Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2012
Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jul 25, 2012, 10:46 PM EDT for Manistee County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 25, 2012, 10:46 PM EDT (02:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 26, 2012, 1:30 AM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Manistee County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 11:20 PM EDT | HEAVY RAIN 1.28 | Bear Lake, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 11 PM. MICHIGAN AGRICULTURAL WEATHER NETWORK SITE. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2643 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -29 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1451 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 212 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.2
- Supercell composite
- 16.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
342
WGUS53 KAPX 260246
FFWAPX
MIC101-260530-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0004.120726T0246Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1046 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
MANISTEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 130 AM EDT
* AT 1045 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
CONTINUOUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA FOR THE LAST TWO HOURS. RADAR ESTIMATED A SWATH OF
TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS
OF THE COUNTY.
* ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT THE COUNTY IN THE NEXT 30 MINUTES
...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WERE FORMING OVER LAKE MICHIGAN.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
MANISTEE...BRETHREN...COPEMISH...DUBLIN...EASTLAKE...KALEVA...
NORWALK...ONEKAMA...ORCHARD BEACH STATE PARK...PARKDALE...PIERPORT
AND WELLSTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 4420 8637 4421 8638 4424 8636 4435 8628
4441 8626 4447 8627 4450 8625 4451 8582
4416 8582 4417 8639 4419 8639
$$
HALBLAUB3 follow-up statements
876
WGUS73 KAPX 260328
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1128 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012
MIC101-260530-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MANISTEE MI-
1128 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MANISTEE COUNTY UNTIL
130 AM EDT...
AT 1125 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
PATCHY LIGHT RAIN CONTINUING TO FALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED VERY HEAVY RAIN EARLIER IN THE EVENING. RADAR
ESIMATES 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN A NARROW CORRIDOR FROM BEAR
LAKE TO NEAR MESICK. THERE STILL MAY BE A DELAYED RESPONSE IN AREA
CREEKS AND STREAMS...WITH RAPID RISES AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
MANISTEE...BRETHREN...COPEMISH...DUBLIN...EASTLAKE...KALEVA...
NORWALK...ONEKAMA...ORCHARD BEACH STATE PARK...PARKDALE...PIERPORT
AND WELLSTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 4420 8637 4421 8638 4424 8636 4435 8628
4441 8626 4447 8627 4450 8625 4451 8582
4416 8582 4417 8639 4419 8639
$$
HALBLAUB647
WGUS73 KAPX 260430
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1230 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2012
MIC101-260530-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MANISTEE MI-
1230 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2012
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MANISTEE COUNTY UNTIL
130 AM EDT...
AT 1227 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
LIGHT RAIN DIMINISHING IN MANISTEE COUNTY. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCED VERY HEAVY RAIN EARLIER IN THE EVENING. RADAR ESTIMATES 2
TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN A CORRIDOR FROM BEAR LAKE TO NEAR
MESICK. AREAS OF HIGH WATER CAN STILL BE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF
MANISTEE COUNTY.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
ONEKAMA...BRETHREN...AND KALEVA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
&&
LAT...LON 4420 8637 4421 8638 4424 8636 4435 8628
4441 8626 4447 8627 4450 8625 4451 8582
4416 8582 4417 8639 4419 8639
$$202
WGUS73 KAPX 260529
FFSAPX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
129 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2012
MIC101-260544-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MANISTEE MI-
129 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2012
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT MANISTEE COUNTY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 130 AM EDT...
EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
LAT...LON 4420 8637 4421 8638 4424 8636 4435 8628
4441 8626 4447 8627 4450 8625 4451 8582
4416 8582 4417 8639 4419 8639
$$
JZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 8:22 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 83 min | |
| Jul 25, 8:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Missaukee, Wexford | 65 min |
| Jul 25, 8:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Manistee, Missaukee, Wexford | 60 min |
| Jul 25, 8:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | APX | Missaukee, Wexford | 34 min |
| Jul 25, 9:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Gladwin | 44 min |
| Jul 25, 10:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | Missaukee, Wexford | 3 hr |
| Jul 25, 10:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Arenac | 29 min |
| Jul 25, 11:16 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | APX | Gladwin | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2012Every flash flood warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.