Severe Thunderstorm Warning 285, NWS Memphis, TN

064 
WWUS54 KMEG 060545
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1245 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

MSC017-095-060600-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0285.000000T0000Z-120706T0600Z/
MONROE MS-CHICKASAW MS-
1245 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CHICKASAW AND MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 1242 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTH OF MC CONDY...OR 11
MILES NORTHWEST OF WEST POINT...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ABERDEEN...
AMORY...GATTMAN...HATLEY...HOUSTON...OKOLONA...WOODLAND...WREN...
BIGBEE...PARHAM...SPLUNGE...SIPSEY FORK...QUINCY AND WISE GAP.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS 
MONROE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. 
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM 
WINDOWS!

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3375 8824 3374 8832 3368 8837 3366 8845
      3366 8850 3368 8851 3367 8872 3380 8872
      3381 8892 3375 8893 3374 8915 3385 8911
      3407 8870 3408 8820
TIME...MOT...LOC 0542Z 058DEG 51KT 3368 8885

$$

704 
WWUS54 KMEG 060552
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1252 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

MSC017-095-060600-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0285.000000T0000Z-120706T0600Z/
MONROE MS-CHICKASAW MS-
1252 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CHICKASAW AND SOUTHERN MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 1252 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF SPARTA...OR 14
MILES NORTHWEST OF STARKVILLE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ABERDEEN...
WOODLAND...BECKER...EAST ABERDEEN...MULDON...BINFORD...STRONG...NEW
HAMILTON...MC CONDY...SPARTA...TABBVILLE...ANCHOR...EGYPT AND BUENA
VISTA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS 
MONROE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. 
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM 
WINDOWS!

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3397 8871 3392 8837 3375 8827 3374 8832
      3368 8837 3366 8845 3366 8850 3368 8851
      3367 8872 3380 8872 3381 8892 3375 8893
      3374 8915 3385 8911
TIME...MOT...LOC 0552Z 058DEG 51KT 3360 8899

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1214 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO ADD 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 939 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2012/

UPDATE...
AT MIDEVENING... A CLUSTER OF STORMS WAS DRIFTING SOUTHWEST
THROUGH NORTHERN AL. THESE STORMS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE...WHICH WAS ROUNDING THE SOUTHEAST PERIPHERY OF
LARGE HEIGHT RIDGE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN MO. A FEW STORMS WILL
LIKELY MOVE INTO NORTHEAST MS THROUGH LATE EVENING... AFFECTING
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY. HAVE EXTENDED
MENTIONABLE RAIN CHANCES IN THE EARLY PART OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

OTHER CHANGES MADE EARLIER THIS EVENING... REMOVED MENTIONABLE
RAIN CHANCES NEAR THE MS RIVER AND LOWERED DEWPOINTS FOR FRIDAY TO
NEAR 18Z NAM VALUES.

PWB

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2012/

DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 306 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2012/

SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 90S TO AS HIGH AS 102 DEGREES. A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING SOUTHWEST ACROSS
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW
MORE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
EVENING. OTHERWISE...ANOTHER VERY WARM NIGHT AHEAD WITH
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY MORNING IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80.

ANOTHER HOT DAY IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS
IN PLACE. HEAT INDEX VALUES SHOULD EXCEED 105 DEGREES OVER MUCH OF
THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY. AS IT WAS TODAY...SOME ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE QUITE WARM AS
WELL WITH SOME ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.

SATURDAY SHOULD BE THE LAST REALLY HOT DAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BEGINS TO MOVE WEST. TEMPERATURES MAY BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES
COOLER BUT MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SO HEAT INDEX VALUES
WILL REMAIN AROUND 105 AGAIN SO WILL EXTEND HEAT ADVISORY THROUGH
8 PM SATURDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

BY SATURDAY NIGHT...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION.
THIS WILL BRING A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WITH A FEW MORE CLOUDS AROUND ON SUNDAY
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE ABLE TO GET QUITE AS HOT WITH AFTERNOON
READINGS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S. THE FRONT WILL BE VERY SLOW TO
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SO THE THREAT OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH MORE CLOUDS EXPECTED BOTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR EVEN
BELOW NORMAL.

BY TUESDAY NIGHT...WHAT IS LEFT OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE EXITING
THE REGION AND THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE WITH
ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FOR WEDNESDAY AND NEXT
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL FOR
BOTH WEDNESDAY AND NEXT THURSDAY.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF SET

AREA OF TSRAS GETTING READY TO PUSH INTO NE MISSISSIPPI. WILL
INTRODUCE A VCTS GROUP FOR TWO HOURS AT KTUP. THINK NORTHERN EDGE
SHOULD STAY JUST SOUTH OF AIRPORT. WIND WILL LIKELY SWITCH TO THE NE
AND WILL GUST UP TO 25-30 KTS AS GUST FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. VSBY
SENSOR SEEMS TO BE BROKEN AT KTUP THUS NO AMENDMENTS WILL BE ISSUED.
ELSEWHERE...TINY LONE TSRA NORTHWEST OF KMKL SEEMS TO BE DYING. WILL
LEAVE MENTION OF TSRA OUT OF TAF SET. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS OVER NEXT 24 HOURS. CAN/T RULE OUT FURTHER ISOLD TSRAS
OCCURRING OVER THE COURSE OF THE PERIOD BUT NOT ENOUGH TO MENTION IN
THE TAFS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED OVER NEXT 24 HOURS.

KRM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  79  98  78  95 /  20  30  20  40
MKL  74  96  74  92 /  20  30  20  40
JBR  77  98  76  93 /  20  30  20  40
TUP  75  96  73  93 /  20  30  20  40

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2012

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-062230-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH AS HEAT
INDEX READINGS REACH OR EXCEED 105 DEGREES. HOT TEMPERATURES AND
DRY FUELS MAY CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH THROUGH 8 PM
CDT SATURDAY AS HEAT INDEX READINGS REACH OR EXCEED 105 DEGREES. HOT
TEMPERATURES AND DRY FUELS MAY CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS
THE REGION INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.