River Flood Warning 6, NWS Grand Forks, ND

952 
WGUS83 KFGF 161609
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1109 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...

  * THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES
  * THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND 
  COUNTY
  
.RECENT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN 
RED RIVER VALLEY AND ADJACENT WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA ARE ENTERING
THE LOWER RED RIVER AND SOUTHERN TRIBUTARIES TO THE LOWER RED AT THIS TIME.
WE EXPECT SEVERAL RIVER POINTS TO ATTAIN AND EXCEED MINOR FLOOD STAGE OVER 
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.   
 
THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-180409-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.120417T1800Z-120420T0600Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.120417T1800Z.120418T0600Z.120419T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.3 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

&&

LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4663 9659 4663 9688



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON           9.7   10.3    9.6    8.8    8.0    7.3    6.9

$$

MNC027-NDC017-180409-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.120419T2247Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.120419T2247Z.120421T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY SATURDAY MID-MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4663 9693 4663 9666



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

RED RIVER
  FARGO             15.1   15.9   17.2   19.1   20.0   19.9   19.1

$$

MNC027-180408-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.120418T0800Z-120422T0000Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.120418T0800Z.120419T0000Z.120420T1800Z.NO/
1109 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             10.5   12.2   12.5   12.1   11.4   10.2    9.0

$$

MNC027-180408-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0006.120417T2000Z-120421T0600Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.120417T2000Z.120418T1200Z.120420T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 7.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MID-MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.5    7.5    7.2    6.8    6.5    6.3    6.0

$$

MNC027-180408-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.120419T1240Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.120419T1240Z.120420T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MID-MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           6.5    8.0   11.9   14.8   15.0   13.8   12.3

$$

NDC077-180408-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.120418T1912Z-120423T1200Z/
/ABRN8.1.ER.120418T1912Z.120420T0000Z.120422T0600Z.NO/
1109 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY APRIL 23...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE        5.9    9.3   11.2   11.5   10.7    9.8    9.4

$$

414 
WGUS83 KFGF 170254
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
954 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES
  * THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND 
  COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

   * THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES

.RECENT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN 
RED RIVER VALLEY AND ADJACENT WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA ARE ENTERING
THE LOWER RED RIVER AND SOUTHERN TRIBUTARIES TO THE LOWER RED AT 
THIS TIME. WE EXPECT SEVERAL RIVER POINTS TO ATTAIN AND EXCEED MINOR 
FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-181454-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.120417T2100Z-120420T0600Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.120417T2100Z.120418T1200Z.120419T0000Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 10.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MID-MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

&&

LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4663 9659 4663 9688


DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          10.1   10.0    9.2    8.4    7.7    7.2    6.9

$$

MNC027-NDC017-181453-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.120419T2247Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.120419T2247Z.120421T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY SATURDAY MID-MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4663 9693 4663 9666


DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

RED RIVER
  FARGO             15.4   16.5   18.1   19.8   20.0   19.5   18.6

$$

MNC027-181453-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.120419T0000Z-120422T0900Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.120419T0000Z.120419T1800Z.120421T0300Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             10.5   12.0   12.4   12.1   11.2   10.0    8.9

$$

MNC027-181453-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.120418T1800Z-120421T1200Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.120418T1800Z.120419T0000Z.120420T0600Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.2 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             5.6    7.2    7.0    6.8    6.7    6.5    6.3

$$

MNC027-181453-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0007.120420T0045Z-120425T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.120420T0045Z.120421T1200Z.120423T1800Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY APRIL 24...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY APRIL 24...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 14.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MID-MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           6.9    8.7   11.9   14.2   14.3   13.1   11.6

$$

NDC077-181453-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0008.120419T0325Z-120423T2100Z/
/ABRN8.1.ER.120419T0325Z.120420T0600Z.120422T1500Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO MONDAY APRIL 23...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696


DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         04/17  04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE        5.6    9.6   11.4   11.3   10.4    9.8    9.1

$$

218 
WGUS83 KFGF 171539
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1039 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES
  * THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...MAINLY
LIGHT RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED. LATER IN THE 
WEEK...PRIMARILY DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECASTED. WITH THE FAIRLY
DRY SOILS IN PLACE THIS SPRING...MUCH OF THE RECENT RAINFALL WAS 
ABSORBED INTO THE GROUND. AS A RESULT...POINTS ALONG THE BUFFALO 
RIVER AND ALONG THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 
BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-171609-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120420T0600Z/
/WHNN8.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* AT  9:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.3 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 9.2 FEET ON WEDNESDAY .
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.

&&

LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4663 9659 4663 9688


DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON           9.2    8.8    8.3    7.8    7.5    7.3    7.2

$$

MNC027-171609-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120422T0900Z/
/SABM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT  9:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.3 FEET 
  THURSDAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             10.2   11.1   11.3   10.8    9.9    9.0    8.1

$$

MNC027-171609-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120421T1200Z/
/HWYM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* AT  9:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.4 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6.0 FEET
  SATURDAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             4.9    5.5    5.9    6.0    5.9    5.7    5.4

$$

MNC027-171609-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120425T0000Z/
/DILM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT  9:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.4 FEET 
  SUNDAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650



DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           7.3    8.6   10.1   11.2   11.3   10.9    9.9

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1034 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE UPDATED THE PACKAGE TO KEEP A LIGHT SNOW/RAIN MIX ALONG THE
WEST BENCH OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY INTO MIDDAY...ALONG AND WEST OF
THE LANGDON-LAKOTA-LIDGERWOOD ND LINE. MODERATE NORTHERLY BLAYER
FLOW AND COLD ADVECTION WILL KEEP TEMPS WELL BELOW CONVECTION LEVELS
SO NOT ANTICIPATING TOO INTENSE OF SHOWERS. HOWEVER...A WEAK MID-LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT ON RADAR AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING
SOUTEASTWARD FROM THE TURTLE MTMS TOWARDS NERN SD... AND WILL LIKELY
ENHANCE SHOWER POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF PERIOD. ELSE...PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES WILL SPREAD EASTWARD FORM THE RED RIVER VALLEY INTO NCNTRL AND
WEST CNTRL MN THROUGH THE DAY. MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS AND A QUITE
COOL AIRMASS WILL KEEP TEMPS COOL AND WINDS CHILLS IN THE
UNSEASONABLY NIPPY RANGE.

TONIGHT... WINDS ARE EXECTED TO DROP OFF CONSIDERABLY THIS EVENING
AND TURN FROM THE SOUTH BY TUESDAY MORNING. BUT WITH LIGHT WINDS...
SATURATED SOILS AND A QUITE COOL AIRMASS EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE IN
PLACE... AND AN EXPECTATION OF PARTIALLY CLEARING SKIES... THERE IS
A RISK FOR DENSE FOG/ICE FOG TO DEVELOP. WILL WAIT FOR AFTERNOON
PACKAGE TO GET THIS ALL DEPICTED.

&&

.AVIATION...
DRIER AIR FUNNELING SOUTH INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY HELPING TO CLEAR
THE SKIES.  LINGERING MVFR CIGS FROM BDE-FSE-FFM EASTWARD MIGHT
CLEAR OUT LATER THIS AFTN AS DRIER AIR WORKS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM.  MORE QUESTIONABLE IS AREA OF VFR AND ISOLD MVFR CIGS DEVILS
LAKE REGION TO VALLEY CITY SHOULD LINGER INTO THE AFTN LOOKING AT
UPSTREAM CONDITIONS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HEAVIEST WEEKEND RAINS OCCURRED OVER THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER BASIN
AND RUNOFF WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BUFFALO...BOIS DE
SIOUX...RED RIVER AND ND WILD RICE RIVERS THROUGH THE COMING WEEK.
RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS OR STATEMENTS ARE ANTICIPATED LATER THIS
MORNING FOR THESE AREAS.

&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 230 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012/

TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE SOME TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF NEXT SHORTWAVE
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW. BASED ON MODEL CONSENSUS WILL INTRODUCE
SOME LOW POPS ACROSS THE FAR NW AS WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY SETS UP.

EXPECT SHOWERS TO CROSS FA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AM WITH
SURFACE LOW AND SHORTWAVE PASSAGE. SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS
THE SOUTH SO WILL MENTION SOME ISOLD THUNDER.

SHRA SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS WESTERN MN WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. MODEST COLD ADVECTION IN
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BLO AVERAGE.

MODELS DIFFER ON PCPN POTENTIAL LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH
CENTRAL PLAINS SHORTWAVE. LEFT POPS PRETTY MUCH AS THEY WERE.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT...SHOWING NEARLY ZONAL
FLOW ALOFT TURNING MORE NORTHWESTERLY FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. SURFACE LOW MOVES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. WHILE MAJORITY OF
PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN WEST AND SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...
ECMWF/GEM CLIP THE FAR SOUTHERN VALLEY...SO WILL MAINTAIN 20 TO 30
POPS IN THIS AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. BETTER CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS A MID-LEVEL
WAVE DROPS SOUTH ALONG FRONT-SIDE OF AMPLIFYING WESTERN CONUS RIDGE.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL LIQUID. THURSDAY WILL BE
THE COOLEST DAY WITH A GRADUAL WARM-UP INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGHS BY
SUNDAY SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S AS 850 HPA
TEMPERATURES APPROACH +8 TO +10 C ACROSS EASTERN ND.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.

&&

GUST/RIDDLE/MLL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
631 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-171145-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
631 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
616 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 AM     SNOW             BEMIDJI                 47.48N 94.88W
04/16/2012  M2.6 INCH        BELTRAMI           MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

ROGERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1041 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     SNOW             3 N MENAHGA             46.79N 95.10W
04/16/2012  M3.0 INCH        WADENA             MN   PUBLIC

0840 AM     SNOW             BECIDA                  47.35N 95.08W
04/16/2012  M3.0 INCH        HUBBARD            MN   PUBLIC

&&

DRIDDLE