Small Craft Advisory 15, NWS Cleveland, OH

898 
WHUS71 KCLE 162028
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
328 PM EST THU FEB 16 2012

LEZ147>149-170430-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120217T2000Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
328 PM EST THU FEB 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL TURN TO THE WEST AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE
ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

946 
WHUS71 KCLE 170302
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1002 PM EST THU FEB 16 2012

LEZ147-170415-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120217T2000Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
1002 PM EST THU FEB 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WAVES ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO GROW TO 2 TO 4 FEET ON FRIDAY...THUS
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

LEZ148-149-171115-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120217T2000Z/
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1002 PM EST THU FEB 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE
ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

689 
WHUS71 KCLE 170903
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

LEZ148-149-171715-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120217T2000Z/
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
403 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 TO 5 FEET THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE
ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

342 
WHUS71 KCLE 171406
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
906 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

LEZ148-149-172000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120217T2000Z/
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
906 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 TO 5 FEET THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

351 
WHUS71 KCLE 172017
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
317 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

LEZ148-149-180200-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120217T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0016.120217T2017Z-120218T0200Z/
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
317 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 TO 5 FEET THROUGH THIS EVENING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
634 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AND MOVE
OFF THE EAST COAST BY SATURDAY. A WEAK TROF WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. THE RAIN
SHOWERS WILL BE ALMOST CONTINUOUS MUCH OF THE TIME. THE MOST
PERSISTENT SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES ARE
WARMING EVERYWHERE. THE THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN OVER INLAND NW
PA HAS ENDED. NO MENTION OF THUNDER...AIRMASS WILL NOT BE THAT
UNSTABLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LESS THAN HALF AN INCH. AT
MANY LOCATIONS ALL THE SNOW HAS MELTED. STREAMS...CREEKS AND
RIVERS WILL RISE SOME BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FLOOD. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE TOUGH. IF THE SHOWERS ARE MORE CONTINUOUS THAT
WILL KEEP THE TEMPERATURES DOWN. LEANING THAT DIRECTION SO WENT
WITH NOT THAT MUCH TEMPERATURE RISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THE SHOWERS WILL BE MOVING OUT OF NW PA AROUND DARK. SOME FAIRLY
INSIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY. THE AIRMASS IS DRYING OUT AND A RIDGE WILL BE TRYING
TO BUILD IN. WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE POPS FOR THE SNOW BELT.
ELSEWHERE SOME CLOUDS MAY LINGER. ON THE EDGE ABOUT HOW MUCH IT WILL
BE...PARTLY CLOUDY SHOULD HANDLE IT. A BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE FOR
LOWS TONIGHT. THE MOS HIGHS FOR FRIDAY SEEM TOO HIGH BASED ON THE
850 MB TEMPERATURES...WENT JUST A LITTLE COOLER AS THE SUN SHOULD
HELP THIS TIME OF YEAR AT LOCATIONS AWAY FROM THE SNOW BELT.

THE MODELS HAVE THE SAME IDEA FOR THE WEEKEND BUT THE GFS HAS MORE
OF AN INVERTED TROF DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY. DIDN'T
CHANGE MUCH FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODELS SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK ALLOWING FOR SEASONABLE AND DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH PRESSURE
SLIDES TO THE EAST COAST WITH WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING OVER
THE AREA TUESDAY. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF SHOWING LOW PRESSURE AFFECTING
THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE PERIOD. HOWEVER TIMING OF ECMWF AND GFS
QUITE A BIT DIFFERENT. AT THIS TIME AIRMASS LOOKS WARM ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. MADE ONLY SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO
PREVIOUS FCST TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT OVER INDIANA WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS
EAST THROUGH THE DAY. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS AT SITES WITH SOME
MVFR ACROSS WESTERN SITES INITIALLY. HOWEVER...EXPECTING TOL AND
FDY TO QUICKLY DROP DOWN TO IFR CIG AND VIS BY 14Z AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES. IFR WILL WORK ACROSS EASTERN SITES AHEAD AND BEHIND
THE FRONT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MOST GUIDANCE INDICATING THAT IFR
WILL LINGER FOR A WHILE AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. CONDITIONS
IMPROVING TO MVFR ACROSS THE WEST BEFORE 00Z...WHILE IFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FROM CLE EAST THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WIND WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME BKN-SCT CIGS AFTER 00Z FRI ACROSS THE WEST WITH FURTHER
CLEARING LATE THU NIGHT. LINGERING MVFR INTO EARLY THU NIGHT
ACROSS EASTERN SITES WITH IMPROVING LATE.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR POSSIBLE SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LAKE TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
TURN WESTERLY TONIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE FROM THE WSW THROUGH FRIDAY.
A SMALL CRAFT ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LAKE MAY BE NEEDED
POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT...BUT THEN MOST LIKELY ON FRIDAY.
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH A BIT FRIDAY NIGHT ALLOWING WAVES TO COME DOWN
BELOW SMALL CRAFT.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KIELTYKA
NEAR TERM...KIELTYKA
SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...ABE
MARINE...ABE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
422 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-170930-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
422 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.