Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Lake Charles, LA

022 
WWUS54 KLCH 181210
SVSLCH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
610 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

TXC457-181219-
/O.CAN.KLCH.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120218T1245Z/
TYLER TX-
610 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN TYLER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3049 9473 3053 9391 3050 9389 3024 9406
      3024 9411 3021 9410 3017 9411 2989 9430
      2988 9444 3011 9445 3012 9460
TIME...MOT...LOC 1209Z 250DEG 42KT 3048 9451 3024 9451
          2982 9486

$$

TXC199-241-245-181245-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120218T1245Z/
HARDIN TX-JASPER TX-JEFFERSON TX-
610 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CST
FOR NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON...SOUTHEASTERN JASPER AND HARDIN
COUNTIES...

AT 604 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON RADAR CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF THICKET TO BATSON TO 34 MILES 
SOUTHWEST OF NOME..MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
ALSO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINS THAT WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND QUICKLY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  VILLAGE MILLS AND HONEY ISLAND BY 615 AM CST...
  KOUNTZE BY 625 AM CST...
  SOUR LAKE BY 630 AM CST...
  CANEY HEAD...SILSBEE AND NOME BY 635 AM CST...
  LUMBERTON AND BEVIL OAKS BY 640 AM CST...
  EVADALE BY 645 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. SEEK 
SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3049 9473 3053 9391 3050 9389 3024 9406
      3024 9411 3021 9410 3017 9411 2989 9430
      2988 9444 3011 9445 3012 9460
TIME...MOT...LOC 1209Z 250DEG 42KT 3048 9451 3024 9451
          2982 9486

$$

BRAZZELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
549 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

.AVIATION...RAIN AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH IFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED AND BRIEF LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITH LOW CEILINGS AND
VIS IN RAIN. WINDS MAY BE ERRATIC NEAR STORMS, HOWEVER OVERALL WINDS
WILL BE AROUND 10 KNOTS AND SLOWLY CHANGE THROUGH THE DAY AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES BY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 436 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012/

..FLOODING RAINS AND STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE TODAY...

DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT IS SLOWLY LIFTING NORTH AND IS NEARING THE
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE CWA WHILE LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES OVER
SOUTH TX. THE SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NE TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO
TRAVEL FROM AROUND THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON AREA ROUGHLY ACROSS LCH,
AND THEN TOWARD OPELOUSAS AND MARKSVILLE. THE WARM FRONT WILL ALSO
LIFT NORTH ROUGHLY TO ALONG THAT LINE WITH THE COOLER AIR MASS
NORTH AND THE WARMER AND HIGHER TD AIR MASS TO THE SOUTH. ALSO
THROUGH TODAY, THE SHORT WAVE IN W TX, NM, AND N MEXICO WILL MOVE
NE WHILE SLOWLY FLATTENING. HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT, UPPER DIVERGENCE
AND SURFACE LIFT WILL PROVIDE AMPLE RAINFALL TO THE REGION TODAY
AND A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM. DUE TO COOLER AIR MASS
TO THE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT SVR POTENTIAL WILL BE MINIMAL
ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA, HOWEVER IN THE WARM
SECTOR, ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF, THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF A SEVERE
STORM WITH HIGH WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. CAPE IS EXPECTED TO
BE FAIRLY LOW, HOWEVER SHEAR WILL BE VERY GOOD, AND WITH THE LARGER
HODOGRAPH COMES THE THREAT OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO AS WELL.

THIS EVENING THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST OF THE CWA AND RAIN CHANCES
WILL DECREASE. A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION FOR SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES BY. MONDAY THE RIDGE WILL
MOVE TO ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST STARTING THE RETURN FLOW LOCALLY.
A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT INTO THE AREA TUE WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT INC IN POPS. RAIN CHANCES WILL INC A BIT MORE ON WED AS A
SHORT WAVE PASS THE REGION ALONG WITH ANOTHER WEAK FRONT.

MARINE...WINDS AND WAVES WILL INC TODAY AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS FAR SE TX AND S LA. AS THE LOW MOVES
E TO NE AND AWAY FROM THE AREA STRONG NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS
RIDGE BUILDS IN. THIS WILL CAUSE SCA CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH WINDS AND SEAS
DECREASING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  70  46  63  42  65 / 100  40  10  10  10
KBPT  68  45  62  45  65 / 100  30  10  10  10
KAEX  57  43  61  39  65 / 100  60  10  10  10
KLFT  71  48  62  42  66 / 100  50  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...EAST
     CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
     LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...ST.
     MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...VERNON...WEST CAMERON.

TX...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     HARDIN...JEFFERSON...NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN NEWTON...
     ORANGE...SOUTHERN JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON...TYLER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO NOON CST SUNDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM CST SUNDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
     TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE
     LAKE...VERMILION BAY.

&&

TINGLER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
544 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

GMZ435-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-
259>262-191200-
VERMILION BAY-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-
EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
544 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING POSSIBLE TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL AND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS: THE BIGGEST THREATS WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING AND THE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED INTO THE AFTERNOON
FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

FLOODING: DUE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL AND THE HEAVY RAINFALL
EXPECTED TODAY FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED LOCATIONS MAY OCCUR. A
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6PM FOR ALL OF THE AREA. FLOODING
ALONG SOME AREA RIVERS IS ALREADY ONGOING AND MAY INCREASE
DOWNSTREAM FROM AREAS THAT RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL.

TORNADOES: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHORT LIVED AND ISOLATED
TORNADO TODAY MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A BEAUMONT TO OPELOUSAS LINE.

HAIL: THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM MAY
PRODUCE HAIL TO AROUND THE SIZE OF QUARTERS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS THAT ARE ALREADY AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WILL
BE A CONCERN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS HAS HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCURS
TODAY FLOWS TO THE GULF. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD
STATEMENTS AND WARNING FOR MORE DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

GMZ430-432-450-452-455-470-472-475-191200-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
544 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRAVELS
ALONG THE COAST. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE
LOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE INTO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AT GREATER THAN 20 KNOTS AND HIGHER
THAN 6 FEET ACROSS THE GULF WATERS.

THUNDERSTORMS IN THE COASTAL WATERS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER
34 KNOTS AND LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO SUNDAY MORNING AND
DECREASE INTO SUNDAY MID DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

MARINERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
508 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

LAZ030>032-181145-
EVANGELINE LA-BEAUREGARD LA-ALLEN LA-
508 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EVANGELINE...BEAUREGARD AND ALLEN
PARISHES UNTIL 545 AM CST...

AT 507 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HARMONY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OBERLIN BY 515 AM...
  ALLEN PARISH AIRPORT BY 525 AM...
  OAKDALE AND BOND BY 530 AM...

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS PEA TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL. SEEK
SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW LYING
ROADWAYS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM SATURDAY
MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3090 9271 3090 9259 3059 9260 3049 9292
      3063 9305

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
533 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

LAZ031-032-181200-
EVANGELINE LA-ALLEN LA-
533 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EVANGELINE AND ALLEN PARISHES
UNTIL 600 AM CST...

AT 530 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTH OF BOND...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PINE PRAIRIE AND REDDELL BY 540 AM...
  BAYOU CHICOT AND TURKEY CREEK BY 545 AM...
  CHICOT STATE PARK AND INDIAN LAKE BY 550 AM...

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS PEA TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL. SEEK
SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW
LYING ROADWAYS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER
COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE
CROSSING.

LAT...LON 3096 9229 3076 9219 3071 9218 3062 9265
      3080 9272