Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 58, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 6, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 6, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 7, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
893 FZAK51 PAFC 061237 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-070300- 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 993 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE ASHORE NEAR YAKUTAT AND WEAKEN EARLY THIS EVENING. A PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 280 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT 965 MB SAT MORNING...THEN MOVE TO AROUND 80 NM EAST OF SEWARD AT 972 MB EARLY SUN MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THIS EVENING...THEN TRACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF AND MOVE ASHORE SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-070300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ121-070300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-070300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ129-070300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-070300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-070300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ138-070300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-070300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. $$ PKZ141-070300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
260 FZAK51 PAFC 070014 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-071500- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 964 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK AT 968 MB SAT AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SUN MORNING AND REMAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ120-071500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-071500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-071500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-071500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-071500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-071500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ138-071500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-071500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-071500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
375 FZAK51 PAFC 070601 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 900 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 UPDATED AREA 140 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-071500- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 964 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK AT 968 MB SAT AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SUN MORNING AND REMAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ120-071500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-071500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-071500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-071500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-071500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-071500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ138-071500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-071500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 900 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-071500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 6 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
383 FZAK51 PAFC 071227 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-080300- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 962 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 970 MB THIS EVENING...TRACK TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AT 976 MB SUN MORNING...THEN DRIFT TO NEAR CAPE SUCKLING AND WEAKEN MON MORNING. $$ PKZ120-080300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-080300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-080300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ129-080300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-080300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 13 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-080300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ138-080300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-080300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-080300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 7 2012 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 5, 12:20 PM AKST, 15 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 5, 12:20 PM AKST, 15 hours 40 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1220 PM AKST THU JAN 5 2012
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW IS CENTERED
JUST EAST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WITH TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA. MULTIPLE EMBEDDED
SHORT-WAVES ARE MOVING THROUGH THE TROUGH AND ROTATING NORTHWARD
ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA. ONE WAVE IS MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING WITH A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW
RIGHT OUT AHEAD OF IT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THERE IS SOME
PACIFIC MOISTURE FEEDING INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THIS WAVE. A
WEAK SURFACE LOW HAS ALSO DEVELOPED JUST NORTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA. TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENTS AHEAD OF THIS LOW ARE CAUSING LOCALIZED STRONG WINDS AND
BLOWING SNOW THROUGH MOUNTAIN GAPS. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SOUTHWARD
FROM THIS LOW ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WITH COLD ADVECTION ACROSS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA BEGINNING TO KICK UP GAP WINDS.
A MATURE MODERATE STRENGTH LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC IS
TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE EASTERN GULF. THIS LOW IS HELPING
TO BLOCK SOME OF THE PACIFIC MOISTURE FROM REACHING SOUTHCENTRAL...
BUT AS THE LOW GETS FURTHER NORTH EXPECT SOME OF THIS MOISTURE
TO BE PULLED BACK UP TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
A WEAK LOW IS PASSING JUST NORTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA...ENHANCING WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
TYPICAL COLD ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS DOMINATE THE REST OF THE
BERING SEA REGION.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY. THE FORECAST PROBLEM OF THE DAY IS DETERMINING HOW
FAR WEST DEEP PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MAKE IT AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE 12Z GFS
IS SLOWEST WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND FARTHEST WEST WITH THE
MOISTURE...AS IT BRINGS A WELL DEFINED SURFACE LOW INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AT 12Z FRIDAY. THIS SCENARIO WOULD BRING MUCH MORE
SNOW TO ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY. THE UKMET HAS A SIMILAR
SOLUTION TO THE GFS. MEANWHILE...THE NAM IS BY FAR THE FASTEST OF
ANY OF THE MODELS WITH UPPER TROUGH MOVEMENT SO CONSIDER IT AN
OUTLIER. PLAN TO USE THE MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION OF THE
ECMWF/GEMGLB...WHICH ALSO HAPPENS TO BE THE MOST CONSISTENT
SOLUTION AND NOT TOO FAR FROM THE INHERITED FORECAST. THE ECMWF
IS ALSO VERY CONSISTENT WITH MAJOR PACIFIC LOW MOVING INTO THE
GULF AND EVENTUALLY PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS WEEKEND.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BASED ON THE ECMWF SOLUTION THE DEEPEST
PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FROM PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND
EASTWARD. THIS SHOULD KEEP ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY
JUST BELOW ADVISORY SNOW AMOUNTS...BUT A SLIGHT SHIFT WESTWARD
WOULD DRAMATICALLY AFFECT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. BASED ON THE STRENGTH
OF UPPER TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING COLD ADVECTION PLAN TO UP CURRENT
FORECAST AMOUNTS TO JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. FOR EASTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND PORTIONS OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN EXPECT
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW UNTIL THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH ON
FRIDAY. LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION PRIOR TO UPPER TROUGH PASSAGE WILL
LEAD TO DRIER AND DRIER SNOW WHICH WILL RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE. BASED
ON THIS WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER A HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR EASTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
AS THIS SYSTEM EXITS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY A STORM WWILL BE
DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC ALONG THE UPPER JET.
AS IT STRENGTHENS DOWNSTREAM RIDGE WILL BUILD AHEAD OF IT AND
CAUSE IT TO TURN NORTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN GULF FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS LOW WILL BE KEY TO WEATHER
ON KODIAK ISLAND AND THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN CHANGING TO RAIN AND
STAYING ALL SNOW WITH LIKELY BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THIS STORM WILL
IMPACT ALL OF SOUTHCENTRAL WITH WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL OVER THE
WEEKEND. OTHER POTENTIAL IMPACTS WILL BE WORKED OUT THE NEXT
24 HOURS AS WE LOCK IN ON THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE LOW JUST NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN ALASKA
PENINSULA WILL DISSIPATE AS IT CROSSES THE PENINSULA TONIGHT.
WITH LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...EXPECT
LITTLE IMPACT FROM UPPER TROUGH AS IT ROTATES ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WOULD BE ALONG AND NEAR THE ALASKA
RANGE. MEANWHILE CLEAR SKIES AND COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE TROUGH
MEANS EXTREMELY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL SETTLE BACK IN ACROSS THE
REGION. THE PACIFIC STORM WILL TRACK FAR ENOUGH NORTH AND WEST TO
BRING SNOW AND WIND TO BRISTOL BAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. THEREFORE...PLAN TO ISSUE A BLIZZARD WARNING FOR SOUTH
OF KING SALMON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND UPGRADE TO A BLIZZARD
WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA. IF MODELS TREND ANY
FARTHER NORTHWEST WITH MOISTURE OTHER AREAS COULD BE AFFECTED BY
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AS WELL.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THAT THE BULK OF STEADY
SNOW WITH DEVELOPING PACIFIC LOW WILL STAY JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS...SO IF STEADY SNOW DOES MAKE IT IN THERE A
BLIZZARD WILL ENSUE. WILL KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS AS WE GET CLOSER
TO THE EVENT. FOR THE REST OF THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS COLD
ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL RETROGRADE BACK TOWARD
EASTERN RUSSIA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WHICH THEN ALLOWS THE NEXT PACIFIC
STORM TO TRACK FARTHER NORTH THIS WEEKEND. THIS IS THE BEGINNING OF
A LONG-WAVE PATTERN CHANGE. AS WE HEAD THROUGH NEXT WEEK MODELS
INDICATE VERY PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WITH THE STORM TRACK
SHIFTING NORTHWARD TOWARD ALASKA. AN EVEN BIGGER CHANGE MAY BE IN
STORE AT THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS MODELS SHOW PACIFIC STORMS
BEGINNING TO TRACK INTO THE BERING SEA...WHICH COULD EVENTUALLY
LEAD TO A WARM-UP OVER MAINLAND ALASKA FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 181.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...155.
GALE WARNING...120 130 132 138 140 150 160 165 170 171.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...121 129 130 132 138 140 141
160 165 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB JAN 12The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 3:50 PM AKST | Blizzard Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 5, 3:50 PM AKST | Wind Chill Advisory | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Jan 5, 4:00 PM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 5, 4:00 PM AKST | Blizzard Watch | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Jan 5, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Jan 5, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 5, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jan 5, 4:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Jan 5, 4:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Jan 6, 12:35 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 3 hr | |
| Jan 6, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jan 6, 4:42 AM AKST | Wind Chill Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Jan 6, 4:42 AM AKST | Wind Chill Advisory | AFC | 41 hr | |
| Jan 6, 5:06 AM AKST | Blizzard Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Jan 6, 7:25 AM AKST | Blizzard Warning | AFC | 6 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.