Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Wilmington, OH

497 
WWUS51 KILN 291333
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
833 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

INC155-KYC041-077-291400-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120229T1400Z/
SWITZERLAND IN-CARROLL KY-GALLATIN KY-
833 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM EST
FOR SOUTHWESTERN GALLATIN...CARROLL AND SWITZERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 830 AM EST...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CARROLLTON...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VEVAY AND WARSAW.

IN ADDITION...EASTERDAY...MOUNT 
STERLING...GHENT...JACKSONVILLE...CENTER SQUARE...MARKLAND...CARSON 
ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH
ONE IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY
TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A
BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3875 8530 3874 8526 3870 8521 3882 8521
      3890 8490 3871 8480 3870 8482 3871 8483
      3868 8489 3864 8524 3873 8534
TIME...MOT...LOC 1333Z 263DEG 47KT 3867 8512

$$


BINAU

045 
WWUS51 KILN 291350
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
850 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

INC155-KYC041-077-291400-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120229T1400Z/
SWITZERLAND IN-CARROLL KY-GALLATIN KY-
850 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN GALLATIN...
CARROLL AND SWITZERLAND COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST.

LAT...LON 3875 8530 3874 8526 3870 8521 3882 8521
      3890 8490 3871 8480 3870 8482 3871 8483
      3868 8489 3864 8524 3873 8534
TIME...MOT...LOC 1350Z 263DEG 47KT 3870 8484

$$


BINAU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
617 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THIS WILL PROVIDE A COUPLE PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE IN TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING THE LIKELIHOOD
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST IOWA TO
THE ILN AREA THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED IN AN AREA OF MOISTURE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT ALONG
THE WARM FRONT...AIDED BY A 65 KNOT 850 MB JET. HAVE KEPT
CATEGORICAL POPS FOR THIS EVENT WHICH HAS DEVELOPED MUCH AS
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAD INDICATED.

GIVEN THE ELEVATED NATURE OF THIS CONVECTION ALONG THE WARM
FRONT...THE THREAT FOR HAIL WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. STORM
SOUTH OF CINCINNATI HAS APPEARED TO STAY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS ARE BEING ISSUED FOR THE SUB SEVERE
THREAT.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 60S TODAY AS THE WARM SECTOR
PUSHES INTO THE AREA. SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST CLOSE TO 30 KNOTS AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. MORE CONVECTION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. HAVE
DELAYED END OF THUNDERSTORMS BASED ON LATEST RADAR AND MODEL
TRENDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS
EVENING...WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.
ACTIVITY WILL END BY LATE EVENING AS THE FRONT DEPARTS TO THE
EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN. THE HIGH WILL PROVIDE
DRY CONDITIONS AS IT MOVES ACROSS OHIO THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. THOUGH THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF COLD ADVECTION ON
THURSDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL STAY ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN
THE 50S.

ANOTHER LOW WILL DRAG A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT TO THE REGION ON
FRIDAY. WIND FIELDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FAST MOVING COLD FRONT
SUGGEST STORM MOTIONS OF 50 KNOTS WHICH COULD YIELD DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS. STRONG WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE
TEMPERATURES TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH HIGHS REACHING THE
60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE AREA WILL THEN REMAIN UNDER NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW
OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING A COUPLE OF WEAK DISTURBANCES
ACROSS OUR AREA WITH CHANCES FOR RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL AS WE REMAIN UNDER THE
WESTERN EDGE OF A LARGE UPPER TROUGH. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND WILL SLOWLY
SLIDE EASTWARD INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE
A WARMING TREND TO START OFF THE WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH INTO SRN OHIO ALONG WITH A STRONG
LOW LEVEL JET AND ELEVATED INSTBY HAS LED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. CIGS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY
WITH OCCASIONAL IFR CIGS EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING.

THE WARM FRONT TO CONTINUE LIFTING NORTH THRU THE TAF SITES THIS
MORNING WITH ALL TAFS GETTING IN THE WARM SECTOR. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO TAPER OFF THROUGH MID TO LATE
MORNING WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CIGS LKLY. NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE
TO SHOW A NARROW BAND OF INSTBY NOSING UP INTO THE REGION DURG THE
LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTN...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
NAM SOLN CONTINUES TO BE MORE UNSTBL THAN GFS. HAVE A MENTION OF THUNDER
WITH MVFR CIGS AT ALL TAF SITES INTO MID AFTN.

WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTN WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS
28 KTS.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO
NEAR TERM...CONIGLIO
SHORT TERM...CONIGLIO
LONG TERM...LATTO
AVIATION...AR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
501 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-011015-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
501 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY...WITH
THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
306 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

KYZ095>099-OHZ078-079-290900-
MASON KY-PENDLETON KY-ROBERTSON KY-BRACKEN KY-GRANT KY-BROWN OH-
CLERMONT OH-
306 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CLERMONT...WESTERN
BROWN...EASTERN GRANT...BRACKEN...ROBERTSON...PENDLETON AND
NORTHWESTERN MASON COUNTIES THROUGH 400 AM EST...

AT 303 AM EST...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
WILLIAMSTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...FALMOUTH...BUTLER...
BROOKSVILLE...FELICITY AND AUGUSTA.

ALSO...GOFORTH...MORGAN...GENE SNYDER AIRPORT...GREENWOOD...
CATAWBA...MCKINNEYSBURG...BROWNING CORNER AND MOUNT AUBURN ARE NEAR
THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. WATER WILL
POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3850 8456 3873 8463 3889 8397 3854 8385
      3852 8418 3855 8417 3855 8421 3858 8421
      3856 8441 3853 8443 3853 8447 3851 8449

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
337 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

KYZ097-099-100-OHZ079-081-082-088-290930-
LEWIS KY-MASON KY-BRACKEN KY-ADAMS OH-BROWN OH-PIKE OH-SCIOTO OH-
337 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN SCIOTO...SOUTHERN
PIKE...SOUTHERN BROWN...ADAMS...NORTHEASTERN BRACKEN...MASON AND
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES THROUGH 430 AM EST...

AT 332 AM EST...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MINERVA...
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...MAYSVILLE...ABERDEEN...
TOLLESBORO...MANCHESTER...WEST UNION...SEAMAN...VANCEBURG AND
PEEBLES.

ALSO...SOMO...MOUNT GILEAD...ORANGEBURG...REDOAK...RUSSELLVILLE...
RECTORVILLE...EPWORTH AND BRADYSVILLE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS
STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. WATER WILL
POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3881 8403 3906 8313 3867 8303 3863 8306
      3859 8307 3855 8310 3850 8317 3849 8361
      3852 8364 3849 8374 3849 8393

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
428 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

KYZ100-OHZ088-291030-
LEWIS KY-SCIOTO OH-
428 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SCIOTO AND NORTHEASTERN LEWIS
COUNTIES THROUGH 530 AM EST...

AT 424 AM EST...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
PORTSMOUTH...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...FRANKLIN FURNACE...
SCIOTODALE...WHEELERSBURG AND SOUTH WEBSTER.

ALSO...SCIOTOVILLE...MINFORD...PORTSMOUTH REGIONAL AIRPORT...
POWELLSVILLE AND LYRA ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. WATER WILL
POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3887 8319 3895 8287 3895 8276 3886 8276
      3885 8265 3876 8265 3873 8269 3869 8269
      3867 8276 3860 8275 3860 8285 3868 8288
      3874 8288 3875 8291 3872 8303 3868 8302
      3860 8307 3859 8310

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
444 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

OHZ026-044-291015-
HARDIN OH-LOGAN OH-
444 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN LOGAN AND HARDIN
COUNTIES THROUGH 515 AM EST...

AT 440 AM EST...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR JUMBO...
MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...KENTON.

ALSO...RIDGEWAY...BLANCHARD...MENTZER...MOUNT VICTORY...GRANT...
PFEIFFER...HEPBURN AND PATTERSON ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. WATER WILL
POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

LAT...LON 4071 8349 4071 8344 4068 8341 4052 8341
      4050 8349 4050 8352 4049 8353 4043 8375
      4068 8389 4071 8389 4080 8350

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
742 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

INZ073>075-080-291345-
SWITZERLAND IN-OHIO IN-DEARBORN IN-RIPLEY IN-
742 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT RIPLEY...DEARBORN...OHIO AND
SWITZERLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 845 AM EST...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH WILL CROSS SOUTHEAST
INDIANA THROUGH 845 AM.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...OSGOOD...VERSAILLES...
VEVAY...MILAN...DILLSBORO...MOORES HILL...RISING SUN...AURORA...
LAWRENCEBURG...GREENDALE...HIDDEN VALLEY AND BRIGHT.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3920 8545 3930 8482 3911 8482 3905 8490
      3898 8483 3891 8488 3889 8480 3885 8480
      3883 8483 3879 8481 3878 8499 3870 8513
      3869 8520 3891 8521 3891 8545

BINAU

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
807 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

KYZ089-090-094-291345-
OWEN KY-CARROLL KY-GALLATIN KY-
807 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT GALLATIN...CARROLL AND OWEN
COUNTIES THROUGH 845 AM EST...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA WILL CROSS INTO
NORTHERN KENTUCKY THROUGH 845 AM.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...CARROLLTON AND OWENTON.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THESE STORMS BECOME
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3835 8487 3838 8490 3842 8489 3844 8497
      3851 8499 3851 8503 3856 8501 3859 8509
      3858 8521 3874 8533 3874 8526 3869 8517
      3878 8499 3878 8482 3881 8479 3877 8476
      3873 8479 3862 8477 3846 8459 3833 8478

BINAU