Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Warnings in 2012

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI

May 3, 2012Arenac County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this river flood warning at May 3, 2012, 5:09 PM EDT for Arenac County, Michigan. It took effect at May 4, 2012, 8:45 AM EDT. It was in force for 25 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2012, 5:09 PM EDT (21:09 UTC)
In effect from
May 4, 2012, 8:45 AM EDT
Expired
May 5, 2012, 9:29 AM EDT
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Flood severity
Minor

County Arenac County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Rifle River near Sterling (STRM4).

Action stage
5 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04142000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

246 
WGUS43 KAPX 032109
FLWAPX
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
509 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING WILL STEADILY RISE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY...IN RESPONSE TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED AN 
INCH OR MORE OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO BE 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FROM MIDDAY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREAS SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT PROPERTY 
FROM RISING WATER LEVELS. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...MOVE QUICKLY TO 
HIGHER GROUND.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-040909-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FL.W.0003.120504T1040Z-120505T1800Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.120504T1040Z.120505T0000Z.120505T1200Z.NO/
509 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON....
* AT  4:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 6.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CANOE LIVERY AT 
  RIVER VIEW CAMPGROUND.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       FRI     SAT     SUN

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    3.2  THU 04 PM       5.3     6.5     4.5

$$
4 follow-up statements
038 
WGUS83 KAPX 040117
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
917 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

RUNOFF FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLIER TODAY WILL CAUSE THE
RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING TO STEADILY RISE...REACHING FLOOD STAGE 
FRIDAY MORNING. VERY LITTLE...IF ANY...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED 
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-041317-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.120504T1245Z-120505T1900Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.120504T1245Z.120505T0000Z.120505T1300Z.NO/
917 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 6.9 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CANOE LIVERY AT 
  RIVER VIEW CAMPGROUND.
 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       FRI     SAT     SUN

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    4.0  THU 08 PM       6.6     4.5     3.8


$$
502 
WGUS83 KAPX 041358
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
957 AM EDT FRI MAY 4 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

THE RIFLE RIVER CONTINUES TO RUN HIGH...AS RUNOFF FROM YESTERDAY'S
RAINFALL CONTINUES TO DRAIN THROUGH THE BASIN. THE CREST IS 
EXPECTED TO OCCUR TODAY...AND THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE THIS EVENING.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION THIS EVENING.

&&

MIC011-050157-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120505T0824Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.120504T1100Z.120504T1800Z.120505T0224Z.NO/
957 AM EDT FRI MAY 4 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 6.3 FEET BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CANOE LIVERY AT 
  RIVER VIEW CAMPGROUND.

 
&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.1  FRI 09 AM       5.7     4.0     3.6

$$

HALBLAUB
689 
WGUS83 KAPX 050037
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
837 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

THE RIFLE RIVER CONTINUES TO RUN HIGH...AS RUNOFF FROM YESTERDAY'S
RAINFALL CONTINUES TO DRAIN THROUGH THE BASIN. THE RIVER IS 
CURRENTLY CRESTING...AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

&&

MIC011-051237-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120505T1400Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.120504T1100Z.120504T1630Z.120505T0800Z.NO/
837 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD NEAR 6.1 THROUGH THIS EVENING...
  THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CANOE LIVERY AT 
  RIVER VIEW CAMPGROUND.

 && 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SAT     SUN     MON

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.1  FRI 07 PM       4.5     3.7     3.5

$$
067 
WGUS83 KAPX 051329
FLSAPX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
929 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 600 AM. WITH NO SUBSTANTIVE
RAINFALL FORECAST OVER THE BASIN...OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...WATER
LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BY SEVERAL FEET.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

&&

MIC011-051359-
/O.CAN.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120505T1400Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.120504T1100Z.120505T0200Z.120505T0815Z.NO/
929 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  4:15 AM SATURDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 4.3 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...HIGH WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT CANOE LIVERY AT 
  RIVER VIEW CAMPGROUND.

&& 
 
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       SUN     MON     TUE

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    5.8  SAT 08 AM       4.5     4.1     3.9

$$

HALBLAUB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 4:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford29 min
May 3, 4:39 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee, Missaukee, Wexford6 hr
May 3, 4:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Missaukee, Roscommon24 min
May 3, 6:52 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Ogemaw, Roscommon68 min
May 3, 7:18 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX117 min
May 3, 11:37 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX98 min
May 3, 11:47 AM EDTRiver Flood WatchAPXArenac11 hr
May 3, 12:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX71 min
May 3, 12:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee, Wexford55 min
May 3, 1:21 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX39 min
May 3, 3:18 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX102 min
May 3, 3:56 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXArenac, Gladwin49 min
May 3, 4:16 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXGladwin32 min
May 3, 4:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX55 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.