Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
251 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FORECAST UPDATES WILL FOCUS ON SMALL CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT
WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE SLIDING EASTWARD ACROSS NEBRASKA IS SPARKING
OFF SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...AND EXPECT THE BULK OF THIS
ACTIVITY TO REMAIN NORTH OF CENTRAL KANSAS TONIGHT. ANOTHER SHORT
WAVE MOVING TOWARDS WESTERN COLORADO WILL IGNITE ADDITIONAL STORMS
OVER THE HIGH PLAINS REGION. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD SLOWLY
EASTWARD TONIGHT...BUT LOOKS LIKE THESE STORMS WILL DIMINISH BEFORE
THEY REACH CENTRAL KANSAS.

SUN-TUE
RICHER GULF MOISTURE CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN TEXAS WILL GRADUALLY
SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN KANSAS FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS
WILL HOLD THE DAYTIME HIGHS DOWN A TAD BUT STILL HOT WITH INCREASED
HUMIDITY LEVELS. SOME DIURNALLY DRIVEN AIRMASS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST MISSOURI/NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA MONDAY
AFTERNOON...MAINLY BENEATH COOLER 700MB TEMPS/WEAK UPPER WAVE. A FEW
STORMS COULD AFFECT SOUTHEAST KANSAS...THUS WILL ADD SOME LOW POPS
FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO RISE AGAIN
ON TUESDAY.

EXTENDED: WED-SAT
THE PATTERN FOR THIS PERIOD IS NOT FAVORING THE EXTREME HEAT WE
WITNESSED THIS PAST WEEK...BUT STILL HOT WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR KANSAS. GFS ENSEMBLES SHOW A MODEST POSITIVE HEIGHT
ANOMALY SITUATED OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH THE DRY WEATHER
PATTERN REMAINING LOCKED IN PLACE.

JAKUB

.AVIATION...18Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  COULD SEE SOME MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER INCREASE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CEN KS THIS EVENING...AS CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS EXTREME NW KS BEGINS TO DRIFT EAST.  NOT EXPECTING THIS
CONVECTION TO MAKE IT TO KRSL OR KSLN...AS THE CONVECTION RUNS INTO
WARMER AIR ALOFT...WHICH WILL DISSIPATE THE CONVECTION AS IT MOVES
THIS FAR EAST.

KETCHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    76 100  74  97 /  10   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      77 100  74  98 /  10   0   0   0
NEWTON          76 100  74  97 /  10   0   0  10
ELDORADO        74  99  73  96 /   0  10  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   74  99  74  96 /   0  10  10  10
RUSSELL         75 102  74 100 /  20  10  10   0
GREAT BEND      75 102  73 100 /  20  10  10   0
SALINA          76 101  75  98 /  10  10  10   0
MCPHERSON       77 100  74  98 /  10   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     73  97  74  93 /   0  10  10  20
CHANUTE         73  97  73  93 /   0  10  10  20
IOLA            73  97  73  93 /   0  10  10  20
PARSONS-KPPF    74  97  74  93 /   0  10  10  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
452 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-012200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
452 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HEAT INDICES IN THE LOW 100S WILL PREVAIL ONCE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL...SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

AN ISOLATED STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ABNORMALLY HOT AND DRY SUMMER WEATHER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST LATE NEXT WEEK FOR MOST AREAS...WITH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 DEGREES.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
439 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

KSZ033-302230-
LINCOLN-
439 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 437 PM CDT...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING 7
MILES WEST OF BARNARD...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF LINCOLN...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3922 9793 3907 9793 3903 9849 3922 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 245DEG 24KT 3919 9815

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
531 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             BARNARD                 39.19N 98.04W
06/30/2012  E0.50 INCH       LINCOLN            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JMB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
544 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

KSZ033-302330-
LINCOLN-
544 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 543 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BEVERLY...OR 6 MILES EAST OF LINCOLN...AND
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3909 9792 3892 9792 3889 9793 3900 9817
      3916 9808
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 284DEG 12KT 3906 9803

CARUSO