Gale Warning 32, NWS Buffalo, NY

956 
WHUS71 KBUF 270254
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
954 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

LEZ040-041-270900-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-121227T0900Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
954 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST GALES TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-270900-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-121227T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
954 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST GALES TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-271100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121227T1300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
954 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-271100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121228T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
954 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-271100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121227T2300Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
954 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-271100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121228T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
954 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-271100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121227T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
954 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

858 
WHUS71 KBUF 270908
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

LEZ040-041-271700-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-121227T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121227T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-271700-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-121227T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121228T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-271015-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-121227T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW GALE FORCE...THEREFORE THE GALE WARNING
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

LEZ020-271015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121227T1300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...THEREFORE THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

LOZ030-271400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121227T1400Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-271700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121228T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-271700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121227T2300Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-271700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0114.000000T0000Z-121227T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
408 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
652 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE
REGION THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AFTER
MIDNIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST...THOUGH GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BLOW AND DRIFT THE SNOW INTO THE MORNING HOURS. REMAINING SEASONABLY
COOL THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS SOUTH AND
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
...A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN NEW YORK THROUGH THURSDAY...

LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA EARLY THIS EVENING WILL
TRACK EAST AND RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE NEW JERSEY COASTLINE LATE
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM IS NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED...WHICH PLACES
OUR REGION IN A FAVORABLE REGION FOR SNOWFALL. A COMBINATION OF A
50 TO 70 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET...AND DIFFULENT FLOW ALOFT WILL
COMBINE TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT BAND OF SNOW IN THE NORTHWEST
QUADRANT OF THE STORM. IR/RADAR TRENDS ARE SHOWING THIS
NICELY...WITH AN AXIS OF HEAVIER SNOWS EXTENDING FROM CLEVELAND UP
LAKE ERIE TO BUFFALO...THEN ESE TOWARD BINGHAMTON. BASED ON
REPORTS AND MODEL GUIDANCE...THIS BAND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

MUCH OF THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS...WITH
THE 18Z NAM/12Z RGEM/HRRR ARE ALL CAPTURING THIS BAND SO FAR. THIS
AXIS IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER THIS
EVENING...AS IT PIVOTS TO A MORE SW-NE ORIENTATION. THIS WILL
CAUSE HEAVY SNOWS TO LINGER ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND
NORTHERN GENESEE AND FINGER LAKES REGIONS INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. EXPECT THIS AREA TO RECEIVE THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF
SNOW...IN THE 10 TO 16 INCH RANGE.

MEANWHILE...A DRY SLOT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WITH THIS
LIKELY TO MAKE IT INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. SIGNIFICANT
SNOWS HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...BUT THIS DRY
SLOT SHOULD LIMIT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE REST OF
TONIGHT. DUAL-POL RADAR EVEN SUGGESTED SOME MIXING WITH SLEET OR
GRAUPEL IN THE SOUTHERN TIER...WHICH IS REASONABLE GIVEN FORECAST
SOUNDINGS. DO NOT EXPECT SLEET TO MIX IN TO THE NORTH...WHERE THE
00Z BUFFALO SOUNDING IS MARKEDLY COLDER. STORM TOTALS SHOULD RUN
IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE IN THE SOUTHERN TIER.

DYNAMICS WILL BE A BIT WEAKER BY THE TIME THIS BAND REACHES EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT. STILL LOOKING FOR 7 TO 14
INCHES OF SNOW IN THIS REGION...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWS LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING...WITH A NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THE SECONDARY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS WILL
BRING BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. COMBINED WITH THE FALLING SNOW...FREQUENT NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKESHORES WHERE THE
FLOW WILL BE ENHANCED BY THE LAKES.

TOMORROW MORNING A SURFACE LOW WILL BE FOUND NEAR NEW YORK CITY...WITH THE
NEGATIVELY TILTED STILL CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES. THE DEFORMATION BAND OF SNOW WILL BE FOCUSED OVER THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION...AND SOUTHERN CANADA...WITH SNOW
TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS FARTHER WESTWARD. THE DEPTH OF MOISTURE
WILL ALSO BE FALLING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...FALLING FARTHER
BELOW THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE. WITH THE LIFT NOW SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AND MOISTURE DIMINISHING ANY HEAVY SNOW WILL BE FOUND EARLY AND
TOWARDS THE EAST.

TEMPERATURES AT 850 HPA WILL DROP TO AROUND -10C THURSDAY MORNING
WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO NORTHWESTERLY. THERE WILL STILL BE
CONSIDERABLE WIND SHEER EARLY IN THE MORNING...BUT THROUGH THE DAY
WINDS BECOME BETTER ALIGNED SO THAT SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT...LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL FALL SOUTH OF THE LAKES. LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM
LEVELS WILL RISE TO AROUND 6K FEET SOUTH OF BOTH LAKES...NOT
GREAT...BUT ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR A LITTLE LAKE ENHANCEMENT THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE TIME FRAME WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY...WITH
TEMPERATURES LARGELY IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. EXCEPTION WILL BE THE
NORTH COUNTRY WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB FROM THE UPPER TEENS INTO
THE MID 20S THROUGH THE TIME PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
LAKE ENHANCED/UPSLOPE SNOWS WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT
AS DEEP SYNOPTIC MOISTURE AND NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS BEHIND
DEPARTING SURFACE LOW. ARRIVAL OF MID LEVEL DRYING DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL LIKELY LIMITED THIS POTENTIAL TOWARD FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH EVEN THE THREAT FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AS MOISTURE
WITHIN THE FAVORABLE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE GETS WIPED OUT AND
INVERSION HEIGHTS FALL TO AROUND 3K FEET. ANY LINGERING
PRECIPITATION WHETHER IT IS LIGHT SNOW OR FREEZING DRIZZLE SHOULD
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS
THE REGION...HOWEVER ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN UNDER A
DEVELOPING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION.

FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECT QUIET WEATHER FRIDAY NIGHT...EXCEPT FOR
PERHAPS SOME FLURRIES AS MOISTURE RETURNS IN MID LEVELS. NEXT
SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY DROPPING THROUGH THE MEAN WESTERN CONUS TROUGH
WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND PUSH EASTWARD
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. MODELS CONTINUING TO SUGGEST THAT THE MAIN
PIECE OF ENERGY WILL PROGRESS TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...
ALTHOUGH WEAKER THE NORTHERN WAVE AND ASSOCIATED INVERTED SURFACE
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA COULD YIELD SOME MINOR ACCUMULATING
SNOWS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
THE LAKES WHERE THERE MAY BE SOME ENHANCEMENT AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES
FALL BACK TO AROUND -10C.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SOME UNCERTAINTY THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST WITH RESPECT TO THE
DEGREE OF ARCTIC AIR WHICH WILL INVADE THE LOWER LAKES REGION.
LATEST GFS SUGGESTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF UPPER RIDGE IN WAKE OF THE
DEPARTING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH EARLY IN THE PERIOD. THE GFS TREND
IS THEN MORE OF A QUASI-ZONAL FLOW REGIME WHICH TRIES TO KEEP THE
ARCTIC AIR FARTHER TO THE NORTH. THE ECWMF NEVER REALLY DOES DEVELOP
THE RIDGING ALOFT AND ALLOW THE ARCTIC AIR BUILDING UP ACROSS
ONTARIO TO WORKS ITS WAY DOWN ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. THE COLDER
ECMWF HAS BEEN CONSISTENT THAN THE GFS AND IS PREFERRED DURING
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THE COLDER ECMWF SHOULD RESULT IN
THE POTENTIAL DAY TO DAY CHANCES FOR LAKE SNOWS IN FAVORED NORTHWEST
FLOW AREAS. THIS THINKING WOULD RESULT IN TEMPERATURES AVERAGING
BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
EXPECT A SIGNIFICANT ARE OF HEAVY SNOW WITH VSBY 1/4SM OR LESS
BETWEEN 00Z AND 09Z ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK. THIS WILL DEPEND ON
THE POSITION OF THE HEAVY SNOW AXIS...WHICH WILL LIFT NORTHWARD
THROUGH 03Z OR SO...AND THEN PIVOT TO A MORE SW-NE ORIENTATION AS
IT EXITS TO THE EAST LATE TONIGHT. OUTSIDE OF THIS BAND...VSBY MAY
RISE TO 1SM OR SO...BUT IN THE BAND EXPECT VLIFR CONDITIONS IN
HEAVY SNOW.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AS THIS AXIS EXITS...FIRST AT WESTERN TAF
LOCATIONS...THEN LATER AT ART. THIS WILL ALLOW A MODEST BUT
SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN VSBY. WHILE SNOW RATES MAY DROP
OFF...BLOWING SNOW MAY LOWER WHAT WOULD OTHERWISE BE HIGHER VSBY.

CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE ON THURSDAY...AS A PERSISTENT
NW FLOW RESULTS IN LINGERING LIGHT SNOW AND CIGS. A MIX OF
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...AREAS OF MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
A MAJOR WINTER STORM OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT...THEN ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
THURSDAY. ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THIS LOW...A STRONG NORTHEASTERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL BRING WIDESPREAD HIGH-END ADVISORY-LEVEL WINDS AND
WAVES ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...FOR WHICH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT AS OUTLINED. WILL ALSO INCLUDE MEXICO BAY
TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE IN A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW AS WINDS SHIFT
MORE NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY TOMORROW ALLOWING FOR HIGHER WAVES
TO REACH THE SHORELINE.

THE ABOVE SAID...THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT WINDS COULD ALSO REACH
MARGINAL GALE FORCE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD ON LAKE ERIE AND WESTERN/
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO. CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING FOR A
SUSTAINED PERIOD OF TIME IS STILL RATHER LOW HOWEVER...THUS WE HAVE
ELECTED TO CONTINUE WITH THE EXISTING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AT THIS
TIME.

AS THE STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO PULL AWAY ON THURSDAY...WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ001>005-
     010-011-013-014.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ012-
     019>021-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THURSDAY FOR LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LEZ040-
         041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
         LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LOZ043-044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LOZ042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LOZ045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
         SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...APFFEL/THOMAS
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...APFFEL
MARINE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
544 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NYZ006>008-271045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
544 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER SNOWFALL
REPORTS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-271045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
544 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER
SNOWFALL REPORTS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019>021-085-271045-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
544 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER SNOWFALL
REPORTS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-271045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
544 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON LAKE ONTARIO FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW GALE FORCE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY
BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-271045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
544 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
153 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NYZ012-019>021-085-262100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
153 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...

CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A
MAJOR WINTER STORM IMPACTS THE REGION. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY BY
4 PM...IF NOT SOONER. SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING ONE INCH PER HOUR
CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED BY EARLY
THIS EVENING.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 35 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE. THE COMBINATION
OF THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. TRAVEL ACROSS THE
REGION WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS...IF NOT EXTREMELY DIFFICULT BY LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING.

NYZ001-010-011-013-262100-
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...
GENESEO
153 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL START TO IMPACT THE AREA DURING THE
EVENING COMMUTE...

CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS
A MAJOR WINTER STORM IMPACTS THE REGION. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA BY 3 PM OR 4 PM. THE SNOW
WILL INITIALLY BE LIGHT...HOWEVER BETWEEN 5 PM AND 7 PM THE SNOW
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HEAVY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD EXCEED ONE INCH
PER HOUR...WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS
EVENING.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 30 MPH. THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG
WINDS WILL CREATE VERY LOW VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR LESS
AT TIMES. TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS...IF NOT
EXTREMELY DIFFICULT BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

TMA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
432 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NYZ019>021-270045-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
432 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION...

PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING ONE INCH PER HOUR
CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED BY EARLY
THIS EVENING.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 35 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE. THE COMBINATION
OF THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. TRAVEL ACROSS THE
REGION WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS...IF NOT EXTREMELY DIFFICULT BY LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-270045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
432 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...

AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE
RAPIDLY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS SEVERAL BANDS OF HEAVIER SNOW WILL
NEGATIVELY AFFECT THE EVENING COMMUTE. SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING ONE
INCH PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 35 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINES.
THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE
VERY LOW VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. TRAVEL
ACROSS THE REGION WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS...IF NOT EXTREMELY
DIFFICULT BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING.

NYZ003-013-014-270045-
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
432 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...

AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE
RAPIDLY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS SEVERAL BANDS OF HEAVIER SNOW WILL
NEGATIVELY AFFECT THE EVENING COMMUTE. SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING ONE
INCH PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 35 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE. THE COMBINATION
OF THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. TRAVEL ACROSS THE
REGION WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS...IF NOT EXTREMELY DIFFICULT BY LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
725 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NYZ019>021-270330-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
725 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION...

PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. SNOWFALL
RATES EXCEEDING ONE INCH PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS
OF 6 TO 9 INCHES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT AND A
FOOT IN SPOTS.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 35 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE AND HIGHER HILLTOPS. THE
COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE VERY
LOW VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. TRAVEL ACROSS
THE REGION WILL BECOME EXTREMELY DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS THROUGH
THE EVENING.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-270330-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
725 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. SNOWFALL
RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS
OF 6 TO 9 INCHES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 35 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINES AND
ACROSS THE HIGHER HILLTOPS. THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE VERY LOW VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR
LESS AT TIMES. TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION WILL BECOME EXTREMELY
DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE EVENING.

NYZ003-013-014-270330-
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
725 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. SNOWFALL
RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT AND
CLOSE TO A FOOT OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN ONTARIO AND SOUTHERN
LIVINGSTON COUNTIES.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 35 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE AND ACROSS THE HIGHER
HILLTOPS. THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL
CREATE VERY LOW VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION WILL BECOME EXTREMELY DIFFICULT AND
HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE EVENING.