Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2012

River Flood Warning 8, NWS Jackson, MS

February 18, 2012Marion County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Feb 18, 2012, 3:02 PM CST for Marion County, Mississippi. It took effect at Feb 22, 2012, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2012, 3:02 PM CST (21:02 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 22, 2012, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Feb 22, 2012, 10:34 AM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
Minor

County Marion County, MS

The river

Written for the forecast point Pearl River near Columbia (CLMM6).

Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
23 ft
Major stage
26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02489000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

007 
WGUS44 KJAN 182102
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
302 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... 

  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC029-127-200302-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0006.120219T1800Z-120222T1400Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1800Z.120220T0600Z.120221T0800Z.NO/
302 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT NOON SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 20.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND NOON ON
  SUNDAY AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 25.5 FEET LATE
  SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND 
  BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING.
* IMPACT...AT 21 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF BOTTOMLANDS IS OCCURRING 
  IN THE IMMEDIATE PROXIMITY OF THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD   ESTIMATED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  20.1 SAT  NOON  24.2  25.5  24.8  25.5 12 AM  2/20

$$

MSC077-200301-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0007.120219T0830Z-120223T2100Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0830Z.120220T0600Z.120223T0600Z.NO/
302 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT 
  AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 24 FEET ON EARLY MONDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24 FEET...WATER APPEARS IN LOW AREAS IN THE EXTREME 
  EASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 22 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  19.6 SAT  2 PM  22.7  24.0  23.8  24.0 12 AM 2/20

$$

MSC091-200301-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120221T1800Z-120223T1500Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120221T1800Z.120221T1800Z.120223T0000Z.NO/
302 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 2:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE
  ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...CAMP LANE ROAD SOUTH OF COLUMBIA ON THE EAST
  SIDE OF THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  13.1 SAT  2 PM  15.0  15.8  16.8  17.0 12 PM 2/21

$$

DL
9 follow-up statements
066 
WGUS84 KJAN 190148
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
748 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC029-127-200748-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.120219T1700Z-120222T1800Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1700Z.120220T0600Z.120221T1200Z.NO/
748 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY ON SUNDAY 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 25.5 FEET EARLY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND 
  BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  22.5 SAT  4 PM  24.5  25.5  25.0  25.5 12 AM 2/20

$$

MSC077-200747-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.120219T0720Z-120223T1859Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0720Z.120220T1200Z.120223T0359Z.NO/
748 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 24 FEET ON MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24 FEET...WATER APPEARS IN LOW AREAS IN THE EXTREME 
  EASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 22 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  20.9 SAT  7 PM  22.7  24.0  23.7  24.0  6 AM 2/20

$$

MSC091-200747-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120221T1200Z-120222T2100Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120221T1200Z.120221T1200Z.120222T0600Z.NO/
748 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR FLOOD
  STAGE ON TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 17 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...CAMP LANE ROAD SOUTH OF COLUMBIA ON THE EAST
  SIDE OF THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  14.4 SAT  7 PM  15.4  16.6  17.0  17.0  6 AM 2/21

$$

DL
226 
WGUS84 KJAN 191641
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1041 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...


  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC029-127-202241-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.120219T1636Z-120223T0959Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1109Z.120220T0000Z.120222T0359Z.NO/
1041 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:00 AM SUNDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND 
  BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  22.5 SAT 04 PM  26.5  25.8  24.5  26.5 06 PM 02/19

$$

MSC077-202241-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120224T0059Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0745Z.120221T0000Z.120223T0959Z.NO/
1041 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD LOWER PORTIONS OF 
  COOPER'S FERRY PARK IN MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...WATER APPEARS IN LOW AREAS IN THE EXTREME 
  EASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF MONTICELLO.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  22.6 SUN 10 AM  24.2  24.5  23.4  24.5 06 PM 02/20

$$

MSC091-202240-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120221T1200Z-120223T0300Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120221T1200Z.120221T1200Z.120222T1200Z.NO/
1041 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  15.7 SUN 10 AM  16.5  17.0  17.0  17.0 06 AM 02/21

$$
351 
WGUS84 KJAN 200207
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-210807-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0010.120220T0600Z-120223T1200Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.120220T0600Z.120221T0000Z.120222T0600Z.NO/
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  12.9 SUN 08 PM  13.1  13.2  12.9  13.2 12 AM 02/21

$$

MSC029-127-210806-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120223T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1800Z.120220T0600Z.120221T1800Z.NO/
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND 
  BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF BOTTOMLANDS IS OCCURRING 
  IN THE IMMEDIATE PROXIMITY OF THE RIVER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  22.5 SAT 04 PM  26.4  25.3  24.0  26.5 12 AM 02/20

$$

MSC077-210806-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120223T2300Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0745Z.120221T0600Z.120223T0800Z.NO/
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD LOWER PORTIONS OF 
  COOPER'S FERRY PARK IN MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...WATER APPEARS IN LOW AREAS IN THE EXTREME 
  EASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  23.0 SUN 07 PM  23.6  24.5  23.2  24.5 12 AM 02/21

$$

MSC091-210806-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120221T1200Z-120222T2100Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120221T1200Z.120221T1200Z.120222T0600Z.NO/
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...CAMP LANE ROAD SOUTH OF COLUMBIA ON THE EAST
  SIDE OF THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  16.0 SUN 07 PM  16.3  17.0  16.9  17.0 12 AM 02/22

$$
030 
WGUS84 KJAN 200220 CCA
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY
  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-210807-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0010.120220T0600Z-120223T1200Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.120220T0600Z.120221T0000Z.120222T0600Z.NO/
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY EARLY
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER
  PARK.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  12.9 SUN 08 PM  13.1  13.2  12.9  13.2 12 AM 02/21

$$

MSC029-127-210806-
/O.COR.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120223T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1800Z.120220T0600Z.120221T1800Z.NO/
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 1:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND
  BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF BOTTOMLANDS IS OCCURRING
  IN THE IMMEDIATE PROXIMITY OF THE RIVER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  26.0 SUN 01 PM  26.4  25.3  24.0  26.5 12 AM 02/20

$$

MSC077-210806-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120223T2300Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0745Z.120221T0600Z.120223T0800Z.NO/
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD LOWER PORTIONS OF
  COOPER'S FERRY PARK IN MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...WATER APPEARS IN LOW AREAS IN THE EXTREME
  EASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  23.0 SUN 07 PM  23.6  24.5  23.2  24.5 12 AM 02/21

$$

MSC091-210806-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120221T1200Z-120222T2100Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120221T1200Z.120221T1200Z.120222T0600Z.NO/
807 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...CAMP LANE ROAD SOUTH OF COLUMBIA ON THE EAST
  SIDE OF THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  16.0 SUN 07 PM  16.3  17.0  16.9  17.0 12 AM 02/22

$$
011 
WGUS84 KJAN 201457
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
857 AM CST MON FEB 20 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...


  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-212057-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120223T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.120220T1800Z.120221T1200Z.120222T1200Z.NO/
857 AM CST MON FEB 20 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  13.0 MON 08 AM  13.2  13.0  12.8  13.2 06 AM 02/21

$$

MSC029-127-212057-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120223T0600Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1300Z.120220T1800Z.120222T0000Z.NO/
857 AM CST MON FEB 20 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 26.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND 
  BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  26.0 SUN 01 PM  25.8  24.2  23.2    CRESTING          

$$

MSC077-212057-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120224T1800Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0745Z.120221T1800Z.120224T0300Z.NO/
857 AM CST MON FEB 20 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD LOWER PORTIONS OF 
  COOPER'S FERRY PARK IN MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...WATER APPEARS IN LOW AREAS IN THE EXTREME 
  EASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF MONTICELLO.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  23.3 MON 08 AM  24.3  24.3  23.0  24.5 12 PM 02/21

$$

MSC091-212057-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120222T1200Z-120224T0900Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120222T1200Z.120222T1200Z.120223T1800Z.NO/
857 AM CST MON FEB 20 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  16.0 MON 08 AM  16.5  17.0  17.0  17.0 06 AM 02/22

$$
511 
WGUS84 KJAN 210312
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
912 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-220912-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120223T0600Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.120220T1745Z.120221T1200Z.120222T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  13.1 MON 09 PM  13.2  12.8  12.3  13.2 06 AM 02/21

$$

MSC029-127-220912-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120223T0600Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1300Z.120219T1900Z.120222T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND 
  BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF BOTTOMLANDS IS OCCURRING 
  IN THE IMMEDIATE PROXIMITY OF THE RIVER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  26.0 SUN 01 PM  25.7  24.2  23.2     CRESTED

$$

MSC077-220912-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120224T2100Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0745Z.120221T1800Z.120224T0600Z.NO/
912 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...WATER APPEARS IN LOW AREAS IN THE EXTREME 
  EASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  23.5 MON 08 PM  24.0  24.1  22.9  24.5 06 PM 02/21

$$

MSC091-220912-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120222T1800Z-120224T0900Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120222T1800Z.120222T1800Z.120223T1800Z.NO/
912 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...CAMP LANE ROAD SOUTH OF COLUMBIA ON THE EAST
  SIDE OF THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  16.1 MON 08 PM  16.4  16.9  17.0  17.0 12 PM 02/23

$$
957 
WGUS84 KJAN 211420
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
820 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2012




...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC029-127-222020-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120223T0430Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1300Z.120219T1900Z.120221T2230Z.NO/
820 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND 
  BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF BOTTOMLANDS IS OCCURRING 
  IN THE IMMEDIATE PROXIMITY OF THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  26.0 SUN 01 PM  24.0  22.9  22.1       FALLING 

$$

MSC077-222020-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120223T1859Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0745Z.120220T2015Z.120223T0359Z.NO/
820 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  23.3 TUE 07 AM  22.7  21.5  20.4     CRESTED          

$$

MSC091-222020-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120222T1200Z-120223T0900Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120222T1200Z.120222T1200Z.120222T1800Z.NO/
820 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...CAMP LANE ROAD SOUTH OF COLUMBIA ON THE EAST
  SIDE OF THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  16.3 TUE 07 AM  17.0  16.6  15.8  17.0 06 AM 02/22

$$
786 
WGUS84 KJAN 220133
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
733 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC029-127-230733-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120224T1200Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.120219T1300Z.120220T1200Z.120223T0600Z.NO/
733 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 6 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR 26.5 FEET AND FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

              FLOOD    ESTIMATED       FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
ROCKPORT       25  26.5 TUE  6 PM  25.9  24.6  23.7      FALLING

$$

MSC077-230733-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120224T0300Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.120219T0745Z.120220T2015Z.120223T1200Z.NO/
733 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 7:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET AND FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
MONTICELLO     22  23.2 TUE  7 PM  22.8  22.0  21.2      FALLING

$$

MSC091-230733-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0008.120222T1800Z-120223T0900Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.120222T1800Z.120222T1800Z.120222T1800Z.NO/
733 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET AND SLOWLY RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE
  EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17 FEET...LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  WATER COVERS OLD HIGHWAY 35 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  16.4 TUE  7 PM  16.8  16.7  16.2  17.0 12 PM 2/22

$$

DL
691 
WGUS84 KJAN 221634
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1034 AM CST WED FEB 22 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY
  PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-221704-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120223T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.120220T1745Z.120221T1230Z.120222T1445Z.NO/
1034 AM CST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA.
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  8:45 AM WEDNESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 12.6 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  13.0 WED 10 AM  12.6  12.3  11.8     FALLING

$$

MSC091-221704-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120223T0900Z/
/CLMM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1034 AM CST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 16.4 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 16.1 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...CAMP LANE ROAD SOUTH OF COLUMBIA ON THE EAST
  SIDE OF THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER PEARL RIVER
COLUMBIA       17  16.4 WED 10 AM  16.1  15.7  15.2     FALLING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 18, 10:37 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 10:37 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1037 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

.UPDATE...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE HWY 84 CORRIDOR. THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER HAS
BEEN DIMINISHING AS IT IS BECOMING MORE APPARENT THAT A BOW ECHO
MOVING AND ACCELERATING EASTWARD ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR WILL STAY
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION PRECEDING THE BOW ECHO CONTINUES
TO MAINTAIN A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER SRN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...BUT WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET IN PLACE...THERE IS STILL SOME
RISK FOR THE RICHER MARINE LAYER TO SURGE NORTH AND DESTABILIZE THE
AIRMASS OVER SRN MARION/LAMAR/FORREST COUNTIES SUFFICIENTLY TO GET
STRONG/SVR WIND GUSTS AT THE SURFACE AND PERHAPS A TORNADO. HIGH RES
MODELS ARE STRUGGLING TO DEPICT THE CONVECTIVE SCENARIO WITH THE
LATEST HRRR GUIDANCE IS TOO SLOW...SO MUCH OF THE FORECAST THINKING
IS BASED ON SATELLITE/RADAR/OBS DATA.

AN IMPRESSIVE SET-UP FOR HEAVY RAIN IS IN PLACE ALONG THE CNTRL GULF
COAST WITH THE ENTRANCE REGION TO A 150+KT JET STREAM LEADING TO
STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT OF 1.5+" PRECIPITABLE WATER AIRMASS INTO
THE ARKLAMISS. THE MOST INTENSE RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH BOW
ECHO SHOULD STAY SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT STRONG FRONTOGENETICAL
FORCING IS LEADING TO STEADIER HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO THE I-20
CORRIDOR WHERE RUN-OFF PROBLEMS AND PONDING OF WATER ARE STILL LIKELY
DESPITE THE ABSENCE OF TSTMS. THE 12Z NAM SHIFTS THE STRONGER AREA
OF FORCING AND HEAVIER QPF ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOING BUT WITH EMPHASIS
FOR HEAVIEST RAINFALL ALONG THE HWY 84 CORRIDOR.

OTHERWISE...WILL MAKE MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO FORECAST ELEMENTS
BASED ON LATEST TRENDS. THE UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION IS BELOW. /EC/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 505 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012/

RAINFALL DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE LOW SHOULD EXIT TO THE
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY THIS EVENING AND THE RAINFALL FOCUS WILL
SHIFT TO THE MID LEVEL TROF...WHICH WILL IMPACT AREAS MORE NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20. THE RAIN WILL BE ENDING IN THE NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA
BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM THE SOUTHWEST
ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
ALLOWING FOR CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 30S.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THE WORK WEEK...THE UPPER LEVEL WEATHER
PATTERN EVOLUTION ACROSS THE LOWER FORTY-EIGHT FOR THE COMING WORK
WEEK LOOKS TO CONTINUE TO FEATURE QUITE A BIT OF ACTIVITY FOR THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. DURING THIS SPAN EXPECT SEVERAL
FRONTS TO AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA WITH CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH SPECIFIC WEATHER SETUPS AND UNCERTAINTY DO
NOT YIELD MUCH POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER PRECIPITATION (AT LEAST IN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD) UNTIL AT LEAST FRIDAY.

THE FIRST FRONT SHOULD BE MORE OF A LOW LEVEL TROUGH (FEATURING WEAK
TEMPERATURE GRADIENTS) PULLING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT
AND STALLING. MOISTURE ADVECTION AND INSTABILITY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE QUITE MARGINAL AND...CONSIDERING BEST
ATMOSPHERIC LIFT AND FORCING WILL BE TO OUR NORTH...MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR NORTH OF OUR REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.

BUT IT WILL NOT TAKE LONG FOR ANOTHER FOR A MORE-SIGNIFICANT COLD
FRONT TO HEAD OUR WAY AS A MORE STABLE TROUGH AXIS ALOFT DEVELOPS A
LITTLE TO OUR WEST BY MIDWEEK. ALTHOUGH THIS FRONT COMING IN WILL
HAVE A STRONGER TEMP GRADIENT...IT IS STILL EXPECTED TO STALL IN THE
VICINITY OF THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AFTER COMING IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SOMEWHAT SUPPRESSED AND FAST NATURE
OF THE FLOW PATTERN WILL MAKE IT HARD TO GET CONSIDERABLE GULF JUICE
BACK INTO THE AREA FOR THIS BOUNDARY TO WORK WITH...BUT THERE IS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE SOME SHOWERS AND MAYBE A FEW STORMS ABOUT GOING
FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT ALL THE WAY THROUGH FRIDAY. AT THIS POINT
THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN OVER THIS PERIOD LOOK TO BE IN EASTERN AND
SOUTHERN MS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND THEN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. THERE ARE SOME SIGNALS THAT PHASING SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY
COMING INTO THE STALLED FRONT BY FRIDAY COULD LEAD TO HEAVY RAIN AND
STORMS...BUT MODEL CONSENSUS IS NOT HIGH ON THIS EVOLUTION...SO
THERE IS DEFINITELY TIME TO WATCH THINGS BEFORE THINKING ABOUT
INCLUDING WORDING IN THE HWO.

OTHERWISE...DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR IS RATHER STOUT THROUGH THIS WHOLE
PERIOD AND IS A LITTLE WORRISOME IF NEAR SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION
CAN DEVELOP ON ANY DAY NEXT WEEK. CHANCES FOR THIS OCCURRENCE EXIST
FOR FRIDAY...BUT UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH AS MENTIONED. BUT THERE ALSO
SEEMS TO BE A CHANCE FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED POCKETS OF DEEP
CONVECTION ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT COMING. AT THIS
POINT MODELS MAKE IT SEEM MUCH MORE LIKELY THAT COPIOUS STORMS
DEVELOPING NEAR THE COAST AT THAT TIME WILL BLOCK MOISTURE FEED INTO
THE HEART OF OUR REGION. WE WILL HAVE TO HOPE THAT OCCURS BECAUSE AN
UNINHIBITED GULF MOISTURE FEED INTO THE ARKLAMISS WOULD LIKELY FUEL
AT LEAST A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA.

GFS-BASED MODEL GUIDANCE DID NOT LOOK AT ALL BAD FOR THE LONG RANGE
PERIOD CONSIDERING MENTIONED UNCERTAINTIES. I TWEAKED POPS A LITTLE
ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT TO MATCH ENSEMBLE THINKING MORE
CLOSELY...BUT OTHERWISE REMAINED WITH MEX POPS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE LONG TERM SHOULD BE AVERAGE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
ALTHOUGH THE COLD FRONT COMING IN DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK
WILL HAVE SOME CHILLY AIR BEHIND IT AND ITS EVENTUAL POSITIONING
WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY. /BB/

&&

.AVIATION...

MOD TO HVY RAINS HAVE OVRSPRD THE ARKLAMISS THIS MORNING...WITH TSRA
ACTIVITY TIED TO AREAS ACROSS SRN MS. CONVECTION MAY PUSH CLOSER TO
THE HWY 84 CORRIDOR WITH TIME...HOWEVER SHOULD BE SCT IN NATURE WITH
BETTER TSRA COVERAGE FURTHER S. CIG WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE
THRU THE DAY AS THE MOISTURE SURGES IN. A TREND TOWARD MVFR AND
EVENTUALLY IFR CIG IS XPCTD AT MOST SITES. THIS WILL CONTINUE THRU
THE EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT BEFORE CONDS BEGIN TO SLOWLY IMPROVE
TOMORROW MORNING. SFC WINDS WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY/EASTERLY THRU THE
DAY...AND MAY BE OSNLY GUSTY. /BK/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MSZ043>066-072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR LAZ016-023>026.

AR...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 10:05 AM CST, 4 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1005 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

MSZ072>074-191615-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
1005 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 12 PM
AND 3 PM AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO THREE INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE
EVENING WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND
SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO
FLOODING CONCERNS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. AS A RESULT...A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

LAZ016-023>026-MSZ043>066-191615-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-MADISON MS-
LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
1005 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND SATURATED
SOIL CONDITIONS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLOODING
CONCERNS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-MSZ018-019-025>042-191615-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
1005 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

BK

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 18, 1:49 PM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
MSZ066-074-182055-
JONES MS-FORREST MS-
149 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
149 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

A LARGE OF AREA RAIN WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WAS PRODUCING MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH OF JONES COUNTY. WATER PONDING AND COVERING
SEVERAL STREETS IN THE LAUREL. SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS...DITCHES AND
CULVERTS WERE FILLING UP QUICKLY. AVOID AREAS OF PONDING WATER.

AN ADDITION HALF INCH TO AN INCH OF RAIN WAS POSSIBLE. THE AREA WAS
BEING MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING.

PEOPLE IN EXTREME NORTHWESTERN FORREST AND JONES COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3143 8938 3178 8938 3182 8894 3148 8895
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 236DEG 52KT 3167 8908

7
Special weather statement, Feb 18, 1:50 PM CST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
LAZ024>026-MSZ059>061-182015-
ADAMS MS-JEFFERSON MS-FRANKLIN MS-TENSAS LA-CONCORDIA LA-
CATAHOULA LA-
150 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
150 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE RAIN IS MOVING INTO THE PARISHES AND
COUNTIES AT THIS TIME...AND COUPLED WITH THE HEAVY RAINS EARLIER
TODAY MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING ISSUES OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS IN LOW
LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

PEOPLE IN WESTERN FRANKLIN...WESTERN JEFFERSON AND ADAMS
COUNTIES...AND CATAHOULA...CONCORDIA AND SOUTHERN TENSAS PARISHES
SHOULD USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING...AND PREPARE FOR WATER COVERED
ROADS.

LAT...LON 3190 9201 3187 9178 3192 9134 3184 9099
      3135 9096 3132 9112 3137 9124 3131 9146
      3122 9149 3121 9158 3111 9162 3105 9155
      3097 9165 3097 9167 3103 9165 3104 9172
      3120 9170 3129 9191 3122 9192 3123 9200
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 237DEG 33KT 3132 9193

BK
Local storm report, Feb 18, 2:33 PM CST, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
233 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MERIDIAN                32.38N 88.71W
02/18/2012                   LAUDERDALE         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS WITH WATER ACROSS THEM IN WESTERN PORTIONS
            OF THE COUNTY.

&&

BK
Local storm report, Feb 18, 2:35 PM CST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
235 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIA                31.26N 89.83W
02/18/2012                   MARION             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER WAS ENTERING ONE HOME AND ONE SHOP ON OWENS STREET
            IN COLUMBIA.

&&

BK
Local storm report, Feb 18, 2:37 PM CST, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
237 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIA                31.26N 89.83W
02/18/2012                   MARION             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREETS WERE BEGINNING TO FLOOD IN COLUMBIA. HUNT ROAD IN
            THE KOKOMO COMMUNITY IS WASHED OUT AND IS BEING CLOSED.

&&

BK
Local storm report, Feb 18, 2:45 PM CST, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
245 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HATTIESBURG             31.31N 89.31W
02/18/2012                   FORREST            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING IN HATTIESBURG.

1140 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ST. JOSEPH              31.92N 91.24W
02/18/2012                   TENSAS             LA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER ACROSS SEVERAL ROADS IN THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
            PARISH. NO ROAD CLOSURES YET.

0100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIA                31.26N 89.83W
02/18/2012                   MARION             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREETS WERE BEGINNING TO FLOOD IN COLUMBIA. HUNT ROAD IN
            THE KOKOMO COMMUNITY IS WASHED OUT AND IS BEING CLOSED.

0130 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIA                31.26N 89.83W
02/18/2012                   MARION             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER WAS ENTERING ONE HOME AND ONE SHOP ON OWENS STREET
            IN COLUMBIA.

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MERIDIAN                32.38N 88.71W
02/18/2012                   LAUDERDALE         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS WITH WATER ACROSS THEM IN WESTERN PORTIONS
            OF THE COUNTY.

&&

BK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 11:40 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion4 hr
Feb 18, 12:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest46 min
Feb 18, 1:21 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Lauderdale114 min
Feb 18, 1:49 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones66 min
Feb 18, 1:50 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams, Jefferson25 min
Feb 18, 3:02 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson5 days
Feb 18, 3:02 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence5 days
Feb 18, 3:28 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.