Gale Warning 506, NWS Anchorage, AK

758 
FZAK51 PAFC 281155
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290300-
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1005 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND
THIS AFTERNOON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF WED
MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-290300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-290300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUST TO 35 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-290300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH
THIS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-290300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS
NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-290300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 11 FT
EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-290300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-290300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-290300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS TO 25
KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES THIS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-290300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LOW OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA CONTINUES TO BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN
AS AN ASSOCIATED FRONT SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.
STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ARE BEGINNING TO PICK UP ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL. THE RAIN IS TAPERING OFF ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AS A
HIGH BUILDS OVER THE BERING. UNDERNEATH THIS HIGH PRESSURE WIDESPREAD
FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM...HOWEVER THE NAM IS
FASTER WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE CURRENT FRONT STRETCHING FROM SOUTH
CENTRAL TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHICH WOULD END THE RAIN LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. ECMWF AND GFS LINGER SHOWERS THROUGH THIS EVENING. ALL
MODELS BRING THE NEXT FRONT ACROSS THE BERING TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...RAIN THIS MORNING WILL SCATTER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
FRONT MOVES EAST. NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY
WINDS THROUGHOUT SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT FRONT
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING BRINGING
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STRONGER WINDS.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF LATER TODAY AS A RIDGE MOVES IN FROM THE
BERING. PATCHY FOG ALONG THE COAST WILL LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING
AND THEN RETURN LATE TONIGHT. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS
THE NEXT FRONT MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS NEXT
FRONT WILL BRING IN WARMER AIR FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BERING TODAY BRINGING AREAS OF FOG
AND LIGHTER WINDS. A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING TONIGHT
BRINGING RAIN TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS FRONT MOVES ACROSS TO
THE CENTRAL BERING ON TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA WILL BE FOLLOWED BY AN UPPER LOW
MOVING INTO NORTHERN BERING KEEPING AN ACTIVE PATTERN THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130
         GALE WARNING...120 121 129 132 127
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

KFH AUG 12

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1145 AM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

AKZ111-145-281800-

...HIGH WATER LEVELS FOR STREAMS DRAINING THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS...

HEAVY RAIN OVER THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS YESTERDAY AND OVERNIGHT HAS
CAUSED RAPID RISES ON NUMEROUS RIVERS INCLUDING THE LITTLE
SUSITNA...WILLOW CREEK...MONTANA CREEK...AND THE TALKEETNA RIVER.
RAINFALL HAS ENDED AND RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO CREST TODAY NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE BANKFULL LEVELS.  THE MAINSTEM SUSITNA RIVER WILL ALSO
EXPERIENCE A SIGNIFICANT RISE BEFORE CRESTING ON TUESDAY AT THE PARKS
HIGHWAY.

RECREATIONALISTS AND PEOPLE WITH LOW LYING PROPERTY SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR HIGH WATER CONDITIONS.

THIS STATEMENT WILL NOT BE UPDATED.

BCB