Small Craft Advisory 8, NWS Buffalo, NY

473 
WHUS71 KBUF 151450
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
950 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

LEZ040-041-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T0600Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
950 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO
5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T0600Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
950 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO
5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T1000Z-120117T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
950 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO
1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T1200Z-120117T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
950 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

620 
WHUS71 KBUF 152057
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

LEZ020-LOZ030-160500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T1200Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
357 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T0600Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
357 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO
5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T0600Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
357 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO
5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T1000Z-120117T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
357 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO
1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS

043 
WHUS71 KBUF 160259
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

LEZ040-041-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T0600Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
959 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO
5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T0600Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
959 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO
5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T1000Z-120117T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
959 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO
1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T1200Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
959 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

574 
WHUS71 KBUF 160857
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LEZ040-041-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
357 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST
  WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
357 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T1000Z-120117T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
357 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-161700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.120116T1200Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
357 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

880 
WHUS71 KBUF 161511
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LEZ040-041-162315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST 
  WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING. 

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-162315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-162315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-162315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

984 
WHUS71 KBUF 162059
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LEZ040-041-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET BUILDING 10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-170300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-170500-
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* WINDS...35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

109 
WHUS71 KBUF 170302
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LEZ020-LOZ030-170415-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...


$$

LEZ040-041-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

201 
WHUS71 KBUF 170905
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

LOZ045-171715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0019.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-171715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0019.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-062>065-171715-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0019.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-171715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.120117T2200Z-120118T1500Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS NEW YORK STATE TODAY...THEN
SETTLE OFF THE EAST COAST ON MONDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS CIRCULATING
AROUND THE HIGH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM SIGNIFICANTLY ON
MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD
CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS TUESDAY...BEFORE COLDER AIR WORKS IN FROM
THE WEST AND CHANGES THE RAIN TO SNOW LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. NOTICEABLY COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE ARCTIC HIGH THAT IS NOSING SOUTH FROM ONTARIO IS PUMPING VERY
COLD AIR SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH
TEMPERATURES RANGING GENERALLY FROM ZERO TO 10 DEGREES...TO ABOUT
20 BELOW ZERO JUST EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

IN ADDITION TO THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
ARE STILL FORMING ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORES OF LAKE ONTARIO AND LAKE
ERIE WITH A SHALLOW LAYER OF MOIST AIR STILL IN PLACE BENEATH THE
ARCTIC INVERSION. THE LATEST POINT SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT THE SHALLOW
LAYER OF MOIST AIR WITH FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH WILL REMAIN INTACT AT
LEAST THROUGH THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORES OF
LAKE ONTARIO. THEREFORE...WILL LEAVE IN CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW
SHOWERS/FLURRIES THIS MORNING...WITH A TREND TOWARD DECREASING
COVERAGE AS THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR INCREASES. EXPECT ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS TO REMAIN UNDER AN INCH.

AS THE ARCTIC HIGH DRIFTS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
...TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE TEENS...EVEN WITH AN
ANTICIPATED INCREASE IN SUNSHINE.

TONIGHT...THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS
THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE HIGH WILL SET UP A MODERATELY STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN
ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE...EXPECT AREA TEMPERATURES TO BOTTOM OUT EARLY
...THEN RISE SLOWLY BEFORE DAYBREAK MONDAY. THE WARM AIR ADVECTION
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
...WHILE THE SOUTHERLY GRADIENT WIND AT THE SURFACE INCREASES AS
WELL. THESE TWO FACTORS WILL ALSO HELP TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
WHILE WE WILL EXPERIENCE A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF THIS PERIOD...ANOTHER POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL PLOW ACROSS OUR
REGION ON TUESDAY TO USHER IN THE NEXT ROUND OF MID WINTER WEATHER.
THE PASSAGE OF THIS STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY ANOTHER WIND EVENT. THE DETAILS...

A BROAD H5 RIDGE WILL PASS OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY WHILE
STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS
WILL PROMOTE A STRENGTHENING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES...WHICH WILL RESULT IN NOTICEABLY
HIGHER TEMPERATURES AND EVENTUALLY THE RETURN OF SOME LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE. ONE OF THE MAIN INGREDIENTS TO THIS WARM ADVECTION WILL BE
A 50KT LOW LEVEL JET (2-3K FT). WHILE THIS COULD SUPPORT SOME
RELATOVFELY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND LAKE ERIE
PLAIN...A 5-7 DEG C INVERSION BASED JUST BELOW THE LOW LEVEL JET
WILL PREVENT THE WINDS FROM FULLY MIXING TO THE SFC.

THE COMBINATION OF THE WARM ADVECTIVE FLOW AND PARTIAL SUNSHINE WILL
BOOST SFC TEMPS SOME 20 DEG F HIGHER ON MONDAY THAN THE PREVIOUS TWO
DAYS...WITH READINGS REACHING THE LOWER 40S IN THE GENESEE VALLEY
AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN LAKE PLAIN OF LK ONTARIO. THE VAST MAJORITY
OF THE REGION WILL HAVE NO PCPN...ALTHOUGH SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES TOWARDS EVENING.

IT WILL GET INTERESTING MONDAY NIGHT AS A SERIES OF WEAK IMPULSES
LIFTING OUT OF MISSOURI WILL CONSOLIDATE A SFC LOW ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER THE MID WEST. INCREASINGLY WARM AND MOIST AIR FLOWING
NORTHWARDS AHEAD OF THIS BERGONING SYSTEM WILL BE GRADUALLY LIFTED
ACROSS A WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER OUR FORECAST AREA...AND THIS WILL
PRODUCE SOME WIDESPREAD PCPN...SOME OF WHICH COULD FALL AS FREEZING
RAIN.

NAM/GFS BASED THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST THE PCPN SHOULD LARGELY BE IN
THE FORM OF RAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES...WITH FREEZING RAIN A
CONCERN FOR SITES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE
NAM DEPICTS THE DEVELOPING SFC LOW TO BE FURTHER WEST THAN THE
GFS...SO IT IS UNDERSTANDABLY 'WARMER' IN ITS OVERALL SOLUTION.
NEVERTHELESS...BOTH FAVOR AN ICY SCENARIO FOR THE EASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO REGION. GIVEN THE MODEL TO MODEL CONSISTENCY...WILL RAISE
POPS MONDAY NIGHT SOME 20 POINTS (CAT WEST...HIGH LIKELY EAST).

ON TUESDAY...A POTENT SHORTWAVE RACING ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY WILL ENERGIZE THE WEAK SFC LOW...DEEPENING IT TO AROUND 997MB
(MODEL CONSENSUS) WHILE LIFTING IT ACROSS LAKE ERIE TO THE VCNTY OF
PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. THE GFS APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER WITHIN THE
GUIDANCE COMMUNITY BY TRACKING A WEAKER LOW SOUTH OF BUF TO NEAR
SYR. THIS IS NOT A CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORABLE TRACK...SO WILL LEAN
MORE HEAVILY ON THE ECMWF AND SREF.

TAKING THIS INTO CONSIDERATION...TUESDAY WILL BE VERY UNSETTLED WITH
WIDESPREAD RAIN IN THE MORNING GIVING WAY TO BLUSTERY AND MORE
SHOWERY CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHOULD THE LOW TRACK UP THE
LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE AS PROJECTED BY THE ECMWF...THIS WOULD SET THE
STAGE FOR AN IMPRESSIVE SEICHE ON THE LAKE WITH STRONG WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS (LIKELY ADVISORY CRITERIA) POUNDING THE WESTERN
COUNTIES BY THE END OF THE DAY. WHILE THERE WILL BE A FAST
CHANGEOVER FROM THE RAIN SHOWERS TO WIND SWEPT SNOW AS TEMPS TUMBLE
IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM...IT WOULD BE IMPOSSIBLE FROM THIS VANTAGE
POINT TO PIN DOWN WHETHER THIS WILL TAKE PLACE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
OR EVENING IN THE EVENING.

THE STRENGTHENING STORM SYSTEM WILL FURTHER DEEPEN TO ABOUT 992MB
TUESDAY NIGHT WHILE RACING OUT ACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY. STRONG
COLD ADVECTION IN ITS WAKE WILL COUPLE WITH A TIGHT SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND MODERATE ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE RISES (5MB/HR) TO PRODUCE
A VERY WINDY NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WITH LEFTOVER SYNOPTIC SNOW
SHOWERS TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFECT SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES.
ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY CRITERIA WIND SPEEDS...THERE
WILL BE AN EQUALLY LIKELY PROBABILITY FOR LAKE SNOW 'FLAGS' IN THE
SNOWBELTS AS H85 TEMPS PLUMMET TO -16C.

WEDNESDAY WILL THEN FEATURE SEASONABLY COLD CONDITIONS WITH LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES WHERE
ACCUMULATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. BACKING WINDS AHEAD OF THE NEXT GREAT
LAKES LOW MAY THEN LIFT SOME LAKE EFFECT TO THE NORTH TO BUFFALO
AND WATERTOWN DURING THE COURSE OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS TIME FRAME WILL START BELOW
NORMAL...THOUGH BEGIN TO MODERATE TO AND ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD. WHILE NO SIGNIFICANT STORMS ARE LIKELY AS THE LONG WAVE
PATTERN OVER NORTH AMERICA REMAINS LARGELY ZONAL...A SERIES OF SHORT
WAVES RIDING THROUGH THIS FLOW WILL BRING SEVERAL CHCS FOR
PRECIPITATION WITHIN THE SLOWLY MODERATING AIRMASS.

SEVERAL SHORTWAVES THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL WEST TO EAST FLOW WILL
BRING THE CHCS FOR PRECIPITATION EACH DAY. MODELS DO NOT DEEPEN
THESE SYSTEMS OR AMPLIFY THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN AS MUCH AS THE
TUESDAY SYSTEM...AND WITH UNCERTAINTY STILL IN THE TIMING OF EACH
SHORT WAVE WILL CONTINUE WITH CHC POPS THROUGH SATURDAY THOUGH WITH
THE MODERATING AIR TEMPERATURES...RAIN WILL BECOME THE MORE DOMINATE
PRECIPITATION TYPE BY SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NARROW BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL IMPACT THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE
ONTARIO WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...VFR
CIGS/VSBY WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR
SUNDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH RAIN OR WET SNOW LIKELY.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH ACROSS NEW YORK STATE WILL RESULT IN
RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS ON THE LAKES TODAY. AS THE HIGH SETTLES SOUTH
ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
PICK UP. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
INCREASES BETWEEN THE SURFACE RIDGE AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHING
FROM THE MIDWEST. BASED ON THESE TRENDS...WILL ISSUE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH A GOOD PART OF MONDAY
NIGHT FOR THE FAR EASTERN SHORES OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO.
WILL HOLD THE SCA OFF UNTIL MONDAY FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
SHORES OF LAKE ONTARIO AND THE NIAGARA RIVER.

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES DIRECTLY ACROSS THE LAKES TUESDAY
WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS LIKELY DEVELOPING IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY
         FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR
         LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY
         FOR LOZ042>044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY
         FOR LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TJP
NEAR TERM...TJP
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TJP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
611 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

NYZ019-020-152315-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
611 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>008-010>014-021-085-152315-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
611 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-152315-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
611 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF