Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 271, NWS Jackson, MS

May 21, 2012Yazoo County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 21, 2012, 7:36 PM CDT for Yazoo County, Mississippi. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 21, 2012, 7:36 PM CDT (00:36 UTC)
Expired: May 21, 2012, 8:15 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1043 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -121 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1456 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

702 
WUUS54 KJAN 220036
SVRJAN
MSC163-220115-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0271.120522T0036Z-120522T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
736 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN YAZOO COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 736 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...
  AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
  NEAR MIDWAY MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BENTON BY 745 PM CDT...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY
DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE
A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3297 9022 3297 9020 3295 9018 3279 9004
      3268 9025 3290 9040 3298 9025
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 328DEG 12KT 3287 9025

$$

1 follow-up statement

228 
WWUS54 KJAN 220053 RRA
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
753 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

MSC163-220115-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0271.000000T0000Z-120522T0115Z/
YAZOO MS-
753 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN YAZOO COUNTY...

AT 753 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MIDWAY MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL EASTERN YAZOO COUNTY AT 810 PM CDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY
DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE
A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3297 9022 3297 9020 3295 9018 3279 9004
      3268 9025 3290 9040 3298 9025
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 310DEG 18KT 3284 9014

$$

EEC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 21, 4:11 PM CDT, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 4:11 PM CDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
411 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...

REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
ERUPTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE ARKLAMISS AS EXPECTED WITH THE APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT. MOST ACTIVITY CONFINED TO AREAS
ALONG THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY WHERE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF ~6.5
DEG C/KM AND SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MIXED
LAYER AROUND 2000 J/KG...BUT ADDITIONAL TSTMS ARE DEVELOPING UPSTREAM
OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

DEEP SUB-CLOUD LAYER AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ENHANCE
DEVELOPING COLD POOLS (AND ATTENDANT SVR WIND GUST RISK) WITH NW
FLOW ALOFT HELPING TO ACCELERATE THEM AS CLUSTERS OF CELLS ORGANIZE
INTO LINE SEGMENTS. HAIL AND STRONG TO SVR WIND GUSTS WILL ARE STILL
THE MAIN CONCERNS. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH ACCELERATION TAKES PLACE...
THE RISK FOR STORMS WILL END QUICKLY THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY THE
BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES WITH NIGHTTIME COOLING.

TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO QUICKEN THE
PACE ON THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSAGE AND A SUBSIDENT DRY AIRMASS TO
FOLLOW. SO LOOKS LIKE PRECIP WILL END TONIGHT WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AND MUCH DRIER AIR MOVING IN FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE ENTIRE ARKLAMISS. /EC/

WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE...
UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO AND STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN DURING THIS TIME LOOK
TO BE SLIM AND CONFINED TO THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD AS HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S DURING MID-
WEEK...CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 90S HEADING INTO MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.
MEANWHILE...LOWS EACH NIGHT WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE MID AND UPPER
60S. /19/

&&

.AVIATION...TSRA XPCTD ACROSS THE REGION THRU THE REST OF THE AFTN
AND INTO THE EVENING. ISOLD SEVERE TSRA(60 MPH WINDS AND QUARTER
SIZE HAIL) WILL BE PSBL AS THIS ACTIVITY PASSES. VFR CONDS TO
PREVAIL FOR THE MOST PART BUT A TEMPORARY DROP TO IFR IN RAIN WILL
BE PSBL WITHIN TSRA. TSRA SHOULD DIMINISH BY 02Z WITH A GRADUAL
CLEARING TREND XPCTD INTO TONIGHT. VFR CONDS TO PREVAIL AT MOST
SITES AFTER 02Z...HOWEVER IFR CIG/VIS WILL BE PSBL EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING AT HBG. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME WRLY AND THEN NRLY TODAY
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. /BK/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       59  83  54  87 /  34   3   0   7
MERIDIAN      58  82  52  87 /  38   5   0   7
VICKSBURG     57  82  51  88 /  18   4   0   7
HATTIESBURG   61  86  55  89 /  36   4   5   5
NATCHEZ       61  82  56  86 /  28   3   0  11
GREENVILLE    59  79  54  86 /  10   4   0   7
GREENWOOD     57  79  51  85 /  10   3   0   6

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

EC/19/BK

Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 2:49 PM CDT, 4 hours 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
249 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
222000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
249 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
ARKLAMISS INTO THE EVENING HOURS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THE STORMS WILL
GENERALLY MOVE TO THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH
MOST OF THE STRONG TO SEVERE ACTIVITY ENDING BETWEEN 8 AND 9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED UNTIL 8 OR 9 PM THIS EVENING.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

BK

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 21, 6:59 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
659 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0652 PM     HAIL             HOLLY BLUFF             32.82N 90.71W
05/21/2012  E0.88 INCH       YAZOO              MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AEG

Local storm report, May 21, 7:16 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
716 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0658 PM     HAIL             5 E RAYVILLE            32.47N 91.67W
05/21/2012  E1.00 INCH       RICHLAND           LA   PUBLIC

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT GROCERY AT BEES BAYOU
            EXIT OFF INTERSTATE 20

&&

AEG

Local storm report, May 21, 7:18 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
718 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E RAYVILLE            32.47N 91.67W
05/21/2012                   RICHLAND           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN AT THE AREA AROUND THE BEES BAYOU EXIT OFF
            INTERSTATE 20

&&

AEG

Local storm report, May 21, 7:21 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
721 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             EDEN                    32.99N 90.32W
05/21/2012  E0.50 INCH       YAZOO              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN EDEN BY EMERGENCY MANAGMENT

0650 PM     HAIL             MYRLEVILLE              32.71N 90.28W
05/21/2012  E0.25 INCH       YAZOO              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

&&

Special weather statement, May 21, 7:21 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

MSZ042-043-220040-
MADISON MS-YAZOO MS-
721 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
721 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING FROM YAZOO INTO MADISON COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF MYRLEVILLE AT 720
PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO
LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN EAST CENTRAL YAZOO AND CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3269 8984 3252 9003 3253 9030 3270 9035
      3281 9018
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 323DEG 17KT 3268 9020

EEC

Local storm report, May 21, 7:26 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
726 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0541 PM     HAIL             1 NW RENFROE            32.87N 89.46W
05/21/2012  E1.00 INCH       LEAKE              MS   PUBLIC

            DAMAGED A GARDEN AND DOWNED SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS

&&

CME

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 21, 7:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Clarke, Lauderdale	25 min
May 21, 7:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison	19 min
May 21, 8:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison	20 min
May 21, 8:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Holmes	22 min
May 21, 8:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Holmes	28 min
May 21, 8:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Holmes	30 min
May 21, 8:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Holmes	43 min
May 21, 9:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Adams	31 min
May 21, 9:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison	33 min
May 21, 9:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Holmes	30 min
May 21, 9:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Holmes	39 min
May 21, 9:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Yazoo	56 min
May 21, 10:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison	32 min
May 21, 10:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lowndes	18 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.