOPING TORNADOES, WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED WARNING, IN RAIN BANDS WITH THE THREAT INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAINING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND POTENTIALLY INTO MONDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. THERE STILL REMAINS A POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE GULF COAST. MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TODAY...PEAKING TONIGHT...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. ALONG THE GULF COAST...SURF WILL QUICKLY BUILD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND PEAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY... AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY. HAVE A WELL CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ANY SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FLZ069-075-174-271700- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND COLLIER COUNTIES...CALL 311. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED MOSTLY IN AND AROUND RAIN BANDS. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL MONDAY MORNING ALONG SOUTHWEST COAST AND EARLIER IN THE MORNING IN FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW- ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE VALUES ABOVE. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL...IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR SURGE ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BE MONDAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND SUNRISE. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED, EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. MAJOR BEACH EROSION. A FEW SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROADS WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE LOW SPOTS. STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY WIND WAVES BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS TO RESULT IN DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS, MAINLY IN HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, AND PIERS. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES. $$ FLZ073-074-173-271700- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION. IN MIAMI-DADE...CALL 311. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY THE AREA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE LIKELY. THE THREAT OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS FORECAST TO END BY LATE THIS EVENING OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 59 MPH HAVE BEEN RECORDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF MIAMI DATE THIS TODAY. THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND THEREFORE THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED. HOWEVER, WIND GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE WITH ONE OR TWO RAIN BANDS IS STILL A POSSIBILITY. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY THE AREA...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS AT GREATER RISK TO EXPERIENCE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS IMMEDIATE ADJACENT TO BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED... EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. VERY HEAVY SURF ALONG WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-271700- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION. IN PALM BEACH COUNTY...CALL 561-712-6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY AND BROWARD COUNTIES...CALL 311. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES...CALL 211. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS ACROSS THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COASTS. THIS WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE STILL LIKELY MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS. THE THREAT OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NOT FORECAST TO END UNTIL SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING ACROSS GLADES... HENDRY...AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES AND AROUND MIDNIGHT ACROSS PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. EARLIER TODAY PORT EVERGLADES AND POMPANO OBSERVATIONS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE REMAINS A MINOR THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO LARGE SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ GMZ656-657-676-271700- /O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY TODAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET OFFSHORE...PEAKING LATE TONIGHT TO OVER 20 FEET OFFSHORE...THEN SUBSIDING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ AMZ630-651-671-271700- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NOW. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 3O TO 4O KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND THEREFORE THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD DURING THE DAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ650-670-271700- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NOW MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING OR AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY TODAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT... THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ610-271700- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT OR EARLY MORNING. $$
305 WTUS82 KMFL 262132 HLSMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 532 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AS ISAAC PASSES... .NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE... METRO MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2N...LONGITUDE 82.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS...MOSTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE RAINBANDS SPREADING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LOCAL AREA WELL INTO THE NIGHT AS ISAAC PASSES SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA. OVERNIGHT...EXPECT THE WINDS TO BEGIN TO TREND DOWN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE LEVELS AS ISAAC BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWEST AWAY FROM SOUTH FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA. FOR THE GULF COAST AND THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS...EXPECT THE WINDS TO BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE LEVELS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS MONDAY. THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD INTO MONDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER POSSIBLE. AS TYPICALLY OBSERVED IN THESE EVENTS...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL CERTAINLY REMAIN A POSSIBILITY...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE BANDS BECOME CONCENTRATED OR REPEATEDLY TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS. ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES, WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED WARNING, IN RAINBANDS WITH THE THREAT CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. THERE STILL REMAINS A POTENTIAL FOR MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE GULF COAST...ESPECIALLY FROM MARCO ISLAND TO EVERGLADES CITY AS THE WINDS BECOME ONSHORE LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THIS COMBINED WITH THE REGULAR HIGH TIDE CYCLE WILL LEAD TO THE BEST CHANCE FOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. FOR BISCAYNE BAY...THERE REMAINS A MINOR THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING THROUGH THE REGULAR HIGH TIDE CYCLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT THE THREAT TO DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTH. SURF WILL PEAK THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS TODAY...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. ALONG THE GULF COAST...SURF WILL QUICKLY BUILD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND PEAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE TRENDING DOWN. THE COMBINATION OF SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY... AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY. HAVE A WELL CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ANY SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY WITH NEW INFORMATION. FLZ069-075-174-272145- /O.CAN.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 532 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... $$ FLZ073-074-173-272145- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 532 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY THE AREA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE LIKELY. THE THREAT OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS FORECAST TO END BY LATE THIS EVENING OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 59 MPH HAVE BEEN RECORDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF MIAMI DATE THIS TODAY. THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND THEREFORE THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED. HOWEVER... WIND GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE WITH ONE OR TWO RAIN BANDS IS STILL A POSSIBILITY. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES... CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW- ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY THE AREA...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE LOCATIONS AT GREATER RISK TO EXPERIENCE THE GREATEST FLOODING INCLUDE AREAS IMMEDIATE ADJACENT TO BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH MIAMI DADE. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR LOW-LYING AREAS. VERY HEAVY SURF ALONG WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-272145- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- 532 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS ACROSS THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COASTS. THIS WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE STILL LIKELY MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS. THE THREAT OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NOT FORECAST TO END UNTIL SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING ACROSS GLADES...HENDRY... AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES AND AROUND MIDNIGHT ACROSS PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. EARLIER TODAY PORT EVERGLADES AND POMPANO OBSERVATIONS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS REPRESENTS A THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE REMAINS A MINOR THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO LARGE SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. $$ GMZ656-657-676-272145- /O.CAN.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 532 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... $$ AMZ630-651-671-272145- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS- 532 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NOW. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 3O TO 4O KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND THEREFORE THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD DURING THE DAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 TO 20 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ650-670-272145- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 532 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NOW MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING OR AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD RAPIDLY TODAY TO IN EXCESS OF 12 FEET...PEAKING AROUND 15 FEET LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT... THEN SUBSIDING BELOW 10 FEET BY LATE MONDAY AND BELOW 7 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. $$ AMZ610-272145- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LAKE OKEECHOBEE- 532 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC PASSES BY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT OR EARLY MORNING. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this hurricane warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane warning went out at Aug 25, 1:54 AM EDT, 3 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 25, 1:54 AM EDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
154 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012
.AVIATION...
CURRENTLY ALL SOUTH FLORIDA TERMINALS HAVE VFR CONDITIONS WITH
THAT TREND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
FOR THE EAST COAST TAF SITES...THE SURFACE WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT
VARIABLE BUT CURRENTLY FROM THE NORTH NORTHWEST ALTHOUGH THE WINDS
ACROSS THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND FROM
THE EAST SO THE WINDS COULD SWITCH BACK TO EASTERLY LATER THIS
MORNING. THE CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION HAS IN GENERAL SUBSIDED
EXCEPT THERE ARE SOME ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF KPBI
WITH VCTS ASSIGNED. VCTS ASSIGNED REMAINING EAST COAST SITES AT
08Z AS CONVECTION JUST WEST OF THE BAHAMAS COULD APPROACH THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC COAST. EAST COAST TERMINALS COULD HAVE BRIEF
PERIODS OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS WITH PASSING SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM.
60
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 726 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012/
AVIATION...WL EXPECT SHWRS/TSTMS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE FROM
THE ATLANTIC WATERS OVERNIGHT, AND WL MENTION AT LEAST VCSH IN
MOST TAFS. SFC WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY EAST, STRONGEST AT THE
TERMINALS CLOSEST TO THE EAST COAST AND SLIGHTLY LOWER OVER INLAND
TERMINALS. SFC WINDS SHOULD INCREASE IN SPEED AND BECOME GUSTY
AFTER 14Z SATURDAY. TSTMS SHOULD AFFECT THE AREA AGAIN SATURDAY,
SO WL MENTION VCTS AGAIN IN ALL TAFS.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012/
UPDATE...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SURGE TO THE
NORTHWEST FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND INTO THE SOUTH FLORIDA AREA.
GUSTY WINDS TO 55 MPH, BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY OUT AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM
ISAAC. UPDATED POPS TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT RADAR TRENDS. TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC CURRENTLY SOUTH OF HAITI, CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH TO
THE NORTHWEST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR ALL
SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES TONIGHT AS WINDS
CONTINUE TO INCREASE.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012/
DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN CONSISTED OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM
JUST OFF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...A
WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE OVER FLORIDA...WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA
DEVELOPING OVER THE CAROLINAS AND WESTERN ATLANTIC...AND ANOTHER
HIGH OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND TEXAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WIND SURGE ARE SPREADING WEST
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. SOME STRONG WINDS 40 T0
50 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THESE STORMS. THESE
CONDITIONS...SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
ALL EYES THEN TURN TO TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. ISAAC HAS BEGUN ITS
NORTHWEST TURN AND WILL MOVE OVER HISPANIOLA AND TOWARDS EASTERN
CUBA OVERNIGHT. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED SIGNIFICANTLY TO
THE EAST FROM RUNS YESTERDAY. THE ECMWF IS THE FURTHEST
WEST...WITH THE STORM MOVING CLOSE TO THE CURRENT NHC OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK. THE OTHER MODELS NOW BRING THE STORM INTO THE
MIDDLE KEYS OR SOUTH FLORIDA. IN ADDITION...MOST OF THE MODELS
SHOW LITTLE INTERACTION WITH CUBA. THIS COULD BE VERY SIGNIFICANT
FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...BECAUSE THE STORM WOULD BE ABLE TO SPEND MUCH
MORE TIME OVER WATER. LOOKING AT THE GLOBAL MODELS AND HURRICANE
MODELS...THEY WOULD BE INDICATING A HURRICANE POSSIBLY MOVING
INTO THE MIDDLE KEYS OR SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY EVENING. THIS IS ALSO
SOMEWHAT FASTER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. SO THERE IS A LOT MORE
UNCERTAINTY FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS IS ONLY ONE SUITE OF MODEL
RUNS...BUT THE THREAT TO SOUTH FLORIDA LOOKS TO BE INCREASING.
GOING WITH THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK...WE CAN START TO NARROW DOWN
SOME IMPACTS THAT MAY OCCUR TO SOUTH FLORIDA. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BE
A MAJOR IMPACT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN
AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SOUTH FLORIDA IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE
RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM...AND TROPICAL TORNADOES WOULD
ALSO BE POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN AS EARLY
AS SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND DEEP SOUTH
FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS. SURGE IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE...BUT ON
THE CURRENT TRACK...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WOULD BE POSSIBLE ALONG
BISCAYNE BAY AND ALONG THE COLLIER COUNTY COASTLINE. KEEP IN MIND THAT
THESE IMPACTS COULD BECOME MUCH DIFFERENT IF THE STORM TRACKS TO
THE RIGHT OR LEFT...OR IF THE STORM BECOMES STRONGER THAN
CURRENTLY INDICATED.
CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ON MONDAY...BUT
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF ISAAC...RAIN BANDS MAY CONTINUE TO
AFFECT MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
THEN CONTINUE ON TUESDAY...WITH CONDITIONS CONTINUING TO IMPROVE.
AVIATION...FOR 18Z TAFS.
ONGOING CONVECTION MOSTLY NEAR KPBI AND THIS SHOULD
MOVE INLAND BY 19Z. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON BUT WEST OF THE E CST TERMINALS SO ONLY HAVE VCTS IN FOR
KAPF AFT 19Z. NEW SHRA DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE STRONGER EASTERLY WIND
FLOW. THIS E FLOW WILL PREVENT A SEA BREEZE FROM DEVELOPING ALONG
THE W CST. WIND TO LIKELY BEGIN TO GUST OVER 20 KT ALON THE E CST
AFT 14-15Z SATURDAY WITH THE TIGHTENING GRADIENT.
MARINE...
THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE BUILDING THIS WEEKEND AND SHOULD PEAK
SUNDAY NIGHT AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WILL BE AT THE CLOSEST
LOCATION IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE
NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH
SOUTHWARD FOR EAST NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS AND SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 TO 7 FEET ON SATURDAY. THE SEAS AND WINDS WILL THEN BE ON A
DOWNWARD TREND AFTER MONDAY...AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES AWAY
FROM THE AREA. AT THIS TIME.
FIRE WEATHER...
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE THE 35 PERCENT CRITICAL VALUE...DUE TO THE DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE WORKING INTO THE AREA FROM TROPICAL STORM ISAAC.
SO THE ONLY PROBLEM WILL BE THE TRANSPORT WINDS OVER THE CWA...DUE
TO THE INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS OVER THE CWA.
HYDROLOGY...
THE PWAT VALUES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE INCREASING TO AROUND
2.9 INCHES BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS IS VERY CLOSE TO THE MAXIMUM OF 3
INCHES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS WILL LEAD TO VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER SOUTH FLORIDA STARTING SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING.
SO KEPT HEAVY RAINFALL WORDING TO THE ZONES FOR SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. MORE DETAIL ON THE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE HYDRO OUTLOOK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 90 78 85 76 / 40 50 70 80
FORT LAUDERDALE 90 78 83 77 / 50 60 80 80
MIAMI 90 78 83 76 / 50 60 80 80
NAPLES 93 76 87 76 / 30 50 70 80
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI
DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO
MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH.
HURRICANE WATCH FOR COASTAL COLLIER-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR COASTAL
BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH.
AM...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BISCAYNE BAY-COASTAL WATERS FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS
FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-LAKE
OKEECHOBEE-WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE
BAHAMAS-WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
GM...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO
BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE
SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-GULF WATERS FROM
CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
HURRICANE WATCH FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA
BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO
CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO
BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...54/BNB
AVIATION/RADAR...60/BDHazardous weather outlook, Aug 24, 6:30 PM EDT, 10 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 630 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012 AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676- 251330- LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY- INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE- MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 630 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012 ...STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE... ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER STORMS THAT DEVELOP. WINDS: WIND GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 55 MPH RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND ANY OF THE STRONGER STORMS THAT DEVELOP. FLOODING: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER IN POORLY DRAINED AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM ISAAC, PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. OTHERWISE, THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME NO ACTIVITY OUTSIDE OF THE ORDINARY IS EXPECTED WITH THE MAIN CONCERN BEING LIGHTNING STRIKES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND AND FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Miami, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 8:38 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MFL | 67 min | |
| Aug 24, 9:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MFL | Palm Beach | 29 min |
| Aug 24, 9:19 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MFL | 56 min | |
| Aug 24, 10:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MFL | Palm Beach | 50 min |
| Aug 24, 10:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MFL | Broward, Miami-Dade, Monroe | 61 min |
| Aug 24, 10:33 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MFL | 117 min | |
| Aug 24, 10:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MFL | Palm Beach | 64 min |
| Aug 24, 11:32 PM EDT | Hurricane Watch | MFL | Collier, Miami-Dade, Monroe | 36 hr |
| Aug 24, 11:32 PM EDT | Tropical Storm Warning | MFL | Broward, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Miami-Dade, Monroe and 1 more | 60 hr |
| Aug 25, 5:29 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MFL | Broward | 76 min |
| Aug 25, 5:45 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MFL | 27 min | |
| Aug 25, 7:03 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MFL | 57 min | |
| Aug 25, 7:27 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MFL | 63 min | |
| Aug 25, 8:01 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MFL | Miami-Dade | 29 min |
| Aug 25, 2:02 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MFL | 58 min | |
| Aug 25, 2:41 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MFL | 28 min | |
| Aug 25, 5:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MFL | Broward | 32 min |
Nearby
Hurricane Warnings in Florida, 2012Every hurricane warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.