Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Watches in 2012
Flash Flood Watch 7, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this flash flood watch at Sep 28, 2012, 5:00 AM CDT for 33 counties in Texas. It took effect at Sep 28, 2012, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 28, 2012, 5:00 AM CDT (10:00 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 28, 2012, 7:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Sep 29, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
- Flood severity
- None
All 33 counties
Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Maverick County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1100 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1744 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
455 WGUS64 KEWX 281000 FFAEWX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 500 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL SPREAD MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY NORTHEAST INTO TEXAS TODAY...RESULTING IN A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN EVENT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HEAVY RAINS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS EARLY TODAY...AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE HILL COUNTRY AND THE I-35 CORRIDOR AREAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE RAIN CHANCES DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL NOT ONLY PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...BUT ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ALONG LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS. TXC019-031-053-127-137-163-171-259-265-271-299-323-325-385-463- 465-507-281800- /O.NEW.KEWX.FF.A.0007.120928T1200Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BANDERA-BLANCO-BURNET-DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FRIO-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-KERR- KINNEY-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-ZAVALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDERA...BLANCO...BURNET... CARRIZO SPRINGS...ROCKSPRINGS...PEARSALL...FREDERICKSBURG... BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...LLANO...EAGLE PASS...HONDO... LEAKEY...UVALDE...DEL RIO...CRYSTAL CITY 500 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...BANDERA...BLANCO...BURNET...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FRIO... GILLESPIE...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LLANO...MAVERICK... MEDINA...REAL...UVALDE...VAL VERDE AND ZAVALA. * THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL DEVELOP EARLY TODAY THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...COULD EXCEED 8 INCHES IN A FEW AREAS. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$ TXC013-021-029-055-091-123-149-177-187-209-255-285-287-453-491- 493-281800- /O.NEW.KEWX.FF.A.0007.120928T2300Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-BASTROP-BEXAR-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES- GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON-WILSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO... LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...CUERO...LA GRANGE...GONZALES... SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY...HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS... AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE 500 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA...BASTROP...BEXAR...CALDWELL...COMAL... DEWITT...FAYETTE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES... LAVACA...LEE...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON AND WILSON. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL DEVELOP EARLY TODAY THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...COULD EXCEED 8 INCHES IN A FEW AREAS. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
8 follow-up statements
693 WGUS64 KEWX 281635 AAA FFAEWX FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1135 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL SPREAD MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY NORTHEAST INTO TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN EVENT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HEAVY RAINS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND THE I-35 CORRIDOR AREAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE RAIN CHANCES DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL NOT ONLY PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...BUT ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ALONG LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS. TXC019-031-053-127-137-163-171-259-265-271-299-323-325-385-463- 465-507-290045- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BANDERA-BLANCO-BURNET-DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FRIO-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-KERR- KINNEY-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-ZAVALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDERA...BLANCO...BURNET... CARRIZO SPRINGS...ROCKSPRINGS...PEARSALL...FREDERICKSBURG... BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...LLANO...EAGLE PASS...HONDO... LEAKEY...UVALDE...DEL RIO...CRYSTAL CITY 1135 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...BANDERA... BLANCO...BURNET...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FRIO...GILLESPIE... KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL... UVALDE...VAL VERDE AND ZAVALA. * THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$ TXC013-021-029-055-091-123-149-177-187-209-255-285-287-453-491- 493-290045- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.120928T2300Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-BASTROP-BEXAR-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES- GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON-WILSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO... LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...CUERO...LA GRANGE...GONZALES... SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY...HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS... AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE 1135 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA... BASTROP...BEXAR...CALDWELL...COMAL...DEWITT...FAYETTE... GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...LAVACA...LEE...TRAVIS... WILLIAMSON AND WILSON. * FROM 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
347 WGUS64 KEWX 282027 FFAEWX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 327 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA MOVING EAST WILL ENTRAIN SUB-TROPICAL PACIFIC MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM NORMAN AND THE REMNANTS OF MIRIAM. THIS WILL ALLOW MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO OVERSPREAD SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN EVENT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HEAVY RAINS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND SPREAD SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND THE I-35 CORRIDOR. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL NOT ONLY PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING BUT ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS. TXC019-031-053-127-137-163-171-259-265-271-299-323-325-385-463- 465-507-290500- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BANDERA-BLANCO-BURNET-DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FRIO-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-KERR- KINNEY-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-ZAVALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDERA...BLANCO...BURNET... CARRIZO SPRINGS...ROCKSPRINGS...PEARSALL...FREDERICKSBURG... BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...LLANO...EAGLE PASS...HONDO... LEAKEY...UVALDE...DEL RIO...CRYSTAL CITY 327 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...BANDERA... BLANCO...BURNET...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FRIO...GILLESPIE... KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL... UVALDE...VAL VERDE AND ZAVALA. * THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL DEVELOP OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$ TXC013-021-029-055-091-123-149-177-187-209-255-285-287-453-491- 493-290500- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.120928T2300Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-BASTROP-BEXAR-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES- GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON-WILSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO... LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...CUERO...LA GRANGE...GONZALES... SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY...HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS... AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE 327 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA... BASTROP...BEXAR...CALDWELL...COMAL...DEWITT...FAYETTE... GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...LAVACA...LEE...TRAVIS... WILLIAMSON AND WILSON. * THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
893 WGUS64 KEWX 282032 FFAEWX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 332 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA MOVING EAST WILL ENTRAIN SUB-TROPICAL PACIFIC MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM NORMAN AND THE REMNANTS OF MIRIAM. THIS WILL ALLOW MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO OVERSPREAD SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN EVENT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HEAVY RAINS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND SPREAD SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND THE I-35 CORRIDOR. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL NOT ONLY PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING BUT ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS. TXC019-031-053-127-137-163-171-259-265-271-299-323-325-385-463- 465-507-290600- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BANDERA-BLANCO-BURNET-DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FRIO-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-KERR- KINNEY-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-ZAVALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDERA...BLANCO...BURNET... CARRIZO SPRINGS...ROCKSPRINGS...PEARSALL...FREDERICKSBURG... BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...LLANO...EAGLE PASS...HONDO... LEAKEY...UVALDE...DEL RIO...CRYSTAL CITY 332 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...BANDERA... BLANCO...BURNET...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FRIO...GILLESPIE... KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL... UVALDE...VAL VERDE AND ZAVALA. * THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$ TXC013-021-029-055-091-123-149-177-187-209-255-285-287-453-491- 493-290600- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.120928T2300Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-BASTROP-BEXAR-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES- GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON-WILSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO... LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...CUERO...LA GRANGE...GONZALES... SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY...HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS... AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE 332 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA... BASTROP...BEXAR...CALDWELL...COMAL...DEWITT...FAYETTE... GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...LAVACA...LEE...TRAVIS... WILLIAMSON AND WILSON. * THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
970 WGUS64 KEWX 290300 FFAEWX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO EXTENDING INTO NORTHERN MEXICO WEST OF THE BIG BEND MOVING EAST WILL IMPORT TROPICAL PACIFIC MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORMS NORMAN AND MIRIAM. ALSO...A SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW WILL MAINTAIN A FLOW OF MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN ADDITION...A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TO FOCUS RAINFALL. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN EVENT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AREAS OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL NOT ONLY PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING BUT ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS. TXC013-019-021-029-031-053-055-091-123-127-137-149-163-171-177- 187-209-255-259-265-271-285-287-299-323-325-385-453-463-465-491- 493-507-291100- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL- DEWITT-DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE- HAYS-KARNES-KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA- REAL-TRAVIS-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BANDERA...BASTROP... SAN ANTONIO...BLANCO...BURNET...LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS... CUERO...CARRIZO SPRINGS...ROCKSPRINGS...LA GRANGE...PEARSALL... FREDERICKSBURG...GONZALES...SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY... BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS... LLANO...EAGLE PASS...HONDO...LEAKEY...AUSTIN...UVALDE...DEL RIO... GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE...CRYSTAL CITY 1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA... BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL... COMAL...DEWITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO... GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL... KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA... REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. * THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
046 WGUS64 KEWX 290937 FFAEWX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 437 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .A SOUTHWESTERLY PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH EMBEDDED REMNANTS OF MIRIAM AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN CONTINUE ALOFT AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER SOUTHWEST TEXAS EXTENDING INTO NORTHERN MEXICO NEAR THE BIG BEND. THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS SUPER SATURATED WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER TOTALS ABOVE 2 INCHES. AS A RESULT...WE'LL CONTINUE TO SEE HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP ALONG MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. OTHER STORMS MAY REDEVELOP OVER WESTERN AREAS LATE THIS MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT OR DRY LINE PUSHES THROUGH THIS REGION. THESE COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED FLOODING PARTICULARLY OVER LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS AND NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES COULD OCCUR TODAY MAINLY FROM THE I-35 CORRIDOR EASTWARD. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...AS THE WEATHER SITUATION EVOLVES...THE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE RECONFIGURED LATER TODAY. TXC013-019-021-029-031-053-055-091-123-127-137-149-163-171-177- 187-209-255-259-265-271-285-287-299-323-325-385-453-463-465-491- 493-507-291745- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL- DEWITT-DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE- HAYS-KARNES-KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA- REAL-TRAVIS-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BANDERA...BASTROP... SAN ANTONIO...BLANCO...BURNET...LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS... CUERO...CARRIZO SPRINGS...ROCKSPRINGS...LA GRANGE...PEARSALL... FREDERICKSBURG...GONZALES...SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY... BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS... LLANO...EAGLE PASS...HONDO...LEAKEY...AUSTIN...UVALDE...DEL RIO... GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE...CRYSTAL CITY 437 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA... BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL... COMAL...DEWITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO... GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL... KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA... REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS WILL OCCUR THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AS WELL A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EVENTUALLY BE IMPACTED...RESULTING IN ROADWAYS BECOMING IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
205 WGUS64 KEWX 291535 FFAEWX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1035 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .A SOUTHWESTERLY PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE...WITH EMBEDDED REMNANTS OF MIRIAM AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN...CONTINUES ALOFT AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWEST TEXAS INTO NORTHERN MEXICO NEAR THE BIG BEND. THE ATMOSPHERE IS BEGINNING TO DRY WITH PW DROPPING ON AREA SOUNDINGS THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION IS ENDING OVER THE WESTERN PART OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND BECOMING MORE SCATTERED OVER THE EAST. FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS DROPPED OVER THE WEST AND WILL CANCEL THE WATCH THERE. THREAT CONTINUES OVER THE EAST...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOWER. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW RAIN CHANCES...SO WILL CONTINUE THE WATCH FOR NOW. EXPECT HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL BE MORE LOCALIZED TODAY AS WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN SEEMS UNLIKELY. TXC127-137-271-323-385-463-465-507-291645- /O.CAN.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIMMIT-EDWARDS-KINNEY-MAVERICK-REAL-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-ZAVALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZO SPRINGS...ROCKSPRINGS... BRACKETTVILLE...EAGLE PASS...LEAKEY...UVALDE...DEL RIO... CRYSTAL CITY 1035 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR DIMMIT...EDWARDS...KINNEY...MAVERICK ...REAL...UVALDE...VAL VERDE...AND ZAVALA COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...BUT RAINFALL SHOULD NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE FLOODING. $$ TXC013-019-021-029-031-053-055-091-123-149-163-171-177-187-209- 255-259-265-285-287-299-325-453-491-493-292345- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL- DEWITT-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES- KENDALL-KERR-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MEDINA-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON-WILSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BANDERA...BASTROP... SAN ANTONIO...BLANCO...BURNET...LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS... CUERO...LA GRANGE...PEARSALL...FREDERICKSBURG...GONZALES... SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY...BOERNE...KERRVILLE... HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS...LLANO...HONDO...AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN... FLORESVILLE 1035 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA... BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL... COMAL...DEWITT...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES... GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...LAVACA...LEE... LLANO...MEDINA...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON AND WILSON. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS SATURATED BY PREVIOUS RAIN. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAIN COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AND POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
682 WGUS64 KEWX 291937 FFAEWX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 237 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT EXTENDS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO NORTHERN MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH TOWARD THE EAST. WHILE THE ATMOSPHERE IS BEGINNING TO DRY...PW VALUES ARE STILL HIGH ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. PRECIPITATION IS MOST LIKELY TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE LESS LIKELY TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING IN THE AREA SOUTH OF I10 AND EAST OF I37. HAVE SHORTENED THE TIME AS THE UPPER SYSTEM HAS PICKED UP SPEED AND MOST OF THE RAIN SHOULD END BY 7 PM. OUTSIDE OF THIS AREA ANY RAIN WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FLOODING AND HAVE CANCELLED THE WATCH THERE. TXC019-021-029-031-053-055-091-149-163-171-187-209-259-265-287- 299-325-453-491-292045- /O.CAN.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-FAYETTE-FRIO- GILLESPIE-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KENDALL-KERR-LEE-LLANO-MEDINA-TRAVIS- WILLIAMSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDERA...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO... BLANCO...BURNET...LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...LA GRANGE... PEARSALL...FREDERICKSBURG...SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...BOERNE... KERRVILLE...GIDDINGS...LLANO...HONDO...AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN 237 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GUADALUPE... HAYS...KENDALL...KERR...LEE...LLANO...MEDINA...TRAVIS...AND WILLIAMSON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT RAINFALL WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE FLOODING. $$ TXC013-123-177-255-285-493-300000- /O.EXT.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-DEWITT-GONZALES-KARNES-LAVACA-WILSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...CUERO...GONZALES... KARNES CITY...HALLETTSVILLE...FLORESVILLE 237 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA... DEWITT...GONZALES...KARNES...LAVACA AND WILSON. * UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING * ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS SATURATED BY PREVIOUS RAIN. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAIN COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AND POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
894 WGUS64 KEWX 292058 FFAEWX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 358 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT EXTENDS FROM WEST TEXAS INTO NORTHERN MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH TOWARD THE EAST. WHILE THE ATMOSPHERE IS BEGINNING TO DRY...PW VALUES ARE STILL HIGH ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. PRECIPITATION IS MOST LIKELY TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING IN THE AREA SOUTH OF I10 AND EAST OF I37. EXPECT CONVECTION TO END AS THE TROUGH MOVES AWAY AND WE LOSE HEATING EARLY THIS EVENING. TXC013-123-177-255-285-493-300000- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-120930T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ATASCOSA-DEWITT-GONZALES-KARNES-LAVACA-WILSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...CUERO...GONZALES... KARNES CITY...HALLETTSVILLE...FLORESVILLE 358 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA... DEWITT...GONZALES...KARNES...LAVACA AND WILSON. * UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING * ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS SATURATED BY PREVIOUS RAIN. * RAPID RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAIN COULD RESULT IN THE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND URBAN AREAS...AND POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 28, 3:48 AM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 28, 3:48 AM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 348 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012 .DISCUSSION... HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL CONTINUES TO INCREASE WITH 90-100 PERCENT POPS OFFERED ACROSS ALL COUNTIES BETWEEN TODAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. EARLY THIS MORNING...A FEW POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS ARE FORMING NEAR THE RIO GRANDE...WITH ORGANIZED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER DAYBREAK. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR LATER THIS MORNING AS WE ANALYZE THE 06Z MODEL RUNS AND CONSIDER THE RUN-OFF THREATS OVER A STILL VERY DRY PART OF TEXAS. AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS HAVE MORE THAN RECOVERED FROM THE PAST HEAVY RAIN PATTERN FROM A COUPLE WEEKS AGO...BUT THE CUMULATIVE RAINS EXPECTED FROM THIS EVENT SHOULD EVENTUALLY BE ENOUGH TO CREATE AT LEAST SOME LOCALLIZED MINOR RIVER FLOODING. CUMULATIVE RAINFALL TOTAL FORECASTS FROM A CONSENSUS OF MODEL AND HPC FORECAST DATA SUGGEST NEAR AREW-WIDE EVENT TOTAL RAINS OF 2-4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS ABOVE 8 INCHES. THESE AMOUNTS ARE BASED ON PWAT VALUES OF 2.2-2.5 INCHES THAT ARE NEAR THE HISTORIC MAXIMUMS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. LOCATION FOR THE HIGHEST TOTALS WILL BE HARD TO PIN DOWN DUE TO THE LARGE AREA OF LIFT AND MOISTURE AND THE LACK OF A FRONTAL FOCUS DEVELOPING UNTIL THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHIFTS EAST. THE QPF FOR THE MORNING PACKAGE REFLECTS A BLEND OF THE CMC/GFS/HPC FORECASTS...WITH THE PREFERRED HIGHER VALUES OF THE GFS APPLIED TO THE SLIGHTLY FASTER TIMING OF THE NAM/CMC. THUS THE FORECAST WOULD SUGGEST HEAVY RAINS MAINLY WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH THE FOCUS GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 AFTER DAYBREAK SATURDAY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE GFS AND ECMWF HOLD BACK THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN COUNTIES THROUGH LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WHILE THE EXPECTATION IS THAT MESOSCALE INFLUENCES WILL LEAD TO A MORE PROGRESSIVE MOVEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN AREA...THE ENHANCED SYNOPTIC LIFT EXPECTED OVER THIS AREA AT 00Z SUNDAY COULD PROLONG A LONG PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THOUGH THAT PERIOD. THIS PASSING MID-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR QUICKLY SATURDAY EVENING WITH RAPIDLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS FROM NW TO SE SATURDAY NIGHT. ON SUNDAY...CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS COULD LINGER OVER THE AREA AS THE NORTHERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS KICK UP THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE AS THE UPPER TROUGH DIGS IN OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. A GENERAL SUBSIDENT PATTERN IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BUT MODEL TRENDS SUGGEST ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS COULD DEVELOP FROM THE ELEVATED LIFT. WILL DOWNPLAY THIS RAIN CHANCE AND STICK WITH A MILD AND DRY PERIOD FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 85 71 76 67 81 / 50 80 100 40 10 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 86 72 77 65 81 / 50 80 100 50 10 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 85 71 78 66 82 / 60 80 100 40 10 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 84 69 73 65 80 / 50 80 90 30 10 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 80 71 81 67 84 / 100 100 50 10 10 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 84 70 74 65 80 / 40 80 100 40 10 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 84 70 77 64 83 / 80 100 90 30 10 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 86 71 78 66 81 / 50 80 100 50 10 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 90 72 80 68 79 / 40 60 90 50 20 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 84 70 77 67 81 / 60 90 100 40 10 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 85 71 79 68 82 / 60 90 100 40 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && MESOSCALE/AVIATION...02 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...18
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 27, 3:51 PM CDT, 13 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 351 PM CDT THU SEP 27 2012 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-281100- LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA- GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE- MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA- FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- 351 PM CDT THU SEP 27 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL AND MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 7:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Atascosa | 44 min |
| Sep 27, 10:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Kinney | 49 min |
| Sep 27, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney, Maverick | 38 min |
| Sep 27, 11:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 44 min |
| Sep 28, 6:01 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bexar, Comal | 119 min |
| Sep 28, 6:40 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 7 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Texas, 2012Every flash flood watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.