High Wind Warning 10, NWS Juneau, AK

400 
WWAK77 PAJK 090050
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
350 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

AKZ027-090900-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120309T0900Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
350 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST
TONIGHT...

* WIND...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH GUSTS TO 65 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT 
  HYDABURG SEA PLANE BASE AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS 
  EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

BECKER

458 
WWAK77 PAJK 090652
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
952 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012


AKZ027-090800-
/X.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120309T0900Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
952 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE CALMED DOWN IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT PARTICULARLY ALONG THE OUTER
COAST.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
535 AM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

.SHORT TERM.../ THROUGH THU NIGHT / A STRONG LOW WILL BE MOVING
NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY AND TO JUST
SOUTH OF THE YAKUTAT AREA IN THE NORTHEAST GULF BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO NORTH FLOW EXTENDS FROM THE MID TROPICS
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. SATELLITE DERIVED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
AMOUNTS OF ROUGHLY AN INCH AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL BE SLOW
MOVING SO RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER SECTIONS OF SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
COULD RECEIVE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN THU AND THU NIGHT WHILE THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE LOOKS TO BE MORE IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH
RANGE.

PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE STILL SNOWING THIS MORNING
FROM THE HAINES/SKAGWAY AREA OVER TO YAKUTAT. TEMPERATURES AS OF 4
AM ARE RIGHT AROUND 30 DEGREES AND THINK THAT THE RAIN SNOW LINE
IN THE LYNN CANAL AREA IS NOT FAR FROM HAINES ITSELF. SO WHEN THE
SOUTH WINDS DO MANAGE TO KICK IN AND MY BEST ESTIMATE IS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON THE NEAR SEA LEVEL SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN. THE
WHITE PASS AREA MAY CONTINUE TO HAVE SNOW FALLING THROUGH TONIGHT.
FOR THE YAKUTAT REGION THINK THAT PRECIP TYPE CHANGE OVER WILL BE
BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM...ALTHOUGH BASED ON THE TEMPS ALREADY RIGHT
AROUND FREEZING THINK SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
EVEN MORE LIMITED BY THE TIME NOON ROLLS AROUND. AS SUCH WILL
MAINTAIN THE WINTER STORM WARNINGS AS THEY ARE.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
NORTHWARDS TO YAKUTAT WITH SOME GALES FOR SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS
AS WELL. HAVE GONE WITH STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PANHANDLE AS WELL FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING TIME
FRAME DUE TO THE FRONTAL BAND WINDS SPREADING IN AND THE SECOND
WRAP TRYING TO CATCH A SECTION OF THE OUTER COAST IN THE EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...FRIDAY STARTS OFF WITH A
COLD FRONT ALONG THE PANHANDLE AND MOST PLACES SEEING A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW. A NEW LOW MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF WILL
CONTINUE THE PRECIP THROUGH THE EVENING WITH ITS ASSOC WARM FRONT.
HAVE GONE WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS SYSTEM DUE TO
THE EXPECTED WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHERLY
WINDS...HOWEVER 850MB TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY BETWEEN THE
FRONTS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR PRECIP TO FALL AS SNOW THEN MELT.
HOWEVER ANY SURFACES THAT ARE AT OR BELOW FREEZING COULD SEE SOME
ACCUMULATION ON FRIDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT THE SW COAST WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES WARMING ALOFT WITH THE WARM FRONT RESULTING IN MAINLY
RAIN. WINDS LOOK TO BE GUSTY ALONG THE FRONT FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY SAT MORNING...BUT BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA.

THE LOW WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK...CONTINUING THE ONSHORE FLOW
AND LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIP. EXPECT A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...HOWEVER
AS MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH LOCATIONS ALONG SOUTHERLY FACING
MOUNTAINS SEEING THE GREATEST AMOUNTS.

MODELS ARE INDICATING A LOW MOVING INTO THE SE GULF FOR LATE
TUESDAY...HOWEVER WITH SLIGHT LOCATION DIFFERENCES...WHICH WOULD
RESULT IN OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH
DECREASED CHANCES OF PRECIP THROUGH WED. SOUTHERN AREAS WILL SEE
INCREASED CHANCES.

OVERALL CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST WERE MINOR. FOR UPDATES
USED AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH WITH A NUDGE TOWARD THE GFS. HOWEVER
MODELS IN THE SHORTER TERM WERE VERY SIMILAR...THEN STARTED TO
DIFFER MORE FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK AND TRENDED TOWARD HPC.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
     FOR AKZ026.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR AKZ027-028.
         STRONG WIND FROM NOON AKST TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023.
         WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY FOR AKZ017>019.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ033-035-036-041>043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031-032-034-052.

&&

BEZENEK/HANNON