Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2012

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 25, 2012Missaukee County, Wexford County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at Jul 25, 2012, 10:22 PM EDT for Missaukee County, Wexford County, Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 25, 2012, 10:22 PM EDT (02:22 UTC)
Expired
Jul 26, 2012, 1:30 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Missaukee County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 25, 10:27 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD5 Wnw Cadillac, MI2.5 FEET OF WATER ON THE ROADWAY AT THE INTERSECTION OF M 115 AND E 35 ROAD.
Jul 25, 10:55 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 3.12Cadillac, MITWO HOUR TOTAL THRU 11 PM.
Jul 25, 11:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOODMesick, MIPARTIAL WASHOUT OF ROADWAY ON M37 NEAR MESICK. TRAFFIC IS DOWN TO ONE LANE. EXACT TIME OF OCCURRENCE UNKN.
Jul 25, 11:00 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 1.315 E Manton, MIMICHIGAN AGRICULTURAL WEATHER NETWORK SITE.
Jul 25, 11:01 PM EDTFLOOD1 S Lake City, MIM 66 AND KALKASKA RD.
Jul 25, 11:01 PM EDTFLOOD2 W Mcbain, MIDICKERSON AND STONEY CORNERS.
Jul 25, 11:21 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 1.96Mcbain, MI2 HR TOTAL THRU 11 PM. MI AGRICULTURAL WEATHER NETWORK SITE.
Jul 25, 11:26 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 31 S Cadillac, MIRAIN FELL BETWEEN 725 PM AND 1125 PM.
Jul 25, 11:26 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 3.071 S Cadillac, MIRAIN FELL BETWEEN 825 PM AND 1130 PM.
Jul 25, 11:37 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 32 Sw Cadillac, MITOTAL RAINFALL SINCE 845 PM

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2012-07-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2643 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2012-07-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2643 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-29 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1451 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
212 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
16.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

271 
WGUS53 KAPX 260222
FFWAPX
MIC113-165-260530-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FF.W.0003.120726T0222Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1022 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  MISSAUKEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
  WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 130 AM EDT

* AT 1018 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE      
  WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES SHOW 2 TO 3 INCHES OF         
  RAINFALL HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA OVER THE PAST          
  SEVERAL HOURS.  RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE      
  EARLY MORNING HOURS. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...BOON...BUCKLEY...FALMOUTH...HARRIETTA...
  HOXEYVILLE...JENNINGS...LUCAS...MANTON...MCBAIN...MEAUWATAKA...
  MESICK...MITCHELL STATE PARK...MODDERSVILLE...MOORESTOWN...MOREY...
  SHERMAN...VOGEL CENTER AND YUMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.  FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE 
AREAS.  

&&

LAT...LON 4416 8582 4451 8582 4451 8486 4416 8485

$$
4 follow-up statements
272 
WGUS73 KAPX 260308
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1108 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

MIC113-165-260530-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MISSAUKEE MI-
1108 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MISSAUKEE AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM EDT...

AT 1104 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RADAR 
RAINFALL ESTIMATES OF UP TO 3 INCHES HAVE FALLEN THUS FAR WITH 
ANOTHER INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...BOON...BUCKLEY...FALMOUTH...HARRIETTA...
HOXEYVILLE...JENNINGS...LUCAS...MANTON...MCBAIN...MEAUWATAKA...
MESICK...MITCHELL STATE PARK...MODDERSVILLE...MOORESTOWN...MOREY...
SHERMAN...VOGEL CENTER AND YUMA.

FLOODING WAS REPORTED ALONG M-66 NEAR KALKASKA STREET IN THE SOUTH 
END OF LAKE CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4416 8582 4451 8582 4451 8486 4416 8485

$$
217 
WGUS73 KAPX 260357
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1157 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

MIC113-165-260530-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MISSAUKEE MI-
1157 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MISSAUKEE AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM EDT...

AT 1154 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAD MOVED OUT OF WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE 
COUNTIES. HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO 
PRODUCE FLOODING IN SOME SECTIONS OF THE AREA. RADAR INDICATED THAT 
3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN A SWATH FROM CENTRAL WEXFORD 
COUNTY...INTO SOUTHERN MISSAUKEE COUNTY. FLOODING WAS REPORTED NEAR 
MCBAIN...LAKE CITY...AND JUST NORTHWEST OF CADILLAC EARLIER IN THE 
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4416 8582 4451 8582 4451 8486 4416 8485

$$



JZ
334 
WGUS73 KAPX 260458
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1258 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2012

MIC113-165-260530-
/O.CON.KAPX.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MISSAUKEE MI-
1258 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MISSAUKEE AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM EDT...

AT 1257 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAD MOVED OUT OF WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE 
COUNTIES. HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO 
PRODUCE FLOODING IN SOME SECTIONS OF THE AREA. RADAR INDICATED THAT 
3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN A SWATH FROM CENTRAL WEXFORD 
COUNTY...INTO SOUTHERN MISSAUKEE COUNTY. FLOODING WAS REPORTED NEAR 
MCBAIN...LAKE CITY...AND JUST NORTHWEST OF CADILLAC EARLIER IN THE 
EVENING. THESE AREA COULD CONTINUE TO SEE SOME HIGH WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4416 8582 4451 8582 4451 8486 4416 8485

$$



JZ
669 
WGUS73 KAPX 260529 RRA
FFSAPX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
129 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2012

MIC113-165-260545-
/O.EXP.KAPX.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120726T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEXFORD MI-MISSAUKEE MI-
129 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2012

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT MISSAUKEE AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 4416 8582 4451 8582 4451 8486 4416 8485

$$



JZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 25, 8:22 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX83 min
Jul 25, 8:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford65 min
Jul 25, 8:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXManistee, Missaukee, Wexford60 min
Jul 25, 8:59 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford34 min
Jul 25, 9:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXGladwin44 min
Jul 25, 10:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac29 min
Jul 25, 10:46 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXManistee3 hr
Jul 25, 11:16 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXGladwin3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2012Every flash flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.