Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 100, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Dec 4, 2012, 3:58 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 5, 2012, 3:00 AM EST. It was in force for 19 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 4, 2012, 3:58 AM EST (08:58 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 5, 2012, 3:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 5, 2012, 9:36 PM EST
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
482 WHUS71 KBUF 040858 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 358 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 LEZ040-041-041700- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.121204T0900Z-121204T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 358 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-041700- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.121204T1000Z-121204T1900Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 358 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-041700- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 358 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-041700- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 358 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-041700- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 358 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
8 follow-up statements
958 WHUS71 KBUF 041459 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 959 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 LEZ040-041-042100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121204T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 959 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-041900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121204T1900Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 959 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-042300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 959 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-042300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 959 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-042300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 959 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
459 WHUS71 KBUF 041901 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 201 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 LEZ020-050315- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121204T1900Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0101.121204T1901Z-121205T1100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 201 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-050315- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121205T1100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 201 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-050315- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 201 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-050315- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 201 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-050315- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 201 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
625 WHUS71 KBUF 042041 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 341 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 LEZ040-041-050445- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121205T2300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 341 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-050445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121205T1100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 341 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-050445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 341 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-050445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 341 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-050445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 341 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RSH
016 WHUS71 KBUF 050223 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 923 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 LEZ040-041-051030- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121205T2300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 923 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-051030- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121205T1100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 923 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-051030- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 923 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-051030- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 923 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-051030- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.121205T0800Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 923 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
895 WHUS71 KBUF 050835 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 335 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 LEZ020-050945- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121205T1100Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 335 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LEZ040-041-051645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121205T2300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 335 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-051645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 335 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-051645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 335 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-051645- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 335 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
588 WHUS71 KBUF 051456 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 956 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 LEZ040-041-052300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121205T2300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 956 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-052300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 956 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-052300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 956 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-052300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 956 AM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
131 WHUS71 KBUF 052101 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 401 PM EST WED DEC 5 2012 LEZ040-041-052215- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121205T2300Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 401 PM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DROPPED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ LOZ042-060500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 401 PM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-060500- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 401 PM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-060515- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 401 PM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RSH
941 WHUS71 KBUF 060236 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 936 PM EST WED DEC 5 2012 LOZ043-044-060345- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0900Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 936 PM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS. $$ LOZ042-045-060345- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-121206T0500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 936 PM EST WED DEC 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 4, 3:52 AM EST, 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 3:52 AM EST, 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
352 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
EXPECT AN UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. LATER IN THE NIGHT IT WILL TURN MUCH COLDER AS AN ARCTIC
FRONT DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE MUCH MORE SEASONABLE WITH TEMPERATURES AVERAGING
MORE THAN 20 DEGREES LOWER THAN THOSE FROM TUESDAY. THE MERCURY WILL
CLIMB BACK ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
REGIONAL RADARS THIS EARLY MORNING DISPLAY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
FALLING OVER THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ONTARIO AND TOWARDS THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION. THESE RAIN SHOWERS ARE A RESULT OF ISENTROPIC
LIFT JUST AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT THAT IS EDGING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS
THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS MORNING. UPSTREAM A SFC LOW IS JUST WEST OF
JAMES BAY WITH AN EXTENSIVE COLD FRONT ARCING THROUGH THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES AND DOWN INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. ALOFT A POTENT UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE CAN BE SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SPIRALING ACROSS
CENTRAL ONTARIO CANADA.
FOR THIS MORNING A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
FAR NORTHERN FINGER LAKES AND INTO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD THIS MORNING. A MILD DAY THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS WITH A FEW POKES OF SUNSHINE POSSIBLE.
LATEST IR SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYS SOME POTENTIAL BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS OVER THE FAR WESTERN END OF LAKE ERIE AND THE WESTERN END OF
THE ONTARIO PENINSULA. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER WE SEE THESE BREAKS OF
SUNSHINE OR NOT...A VERY WARM (+2SD) AIR MASS AT 925 HPA WILL PUSH
OVER THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES AT THIS LEVEL CLOSE TO +15C. WITH
A GUSTY SOUTHERLY WIND TODAY INCREASING THE MIXING LAYER HEIGHT WE
SHOULD EASILY BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN THIS WARMER AIR ALOFT...WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS NEARING RECORDS. LOOK FOR HIGHS TODAY TO REACH INTO
THE LOW TO MID 60S...PEAKING AROUND NOONTIME TOWARDS THE WEST...AND
MID AFTERNOON TO THE EAST.
RECORDS HIGHS FOR TODAY ARE BUFFALO (70/1941)...ROCHESTER
(66/1982) AND WATERTOWN (63/1982).
THE NEW 00Z MODELS HAVE AGREED WITH THEIR EARLIER 12Z
RUNS...BRINGING THE COLD FRONT FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES ACROSS
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES MORE TOWARDS LATE AFTERNOON. IN THE MID
LEVELS A 45 TO 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL BE STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD
ROUGHLY 2 TO 3K FEET ABOVE THE GROUND LEVEL. INGREDIENTS ARE THERE
FOR A BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS...WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND LIFT IN THE LOW
LEVELS COMBINED WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN 110 KNOT 250
HPA JET TO BRING LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC LIFT. ADDITIONAL LIFT FROM THE
COLD FRONT ITSELF WILL HELP TO BRING A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF RAIN
SHOWERS FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE CWA...BEGINNING EARLY AFTERNOON
TOWARDS THE WEST AND LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING TOWARDS THE EAST.
WITH THE STEEP BUT SHALLOW LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG SYNOPTIC
FORCING AN ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT.
WINDS WILL ALSO BE GUSTY TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY
DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES WHERE SOUTHWESTERLY GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
WILL BE FOUND. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS OFF LAKE ERIE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS...WITH GUSTS BECOMING MORE CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE GENESEE
VALLEY AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE
CORE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET SLIDES EASTWARD TODAY.
BY 00Z THE SFC COLD FRONT WILL BE ENTERING INTO CNY. EXPECT RAIN TO
TAPER OFF AS SHOWERS...WITH THE DEEPER COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ARCTIC FRONT STILL LINGERING JUST NORTH AND WEST OF THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. RAIN SHOWERS WILL END THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH
ACTIVITY LIKELY CONFINED TO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION AND
FINGER LAKES REGION EASTWARD.
AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE CWA BY 12Z
WEDNESDAY. 850 HPA TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO -2/-8C BY 12Z WEDNESDAY
WITH THE COLDEST AND DEEPEST COLD POOL TO THE NORTH. THIS WILL SEND
TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S SOME 15 TO 20
DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT THEY WERE 24 HOURS EARLIER.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
SHARP COLD FRONT WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND SHARP DRYING BEHIND IT WILL LEAD TO A PERIOD
OF SUNSHINE WEDNESDAY MORNING...OUTSIDE OF ANY LAKE CLOUDINESS.
HOWEVER...DEEPER MOISTURE AND COLDER AIR WILL WRAP BACK INTO THE
AREA BEHIND THE SECONDARY/ARCTIC COLD FRONT. 850 MB TEMPERATURES
FALLING TO AROUND -13C WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN FAVORED WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW AREAS...
PRIMARILY ACROSS THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE OFF LAKE ERIE AND ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO FROM THE SOUTHERN TUG HILL OVER TO AREAS
EAST OF ROCHESTER.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING INVERSION HEIGHTS RISING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND THERE APPEARS TO BE DECENT MOISTURE REACHING
INTO THE FAVORED DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. HOWEVER...THESE PARAMETERS
ONLY LOOK TO BE FAVORABLE FOR A NARROW TIME WINDOW...GENERALLY 6 TO
9 HOURS FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. BELIEVE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINOR...WITH THE LAKE EFFECT LARGELY LIMITED
DUE TO VEERING WINDS FROM WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST.
THIS TRANSITION TO A ANTICYCLONIC FLOW REGIME WILL ACT TO DISRUPT
THE BANDS AND ALSO LIMIT THE SNOWBAND FOCUS IN ANY SINGLE LOCATION.
IN ADDITION...THE CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR LOOKS TO SHIFT OFF TO THE
EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS QUICKLY DROPPING.
THEREFORE...ONLY EXPECT AN INCH OR TWO AT BEST OF ACCUMULATION...IN
THE FAVORED LOCATIONS.
AS MENTIONED...THIS LAKE EFFECT WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT LIVED AS A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY. ASSOCIATED DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE SHOULD END THE ANY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE
EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY.
THE UPPER RIDGE AND SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL ALLOW A STRENGTHENING RETURN FLOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE TRICKY THURSDAY NIGHT...AS
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL LIMIT RADIATIONAL COOLING. SHOULD
SEE THE GREATEST FLUCTUATION OVER THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA SINCE
WINDS WILL TAKE LONGER TO DEVELOP THERE...WHILE PARTS OF THE WEST
MAY STRUGGLE TO FALL BELOW FREEZING.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ZONAL UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL AGAIN BE ESTABLISHED OVER THE CONUS
ON FRIDAY KEEPING A CORE OF ARCTIC AIR OVER CENTRAL CANADA FROM
DIGGING SOUTH. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY MOVES OFF THE
NORTHEAST COAST UNDER THE PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN A SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL SET UP BRINGING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
A DISTURBANCE TRANSLATING THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL KICK OFF
A WEAK SURFACE WAVE ALONG A WEAK FRONT SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL
LAKES. THIS WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN OR
EVEN SOME SNOW IN COLDER SPOTS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO ON FRIDAY NIGHT
AND PLAIN RAIN ON SATURDAY.
FINALLY BY SUNDAY A MORE AMPLIFIED JET STEAM WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
CONUS AS A TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN US WITH A STORM SYSTEM POSSIBLY
FORMING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND LIFTING
NORTH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS BRINGS A CHANCE
FOR SOME WARM FRONTAL RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEMS COLD FRONT. ONCE WE GET THROUGH THIS NEXT WARM UP THE DEEP
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN US MAY BRING MORE SEASONABLE AIR LATE NEXT
WEEK. MORE DETAILS BEYOND THE LONG TERM...
THERE IS A SUGGESTION BY MEDIUM RANGE MODELS THAT SIGNIFICANT
RIDGING MAY SET UP OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE SECOND FULL
WEEK OF THIS MONTH. THE ECMWF AND A MAJORITY OF THE GEFS ENSEMBLES
SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO...WHICH WOULD MEAN AN AMPLIFIED TROUGH-RIDGE
PATTERN OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA AND THE NORTH ATLANTIC. THIS
WOULD LEAVE THE DOOR OPEN FOR SEASONABLY COLD AIR TO WORK SOUTH FROM
NORTH CENTRAL CANADA...WHERE COLD AIR SHOULD BE INTENSIFYING THE
NEXT 10 DAYS.
THE SOLUTION BEING PORTRAYED BY THE AFOREMENTIONED GUIDANCE PACKAGES
WOULD FAVOR A BROAD BASED TROUGH SETTING UP OVER THE MISSISSIPPI AND
LOWER OHIO VALLEYS...WITH THE COLDER AIR TAKING MORE A MORE
CIRCUITOUS ROUTE ACROSS THE MID WEST BEFORE MAKING ITS WAY TO OUR
FORECAST AREA. THIS ROUTE WOULD FAVOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS EAST
AND NORTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...INCLUDING THE BUFFALO
AREA. THE AIRMASS WOULD NOT BE ANOMALOUSLY COLD...BUT ALL THAT WOULD
BE NEEDED IS FOR H85 TEMPS TO BE IN THE VCNTY OF -8C OR LOWER.
IN TERMS OF THE REAL COLD AIR...THERE HAVE BEEN TWO MAIN CORES OF
ARCTIC AIR THE PAST TWO WEEKS WITH ONE OVER SIBERIA AND THE OTHER
OVER THE CANADIAN ARCTIC. UNUSUALLY STRONG RIDGING OVER SIBERIA THIS
WEEK WILL DISPERSE/DISPLACE THE AIRMASS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE
POLE...WHILE THE ARCTIC AIR ON THIS SIDE OF THE POLE IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SOMEWHAT. WHILE THIS COLD AIR WILL NOT MAKE IT DOWN TO THE
LOWER 48 ANYTIME SOON...IT IS WORTH NOTING.
ALSO WORTH MENTIONING IS THAT THE PERSISTENT MID LEVEL JET THAT
CROSSED NORTH AMERICA AND NEARLY ENCIRCLED THE GLOBE (AT ROUGHLY
40-50N) AT THIS TIME LAST YEAR IS IN A MUCH WEAKER STATE THIS FALL.
THE MERIDIONAL FLOW AT H7 IS MORE ANOMALOUS IN NATURE...WHICH
SUGGESTS MUCH MORE CONDUCIVE CONDITIONS FOR BLOCKING AND A HIGHER
CHANCE FOR COLD AIR INTRUSIONS. PART OF THIS IS DUE TO THE FACT THAT
THE ICELANDIC LOW HAS BEEN WEAKER THIS FALL AND HAS ACTUALLY GIVEN
WAY TO RIDGING SEVERAL TIMES.
TO SUMMARIZE...WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL
LATE THIS WEEK AND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...A STRETCH OF SEASONABLY
COLD WEATHER WILL SET UP DURING THE SECOND WEEK OF DECEMBER. NO
ANOMALOUSLY COLD WEATHER IS EXPECTED THOUGH.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK
OVERNIGHT...AND THIS WILL PRODUCE CIGS RANGING FROM 2500-3500 FT FOR
MOST OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE OVER THE WRN
SOUTHERN TIER WHERE IFR/LIFR CIGS SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE.
THE MAIN CONCERN OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY WILL BE THE LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR THAT WILL SET UP ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES. SOUTHWEST
WINDS BETWEEN 1500 AND 3000 FT WILL INCREASE TO 40-45 KNOTS WHILE
SFC WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AROUND 10 KNOTS. THIS HAZARD WILL BE IN
THE TAFS UNTIL A FEW HOURS AFTER DAYBREAK...AFTER WHICH TIME A
PORTION OF THESE WINDS WILL BE MIX TO THE SFC.
OTHERWISE...THE BULK OF TUESDAY WILL FEATURE VFR CONDITIONS. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE STATE
DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON THOUGH...AND THIS WILL RESULT IN
A 3 TO 6 HOUR SWATH OF SHOWERS THAT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS INTO THE EVENING HOURS. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE FROM
THE WEST DURING THE OVERNIGHT.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...VFR...WITH POSSIBLE MVFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
AND/OR LOWER CLOUDS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
THURSDAY...VFR.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH SHOWERS.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
A SOUTHERLY WIND VEERING TO SOUTHWESTERLY OVER LAKE ERIE TODAY WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS TO BRING SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS TO LAKE
ERIE...AND THE UPPER NIAGARA RIVER INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD REMAIN SOUTHERLY AND BELOW SCA LEVELS ON LAKE ONTARIO TODAY.
LATE TONIGHT AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. THIS COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER THE WARMER LAKES WILL LEAD
TO WAVES RISING TO SCA LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY ON
LAKE ONTARIO. WAVES MAY INCREASE TO 4 TO 5 FEET ON LAKE ERIE LATER
WEDNESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE AND WARMING ALOFT WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY TO BRING A
RETURN TO TRANQUIL CONDITIONS ON THE LAKES AND RIVERS.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ040-
041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
LEZ020.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY FOR LOZ043-044.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR LOZ042-045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...THOMAS
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...RSH/SMITH
AVIATION...RSH
MARINE...THOMASHazardous weather outlook, Dec 3, 4:17 AM EST, 23 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 417 AM EST MON DEC 3 2012 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-040930- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 417 AM EST MON DEC 3 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-040930- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 417 AM EST MON DEC 3 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 3:58 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 36 hr | |
| Dec 4, 2:01 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 14 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.