Gale Warning 92, NWS Fairbanks, AK

816 
FZAK52 PAFG 091122
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-100015-
222 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 970 MB LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY WILL WEAKEN TO A 987 MB LOW
OVER THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA INTERIOR BY LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ200-100015-
NORTON SOUND-
222 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-100015-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
222 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR
LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM
OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-100015-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
222 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-100015-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
222 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

RF DEC 12

411 
FZAK52 PAFG 092324
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
224 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-101615-
224 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 986 MB LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY WILL WEAKEN TO 992 MB IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE NORTH FROM THE
NORTHERN PACIFIC AND BE 966 MB 600 NM WEST OF ADAK MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL BE 966 MB 300 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN 971 MB 100 NM SOUTH OF GAMBELL WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-101615-
NORTON SOUND-
224 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-101615-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
224 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012


...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.  
.WED...NE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.  
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU...N WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-101615-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
224 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-101615-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
224 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012


...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

DEC 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
235 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AS ADVERTISED THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ACTIVE AS A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS ALASKA. THE FIRST SYSTEM TO
IMPACT THE WESTERN COAST AND INTERIOR ALASKA IS A 955 MB LOW
PRESSURE THAT IS CENTERED OVER KIANA ALASKA AS OF 100 PM AKST.
THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARDS BRISTOL BAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL IMPACT ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND...BERING STRAIT COAST...AND THE YUKON DELTA OVERNIGHT WITH
STRONG WINDS AND SNOW ALLOWING FOR BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED
VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE YUKON DELTA. CURRENT RADAR REFLECTIVITY
INDICATES THAT SNOW IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF BETHEL AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARDS MARSHALL WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS. AS OF 1 PM...SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AT MARSHALL WAS 42 MPH
WITH GUSTS OF 48 MPH. THUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP
EARLIER ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE YUKON DELTA. THUS HAVE
DECIDED TO UPDATE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO START NOW.
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING FOR
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE YUKON DELTA WHICH INCLUDES EMMONAK.
EXPECT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL HALF
INCH OF SNOW ON SUNDAY FOR THIS EVENT.

THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BRINGING GALE WINDS FOR COASTAL ZONES
EXTENDING FROM DALL POINT NORTHWARD TO WHALES...WHICH WILL EXPAND
NORTHWARD AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARDS CAPE BEAUFORT
OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH GAMBLE AND SAVOONGA OBSERVATIONS CURRENTLY
INDICATE WIND GUSTS UP TO 47 MPH...IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT WINDS
ACROSS THE AREA WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT. THUS WILL KEEP THE HIGH
WIND WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.

SNOW WILL ALSO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR. THERE
WILL BE SLOW ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH
A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. THERE WILL BE
SNOW DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING BRINGING
1 TO 2 INCHES THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN ALASKA RANGE. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE INTERIOR ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF SNOW POTENTIALLY UP TO 2 INCHES
ACROSS THE AREA. AS MENTIONED...IT SHOULD BE A SLOW SNOW
ACCUMULATION OVER A LONGER DURATION AND SHOULD NOT WARRANT ANY
TYPE OF WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR THE LONGER DURATION.

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AS MODELS
SUGGEST ANOTHER STRONG SYSTEM MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA.
HOWEVER THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT IN THE STRENGTH AS THE GFS
INDICATES A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED SOUTH OF ST LAWRENCE
WHILE THE ECMWF INDICATES AN OPEN WAVE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. IN
EITHER CASE EXPECT UNSETTLED WEATHER.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ214.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ213.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ245.
&&

MAK DEC 12