Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2012
Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at May 3, 2012, 4:39 AM EDT for Manistee County, Missaukee County, Wexford County, Michigan. It was in force for 6 hr. 11 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 3, 2012, 4:39 AM EDT (08:39 UTC)
- Expired
- May 3, 2012, 10:30 AM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 7:00 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.42 | Wellston, MI | |
| May 3, 7:00 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.51 | 5 Ssw Lake City, MI | |
| May 3, 7:11 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 1 | Moorestown, MI | 1 HR TOTAL THRU 630 AM. |
| May 3, 7:11 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.4 | 11 N Lake City, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. |
| May 3, 7:11 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.52 | 2 Sw Cadillac, MI | 3 HR TOTAL THRU 4 AM. |
| May 3, 7:11 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.12 | 1 N Wellston, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 5 AM. |
| May 3, 7:11 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.33 | Cadillac, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL ALSO REPORTED. |
| May 3, 7:11 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.51 | 6 E Cadillac, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. |
| May 3, 7:46 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.32 | 2 Ssw Manistee, MI | |
| May 3, 7:48 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.21 | 5 Ssw Brethren, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. |
| May 3, 9:09 AM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 2.77 | 2 Sw Mcbain, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 86 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -138 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1790 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 95 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
625
WGUS53 KAPX 030839
FFWAPX
MIC101-113-165-031430-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0001.120503T0839Z-120503T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
439 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
MANISTEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
MISSAUKEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 1030 AM EDT
* AT 438 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES OF 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
OCCURRED ACROSS MANISTEE AND SOUTHERN WEXFORD COUNTIES SINCE
1 AM...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH
MID MORNING. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO SPREADING INTO MISSAUKEE
COUNTY.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...MANISTEE...ARCADIA...BOON...BRETHREN...
BUCKLEY...COPEMISH...DUBLIN...EASTLAKE...FALMOUTH...HARRIETTA...
HOXEYVILLE...JENNINGS...KALEVA...LUCAS...MANTON...MCBAIN...
MEAUWATAKA...MESICK...MITCHELL STATE PARK...MODDERSVILLE...
MOORESTOWN...MOREY...NORWALK...ONEKAMA...ORCHARD BEACH STATE
PARK...PARKDALE...PIERPORT AND SHERMAN.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 4435 8628 4452 8624 4451 8486 4416 8486
4416 8596 4418 8639
$$
JPB4 follow-up statements
445
WGUS73 KAPX 030951
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
551 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
MIC101-113-165-031430-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120503T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-MISSAUKEE MI-
551 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MISSAUKEE...MANISTEE AND
WEXFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM EDT...
AT 545 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
SPOTTERS AND RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS
OCCURRED SINCE 2 AM...WITH MANY REPORTS OF STANDING WATER ON
ROADWAYS.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...MANISTEE...ARCADIA...MANTON...MCBAIN...
MITCHELL STATE PARK.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...LITTLE BEAR
CREEK...BEAR CREEK...LITTLE BETSIE RIVER...MANTON CREEK...CLAM
RIVER...BUTTERFIELD CREEK...SYERS CREEK...LITTLE MANISTEE RIVER...
CLAYBANK CREEK...PINE RIVER...STRONACH CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 4435 8628 4452 8624 4451 8486 4416 8486
4416 8596 4418 8639
$$
JPB110
WGUS73 KAPX 031109
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
709 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
MIC101-113-165-031430-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120503T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-MISSAUKEE MI-
709 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MISSAUKEE...MANISTEE AND
WEXFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM EDT...
AT 703 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. SPOTTERS AND RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED SINCE 2 AM...WITH MANY REPORTS OF STANDING
WATER ON ROADWAYS. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE BY
1030 AM.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...MANISTEE...ARCADIA...MANTON...MCBAIN...
AND MITCHELL STATE PARK.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...LITTLE BEAR
CREEK...BEAR CREEK...LITTLE BETSIE RIVER...MANTON CREEK...CLAM
RIVER...BUTTERFIELD CREEK...SYERS CREEK...LITTLE MANISTEE
RIVER...CLAYBANK CREEK...PINE RIVER...STRONACH CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.
&&
LAT...LON 4435 8628 4452 8624 4451 8486 4416 8486
4416 8596 4418 8639
$$038
WGUS73 KAPX 031223
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
823 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
MIC101-113-165-031430-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120503T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-MISSAUKEE MI-
823 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MISSAUKEE...MANISTEE AND
WEXFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM EDT...
AS OF 818 AM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE
REPORTED WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCH RAIN AMOUNTS. WHILE THE HEAVIEST
RAINS HAVE EXITED THE AREA...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...MANISTEE...ARCADIA...MANTON...MCBAIN...
AND MITCHELL STATE PARK.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...LITTLE BEAR
CREEK...BEAR CREEK...LITTLE BETSIE RIVER...MANTON CREEK...CLAM
RIVER...BUTTERFIELD CREEK...SYERS CREEK...LITTLE MANISTEE
RIVER...CLAYBANK CREEK...PINE RIVER...STRONACH CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.
&&
LAT...LON 4435 8628 4452 8624 4451 8486 4416 8486
4416 8596 4418 8639
$$887
WGUS73 KAPX 031430
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1030 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
MIC101-113-165-031444-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120503T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MANISTEE MI-MISSAUKEE MI-
1030 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2012
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT MISSAUKEE...MANISTEE
AND WEXFORD COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 1030 AM EDT...
EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL AFFECT STREAMS AND RIVERS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS AND BE
AWARE OF POSSIBLE FUTURE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS.
LAT...LON 4435 8628 4452 8624 4451 8486 4416 8486
4416 8596 4418 8639
$$The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 4:04 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Missaukee, Wexford | 29 min |
| May 3, 4:51 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Crawford, Missaukee, Roscommon | 24 min |
| May 3, 6:52 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Arenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Ogemaw, Roscommon | 68 min |
| May 3, 7:18 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 117 min | |
| May 3, 11:37 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 98 min | |
| May 3, 11:47 AM EDT | River Flood Watch | APX | Arenac | 11 hr |
| May 3, 12:30 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 71 min | |
| May 3, 12:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee, Wexford | 55 min |
| May 3, 1:21 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 39 min | |
| May 3, 3:18 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 102 min | |
| May 3, 3:56 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | APX | Arenac, Gladwin | 49 min |
| May 3, 4:16 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | APX | Gladwin | 32 min |
| May 3, 4:56 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 55 min | |
| May 3, 5:09 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | APX | Arenac | 40 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2012Every flash flood warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.