Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Wilmington, NC

971 
WWUS52 KILM 221940
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
340 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

NCC129-141-222015-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-120522T2015Z/
PENDER NC-NEW HANOVER NC-
340 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN NEW HANOVER AND SOUTH CENTRAL PENDER COUNTIES...

AT 339 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR CASTLE HAYNE...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF LELAND...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ROCKY
POINT...ASHTON...ST. HELENA AND MOORETOWN.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3427 7792 3433 7799 3438 7803 3452 7791
      3435 7777
TIME...MOT...LOC 1941Z 239DEG 11KT 3438 7792

$$

15

976 
WWUS52 KILM 221957
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
357 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

NCC129-141-222007-
/O.CAN.KILM.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-120522T2015Z/
PENDER NC-NEW HANOVER NC-
357 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN NEW HANOVER AND SOUTH
CENTRAL PENDER COUNTIES IS CANCELED...

AT 356 PM EDT...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING
HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELED.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3427 7792 3433 7799 3438 7803 3452 7791
      3435 7777
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 239DEG 11KT 3441 7787

$$

15

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
316 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL FOLLOW
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS AN UPPER RIDGE INTENSIFIES
OVER THE CAROLINAS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 316 PM TUESDAY...SEVERE WEATHER IS ROARING SO WILL KEEP THIS
SHORT. A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH OVER GEORGIA WILL BECOME MORE
NEGATIVELY TILTED OVERNIGHT UNTIL IT ACTUALLY CUTS OFF INTO AN UPPER
LOW. COLD AIR ALOFT NEAR THIS FEATURE HAS ALREADY LED TO
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOTS OF LARGE HAIL REPORTS TODAY. THIS CURRENT
ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE NORTH AND WE WILL BE IN A CONVECTIVE LULL
BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER A SECOND VORTICITY LOBE
ROTATING UP FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY WILL PROBABLY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS AGAIN MID TO LATE
EVENING. GFS MOS APPEARS TOO DRY AS IT WAS TODAY...SO WILL TREND UP
TOWARD THE WETTER NAM NUMBERS FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 316 PM TUESDAY...BOTH WED AND THU WILL BE IMPACTED BY A
COLD POOL ALOFT PASSING OVER THE FORECAST AREA...ALTHOUGH BY
THURSDAY THIS FEATURE WILL BE EXITING TO THE NORTH AND TEMPS
ALOFT WILL BEGIN WARMING...ESPECIALLY LATE IN THE DAY THURSDAY.

POTENTIALLY SHARP LAPSE RATES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING
WARRANTS MENTION OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS DESPITE ONLY "SEE TEXT"
WORDING AT THIS TIME FROM SPC. 500MB TEMPS SHOULD DIP TO -15 TO
-16 DEG CELSIUS OVERHEAD NEAR PEAK HEATING.

MENTIONABLE POP VALUES EXTEND INTO THURSDAY BUT WARMING ALOFT
MAY INHIBIT CONVECTION COMPARED TO WED. GREATER COVERAGE AND
TSTM INTENSITY REMAINS FAVORED WED AFTERNOON AS THE CORE OF THE
COOL POOL TRACK OVERHEAD.

MAX TEMPS SIMILAR WED AND THU...MAINLY MIDDLE AND UPPER 80S ACROSS
MOST INLAND LOCATIONS...AND LOWER 80S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
PRIMARILY MIDDLE 60S FOR LOWS EACH MORNING GIVEN ONSHORE FLOW
AND PROJECTED DEWPOINTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 316 PM TUESDAY...FEW CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM FORECAST THIS
AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTION TAKING PRECEDENCE. MAIN THEME REMAINS
HOT HOWEVER AS MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BUILD THE 500MB
RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE WEEKEND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.
THE PATTERN DOES SHOW INDICATIONS OF BREAKING DOWN TUESDAY AS
CLOSED LOW IN THE WEST GETS KICKED OUT AND LOWERS HEIGHTS FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 19Z...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND UPPER
IMPULSE. CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF ACTIVITY INTO ANY TERMINAL IS
ONLY LOW TO MODERATE. ONE IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE FLO TERMINALS
ATTM SHOULD ENHANCE SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON FROM MYR TO ILM. WILL INDICATE SHOWERS/WITH TEMPO MVFR
AT ALL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SHORT-TERM AMENDMENTS AS
RADAR COVERAGE INDICATES. VCTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY AT THE COASTAL
TERMINALS. SHORT PERIODS OF IFR ARE LIKELY WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
BUT THE DURATION SHOULD BE TOO SHORT TO MENTION IN AT LEAST THE
18Z TAFS. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD END BY LATE AFTERNOON...WITH A
SECOND ROUND OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS EVENING PERSISTING
UNTIL MIDNIGHT OR EVEN AFTER AS THE UPPER IMPULSE ROTATES THROUGH.

THUNDERSTORM DEBRIS CLOUDINESS SHOULD SLOWLY THIS OUT AFTER THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS AFTER MIDNIGHT...LEAVING THE WINDOW OPEN FOR BR
DEVELOPMENT. ATTM WILL INDICATE ONLY MVFR CONDITIONS AT FLO/LBT DUE
TO LIGHTER SURFACE WINDS AND LESS POTENTIAL CLOUD COVER. PATCHY
DENSE FOG COULD OCCUR ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED AREAS WHERE SKIES
CLEAR OUT. ANY REDUCED FLIGHT CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE RAPIDLY
AROUND SUNRISE WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN POSSIBLE BY MID
MORNING.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...SCATTERED SHOWERS/MVFR...WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS/TEMPO IFR POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 316 PM TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
AN INCREASE TO 15-20 KT POSSIBLE AWAY FROM SHORE LATER THIS EVENING.
A COLD FRONT MOVING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS SHOULD STALL
BEFORE REACHING THE BEACHES TONIGHT...BUT THE TIGHTENED PRESSURE
GRADIENT NEAR THIS SYSTEM WILL HELP ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS
TONIGHT...WITH A SOLID 15 KNOTS EXPECTED BY LATE EVENING. GUSTS TO
20 KT ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. SEAS CONSIST OF ABOUT 2 FEET OF LOCALLY
GENERATED WIND WAVES PLUS AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 FEET FROM A 10 SECOND
SOUTHEAST SWELL GENERATED BY FORMER TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO OVER THE
PAST DAY OR TWO.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 316 PM TUESDAY...THE BIGGEST THREAT WED AND THU WILL BE
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS THAT COULD TRACK ACROSS THE WATERS
INTACT. THIS WILL INTRODUCE CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
LOCALLY ROUGH CONDITIONS. OUTSIDE OF TSTMS...MAINLY SOUTHERLY
WINDS 15 KNOTS OR LESS WED AND THU...WITH A FEW HIGHER AFTERNOON
GUSTS ENHANCED BY THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION. 3-4 FOOT SEAS WED
AND THU COMPRISED OF SE WAVES 2-3 FEET IN 8-10 SECOND INTERVALS
AND S WAVES AROUND 2 FEET IN 5-6 SECOND WAVE INTERVALS.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 316 PM TUESDAY...NORTHEAST WINDS FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS
VEERING TO THE EAST FOR LATE IN THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
RESIDES TO THE WEST AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE EAST. LOWER CONFIDENCE
IN SPEEDS AS THE LOWS TO THE EAST ARE WILD CARDS. OVERALL EXPECT
SPEEDS TO REMAIN BELOW FLAG CRITERIA HOWEVER. EXPECT SUMMER LIKE
SEAS OF 2-4 FEET.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...TRA
SHORT TERM...MJC
LONG TERM...SHK
AVIATION...MRR/TRA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
351 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

NCZ106-108-110-SCZ054-056-230800-
COASTAL PENDER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-COASTAL HORRY-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
351 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ250-252-254-256-230800-
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
351 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230800-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
351 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH
THIS EVENING. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT A COUPLE STORMS MAY
TURN SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATER TODAY.

NCZ087-096-099-105-107-109-SCZ053-055-230800-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-INLAND HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
351 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATER TODAY.

RJD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
139 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

NCZ099-109-221845-
COLUMBUS-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
139 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS BRUNSWICK AND COLUMBUS
COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM EDT...

AT 139 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
DULAH...OR ABOUT 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF LITTLE RIVER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE LELAND...SHALLOTTE...ASH...
BATARORA...BETHEL...BISHOP...BOILING SPRING LAKES...BUGHILL...CIVIE
TOWN...CRUSOE ISLAND...DULAH AND EXUM.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3395 7805 3397 7819 3397 7833 3391 7861
      3408 7881 3427 7847 3416 7840 3420 7837
      3422 7826 3435 7817 3437 7814 3433 7803
      3432 7803 3432 7801 3429 7801 3424 7796
      3418 7796 3411 7794
TIME...MOT...LOC 1739Z 243DEG 9KT 3402 7870

15

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
158 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

SCZ024-033-221900-
DILLON-MARION-
158 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS MARION AND DILLON COUNTIES
THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 158 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
ZION...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF MARION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE MARION...MULLINS...FLOYDALE...FORK...
KEMPER...LAKE VIEW...LATTA...SELLERS...SMITHBORO AND ZION.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS INCLUDING GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IT
IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3439 7918 3429 7909 3427 7911 3414 7939
      3430 7950 3448 7928
TIME...MOT...LOC 1758Z 240DEG 11KT 3427 7935

15

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
209 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     HAIL             1 NE SAMPIT             33.38N  79.44W
05/22/2012  M1.00 INCH       GEORGETOWN         SC   PUBLIC

            30 MINUTE PERIOD OF HAIL FELL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200126

TRA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
213 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW GEORGETOWN        33.41N  79.33W
05/22/2012                   GEORGETOWN         SC   PUBLIC

            LARGE BRANCH BLOWN OUT OF AN OAK TREE

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200127

TRA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
241 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0204 PM     HAIL             3 NNE CONWAY            33.89N  79.05W
05/22/2012  M1.25 INCH       HORRY              SC   PUBLIC

0204 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NNW FLOYDALE          34.33N  79.34W
05/22/2012  E60 MPH          DILLON             SC   PUBLIC

0204 PM     HAIL             1 NNW FLOYDALE          34.33N  79.34W
05/22/2012  M0.75 INCH       DILLON             SC   PUBLIC

0240 PM     HAIL             LORIS                   34.06N  78.89W
05/22/2012  M0.75 INCH       HORRY              SC   911 CALL CENTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200128
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200129
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200130
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200131

TRA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
248 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0202 PM     HAIL             4 ESE LATTA             34.32N  79.37W
05/22/2012  M1.00 INCH       DILLON             SC   PUBLIC

            REPORTED FROM HAYMOUNT ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200132

TRA