Small Craft Advisory 82, NWS Gaylord, MI

318 
WHUS73 KAPX 151944
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
344 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-160345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.120816T0500Z-120816T2100Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
344 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

132 
WHUS73 KAPX 160855
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
455 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

LHZ345>348-LSZ322-161700-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
455 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-161700-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T0000Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
455 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-161700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T0900Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
455 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

337 
WHUS73 KAPX 161706
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
106 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

LHZ345>348-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-170115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
106 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T0000Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
106 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

311 
WHUS73 KAPX 162025
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
425 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

LHZ345>348-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-170430-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
425 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-170000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T0000Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
425 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

930 
WHUS73 KAPX 170219
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1019 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

LHZ345>348-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-170900-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1019 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

178 
WHUS73 KAPX 170819
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
419 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ322-171630-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
419 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-171630-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T0900Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
419 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-344>346-171630-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T2100Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
419 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

497 
WHUS73 KAPX 171620
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1220 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ322-180000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1220 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-180030-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T0900Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1220 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-344>346-172100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T2100Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1220 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

095 
WHUS73 KAPX 172014
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
414 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ322-180000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
414 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-180415-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T0900Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
414 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-344>346-172115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120817T2100Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
414 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

579 
WHUS73 KAPX 180121
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
921 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

LHZ347-348-LSZ321-180900-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T0900Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
921 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

614 
WHUS73 KAPX 180745
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
345 AM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

LHZ348-LSZ321-180845-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T0900Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
345 AM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-181545-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.120818T0745Z-120818T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
345 AM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-181545-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120818T2100Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
345 AM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

283 
WHUS73 KAPX 181509
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1109 AM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-182315-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-120819T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1109 AM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-182315-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120819T0000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
1109 AM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

527 
WHUS73 KAPX 182011
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
411 PM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

LHZ347-182115-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-120819T0000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
411 PM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ346-182115-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-120819T0000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
411 PM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ345-LMZ341-342-190000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-120819T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
411 PM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
413 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 400 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION TODAY WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
A VERY NICE LATE AUGUST DAY...FEATURING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND
SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. THE QUIET WEATHER WILL BE SHORT
LIVED...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT IS POISED TO CROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WITH IT A CHANCE FOR STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS...WHILE ALSO USHERING IN MUCH COOLER WEATHER AS WE
WRAP UP THE WORK WEEK AND PUSH INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 400 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

A PRETTY QUIET TIME FRAME HERE. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
PASSING THROUGH NRN MICHIGAN...SEEN WELL DEFINED ON LATEST
SATELLITE IMAGERY. AN ASSOCIATED BAND OF DEEPER MOISTURE ABOVE
6KFT IS EXITING TO THE EAST...WITH SKIES CLEARING FROM THE NW.
THIS IS ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO MORE QUICKLY FALL OFF IN A
CALM/NEAR CALM WIND SCENARIO. AS A RESULT...AREAS OF FOG ARE
DEVELOPING UPSTREAM AND BLEEDING INTO NRN MICHIGAN. IN
ADDITION...AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM YESTERDAYS UPPER MICHIGAN
CONVECTION IS LAYING OUT ACROSS NRN LOWER MICHIGAN. EARLIER
SHOWERS THAT FORMED ON THIS CONVERGENCE ZONE HAVE INDEED DWINDLED
AS THEY PROGRESSED INLAND...OVER THE COOLER LAND SURFACE. AM STILL
EXPECTING A FEW SHOWERS TO FORM OVER PORTIONS OF NRN LAKES
MICHIGAN AND HURON...ALTHOUGH THE PROBABILITIES ARE LIKELY
DIMINISHING AS THE WASHING OUT BOUNDARY LOSES CONVERGENCE.

THROUGH DAYBREAK...AM EXPECTING AREAS OF FOG TO BECOME MORE
PREVALENT...AS THE CLOUDS THIN/DEPART. THIS WILL MAINLY BE IN LOW
LYING AREAS WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL COOL MORE EFFICIENTLY.

TODAY...AREAS OF FOG (AND POSSIBLY SOME STRATUS) WILL BURN OFF A
BIT BETTER THAN WHAT OCCURRED YESTERDAY...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF
FAIRLY SUNNY SKIES. THIS TO OCCUR BEFORE CUMULUS DEVELOPS BY LATE
MORNING. THE MOISTURE MAY BE A BIT TOO THIN FOR THIS...BUT A NICE
CAP SEEN AROUND 10-12KFT MAY FLATTEN OUT THIS CUMULUS INTO A
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE MORE OF A CHANCE
IN THE BETTER CONVERGENCE AREAS TODAY...DELIVERED BY LAKE BREEZES
WHICH WILL BE IN FULL EFFECT. THIS CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED TO WORK
ITS WAY INTO INTERIOR SECTIONS OF NRN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING. THE CAP...COMBINED WITH
THE THINNER MOISTURE WILL PROHIBIT ANY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT
TODAY...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER TO FIRE
INLAND LATE IN THE DAY.

ANY CUMULUS WILL ERODE AFTER SUNDOWN...WITH A PERIOD OF DECENTLY
CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED ACROSS NE LOWER MICHIGAN AND EASTERN
UPPER...UNTIL MID AND HIGH CLOUD INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST...IN
ADVANCE OF A DECAYING WARM FRONT. THIS WARM FRONT LOOKS TO GET
DISMANTLED BY LATE EVENING...BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONT DRIVES
INTO CENTRAL UPPER AND EASTERN WISCONSIN AROUND DAYBREAK. SKIES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE RATHER CLOUDY BY SUNRISE...ESPECIALLY WITH
EXPECTED CONVECTION OFF TO OUR WEST WORKING OUR DIRECTION...DRIVEN
BY SW/WSW FLOW ALOFT. AXIS OF DEEP LAYER FORCING/MOISTURE AND LLJ
ARRIVES AT DAWN FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
MAINLY LAKE MICHIGAN AND WESTERN SECTION OF NW LOWER AND CHIP/MACK
COUNTIES OF EASTERN UPPER. CERTAINLY SOME UNCERTAINTY IS INVOLVED
IN ACTUAL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS LATE AT NIGHT CONSIDERING
THE UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING THE CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION UPSTREAM
ACROSS CENTRAL UPPER AND WISCONSIN AT NIGHT. HOWEVER...STRONG
FORCING ALOFT OUGHT TO AT LEAST KEEP A CHANCE FOR THUNDER. THE
MAIN SHOW ARRIVES THURSDAY (SEE BELOW).

HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER
80S...WITH LOWS TONIGHT RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S IN PARTS OF NW
LOWER (IN CLOUDS LONGEST AND STRONGER LOW LEVEL FLOW)...TO THE MID
AND UPPER 50S IN NE LOWER.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

QUITE THE EARLY FALL-LIKE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO DESCEND UPON THE
REGION AS WE WRAP UP THE WORK WEEK AND HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...BUT JUST LIKE THIS TIME LAST NIGHT...THERE REMAIN SOME
QUESTIONS REGARDING DEPTH AND LONGEVITY OF THE REALLY COOL AIR. IN
THE MEANTIME...THE BIGGEST AND MOST IMPORTANT FORECAST ISSUE REMAINS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE CONVECTION ALONG A STRONG COLD FRONT SET
THE CROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. OVERALL...00Z GUIDANCE SUITE REMAINS
IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PREVIOUS RUNS...SHOWING THE EVOLUTION
OF A VERY STABLE 5-WAVE HEMISPHERIC FLOW REGIME...WITH PERSISTENT
ANCHOR TROUGHING IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF EASTERN CANADA DOWN INTO THE
GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST. THIS WILL COME COURTESY OF HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
UPPER RIDGING INTO GREENLAND (BIG-TIME NEGATIVE NAO PATTERN)...WITH
A FURTHER DOWNSTREAM CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC ACTING AS AN
ADDITIONAL BLOCK TO THE FLOW PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA.

AS FOR THE DETAILS...THE MAIN ACTION COMES ON THURSDAY AS
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER WAVE AND ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT PLOW
THROUGH THE REGION. PER 00Z TRENDS...THIS SYSTEM IS EVEN A BIT
SLOWER...WITH THE ACTUAL FROPA OCCURRING BETWEEN 15Z NORTHWEST AND
00Z FAR SOUTHEAST. IMPRESSIVE AXIS OF DEEP LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT
IN THE PRESENCE OF NOTABLE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER (700-500MB LAPSE
RATES PUSHING 7C/KM) EFFECTIVE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OF NEARLY 50 KNOTS
ALONG THE FRONTAL SURFACE ARGUES FOR A DEFINITIVE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT. THIS MAY BE ESPECIALLY TRUE IF A SLOWER FRONTAL PROGRESS
PANS OUT...ALLOWING BETTER DESTABILIZATION ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN. PRIMARY THREAT WITH ANY STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
GIVEN AMBIENT STRONGER FLOW ALOFT AND PROGGED DOWNDRAFT CAPE
PROFILES SUPPORTING SOME 300 J/KG DCAPE. WITH ALL OF THAT SAID...
ALWAYS SOMEWHAT WEARY FORECASTING SEVERE POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY WITH
BASICALLY NIL SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE PAST 3 YEARS
AND THE FACT THAT BEST INFLOW AND INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN UPSTREAM
INTO THE LOWER LAKES AND ESPECIALLY INTO ILLINOIS AND DOWN INTO THE
OZARKS REGION. IN ADDITION...LATEST CIPS ANALOG GUIDANCE CONTINUES
TO BACK OFF SEVERE POTENTIAL PER THE TOP 15 ANALOGS...WITH THE TOP 8
PRODUCING BASICALLY NOTHING ACROSS THE AREA. CERTAINLY WORTH A
CONTINUED MENTION IN THE HWO...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT TERRIBLY HIGH.

SYNOPTIC PRECIP WILL END QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST INTO LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS SHOT OF SUBSIDENCE AND DEEP LAYER
DRYING ARRIVE IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING FRONT. DESPITE ONSET OF
SOME RATHER CHILLY AIR (H8 TEMPS TUMBLING TO 3C NORTH TO 6C SOUTH)...
NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT RAMP UP OF LAKE EFFECT PRECIP GIVEN
SAID DRYING...THOUGH WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME LAKE INDUCED CLOUD COVER
AND A MAYBE A FEW SPRINKLES/LIGHT SHOWERS GET GOING AFTER 06Z.
BIGGEST HINDRANCE TO ANY ORGANIZED LAKE SHOWERS IS VERY SHALLOW
DEPTH OF MOISTURE (NO HIGHER THAN 6KFT) AND INCREASINGLY DRY
BOUNDARY LAYER...ESPECIALLY INTO FRIDAY AS MIXING OPENS UP LOW LEVEL
T/TD SPREADS SIGNIFICANTLY. NOT HELPING MATTERS WILL ALSO BE A
TRANSITION TOWARD LOW LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW WITH TIME. STILL WORTH
PROBABLY A VERY LOW POP THROUGH MID MORNING FRIDAY...BUT WILL CARRY
NOTHING AFTER 15Z WITH JUST A GOOD DEAL OF LAKE-HELPED AND ALSO
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CU/STRATOCU. HIGHS MUCH MUCH COOLER FRIDAY
AFTERNOON BENEATH PRONOUNCED UPPER COLD POOL...WITH READINGS MAINLY
IN THE LOWER HALF OF THE 60S (MAYBE EVEN AN UPPER 50 READING OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN?).

A MUCH MORE NEBULOUS PRECIP FORECAST THEN ENTERS THE PICTURE AS WE
HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. VARIOUS PIECES OF MEDIUM
RANGE GUIDANCE HAVE NO TROUBLE AGREEING WE WILL REMAIN BENEATH MEAN
UPPER TROUGHING ALOFT...WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES SNEAKING THROUGH THE
REGION AT VARIOUS TIMES. TIMING OF THESE IS IMPOSSIBLE AT THIS
POINT...BUT ANY ONE WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO HELP ENHANCE SOME
DIURNALLY-FUELED AFTERNOON SHOWERS. REALLY NOT A FAN OF CLUTTERING
UP THE FORECAST WITH VERY LOW CHANCE POPS...BUT WILL HAVE SOME
THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE DRYING THINGS OUT FOR NOW EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH SOME HINTS THAT LOW LEVEL RIDGING MAY AGAIN DOMINATE. HIGH
TEMPS TO REMAIN SOLIDLY BELOW NORMAL RIGHT ON THROUGH NEXT
TUESDAY...WITH READINGS MAINLY IN THE UPPER HALF OF THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. MORNINGS WILL REMAIN DOWNRIGHT COMFORTABLE INTO THE UPPER
40S/LOW 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 230 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

A DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL BE TRACKING ACROSS THE AIRPORTS THROUGH
THE NIGHT...WHILE A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS SLOWLY DROPPING
SOUTHWARD. A LITTLE BAND OF SHOWERS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THIS FRONT
AS IT INTERACTS WITH WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR OVER LAKE MICHIGAN.
MOST OF THE SHOWERY ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO STAY OUT OVER THE
WATER...BUT WINDS ALOFT WILL PUSH THESE SHOWERS A BIT INLAND. THE
AIRPORTS WILL LIKELY BE FREE OF THIS PRECIPITATION...BUT IF ONE
WERE TO BE IMPACTED WITH A SLIGHTLY HIGHER PROBABILITY...IT WOULD
BE TVC.

THE LARGER PICTURE...HIGH CLOUDS WILL DEPART BY DAYBREAK WITH THE
EXIT OF THE DISTURBANCE ALOFT. SKIES WILL CLEAR WITH FOG BECOMING
A HIGHER PROBABILITY THROUGH DAYBREAK...BEFORE CUMULUS DEVELOPS.
THIS CUMULUS IS EXPECTED TO FLATTEN OUT INTO A MID LEVEL CIG LATER
TODAY AS MORE STABLE CONDITIONS DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY. WE WILL
STEP INTO THE EVENING WITH MID/HIGH CLOUDS INCREASING IN ADVANCE
OF A DECAYING WARM FRONT...AND IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
WIND SHEAR WILL BECOME AN ISSUE LATER TONIGHT...AND AFTER THIS TAF
ISSUANCE. A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARISES
TOWARD DAYBREAK FOR NW LOWER MICHIGAN.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 400 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

HIGH PRESSURE LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO LAKE BREEZES TODAY. WINDS
WILL THEN INCREASE AND COME OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SW TONIGHT...IN
ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT DRIVES THROUGH THURSDAY. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORES
AS WELL AS WHITEFISH BAY. AS WINDS SHIFT SHARPLY OUT OF THE NW
BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT...EXTENSIONS OF THIS ADVISORY ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR MUCH OF THE NEARSHORE AREAS SURROUNDING NRN
MICHIGAN. HIGHER PRESSURE THEN SETTLES IN JUST SOUTHWEST OF LAKE
MICHIGAN. AREAS SURROUNDING PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT WILL EXPERIENCE THE
STRONGER WINDS FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME...WHILE THE REMAINDER
OF THE GREAT LAKES SEES A WEAKENING OF THE WINDS INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR LMZ323-
     341-342-344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 5 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR LSZ321.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DL
SHORT TERM...SD
LONG TERM...DL
AVIATION...SD
MARINE...SD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
356 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
161200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
356 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND
FAR NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT. ANY STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN ON
THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN
HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT MAY BE
NEEDED ON THURSDAY. SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AT ANY TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

LAWRENCE