Alert archive / Massachusetts / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 74, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

September 27, 2012

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this small craft advisory at Sep 27, 2012, 4:28 PM EDT. It took effect at Sep 28, 2012, 5:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 38 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 27, 2012, 4:28 PM EDT (20:28 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 28, 2012, 5:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 29, 2012, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

518 
WHUS71 KBOX 272028
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
428 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST
FRIDAY AND THEN INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRI NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20-30 KT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS ALONG WITH ROUGH SEAS. RAIN AND PATCHY
FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. 

ANZ235-237-255-256-280430-
/O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T0900Z-120929T0900Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
428 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-280430-
/O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T0900Z-120929T0900Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
428 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.
  SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-280430-
/O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T1700Z-120929T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
428 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-280430-
/O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T1700Z-120929T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
428 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
10 follow-up statements
663 
WHUS71 KBOX 280201
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1001 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST
FRIDAY AND THEN INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRI NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20-30 KT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS ALONG WITH ROUGH SEAS. RAIN AND PATCHY
FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

ANZ235-237-255-256-281015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T0900Z-120929T0900Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1001 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO
5 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-281015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T0900Z-120929T0900Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
1001 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO
5 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-281015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T1700Z-120929T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
1001 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-281015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T1700Z-120929T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
1001 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
069 
WHUS71 KBOX 280819
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL BRING
INCREASING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT AS WELL AS 3
TO 6 FOOT SEAS ON THE OUTER WATERS. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITY DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH BY SATURDAY.

ANZ235-237-255-256-281630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T0900Z-120929T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-281630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T0900Z-120929T0300Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-281630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T1700Z-120929T0600Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-281630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T1700Z-120929T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
419 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
546 
WHUS71 KBOX 281431
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1031 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL BRING
INCREASING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT AS WELL AS
3 TO 6 FOOT SEAS ON THE OUTER WATERS. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITY DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH BY SATURDAY.

ANZ235-237-255-256-282245-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1031 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-282245-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0300Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
1031 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-282245-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T1700Z-120929T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
1031 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-282245-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.120928T1700Z-120929T0600Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
1031 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
281 
WHUS71 KBOX 282032
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
432 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL BRING
INCREASING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AS WELL AS 3 TO 6 FOOT
SEAS ON THE OUTER WATERS. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

ANZ235-237-255-256-290445-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
432 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-290300-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0300Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
432 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-290445-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
432 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-290445-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0600Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
432 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
426 
WHUS71 KBOX 290221
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1021 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL BRING
INCREASING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AS WELL AS 3 TO 6 FOOT
SEAS ON THE OUTER WATERS. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH
BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

ANZ235-237-255-256-290700-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1021 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-290330-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0300Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
1021 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-291030-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
1021 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-290600-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0600Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
1021 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
692 
WHUS71 KBOX 290603
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
203 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE OUTER WATERS OF RHODE ISLAND
AND MASSACHUSETTS TODAY...

ANZ235-237-290715-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
203 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.

$$

ANZ231-290715-
/O.EXP.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T0600Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
203 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.

$$

ANZ255-256-291415-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
203 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-291415-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T2000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
203 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
453 
WHUS71 KBOX 290812
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
412 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE OUTER WATERS OF RHODE
ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS TODAY...

ANZ255-256-291600-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
412 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-291615-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T2000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
412 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
576 
WHUS71 KBOX 291519
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1119 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE OUTER WATERS OF RHODE
ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS TODAY...

ANZ255-256-291630-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120929T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1119 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

ANZ250-251-254-292330-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120930T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
1119 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
083 
WHUS71 KBOX 292002
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
402 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

ANZ250-251-254-300000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120930T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
402 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DUNTEN
240 
WHUS71 KBOX 292300
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
700 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SEAS NO LONGER ABOVE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS...

ANZ250-251-254-300000-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-120930T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
700 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS UNTIL 8 PM.  

SEAS HAVE FALLEN TO BELOW 5 FT IN THESE AREAS.

$$
FIELD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 27, 2:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 27, 2:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
216 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
PROVIDING A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG
THE FRONT WILL APPROACH NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND PASS OVER THE AREA
LATE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A PERIOD OF WET
WEATHER TO THE REGION. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL LINGER INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...

2 PM UPDATE...

NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. SCT-BKN SCU CONTINUES TO
DEVELOP IN THE POST FRONTAL AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION...WITH MUCH
OF THE DIURNAL CLOUDS FOCUSED ACROSS CT/RI AND SOUTHEAST MA WHERE
CONVERGENCE AND HIGHER TDS ARE CONTRIBUTING. THESE CLOUDS WILL
ERODE WITH SUNSET.

SEASONABLY MILD TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE U60S TO L70S...SLIGHTLY
COOLER EASTERN MA WITH WIND OFF THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH WITH SUNSET AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
TONIGHT...
WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE THE EVENING WILL START FAIR WITH
EVENING COOLING. EAST SURFACE WINDS INCREASE DURING THE NIGHT...AS
WILL SOUTH WINDS ABOVE 4000 FEET. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING
MOISTURE ONCE AGAIN WITH THE SOUTH WINDS FLOWING OVER THE COOLER
EAST SURFACE WINDS. THIS LIFT WILL PRODUCE ENOUGH ISENTROPIC LIFT
TO GENERATE PCPN ESPECIALLY AFTER 06Z TONIGHT. WE HAVE USED THE
PLACEMENT OF THE SOUTH JET ALONG WITH CALCULATED ISENTROPIC LIFT
VALUES TO DETERMINE THE ONSET OF LIKELY POPS OVERNIGHT. TEMPS ARE
A BLEND OF MAV/MET/ECMWF VALUES.

FRIDAY...
THE MECHANISM DRIVING THE INCREASED JET WINDS AND LIFT IS A
SHORTWAVE MOVING UP THE OHIO VALLEY AND GENERATING A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH TODAY. SOME
DIFFERENCES AMONG THE MODELS AS TO THE ACTUAL LOCATION OF THE LOW
CENTER AS IT APPROACHES...BUT GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE RESULTING
ISENTROPIC LIFT WITH MAXIMUM VALUES OCCURRING DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY. WE HAVE SET THE HIGHEST POPS VALUES FOR THIS PERIOD WITH
CATEGORICAL POPS /AT OR ABOVE 75 PCT/ MOVING ACROSS ALL OF OUR
FORECAST AREA AND THE HIGHEST VALUES IN CT-RI-SOUTHEAST MASS WHERE
THE STRONGEST LIFT IS FORECAST.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE FORECAST TO APPROACH 1.5 INCHES.
WHILE NOT OVERWHELMING...THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO
GENERATE OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN WITH POTENTIAL FOR PONDING IN AREAS
OF POOR DRAINAGE. WE USED A BLEND OF HPC AND GMOS RAINFALL VALUES.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT RULED OUT...BUT FAVORABLE INSTABILITY SHOULD
CONCENTRATE OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF THE COAST. SO THUNDERSTORM
PROBABILITY IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OVERVIEW AND MODEL PREFERENCES...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE H5 CLOSED LOW MOVING OUT
OF CENTRAL CANADA EARLY IN THIS PERIOD...WITH SEMI-BLOCKING PATTERN
SETTING UP ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES INTO W NY/W PA. 00Z OP RUN
OF GFS ALONG WITH 00Z OP RUNS OF THE ECMWF AND GGEM IN REMARKABLY
GOOD AGREEMENT INTO THIS WEEKEND AT LEAST IN THE UPPER LEVELS...BUT
NOTABLE DIFFERENCES AT THE SURFACE NAMELY THE TRACK/MOVEMENT OF
SURFACE WAVES ALONG STALLED FRONT NEAR OR S OF THE REGION.

AT THIS POINT...LOOKS LIKE MODELS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SURFACE WAVE
ON STALLED FRONT...THOUGH DIFFERENCES ON TIMING/TRACK NAMELY ON THE
00Z OP NAM RUN WITH GGEM A BIT STRONGER THAN THE EC/GFS AS IT
APPROACHES FRI NIGHT. THIS LOW EXITS...BUT WILL REMAIN IN CYCLONIC
UPPER FLOW. APPEARS TO BE A BREAK IN THE STEADY PRECIP...BUT SHOULD
SEE POP UP SCT SHOWERS DURING SAT/SAT NIGHT. MODELS DO TIME THE
UPPER LOW TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH ITS SURFACE
REFLECTION WORKING ACROSS SUN NIGHT-MON MORNING. HOWEVER...NOT A LOT
OF CONFIDENCE ON THIS TIMING DUE TO MODEL DIFFERENCES AS WELL AS LOW
RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY.  KEPT CHANCE POPS GOING THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND...BUT NOT EXPECTING A WASHOUT...FOR NOW.

USED A BLEND OF 00Z GFS/12Z EC AND ENSEMBLES FOR THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE.

DETAILS...

FRIDAY NIGHT...AS HIGH PRES PUSHES E OF THE REGION AND SLOWS...WEAK
LOW PRES WORKS OUT OF THE MID ATLC STATES ALONG THE S COAST DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME. APPEARS BEST ENERGY AND HIGHEST PW/S WILL OCCUR
BEFORE MIDNIGHT...SO KEPT LIKELY/CAT POPS GOING MAINLY FOR CENTRAL
AND EASTERN AREAS EARLY...THEN DROP POPS DOWN TO CHANCE AS UPPER LOW
WORKS INTO W NY/E GREAT LAKES AND SURFACE SYSTEM MOVES OFF COAST.
EXPECT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S AND 50S...MILDEST ALONG THE S COAST.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY NIGHT...BIG QUESTION AT THIS POINT WILL BE WHETHER
DRY AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION AS THE FIRST WEAK LOW MOVES OFFSHORE
DURING SATURDAY. MODELS NOT HELPING WITH THIS DETERMINATION...AS
SOME DO WORK THIS IN WHILE OTHERS DO NOT. OPTED TO KEEP IN CHANCE
POPS GOING DUE TO LARGE CYCLONIC FLOW KEEPING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ACROSS THE REGION. COULD SEE POP UP SHOWERS DEVELOP AT ANY TIME
DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH WEAK IMPULSES IN THE FLOW. WILL LIKELY
SEE PATCHY FOG DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AND WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE AREAS OF DRIZZLE DEVELOP ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL
AREAS WHERE WINDS ARE ONSHORE ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT.

EXPECT TEMPS TO RUN COOLER THAN SEASONAL NORMS ON SATURDAY WITH E-NE
FLOW...BUT MAY BE A BIT MILDER ON SUNDAY PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF
UPPER LOW/S SURFACE REFLECTION AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RUN 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS BOTH SAT
AND SUN NIGHTS.

MONDAY...MORE TIMING DIFFERENCES WORK IN...ESPECIALLY ON THE NEW 00Z
OP RUN OF THE ECMWF WHICH KEEPS THE LOW ACROSS THE REGION LATER THAN
THE 00Z GFS/GGEM. FOR NOW...HAVE TRENDED THE PRECIP TO TAPER OFF
DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE FRONT WORKS OFFSHORE. DAYTIME
HIGHS WILL BE MILD...IN THE MID 60S-LOWER 70S.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE ON TIMING...BUT MODELS
ARE SHOWING FAIRLY GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IN BRINGING HIGH PRES
ACROSS THE REGION WITH DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS.  MAY SEE A SHORT
WAVE WORK IN LATE TUE/TUE NIGHT WITH A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER
AIR. AGAIN LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
  LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
  MODERATE...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
  HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT

THROUGH 00Z...
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VFR CIGS AND VSBYS ALONG WITH DRY WEATHER.
ONSHORE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN MA.

AFTER 00Z...
VFR FOR MOST TERMINALS HOWEVER MARGINAL MVFR/VFR IN LIGHT RAIN AND
FOG ARRIVING AROUND OR AFTER 06Z BDL/BAF AND OTHER WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND TERMINALS.

FRI...
MVFR IN RAIN AND PATCHY FOG OVER WESTERN NEW ENGLAND OVERSPREADS
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES
ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. ALSO LOW RISK OF AN
ISOLATED TSTM. LOW PROBABILITY OF LLWS AS 35-45 KT LOW LEVEL SE
JET MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. GREATEST RISK OF LLWS LIKELY INLAND AS
COASTAL TERMINALS /PVD-BOS-HYA-FMH-ACK/ WILL HAVE GUSTY ONSHORE
SURFACE WINDS.

FRI NIGHT...
HEAVY RAIN MOVES OFFSHORE WITH LEFTOVER DRIZZLE AND PATCHY FOG
YIELDING WIDESPREAD MVFR. LOW RISK OF AREAS OF IFR ESPECIALLY
INLAND. WINDS DIMINISH AS WELL.

KBOS TAF...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.
HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH 12Z FRI...THEN LOWER CONFIDENCE ON PRECISE
TIMING OF MVFR CONDITIONS.

KBDL TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH 06Z FRI...THEN LOWER CONFIDENCE ON PRECISE
TIMING OF MVFR CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE IFR CONDITIONS LATE FRI
INTO FRI NIGHT.

OUTLOOK...SAT THROUGH MONDAY...

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
PERIODS OF -SHRA WITH MVFR CIGS/OCCASIONAL MVFR-IFR VSBYS /BEST
CHANCE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING HOURS/.  MAY SEE OCCASIONAL BREAKS
IN CLOUDS WITH VFR CONDITIONS...THOUGH LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING.
EXPECT CONTINUED LIGHT/VRBL FLOW THROUGH SAT NIGHT...THEN E-NE WINDS
DURING SUNDAY.

MONDAY...LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
SCT -SHRA CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON...THEN SHOULD TAPER OFF MON
NIGHT AS COLD FRONT WORKS E. AREAS OF MVFR-IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN
SHOWERS/PATCHY FOG INTO FRIDAY EVENING...THEN IMPROVING TO VFR
DURING FRI NIGHT. LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...10 AM UPDATE

FRONTAL PASSAGE NOW OFFSHORE WITH WNW WINDS IN PLACE. AS HIGH PRES
BUILDS INTO THE WATERS WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND ONSHORE ACROSS
THE EASTERN MA WATERS. GOOD VISIBILITY AS WELL. LEFTOVER SSW SWELL
WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY ERODE. THIS COMBINED WITH LIGHT WINDS
SHOULD YIELD A VERY PLEASANT BOATING DAY BY LATE SEP STANDARDS.

TONIGHT...
QUIET BEFORE MIDNIGHT. LOW PRESSURE THEN MOVES UP FROM THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES AFTER MIDNIGHT AND SPREADS RAIN ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
AND THE COASTAL WATERS. INCREASING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ON THE
SOUTHERN WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FRIDAY...
EXACT TRACK OF THE COASTAL LOW PRESSURE IS UNCERTAIN...COULD
REMAIN OFFSHORE OR COULD CLIP NEW ENGLAND. IN GENERAL WE EXPECT
RAIN MUCH OF THE DAY WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND GUSTS
25 TO 30 KNOTS. THIS WILL BUILD 5 FOOT SEAS ESPECIALLY ON THE
OUTER WATERS.  A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
FRIDAY NIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
AS LOW MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS...EXPECT E-SE GUSTS UP TO 25 KT ON
THE EASTERN OUTER WATERS WITH SEAS UP TO 5 FT. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD
DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA ON THE REMAINING WATERS. EXPECT
VSBY RESTRICTIONS IN AREAS OF RAIN AND PATCHY FOG.

SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. MAY SEE
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS SAT NIGHT-SUN. LOW PROB OF
SEAS UP TO 5 FT. VSBY RESTRICTIONS IN PERIODS OF SHOWERS...PATCHY
DRIZZLE AND FOG.

MONDAY...LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
S-SW WINDS SHIFT TO W AS COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS WATERS. LOW
CONFIDENCE ON TIMING. MAY SEE BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTS TO 25 KT ON OPEN
WATERS FRI AFTERNOON/EARLY FRI NIGHT. VSBY RESTRICTIONS IN SHOWERS
AND PATCHY FOG...SHOULD IMPROVE FROM W-E WITH WIND SHIFT.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/EVT
NEAR TERM...NOCERA - UPDATED 215 PM
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...NOCERA/EVT - UPDATED 215 PM
MARINE...WTB/EVT
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 27, 4:26 AM EDT, 12 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
426 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-280830-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
426 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-280830-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
426 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Massachusetts, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.