Red Flag Warning 42, NWS Goodland, KS

515 
WWUS83 KGLD 090033
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
633 PM MDT WED AUG 8 2012

KSZ003-004-015-016-028-029-042-NEZ081-090145-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0042.000000T0000Z-120809T0100Z/
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-WICHITA-RED WILLOW-
733 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 003...004...015...016...028...
029...042 AND 081...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...SO
THE RED FLAG WARNING IS BEING CANCELLED.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1101 AM MDT WED AUG 8 2012

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 216 AM MDT WED AUG 8 2012

A RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE ROCKIES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH FRIDAY. A
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN COLORADO FRIDAY NIGHT.

SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP POPS NIL THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING.
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON A SHORTWAVE AND IT DYNAMICS WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE TO EASTERN COLORADO ZONES. DYNAMICS WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE
FA FRIDAY NIGHT WHERE THERE WILL BE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.

MAX TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 90S TODAY WITH 100 IN THE
FAR EAST FA. 850 TEMPERATURES COOL SOME TO SUPPORT TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER 90S THURSDAY/FRIDAY. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

RH VALUES FALL TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON BUT WINDS ARE NOT QUITE
AT CRITERIA SO WILL NO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 216 AM MDT WED AUG 8 2012

THE PERIOD STARTS WITH A DEEP TROUGH AXIS MOVING THROUGH THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION AS THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED
STATES DRIFTS SOUTHWARD. THIS EVENT BEGINS A TRANSITION PERIOD
WHICH IS CAUSING AN ABOVE NORMAL AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE FORM OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS IN THE
NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE AREA. MAX TEMPERATURES OVER THE PERIOD
WILL BE JUST A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WITH TUESDAY BEING THE
WARMEST DAY AS WE TRANSITION FROM A WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM MDT WED AUG 8 2012

VFR FOR KGLD AND KMCK. MAY SEE SOME HIGH BASED CU LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNSET OTHERWISE SKC. WINDS TO START THE PERIOD
GENERALLY FROM THE NORTH AT 10-12KTS WITH A FEW GUSTS WITH NNE-NE
WINDS AROUND 7KTS FROM 01Z THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...CJS/JJM
AVIATION...99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
100 PM MDT WED AUG 8 2012

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-091200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
100 PM MDT WED AUG 8 2012 /200 PM CDT WED AUG 8 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL WITH READINGS AS
LOW AS 10 PERCENT. THE LOW HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE WITH OCCASIONAL
NORTH WINDS GUSTING IN THE 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE TO PRODUCE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. CARE SHOULD BE GIVEN
IF ANY OUTDOOR BURNING IS PLANNED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME...THE RISK FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.