Alert archive / Texas / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 2, NWS Brownsville, TX

January 8, 2012

NWS Brownsville, TX issued this small craft advisory at Jan 8, 2012, 3:44 AM CST. It took effect at Jan 8, 2012, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 8, 2012, 3:44 AM CST (09:44 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 8, 2012, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Jan 10, 2012, 6:00 PM CST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Brownsville, TX

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

356 
WHUS74 KBRO 080944
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
344 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO HELP INCREASE SOUTH WINDS...

.A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL INFLUENCE
THE SOUTH WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS LATER TODAY.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
REMAIN TIGHT THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE STORM SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES
EAST. 

GMZ130-132-135-081800-
/O.NEW.KBRO.SI.Y.0002.120108T1800Z-120108T2300Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
344 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. 


* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS TO INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS
  AFTERNOON. BAY WATERS BECOMING CHOPPY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-081800-
/O.NEW.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.120108T1800Z-120109T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
344 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM CST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM CST
MONDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS TO INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS
  AFTERNOON. SEAS ONLY RANGING FROM 3 TO 6 FEET. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
10 follow-up statements
048 
WHUS74 KBRO 081457
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
857 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO INCREASE WINDS
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THIS AFTERNOON...

.A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES WILL
INFLUENCE WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS LATER
TODAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STRONG TONIGHT AS THE STORM
SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD.

GMZ130-132-135-082300-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SI.Y.0002.120108T1800Z-120109T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
857 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY
TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON
TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS
  AFTERNOON. BAY WATERS WILL BECOME CHOPPY TO ROUGH AS A RESULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-082300-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.120109T0000Z-120109T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
857 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
9 AM CST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS
  THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD FROM 2 TO 4 FEET THIS AFTERNOON TO
  4 TO 6 TONIGHT AS A RESULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
803 
WHUS74 KBRO 082140
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
340 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO INCREASE
WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THIS AFTERNOON...

.A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES WILL
INFLUENCE WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE
EVENING TODAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAIN STRONG TONIGHT AS THE
STORM SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD.

GMZ130-132-135-090300-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120109T0300Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
340 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM
CST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS
  EVENING. BAY WATERS WILL REMAIN ROUGH AS A RESULT.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-090600-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.120109T0000Z-120109T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
340 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS
  THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD FROM 2 TO 4 FEET THIS AFTERNOON TO
  4 TO 6 TONIGHT AS A RESULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
109 
WHUS74 KBRO 090340
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
940 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO INCREASE
WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COAST TONIGHT...

.A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES WILL
INFLUENCE WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

GMZ150-155-170-175-091200-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120109T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
940 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS
  EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD FROM 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT REACHING NEAR
  7 FEET BY SUNRISE MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
046 
WHUS74 KBRO 090903
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
303 AM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY THE NEXT 36 HOURS...

.A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND PASS THROUGH THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

GMZ130-132-135-091715-
/O.NEW.KBRO.SI.Y.0003.120109T2000Z-120110T2000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
303 AM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 2 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 2 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE.

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE
  EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS OF TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY
  AFTERNOON HOURS OF TUESDAY.

* BAY CONDITIONS: CHOPPY BAY WATERS ARE EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO
  THE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-091715-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
303 AM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY
FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND FROM 0 TO 60
NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. 

* WINDS: WEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE
  TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

* WAVES: SEAS OF 5 TO 8 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 6 TO
  9 FEET ON TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
334 
WHUS74 KBRO 092114
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
314 PM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND PASS THROUGH THE LOWER TEXAS BAY
AND GULF WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT.

GMZ130-132-135-100515-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120110T2000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
314 PM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM
CST TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE
  EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS OF TODAY AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
  EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* BAY CONDITIONS: ROUGH BAY WATERS ARE EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO THE
  STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSISTING
  THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-100515-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
314 PM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
  AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

* WAVES: GULF SEAS WILL INCREASING INTO THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE
  THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND MAY BUILD INTO THE 7 TO 9 FOOT
  RANGE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
735 
WHUS74 KBRO 100407
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1007 PM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.A COLD FRONT PASSED THROUGH THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

GMZ130-132-135-100930-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120110T2000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
1007 PM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM
CST TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
  THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* BAY CONDITIONS: ROUGH BAY WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
  TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO THE
  STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-100930-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1007 PM CST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS
  TO NEAR 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
  ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS.

* WAVES: THE ELEVATED GULF SEAS WILL PERSIST IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT
  RANGE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
112 
WHUS74 KBRO 100851
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
251 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH TODAY...

.STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR THE ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN
THE WAKE OF THE MONDAY PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST. MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY IMPROVE
TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET.

GMZ130-132-135-101700-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120110T2000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
251 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM
CST THIS AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST
THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE.

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING
  AND THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

* BAY CONDITIONS: CHOPPY BAY WATERS ARE EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO
  THE STRONG WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-101700-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
251 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND FROM 0
TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THIS
  MORNING...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KNOTS EXPECTED
  THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WAVES: SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WITH 5 TO
  8 FEET SEAS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
917 
WHUS74 KBRO 101509
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
909 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH TODAY...

.STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR THE ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN
THE WAKE OF THE MONDAY PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST. MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY IMPROVE
TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET.

GMZ130-132-135-102000-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120110T2000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
909 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM
CST THIS AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
  EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

* BAY CONDITIONS: CHOPPY BAY WATERS ARE EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO 
  THE STRONG WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-102015-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
909 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
  MORNING...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KNOTS EXPECTED
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WITH 5 
  TO 8 FEET SEAS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
406 
WHUS74 KBRO 101919
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
119 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

.STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR THE ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN
THE WAKE OF THE MONDAY PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST. MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY IMPROVE
TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET.

GMZ130-132-135-110000-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
119 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
CST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 
  THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* BAY CONDITIONS: CHOPPY BAY WATERS ARE EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO 
  THE STRONG WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-110000-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
119 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
  THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* WAVES: SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV
084 
WHUS74 KBRO 110027
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
627 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF CONDITIONS IMPROVING...

.THE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS BOTH THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE
LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS HAVE WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY. THIS IS
ALLOWING THE BAY AND GULF CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE STEADILY FOR THE
REST OF TONIGHT. 

GMZ130-132-135-110130-
/O.EXP.KBRO.SI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
627 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
CURRENTLY THE NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE HAVE
DIMINISHED INTO THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE. THIS WILL ALLOW THE BAY
CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. 

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-110130-
/O.EXP.KBRO.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120111T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
627 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. CURRENTLY THE NORTHWEST
WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS HAVE DIMINISHED TO AROUND
15 KNOTS WITH THE SWELLS RANGING FROM 3 TO 5 FEET. THE GULF CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 7, 11:41 PM CST, 4 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 11:41 PM CST, 4 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1141 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...SEE AVIATION SECTION BELOW FOR 06Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...DENSE FOG HAS ALREADY COVERED KBRO AND IS EXPECTED TO
RAPIDLY DEVELOP MOST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY BEFORE 8Z WITH THE
REST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TO QUICKLY FOLLOW. VLIFR CONDITIONS TO
PERSIST THROUGH 14Z THEN SOUTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE QUICKLY
DISSIPATING THE FOG. A SCT-BKN VFR DECK TO DEVELOP IN THE
AFTERNOON MOST LOCATIONS WITH WIND GUSTS APPROACHING 30 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 945 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2012/

DISCUSSION...SEE SHORT TERM UPDATE FOR FOG POTENTIAL OVERNIGHT
AND EARLY SUNDAY.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY/...REALLY FENCE SITTING
FOR DENSE FOG ADVISORY THIS EVENING. ON THE ONE HAND...CALM WINDS
AND RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE RANCHLANDS/UPPER
VALLEY WOULD SUGGEST SIX OR MORE HOURS OF 100 PERCENT HUMIDITY.
WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING OFF THE DECK BUT COLD DOME INHIBITING
ANY DOWNWARD MIXING IT WOULD SEEM LOGICAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF 1/4
MILE OR LOWER VISIBILITY THROUGH MID MORNING SUNDAY.
HOWEVER...STARTING DEW POINTS ARE 5 TO 10 DEGREES LOWER THAN THIS
TIME LAST NIGHT. AND...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE UP TO 850 MB IS STILL
VERY LOW DESPITE THE SOUTHERLY FLOW. FINALLY...WILL HIGH CLOUDS
BECOME MORE BROKEN PRIOR TO DAYBREAK? WITH ALL THIS
UNCERTAINTY...DECIDED TO HOIST SPS AND LEAVE FORECAST VISIBILITY
AT 1/2 MILE...JUST ABOVE CRITERIA.

CLOSER TO THE COAST...100 PERCENT RH IN REACH SHORTLY AND ALREADY
KBRO HAS DIPPED TO 6 SM...WITH VISUAL AND FEEL OF AIR HAVING THAT
POTENTIAL. IF TEMPERATURES CAN FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S IN THE
LOWER VALLEY DENSE FOG MAY WELL OCCUR HERE AS WELL. FOR NOW...HAVE
HELD AT 1 MILE VISIBILITY AND AREAS OF FOG...WITH SPS SECTION
COVERING THE POTENTIAL. PROBLEM HERE IS POSSIBILITY OF WARMER AIR
SLIPPING IN LATER TONIGHT WITH TEMPS/DEWPOINTS POSSIBLY RISING A
SMIDGE...ENOUGH TO ERODE SOME OF THE FOG.

EXPECT FOG TO CONTINUE THROUGH 9 AM WITH PATCHES REMAINING UP
NORTH AND WEST THROUGH 10 OR EVEN 11 AM BEFORE RAPIDLY SCOURING
UNDER INCREASINGLY GUSTY SOUTH WINDS.

/52-BSG/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 606 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2012/

DISCUSSION...SEE AVIATION SECTION BELOW FOR 00Z TAF ANALYSIS.

AVIATION...ANOTHER DIFFICULT FORECAST THIS EVENING. LAST NIGHT
THIS TIME...MY 'GUT' WAS TELLING ME FOR POTENTIAL FOG EVENT AS
UPPER LOW HAD JUST CLEARED OUT AND CLEAR SKIES AND LACK OF DEEP
SOUTHERLY FLOW SET STAGE FOR EXCELLENT NEAR SURFACE RADIATIONAL
COOLING...AND SURE ENOUGH FOG THICKENED PARTICULARLY AT KMFE.

AT FIRST...ONE WOULD THINK PERSISTENCE WOULD WORK FINE. ONLY
PATCHY HIGH CLOUDS...STILL FAIRLY LOW DEWPOINTS...AND PLENTY OF
DRY AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE TO GET INTO THE MIX AND HELP INCREASE
RADIATIONAL COOLING. NOT TO MENTION POSSIBILITY OF SHALLOW WIND
DIRECTION EDGING TOWARD A LAND BREEZE IF RADIATIONAL COOLING
BRINGS TEMPERATURES QUICKLY TOWARD 60 OR LOWER AT KHRL/KBRO LATER
THIS EVENING. SHOULD THIS OCCUR...THE FORECAST WOULD BE A SLAM
DUNK FOR GRADUAL MIST (BR) BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.

UNFORTUNATELY...THE NEXT 500 MB TROUGH IS QUICKLY MAKING ITS MOVE
INTO THE FOUR CORNERS OVERNIGHT AND WILL TURN THE MID LEVEL WINDS
FROM THE DRYING NORTHWEST TO A WEST-SOUTHWEST DIRECTION. THIS IN
TURN WILL HELP DEVELOP THE LEE SIDE OF THE SIERRA MADRE SURFACE
TROUGH...WHICH TYPICALLY INCREASES RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE
SURFACE. SUCH FLOW INCREASES DEWPOINTS AND CAN INTERFERE WITH THE
RADIATIONAL COOLING/FOG MECHANISM. SUCH IS THE CASE IN THE LOWER
VALLEY WHERE THESE WINDS CAN MIX DOWN FASTER...INCLUDING ALL THREE
TERMINALS.

SO...ITS A RACE AGAINST TIME IN SOME WAYS TO SEE HOW THINGS SHAKE
OUT. LOOKING IN DETAIL: KMFE HAD VERY LIGHT WIND TODAY AND WITH
LOWER WET BULB TO START THE EVENING THINK THEY HAVE BEST CHANCE
FOR IFR PREVAILING CIG/VIS AND BR/FG. KHRL/KBRO HAVE BETTER
OPPORTUNITY TO SEE MODIFYING AIR MASS SOONER WHICH WOULD INCREASE
POSSIBILITY FOR JUST ENOUGH WIND TO KEEP DENSE FOG AT BAY. FOR
NOW...HAVE NUDGED KBRO FORECAST OUT OF LIFR (EVEN TEMPO GROUPS)
BUT LEFT KHRL IN WHICH OWES TO CLIMATOLOGY OF SUCH EVENTS.

ONE MORE THING TO WATCH LATER TONIGHT IS ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR. NAM MODEL SUGGESTS 35 KNOTS AT 1000 FEET ACROSS
AREAS WITH LIGHT TO CALM SURFACE WINDS BY DAYBREAK. THIS OCCURRED
EARLY THIS MORNING BUT WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW MUCH COULD
START MIXING DOWN HAVE LEFT OUT FOR NOW AND DEFERRED TO LATER
FORECASTS FOR POSSIBLE ADDITION.

BY MID MORNING...THE FOG WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF AND BE REPLACED BY
THE ARRIVAL OF THE VALLEY WIND MACHINE AND ASSOCIATED
STRATOCUMULUS DECKS. HAVE CAPPED WINDS IN THE 20 TO 22 KNOTS RANGE
FOR THE BALANCE OF SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

/52-BSG/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 158 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2012/

SHORT TERM... /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...MAIN CONCERN TONIGHT
WILL BE FOG DEVELOPING ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. QUESTION IS
WHETHER WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP DENSE FOG FROM
DEVELOPING. BELIEVE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT ENOUGH WITH THE CLEAR SKIES
TO ALLOW FOG TO DEVELOP BUT ENOUGH MIXING TO KEEP VISIBILITIES ABOVE
A QUARTER OF A MILE. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST MEXICO WILL ALLOW THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE LOWER TEXAS COAST SUNDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
SUN AFTERNOON AFTER THE FOG BURNS OFF AND LIFTS WITH DIURNAL
HEATING. LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL TX SUN NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEEPEN
ACROSS THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY ALLOWING
CONVECTION TO DEVELOP NORTH OF THE CWA AS LAPSE RATES BEGIN TO
STEEPEN ALOFT AS A 500MB LOW/TROUGH MOVES INTO WEST TX/NORTHERN
MEXICO. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION RAIN CHANCES DEVELOPING LATE SUN
NIGHT ACROSS THE AREA AS MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASE ACROSS
THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

LONG TERM.../MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...TWO BIG UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE ACROSS TEXAS AND IMPACT THE RGV OVER THE NEXT
WEEK. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT
AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO MONDAY...BEFORE THE SYSTEMS
EXITS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE RGV AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE DAY MONDAY BRING
COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY. THE FRONT MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
DYNAMICS OR LIFT TO GENERATE THUNDER MONDAY. RAPID CLEARING MONDAY
NIGHT WILL MAKE FOR A SUNNY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. BREEZY
CONDITIONS SUNDAY AS SOUTHEAST WINDS FEED THE APPROACHING STORM
SYSTEM WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS ON MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH MONDAY NIGHT WITH IDEAL WEATHER
CONDITIONS TUE THROUGH WED...ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL BE A BIT COOL ON
TUE. TEMPS MAY REBOUND TO A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS ON
WED...AND MAYBE NEARING 80 DEGREES IN A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
MID VALLEY. ADJUSTED TEMPS UP A BIT ON MONDAY DUE TO THE EXPECTED
LATER ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT...BUT ADJUSTED TEMPS DOWNWARD ON
TUESDAY. LOOKS LIKE A CALM BUT COOL DAY AS WE WILL BE INFLUENCED
BY THE CIRCULATION OF THE LARGE COLD CORE UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL
TEXAS.

THE NEXT AND POTENTIALLY MORE IMPACTFUL SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
IMPACT THE AREA THU AS CLOUDS INCREASE AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS DEVELOPS THU AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS ANTICIPATED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE THU NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY AS RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE A SLOW
MOVER SO CLEARING WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. IN FACT...THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS WILL LIKELY LINGER INTO SATURDAY. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS DOWN
A BIT FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT TO BE MORE IN LINE WITH THE GFS 12Z
RUN...BUT EVEN COOLER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. DUE TO EXPECTED
CLOUD COVER...FREEZING TEMPS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...BUT
OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE BRUSH
COUNTRY AND WESTERN ZONES MAY WELL OCCUR NEVERTHELESS.

MARINE...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SEAS WERE NEAR 4 FEET
WITH SOUTH WINDS NEAR 14 KNOTS AT BUOY020 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
MODERATE SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
INCREASES SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COAST SUN AFTERNOON.
MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT AS A RESULT.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS LIKELY MONDAY AS
BREEZY CONDITIONS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY DUE A STRONG
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY WITH RAPID CLEARING MONDAY
NIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH MONDAY NIGHT WITH IDEAL MARINE
CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR TUE AND WED.

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

59/66
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 7, 10:45 AM CST, 16 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1045 AM CST SAT JAN 7 2012

TXZ248>257-081045-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1045 AM CST SAT JAN 7 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DENSE FOG MAY REDEVELOP ACROSS ALL AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED SUNDAY BECOMING HIGH
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY MAY PRODUCE OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS TO 35 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-081045-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1045 AM CST SAT JAN 7 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE POSSIBLE AS EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY. THE LAGUNA MADRE WILL SEE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
MONDAY AFTERNOON AS COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST THROUGH THE REGION.
SOME GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GB/MC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Brownsville, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 7, 11:59 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryBROBrooks, Cameron, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Starr and 2 more4 hr
Jan 8, 3:44 AM CSTSmall Craft Advisory for WindsBRO17 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Texas, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.