Gale Warning 888, NWS Anchorage, AK

268 
FZAK51 PAFC 240332 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
630 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

UPDATED ZONE 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241500-
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE NEAR KING SALMON
MON AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE. A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
SOUTHWEST GULF TUE.
$$

PKZ120-241500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG 
THE COAST. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-241500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES 
HEAD. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS 
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-241500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-241500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-241500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
630 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS EAST...
E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. FROM THE BARREN
ISLANDS EAST...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-241500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-241500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-241500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-241500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

022 
FZAK51 PAFC 241236
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250300-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 985 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 120 NM NORTHEAST
OF CHIGNIK AT 989 MB THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE. A WEATHER
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST GULF TUE.

$$

PKZ120-250300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT THIS AFTERNOON. 
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-250300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY THIS
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-250300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-250300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-250300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 50 KT
BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 2 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-250300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-250300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-250300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-250300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

574 
FZAK51 PAFC 250036
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH THE
EASTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH
TUE NIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF TUE NIGHT AND
MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF WED.
$$

PKZ120-251500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE...W OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 14 FT. E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT E 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-251500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-251500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-251500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-251500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 2 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.

.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-251500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-251500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-251500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING
TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-251500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 24 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$

782 
FZAK51 PAFC 251245
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH THE
EASTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH
WED MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF TONIGHT AND
MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF WED.

$$

PKZ120-260300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT E 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO
20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-260300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-260300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-260300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-260300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 2 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-260300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-260300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-260300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 15 
KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-260300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

654 
FZAK51 PAFC 260035
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261500-
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH THE
EASTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN 
THROUGH THIS EVENING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST 
GULF WED MORNING AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF WED EVENING. 
A 964 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WED AFTERNOON WEAKENS TO 
983 MB AS IT MOVES TO 35 NM EAST OF KODIAK THU AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-261500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF CAPE CLEARE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING 
TO 12 FT. RAIN. W OF CAPE CLEARE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN 
THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-261500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED... VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND 
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-261500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-261500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT OR LESS IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-261500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT...BUILDING TO 17 FT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-261500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-261500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-261500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-261500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 25 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT BUILDING TO 3 FT TOWARD MORNING. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 23 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...IN THE UPPER LEVELS THERE IS A BROAD LOW
THAT IS CENTERED OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EXTENDS OVER MOST OF
SOUTHERN AND INTERIOR ALASKA. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE ARCTIC
OCEAN AND EXTENDS THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT AND THEN SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE JET STREAM IS RUNNING SOUTH OF THE AREA AS IT
PARALLELS 40N ACROSS THE ENTIRE PACIFIC.
AT THE SURFACE THE IS A LOW COMPLEX WITH MULTIPLE CENTERS IN THE GULF
OF ALASKA. THE STRONGEST CENTER IS SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AND
SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY. SOME SNOW
SHOWERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER SMALL LOW NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF THE KENAI PENINSULA.
A FRONT MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA WILL HAVE A SERIES OF LOWS DEVELOP
ALONG IT AS IT STALLS IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE MODELS ARE DOING WELL WITH THE POSITION AND
MOVEMENT OF THE LONG WAVES ON A HEMISPHERIC SCALE. HOWEVER ONE LOOKS
CLOSER AT THE DETAILS THERE IS MORE CAUSE FOR CONCERN. NONE OF THE
MODELS ARE DOING A PARTICULARLY GOOD JOB WITH ANY OF THE FEATURES
PAST A DAY OR SO OUT. THE BEST BET IN THE GULF OF ALASKA AND EASTERN
PART OF THE FORECAST AREA IS THE NAM MODEL. THE GFS IS PROBABLY THE
BEST OF THE BUNCH IN THE BERING SEA AND WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST
AREA. HOWEVER THE ISSUES IN THE BERING SEA ARE MORE PRONOUNCED AS THE
MODELS ARE ALL STRUGGLING TO DEVELOP A SERIES OF LOWS THAT WILL
DEVELOP ALONG A FRONT THAT IS STALLING OUT IN THE SOUTHERN BERING
SEA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE BIGGEST WEATHER CONCERNS ARE IN THE
EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA ZONE WITH A BLIZZARD WARNING IN ZONE 125 FOR
TURNAGAIN PASS AND NORTHWARD. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE PORTION OF THE
SEWARD HIGHWAY FROM TURNAGAIN PASS AND ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM TO AROUND
BIRD POINT. WEST OF BIRD POINT THERE WILL ALSO LIKELY BE SOME BLOWING
SNOW BUT NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT A BLIZZARD WARNING. THE WORST
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR PORTAGE WHERE THERE WILL BE HEAVY
SNOWFALL...POSSIBLY A FEW FEET BEFORE THE STORM ENDS...IN CONJUNCTION
WITH THE WINDS.
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AT 20 BELOW TO
30 BELOW. THOSE TEMPERATURES EXTEND THROUGH THOMPSON PASS WHICH HAS
REMAINED BETWEEN 15 BELOW AND 230 BELOW ALL DAY. WINDS FROM KEYSTONE
CANYON THROUGH THOMPSON PASS HAVE BEEN STRONG...DROPPING THE WIND
CHILL VALUES TO AROUND 45 BELOW ZERO. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.
IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA THERE ARE SOME SNOW SHOWERS THAT HAVE DEVELOPED
IN THE BRISTOL BAY REGION THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT BEFORE
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD MONDAY. THESE SHOWERS WILL MOST LIKELY NOT
REACH AS FAR WEST AS THE BETHEL AREA AS THE LOW IS WEAKENING AND IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BEFORE IT MAKES IT TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.
SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS IN NORTHERLY FLOW WHILE THE OLD OCCLUDED FRONT IS
APPROACHING THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. THIS OLD FRONT WILL BRING STEADY
SNOW TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST THE EVENING HOURS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE MODELS MAKES THE LONG
TERM A BIT DIFFICULT. HOWEVER WHAT IS CLEAR IS THAT THERE WILL BE A
STRONG WARMING TREND OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA AS SOUTHEAST FLOW BRINGS IN
WARMER AIR AND AN ACTIVE PATTERN TO THE REGION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 125. WIND CHILL ADVISORY 131.
MARINE...GALE 120 125 130 140 172 175 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 130 140 141 160 165 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DEC 12