Alert archive / Massachusetts / High Surf Advisories in 2012
High Surf Advisory 1, NWS Boston/Norton, MA
NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this high surf advisory at Jun 1, 2012, 4:35 PM EDT for Newport County, Washington County, Rhode Island; 8 counties in Massachusetts. It took effect at Jun 2, 2012, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 1, 2012, 4:35 PM EDT (20:35 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 2, 2012, 6:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Jun 2, 2012, 4:17 PM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Counties Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Newport County, RI, Washington County, RI
The radar
The Boston radar (KBOX), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1169 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 94 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 210 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
928 WHUS41 KBOX 012035 CFWBOX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 435 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 MAZ007-015-016-019-020-022>024-RIZ006>008-020445- /O.NEW.KBOX.SU.Y.0001.120602T1000Z-120603T0000Z/ EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA- NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- 435 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATION...THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF NEW ENGLAND. * SURF HEIGHT...3 TO 5 FEET * TIMING...SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...HIGH SURF WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT. IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER. HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED. IN ADDITION...VIEWERS OF LARGE SURF SHOULD BE IN SAFE AREAS WELL AWAY FROM POSSIBLE SPLASH OVER. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH CAN SWEEP A PERSON INTO THE WATER FROM WHAT MAY SEEM TO BE A SAFE VIEWING AREA. FALLING INTO THE TURBULENT AND SOMETIMES ROCKY WATERS CAN RESULT IN INJURY THAT REDUCES THE CHANCE OF SURVIVAL. && $$
3 follow-up statements
361
WHUS41 KBOX 020902
CFWBOX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
502 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
MAZ007-015-016-019-021715-
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.Y.0003.120603T0200Z-120603T0700Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.A.0001.120604T0100Z-120604T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0001.120602T1000Z-120603T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
502 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 AM EDT SUNDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.
* LOCATION...SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF NEW ENGLAND.
* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING THIS EVENING/S
HIGH TIDE...WITH POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING SUN
NIGHT AND AGAIN MON NIGHT.
* SURF HEIGHT...3 TO 5 FEET
* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACTS...HIGH SURF WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF
THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS DUE TO THE
HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE SPLASHOVER. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS
REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO
SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
MODERATE OR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
PRODUCES WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
BASEMENTS DUE TO THE HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE AND/OR WAVE ACTION.
NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES ARE NEEDED. LIVES MAY BE AT RISK FOR
PEOPLE WHO PUT THEMSELVES IN HARMS WAY. ISOLATED STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE MAY BE OBSERVED.
MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS CONSIDERED SEVERE ENOUGH TO CAUSE AT
LEAST SCATTERED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FLOODING
OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS. SOME VULNERABLE
HOMES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE
IMPASSABLE...SOME WITH WASHOUTS SEVERE ENOUGH TO BE LIFE-
THREATENING IF ONE ATTEMPTED TO CROSS ON FOOT OR BY VEHICLE. SOME
NEIGHBORHOODS WILL BE ISOLATED. EVACUATION OF SOME NEIGHBORHOODS
MAY BE NECESSARY.
&&
$$
MAZ020-022>024-RIZ006>008-021715-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0001.120602T1000Z-120603T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
502 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* LOCATION...THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF NEW ENGLAND.
* SURF HEIGHT...3 TO 5 FEET
* TIMING...SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACTS...HIGH SURF WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.
IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.
HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.
IN ADDITION...VIEWERS OF LARGE SURF SHOULD BE IN SAFE AREAS WELL
AWAY FROM POSSIBLE SPLASH OVER. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN
TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH CAN SWEEP A PERSON INTO
THE WATER FROM WHAT MAY SEEM TO BE A SAFE VIEWING AREA. FALLING
INTO THE TURBULENT AND SOMETIMES ROCKY WATERS CAN RESULT IN
INJURY THAT REDUCES THE CHANCE OF SURVIVAL.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
NEWBURYPORT
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
9.1 02/10 AM 8.4 0.8 4-7 NONE 5-8
10.3 02/10 PM 9.7 0.6 8 MINOR 9-10
9.1 03/11 AM 8.6 0.5 5-6 NONE 6-7
11.2 03/11 PM 10.0 1.2 6-7 NONE 8-9
9.3 04/12 PM 8.7 0.6 6 NONE 7-8
11.2 05/12 AM 10.2 1.0 5 NONE 6-7
:
GLOUCESTER HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
9.3 02/10 AM 9.2 0.2 5-8 NONE 5-8
11.2 02/10 PM 10.8 0.4 8-9 MINOR 9
9.8 03/11 AM 9.4 0.4 5-7 NONE 6-7
12.1 03/11 PM 11.1 1.0 7-8 NONE 8-9
10.1 04/12 PM 9.6 0.5 7 NONE 8
12.0 05/12 AM 11.3 0.7 6 NONE 6-7
:
REVERE
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
10.4 02/10 AM 9.9 0.5 4-7 NONE 5-7
12.2 02/10 PM 11.6 0.6 6-7 MINOR 7-8
10.6 03/11 AM 10.1 0.5 4-5 NONE 5-6
13.1 03/11 PM 11.9 1.2 4-6 MINOR 5-8
10.9 04/12 PM 10.3 0.7 6 NONE 7
13.0 05/12 AM 12.0 1.0 5 MINOR 5-6
:
BOSTON HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
10.9 02/10 AM 10.2 0.8 2-3 NONE 2-3
12.4 02/10 PM 11.8 0.6 2 MINOR 2
10.9 03/11 AM 10.4 0.6 2 NONE 2
13.5 03/11 PM 12.2 1.3 2 MINOR 2
11.2 04/12 PM 10.5 0.7 2 NONE 2
13.4 05/12 AM 12.3 1.1 1 MINOR 1
:
SCITUATE
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
9.6 02/10 AM 9.5 0.2 4-6 NONE 5-7
3.4 02/04 PM 2.6 0.8 6-7 MINOR 7
3.4 03/05 AM 2.4 1.0 5-6 NONE 6
12.5 03/11 PM 11.4 1.1 5-8 MINOR 6-9
10.4 04/12 PM 9.9 0.5 7 NONE 7-8
12.3 05/12 AM 11.5 0.8 5-6 MINOR 6
$$089
WHUS41 KBOX 021406
CFWBOX
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1006 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
MAZ007-015-016-019-022215-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120603T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.Y.0003.120603T0200Z-120603T0700Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.A.0001.120604T0100Z-120604T0500Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
1006 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON CONTINUES THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS.
* LOCATION...EAST COAST OF NEW ENGLAND.
* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING TONIGHT/S HIGH
TIDE...WITH POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING SUNDAY
NIGHT AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT.
* TIMING...DURING HIGH TIDE TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AT HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.
MORE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
POSSIBLY AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF
THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS DUE TO THE
HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE SPLASHOVER. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS
REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO
SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
MODERATE OR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
PRODUCES WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
BASEMENTS DUE TO THE HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE AND/OR WAVE ACTION.
NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES ARE NEEDED. LIVES MAY BE AT RISK FOR
PEOPLE WHO PUT THEMSELVES IN HARMS WAY. ISOLATED STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE MAY BE OBSERVED.
&&
&&
NEWBURYPORT
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
9.1 02/10 AM 8.4 0.8 4-7 NONE 5-8
10.3 02/10 PM 9.7 0.6 8 MINOR 9-10
9.1 03/11 AM 8.6 0.5 5-6 NONE 6-7
11.2 03/11 PM 10.0 1.2 6-7 NONE 8-9
9.3 04/12 PM 8.7 0.6 6 NONE 7-8
11.2 05/12 AM 10.2 1.0 5 NONE 6-7
:
GLOUCESTER HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
9.3 02/10 AM 9.2 0.2 5-8 NONE 5-8
11.2 02/10 PM 10.8 0.4 8-9 MINOR 9
9.8 03/11 AM 9.4 0.4 5-7 NONE 6-7
12.1 03/11 PM 11.1 1.0 7-8 NONE 8-9
10.1 04/12 PM 9.6 0.5 7 NONE 8
12.0 05/12 AM 11.3 0.7 6 NONE 6-7
:
REVERE
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
10.4 02/10 AM 9.9 0.5 4-7 NONE 5-7
12.2 02/10 PM 11.6 0.6 6-7 MINOR 7-8
10.6 03/11 AM 10.1 0.5 4-5 NONE 5-6
13.1 03/11 PM 11.9 1.2 4-6 MINOR 5-8
10.9 04/12 PM 10.3 0.7 6 NONE 7
13.0 05/12 AM 12.0 1.0 5 MINOR 5-6
:
BOSTON HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
10.9 02/10 AM 10.2 0.8 2-3 NONE 2-3
12.4 02/10 PM 11.8 0.6 2 MINOR 2
10.9 03/11 AM 10.4 0.6 2 NONE 2
13.5 03/11 PM 12.2 1.3 2 MINOR 2
11.2 04/12 PM 10.5 0.7 2 NONE 2
13.4 05/12 AM 12.3 1.1 1 MINOR 1
:
SCITUATE
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
9.6 02/10 AM 9.5 0.2 4-6 NONE 5-7
3.4 02/04 PM 2.6 0.8 6-7 MINOR 7
3.4 03/05 AM 2.4 1.0 5-6 NONE 6
12.5 03/11 PM 11.4 1.1 5-8 MINOR 6-9
10.4 04/12 PM 9.9 0.5 7 NONE 7-8
12.3 05/12 AM 11.5 0.8 5-6 MINOR 6
$$031
WHUS41 KBOX 022017
CFWBOX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
MAZ020-RIZ006-007-030200-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120603T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.CF.Y.0003.120602T2100Z-120603T0200Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
417 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
* LOCATION...NARRAGANSETT BAY.
* COASTAL FLOODING...VERY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING
THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS OF
NARRAGANSETT BAY.
* TIMING...THIS EVENING.
* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF
THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS DUE TO THE
HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE SPLASHOVER. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS
REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO
SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.
&&
&&
$$
MAZ022-030430-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120603T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.CF.A.0001.120604T0100Z-120605T0700Z/
BARNSTABLE MA-
417 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
* LOCATION...INNER AND OUTER PORTIONS OF THE CAPE.
* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING THE
HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS MONDAY NIGHT.
* TIMING...DURING HIGH TIDE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND SPLASHOVER IS POSSIBLE
SUNDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
MODERATE OR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
PRODUCES WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
BASEMENTS DUE TO THE HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE AND/OR WAVE ACTION.
NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES ARE NEEDED. LIVES MAY BE AT RISK FOR
PEOPLE WHO PUT THEMSELVES IN HARMS WAY. ISOLATED STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE MAY BE OBSERVED.
&&
&&
NEWBURYPORT
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
10.5 02/10 PM 9.7 0.8 6-7 NONE 7-9
9.5 03/11 AM 8.6 0.9 4-5 NONE 5
11.1 03/11 PM 10.0 1.1 5 NONE 6
10.0 04/12 PM 8.7 1.3 8 NONE 9
11.3 05/12 AM 10.2 1.1 6-7 MINOR 7
9.7 05/01 PM 8.8 0.9 5-6 NONE 7
GLOUCESTER HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
11.6 02/10 PM 10.8 0.8 7-8 NONE 7-8
10.3 03/11 AM 9.4 0.9 5 NONE 5
12.2 03/11 PM 11.1 1.1 5 NONE 5-6
10.9 04/12 PM 9.6 1.3 9 NONE 9-10
12.4 05/12 AM 11.3 1.1 7 MINOR 7
10.5 05/01 PM 9.6 0.9 6-7 NONE 7
REVERE
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
12.4 02/10 PM 11.6 0.8 5-6 MINOR 5-6
11.0 03/11 AM 10.1 0.9 4 NONE 4
13.0 03/11 PM 11.9 1.1 4 MINOR 4
11.7 04/12 PM 10.3 1.4 6-7 NONE 7-8
13.2 05/12 AM 12.0 1.2 5-6 MINOR 6-7
11.2 05/01 PM 10.3 0.9 5 NONE 6
BOSTON HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
12.6 02/10 PM 11.8 0.8 1 MINOR 1
11.3 03/11 AM 10.4 0.9 1-2 NONE 1-2
13.3 03/11 PM 12.2 1.1 1 MINOR 1
11.9 04/12 PM 10.5 1.4 2 NONE 2
13.5 05/12 AM 12.3 1.2 1 MINOR 1
11.4 05/01 PM 10.5 0.9 2 NONE 2
SCITUATE
TOTAL ASTRO RISK
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD WAVES
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY /FT/
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- -------
11.9 02/10 PM 11.1 0.8 4-5 MINOR 5-6
3.2 03/05 AM 2.4 0.8 4 NONE 5
3.6 03/05 PM 2.7 0.9 4 NONE 4-5
2.6 04/05 AM 1.3 1.3 4-6 NONE 5-6
4.1 04/06 PM 2.9 1.2 8 NONE 9
3.8 05/07 AM 2.7 1.1 6 NONE 7
&&
&&
$$
MAZ023-024-RIZ008-022130-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120603T0000Z/
DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
417 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
SURF ADVISORY.
$$
RIZ002-004-005-030200-
/O.EXB.KBOX.CF.Y.0003.120602T2100Z-120603T0200Z/
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
417 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
* LOCATION...NARRAGANSETT BAY.
* COASTAL FLOODING...VERY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING
THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS OF
NARRAGANSETT BAY.
* TIMING...THIS EVENING.
* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF
THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS DUE TO THE
HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE SPLASHOVER. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS
REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO
SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.
&&
&&
$$
MAZ007-015-016-019-030430-
/O.EXT.KBOX.CF.A.0001.120604T0100Z-120605T0700Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.Y.0003.120603T0200Z-120603T0700Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
417 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...
* LOCATION...EAST COAST OF NEW ENGLAND.
* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING TONIGHT/S HIGH
TIDE...WITH POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING SUNDAY NIGHT
AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT.
* TIMING...DURING HIGH TIDE TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AT HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. MORE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
POSSIBLY AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF
THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS DUE TO THE
HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE SPLASHOVER. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS
REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO
SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
MODERATE OR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
PRODUCES WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
BASEMENTS DUE TO THE HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE AND/OR WAVE ACTION.
NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES ARE NEEDED. LIVES MAY BE AT RISK FOR
PEOPLE WHO PUT THEMSELVES IN HARMS WAY. ISOLATED STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE MAY BE OBSERVED.
&&
&&
$$
DUNTENWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high surf advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high surf advisory went out at Jun 1, 4:25 PM EDT, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 4:25 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
425 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ON A FRONT MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND
SATURDAY. A SECONDARY LOW PRES WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST BY SAT
EVENING AND PERSISTING INTO SUNDAY WHICH WILL BRING SHOWERS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME LESS NUMEROUS
SUNDAY...THEN LOW PRES DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT OFFSHORE AND MAY
INTENSIFY INTO A GALE CENTER EAST OF NEW ENGLAND...PROVIDING
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND COOL WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
LOW PRES LIFTS NWD THROUGH THE GT LAKES WITH OCCLUDED FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. DEEP MOISTURE PLUME AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL GRADUALLY SWING INTO NEW ENG WITH LOW LEVEL JET PROVIDING
EXCELLENT MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND LIFT INTO SNE. RAIN WILL
OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE WEST...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT BUT
MAY NOT REACH E COASTAL MA UNTIL AROUND DAYBREAK SATURDAY. WE HAVE
CATEGORICAL POPS WESTERN MA AND N CT DECREASING TO SLIGHT CHC E
MA...BUT IT MAY REMAIN MOSTLY DRY FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT ACROSS E
COASTAL MA AND CAPE/ISLANDS. LOW PROB OF AN ISOLD TSTM DEVELOPING
LATE ACROSS FAR W ZONES AS THETA-E RIDGE AXIS AND ELEVATED
INSTABILITY MOVES IN.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER FOR A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SNE AS NEARLY STATIONARY LOW LEVEL JET FOCUSES MOISTURE
TRANSPORT AND LIFT IN ONE AREA FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD. LLJ ANOMALY
IS +3 TO +4SD AND THE PWAT ANOMALY IS +2SD WHICH INCREASES
CONFIDENCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION.
INITIALLY THE JET IS PROGRESSIVE AS IT MOVES ACROSS SNE WHICH
SHOULD LIMIT DURATION OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN WESTERN NEW ENG AND
RAIN MAY BEGIN TO TAPER OFF IN THE AFTERNOON HERE. BUT SECONDARY
LOW PRES WILL DEVELOP ON THE FRONT WHICH SLOWS THE LOW LEVEL JET
PROVIDING AN EXTENDED PERIOD DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND LIFT SAT
AFTERNOON INTO SAT NIGHT. IT IS ALWAYS DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN
EXACTLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE UNTIL THE AXIS SETS
UP...BUT LATEST GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON
TARGETING NE MA AND S NH FOR THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IN OUR FORECAST
AREA WHICH IS CLOSE TO THE LLJ AND BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT. FOR
THIS REASON WE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR NE MA AND S NH. MODELS
HAVE HEAVIEST RAIN JUST TO THE INTO SW MAINE WITH QPF EXCEEDING 5
INCHES...WITH NAM UP TO 10 INCHES! THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
CLOSELY AS ANY SOUTHWARD DRIFT IN THIS AXIS WOULD AFFECT THE
MERRIMACK VALLEY.
DEEP LAYER THETA-E RIDGE...HIGH PWATS AND STRONG MOISTURE
TRANSPORT COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL RESULT IN BANDS
OF HEAVY RAIN LIFTING NWD ACROSS E NEW ENG INTO SAT NIGHT
EVENTUALLY PIVOTING TO NE ZONES. DECREASING THETA-E LAPSE RATES
AND NEG SWI ALSO SUGGEST A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH WOULD
ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES. MOST OF THE INSTABILITY IS ELEVATED...BUT
WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE CT VALLEY SAT AFTERNOON FOR SFC BASED
CONVECTION AFTER THE RAINFALL AXIS SHIFTS TO THE EAST.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...
* SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER FOR SUNDAY.
* UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR THE WORK WEEK.
* BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS FOR FORECAST PERIOD.
CONFIDENCE LEVEL...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN LASTING INTO LATE NEXT
WEEK. LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE EXACT LOCATION AND TIMING OF THE HEAVIER
PRECIP AS THERE ARE MANY VARIABLES. DUE TO UNSETTLED WEATHER
CONDITIONS...GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT TEMPS WILL BE AT OR BELOW AVERAGE
FOR THIS PACKAGE.
DETAILS...
MODELS/PATTERN...
12Z MODEL SUITE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT UP UNTIL MONDAY WHERE
DIFFERENCE BEGIN TO INCREASE. STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THIS LOW IS QUITE
ANOMALOUS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...ALMOST -3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS AWAY.
THE 12Z EC AND GFS SHOW A SECONDARY LOW FORMING OVER THE CAPE. NOT
ENTIRELY SURE IF THAT WILL PLAY OUT OF NOT AS THE 12Z CANADIAN/UKMET
AND 00Z EC PUSH ONLY A SHORTWAVE THROUGH RATHER THAN FORMING A
SECOND LOW. REGARDLESS MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL FINALLY MOVE OVER
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY...ALLOWING FOR SEVERAL SHORTWAVES TO
SPIN AROUND. THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL STAY PUT FOR SOMETIME INTO
THE MID WEEK. THE GFS IS MORE PROGRESSIVE BY ALMOST 24HRS BY
WED/THUR TIME FRAME. BELIEVE THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER HUDSON BAY WILL
STAY PUT KEEPING THE LOW OVER NEW ENGLAND UP THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS
TYPE OF PATTERN WILL KEEP THE SHOWERY WX ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
FOR QUITE SOME TIME.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
BACKSIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW WILL ALLOW FOR PRECIP TO CONTINUE ACROSS
EASTERN MA/CAPE/ISLANDS. THIS LOW WILL STAY IN PLACE ALLOWING FOR
PRECIP TO SPREAD WESTWARD. INSERT SOME THUNDER AS SURFACE LI ARE
NEARING -3 AND THERE IS MODEST CAPE AS WELL AS LAPSE RATES
STEEPENING TO -7C/KM. THIS WILL MAINLY LAST THROUGH THE DAY AND BE
ISOLATED AS SHOWERS WILL BE QUITE SCATTERED DURING THE DAY. PRECIP
WILL INCREASE BY THE EVENING AND INTO MONDAY AS THE COLUMN MOISTENS.
EXPECT PRECIP TO LAST INTO THE DAY ON TUESDAY. WITH THE AMOUNT OF
CLOUDS AND THE NORTHERLY WINDS TEMPS WILL BE BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH
THIS PERIOD.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY PUSH OFF INTO THE GULF OF
MAINE...HOWEVER STILL SOME SHORTWAVES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. ALTHOUGH THESE DO NOT SEEM AS
STRONG AS THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. BELIEVE THAT SHOWERS WILL BE
SCATTERED AS MOISTURE IS LESS...PERHAPS DIURNAL STUFF. LOW
CONFIDENCE ON THIS PORTION AS MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT. TEMPS
WILL SLOWLY BE ON THE RISE AS THE FLOW RETURNS TO THE SOUTH.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
MODERATE...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT
OVERVIEW...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON DETERIORATING CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AS WIDESPREAD SHOWERS...LOCALLY HEAVY OVERSPREAD THE
REGION. EXACT TIMING NOT CERTAIN BUT CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO LOWER
TO MVFR/IFR. LEADING EDGE OF STRATUS AT ACK SHOULD EXPAND NWD
ALONG THE S COAST TONIGHT WITH IFR POSSIBLY BEGINNING BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE TO VFR CT VALLEY LATE SAT NIGHT.
KBOS TAF...
VFR THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT...THEN LOWERING TO MVFR AND POSSIBLY
IFR SATURDAY AS SHOWERS OVERSPREAD THE REGION. HIGH CONFIDENCE.
KBDL TAF...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CONDITIONS DETERIORATING TO MVFR AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS SHOWERS OVERSPREAD THE REGION...AND POSSIBLY IFR BY
12Z SAT. HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD SHIFT TO THE EAST AFTER 18Z SAT WITH
MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR MVFR ON SUN. WINDS DIMINISH
BRIEFLY. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDER DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR MVFR/IFR IN PERIODS OF
RAIN AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS.
WEDNESDAY...LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS IN
CIGS AND VSBYS DUE TO SHOWERS.
&&
.MARINE...
HIGH PROBABILITY OF A PERIOD OF SCA SE GUSTS TO 25-30 KT LATER
TONIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL JET SWINGS ACROSS THE
REGION. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE LATE SAT AND SAT NIGHT ACROSS RI
COASTAL WATERS AS THE JET SHIFTS TO THE EAST...BUT THE STRONGER
GUSTS WILL PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN WATERS INTO SAT NIGHT. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SUNDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR WINDS AND SEAS.
SEAS AND WILL STAY UP ABOVE SCA ON SUNDAY AND INCREASE SUN NIGHT DUE
TO STRONG LL JET.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE ON POSSIBLE NE
GALES FOR THE EASTERN NEW ENGLAND WATERS. POOR VSBY IN FOG AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY...WINDS AND SEAS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ON WEDNESDAY AS
SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE WATERS.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD WATCH ISSUED FOR NE MA AND S NH FOR SAT AFTERNOON THROUGH
SAT NIGHT FOR EXPECTED RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3" WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. MAIN THREAT APPEARS TO BE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING ALONG THE SHARP RISES ON SMALL STREAMS.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THERE IS A FAIRLY HIGH PROBABILITY FOR AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING FOR ONE OR MORE TIDE CYCLES THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SIGNIFICANT ONSHORE FLOW AND VERY
HIGH SPRING TIDES. THERE IS ENOUGH TIMING DIFFERENCE AMONG THE
MODELS TO LOWER THE CONFIDENCE LEVEL ON TO WHAT EXTENT THE VARIOUS
TIDE CYCLES WILL BE IMPACTED. MODEL CONSENSUS WOULD SUGGEST A RISK
OF MINOR FLOODING FOR NARRAGANSETT BAY EARLY SAT EVENING AND THEN A
RISK OF AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MA
EAST COAST FOR ANY ONE OR ALL OF THE SAT NIGHT...SUN NIGHT AND MON
NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES. DO NOT SEE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE FOR A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH FOR ANY ONE LOCATION AT ANY ONE TIDE CYCLE AT THIS TIME
BUT WILL MENTION THE POTENTIAL HAZARD IN THE HWO.
NARRAGANSETT BAY...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE EARLY SAT
EVENING ALONG NARRAGANSETT BAY...WHEN A STRONG SSE LLJ MAY BE
ALIGNED WITH THE INCOMING TIDE. THE ESTOFS GUIDANCE LOOKS REASONABLE
FOR THIS AREA. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED CLOSER TO
THE EVENT.
EAST COAST MA...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES
TO BE IMPACTED WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES OF
CONCERN INCLUDE SAT NIGHT...SUN NIGHT AND MON NIGHT. THE THREAT OF
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING CERTAINLY EXISTS FOR ANY ONE OF THESE TIDE
CYCLES BUT RIGHT NOW THE PROBABILITY LOOKS LOW. VARIATIONS IN
NUMERICAL MODEL TIMING AND SURFACE PRES CONFIGURATION LOWERS THE
CONFIDENCE LEVEL ON JUST HOW THIS SCENARIO WILL PLAY OUT. THERE IS A
FAIRLY HIGH PROBABILITY THAT A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED
FOR ONE OR MORE OF THESE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE
OF A MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD RISK TO WARRANT A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AT
THIS TIME.
HAVE MADE SOME MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS TO THE STORM SURGE GUIDANCE. THE
ETSS AND ESTOFS GUIDANCE VALUES LOOK A TAD LOW. THE ESTOFS GUIDANCE
LOOKS FAIRLY GOOD SURROUNDING THE HIGH TIDES BUT APPEARS TO LOWER
THE SURGE TOO DRAMATICALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FOR ALL TIDE
CYCLES. ONE OFTEN EXPERIENCES SOME REDUCTION IN THE SURGE AROUND
HIGH TIDE DUE SIMPLY TO A WIDENING OF THE BASIN BUT THE ESTOFS SEEMS
TO OVERDO THE EFFECT.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...FLOOD WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
MAZ005>007-014-026.
NH...FLOOD WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
NHZ011-012-015.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 9 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
ANZ232>234.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
ANZ230.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 2 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR
ANZ231-250-251.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ236.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 9 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ235-
237-254-255.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM EDT
SATURDAY FOR ANZ256.
&&
SYNOPSIS...KJC/DUNTEN
NEAR TERM...KJC
SHORT TERM...KJC
LONG TERM...DUNTEN
AVIATION...KJC/DUNTEN
MARINE...KJC/DUNTEN
HYDROLOGY...KJC
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...THOMPSONHazardous weather outlook, Jun 1, 4:29 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 429 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 MAZ005-006-014-026-NHZ011-012-015-022030- CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- 429 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>013-017-018-021-RIZ001-003-008-022030- HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- WESTERN KENT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- 429 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-022030- BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND- BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 429 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY OF A NORTHEAST GALE EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ015-016-019-022>024-022030- SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA- DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA- 429 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A FAIRLY STRONG RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MASSACHUSETTS EAST COAST FOR THE SATURDAY NIGHT...SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES. FOR LATE SATURDAY EVENING...THE RISK LOOKS GREATEST NORTH OF CAPE ANN INCLUDING THE SALISBURY AND PLUM ISLAND AREAS. FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS...THE RISK LOOKS TO BE MAINLY ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS EAST COAST FROM NEWBURYPORT TO SANDWICH. COASTAL FLOODING THAT REACHES INTO THE MODERATE STAGE CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH AT THIS TIME THE PROBABILITY LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ007-022030- EASTERN ESSEX MA- 429 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. THERE IS A FAIRLY STRONG RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MASSACHUSETTS EAST COAST FOR THE SATURDAY NIGHT...SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES. FOR LATE SATURDAY EVENING...THE RISK LOOKS GREATEST NORTH OF CAPE ANN INCLUDING THE SALISBURY AND PLUM ISLAND AREAS. FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS...THE RISK LOOKS TO BE MAINLY ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS EAST COAST FROM NEWBURYPORT TO SANDWICH. COASTAL FLOODING THAT REACHES INTO THE MODERATE STAGE CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH AT THIS TIME THE PROBABILITY LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ020-RIZ002-004>007-022030- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI- BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- 429 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG VULNERABLE PORTIONS OF NARRAGANSETT BAY FOR THE EARLY SATURDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE...NEAR 7 PM AT MOST LOCATIONS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THOMPSON/DUNTEN
The office that day
Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 3:04 PM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | BOX | 4 days | |
| Jun 1, 3:20 PM EDT | Flood Watch | BOX | Essex, Middlesex | 22 hr |
Nearby
High Surf Advisories in Massachusetts, 2012High Surf Advisories in Rhode Island, 2012Every high surf advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.